|
Matt's Guide to the 2016 PCT
|
| Margh Norway |
Posted on 12-07-2016 21:09
|
Sprinter
Posts: 1507
Joined: 23-07-2010
PCM$: 200.00
|
Thanks for the preview, matt!
Can live with our predicted ranking, as everything apart from relegation is fine.
Like the collection of useless facts. Happy we're a still one of the younger teams despite four of our talents are out on loan.
|
| |
|
|
| jandal7 |
Posted on 12-07-2016 22:23
|
World Champion
Posts: 11395
Joined: 17-12-2014
PCM$: 1020.00
|
Awesome preview Matt, enjoyable in-depth read! And like Croatia said, how to convince you to do this for CT? 
24/02/21 - kandesbunzler said “I don't drink famous people."
15/08/22 - SotD said "Your [jandal's] humour is overrated"
11/06/24 - knockout said "Winning is fine I guess. Truth be told this felt completely unimportant."
[ICL] Santos-Euskadi | [PT]  Xero Racing
5x  x5
2x  x2
2x  x2 |
| |
|
|
| trekbmc |
Posted on 12-07-2016 22:26
|
Team Leader
Posts: 7366
Joined: 11-07-2014
PCM$: 700.00
|
19th would be a very nice result for us but it kinda depends on whether our puncheurs race well, surviving the PCT would be good enough anyway.
Very nice preview as a whole Matt, especially you're predictions take back-ups stats and past results into account enough to seem very accurate. 
"What done is, is one." - Benji Naesen
|
| |
|
|
| Ad Bot |
Posted on 27-11-2024 17:57
|
Bot Agent
Posts: Countless
Joined: 23.11.09
|
|
| IP: None |
|
|
| jph27 |
Posted on 13-07-2016 07:07
|
Team Leader
Posts: 7339
Joined: 20-03-2010
PCM$: 900.00
|
9th is exactly where I had us as well, so for this I am happy
Fantastic preview Matt, I particularly enjoyed the intro - cool to be the youngest team (joint with Lierse), the team with the highest average wage, and the team with the fewest nationalities - and thought that you got it spot on with my team. A lot I think will come down to whether the strong support stats of my leaders can make up for them not quite being top drawer. |
| |
|
|
| roturn |
Posted on 13-07-2016 07:19
|
Team Manager
Posts: 22246
Joined: 24-11-2007
PCM$: 3900.00
|
Great preview! Like those nice bonusses such as key rider or the first post statistics.
I agree with most of your predictions guessing it might become a pretty accurate one.
Tough year for UBS and Ayubowan. While relegating it could be a struggle to go up again. Even though I think UBS could be able to pass 1-2 of the earlier with some luck and race planning. Keeping Amador was good for them but hurt their depth while Schumacher lost some of his power. Guess the 76-78 riders behind those two need to step up now if they are going to promote. Same for Reichenbach, who has a nice combination of stats but lacks the 1-2 extra points in sprints. |
| |
|
|
| Avin Wargunnson |
Posted on 13-07-2016 07:28
|
World Champion
Posts: 14236
Joined: 20-06-2011
PCM$: 300.00
|
Fantastic preview!!
I have read only 50% now, but i love it, the format, the depth and the statistics. Will have to finish it with cup of cofee
|
| |
|
|
| Stromeon |
Posted on 13-07-2016 14:00
|
Classics Specialist
Posts: 3507
Joined: 06-10-2012
PCM$: 200.00
|
Great preview, really in-depth, well thought-out and has given me a good sense of what the other teams in the division look like, thank you
|
| |
|
|
| ember |
Posted on 14-07-2016 20:47
|
Team Leader
Posts: 6849
Joined: 27-03-2008
PCM$: 700.00
|
Great work, matt17br! It was very nice to read all the way through, and also with some very valid points made about different teams in the in-depth writing on all of them.
Wiesenhof - Andritz are the obvious favourite, in addition to great leaders, they've got the depth for most terrains as well, which isn't a usual sight in the PCT. |
| |
|
|
| Bushwackers |
Posted on 15-07-2016 01:07
|
Sprinter
Posts: 1907
Joined: 07-02-2009
PCM$: 200.00
|
Thanks for the preview, it was a fun read and obviously well thought-out. I think your assessment of our team is pretty accurate, everything definitely hinges on Amador for us.
|
| |
|
|
| Shonak |
Posted on 15-07-2016 08:56
|
Tour de France Champion
Posts: 15615
Joined: 16-07-2013
PCM$: 350.00
|
Amazing preview, very well written and provides a great detailed overview
"It’s a little bit scary when Contador attacks." - Tommy V
|
| |
|
|
| DaveTwoBob |
Posted on 15-07-2016 17:58
|
Small Tour Specialist
Posts: 2433
Joined: 07-07-2013
PCM$: 200.00
|
Adding my praise for a very well written preview with excellent explanations about your decisions, key performers and variables.
Will make it far easier for a new manager such as myself to follow PCT with this background knowledge.
Great stuff and we will be very lucky if you are able to find the time to do any more like this 
|
| |
|
|
| maxime86 |
Posted on 17-07-2016 18:47
|
Classics Specialist
Posts: 2950
Joined: 01-03-2012
PCM$: 200.00
|
Just read through this for the first time and I actually think the predictions are very accurate except I think that Shimano might finish a little higher than where you put them
as for our team, 24th is actually exactly where I'd put us, as I do agree with your points about our depth and lack of really good leaders
very nice preview! |
| |
|
|
| Gustavovskiy |
Posted on 19-07-2016 09:35
|
Team Leader
Posts: 6036
Joined: 20-07-2008
PCM$: 200.00
|
Great preview, congrats matt! I think you're spot on with our prediction. Losing Costas wasn't ideal but in the end I think we benefited from that.
Wiesenhof stand out as no.1 favourites, while Meiji, Spotify and ourselves should contend for the title while, UBS, Hugo Boss and Karcher have good arguments as well to finish in promotion places.
Karcher, Telkom and Generali are 3 teams I'm curious about, for different reasons. Will keep an eye on them throughout the season.
|
| |
|
|
| matt17br |
Posted on 10-04-2017 16:01
|
Directeur Sportif
Posts: 10525
Joined: 28-09-2013
PCM$: 200.00
|
For the curious, this is how my predictions compared to the final rankings. A lot of these are embarassing, so I'll blame PCM instead
| Final | Team | Predicted | Difference | | 1 |  Wiesenhof-Andrtiz | 1 | 0 | | 2 |  Porto - Prio | 2 | 0 | | 3 |  Hugo Boss | 5 | +2 | | 4 |  Strava | 14 | +10 | | 5 |  Team Telkom for Africa | 17 | +12 | | 6 |  Spotify - Haglöfs | 3 | -3 | | 7 |  VisitUkraine p/b Nemiroff | 21 | +14 | | 8 |  Ayubowan! | 9 | +1 | | 9 |  Meiji - JR East | 4 | -5 | | 10 |  Generali - AXA | 16 | +6 | | 11 |  Coldeportes | 11 | 0 | | 12 |  Arrinera | 10 | -2 | | 13 |  Banc na hÉireann | 8 | -5 | | 14 |  Novatek-Panarmenian.net | 15 | +1 | | 15 |  Valio - DeLaval | 27 | +12 | | 16 |  Netia - Norske Skog | 19 | +3 | | 17 |  Team UBS | 6 | -11 | | 18 |  Eritel - Sonatrach | 12 | -6 | | 19 |  Karcher-Adira | 7 | -12 | | 20 |  Euskaltel | 18 | -2 | | 21 |  Compal-Merida | 25 | +4 | | 22 |  Indosat - ANZ | 13 | -9 | | 23 |  Shimano - Siam Cement | 28 | +5 | | 24 |  Flores - Ceitec | 20 | -4 | | 25 |  Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | 26 | +1 | | 26 |  Vontobel | 22 | -4 | | 27 |  Azteca - NBCSN | 23 | -4 | | 28 |  Aeropostal Venezuela Ciclismo | 29 | +1 | | 29 |  In-n-Out p/b Carrefour | 24 | -5 | | 30 |  SanCor | 30 | 0 |
|
| |
|
|
| trekbmc |
Posted on 10-04-2017 16:23
|
Team Leader
Posts: 7366
Joined: 11-07-2014
PCM$: 700.00
|
That's actually some pretty accurate predictions all things considered, especially getting the 1-2 is nice and getting 3 of the promotes plus 4 of the relegates and don't think anybody was really getting that 4-10 range.
Also the only prediction to get close at all to my team, better than 'last years most accurate' placing us 29th!
"What done is, is one." - Benji Naesen
|
| |
|
|
| Ollfardh |
Posted on 10-04-2017 16:24
|
World Champion
Posts: 14563
Joined: 08-08-2011
PCM$: 9100.00
|
+1 is all we needed
You got the top 2 right, that's already a nice achievement!
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
|
| |
|
