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Tour du Maroc Discussion
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| Ulrich Ulriksen |
Posted on 27-07-2020 03:13
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Directeur Sportif
Posts: 3259
Joined: 02-11-2010
PCM$: 300.00
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 Tour du Maroc
The PTHC Tour du Maroc is the final PTHC race of the year. The 9 stage tour is in its second season. The race remains unchanged with a balanced parcours including 5 flat stages, 2 for the punchy riders and 2 for the climbers. The queen stage is stage 6 with its climb to Tirboula at just over 2,000 meters. But stage 3 with its 3 category one climb will likely also be key.
Last year Romain Sicard won S3 on his way to the GC victory. Dombrowski and Hirt completed the podium while Ciolek won S5 and the points jersey.
Sicard and Air France aren’t here to defend the title but  Dombrowski and  Hirt are both back among 9 80+ Mountain riders
| Rider | MT | HI | RS | RC | | Dombrowski | 84 | 75 | 78 | 78 |  Amador | 83 | 74 | 73 | 77 |  Kudus | 82 | 76 | 77 | 79 |  Martin | 81 | 76 | 77 | 76 |  Wellens | 81 | 75 | 80 | 76 |  Monsalve | 81 | 76 | 80 | 77 | | Hirt | 81 | 74 | 79 | 79 |  Meintjes | 80 | 77 | 76 | 78 |  Ji | 80 | 75 | 69 | 73 |
With his 84 mountain and very solid back up stats Dombrowski has to be the favorite for the top step on the podium. The remaining 8 are all fairly evenly matched so the podium fight could be wide open. Kudus won white here last year so we know he likes this race. Ji seems to be a step below the rest with much weaker secondary stats.
There are also 6 riders with 79 mountain, among these Yates and  Talansky have the strong secondary stats to threaten our favorites. Yates gives Farfetch a strong 1-2 punch in conjunction with Monsalve.
There are two punchy stages and all the favorites seem to be strong enough in this category to defend themselves and the top puncheurs that could cause them difficulty are not at this raise. The strongest pure puncheur is Boswell who rides for Dombrowski’s eBuddy squad. Dombrowski can also count on two other strong climbers in Aru and Majka. The support doesn’t set eBuddy apart though, nearly everyone of our favorites brings a strong cadre of 75+ climbers to support them. Only Meintjes looks more isolated. All these strong climbing teams means we might see some big breaks later in the race.
Other than the climbers for the GC the other big focus is with the sprinters. Given the 5 flat stages the race features what is a very small sprint field by man game standards There are only 8 80+ sprinters and none over 81. Even going to 78+ we only have 11 riders:
| Rider | FL | SP | AC | RS | RC |  Goss | 73 | 81 | 77 | 70 | 79 |  Kragh Andersen | 77 | 80 | 77 | 74 | 78 | | Rowe | 72 | 80 | 70 | 58 | 79 |  Lavoine | 73 | 80 | 78 | 64 | 77 |  Drapac | 71 | 80 | 79 | 65 | 76 | | Nizzolo | 73 | 80 | 79 | 67 | 71 |  Samolenkov | 74 | 80 | 79 | 71 | 78 | | Van der Sande | 75 | 79 | 79 | 73 | 76 | | Thwaites | 73 | 78 | 76 | 70 | 76 | | Contreras | 72 | 78 | 80 | 75 | 77 | | Santos | 76 | 78 | 78 | 72 | 76 |
Goss has the best top speed but Kragh Andersen and Samolenkov have better secondary stats. None of these riders stands out so look for messy sprints.
To further mix things up many of these sprinters have limited or no support. The strongest lead out possibilities are those with two on our favorites list: Rowe and Thwaites for CycleYorkshire and Contreras and Santos for ISA-Hexacta. Since both pairs are evenly matched it will be interesting to see if they work together or sprint independently. Since Contreras isn't one of the top guys ISA-Hexacta may not even get a sprint train.
Finally none of the sprinters are all that strong in the mountains, so maybe some of them won’t make it to the 5th sprint stage on the last day of the race. It seems likely that stage or stage 7 with its extensive early climbing might go to a breakaway.
Full Start List
Spoiler | Campari/Asahi development | Daniel Martin | | Campari/Asahi development | Aleksej Kunshin | | Campari/Asahi development | Estifanos Kebede | | Campari/Asahi development | Filippo Fiorelli | | Campari/Asahi development | Sota Ikibe | | Campari/Asahi development | Yuma Koishi | | Campari/Asahi development | Simone Petilli | | Campari/Asahi development | Yosukue Matsumoto | | Carlsberg - Danske Bank | Pieter Vanspeybrouck | | Carlsberg - Danske Bank | Asbjorn Kragh Andersen | | Carlsberg - Danske bank | Marc Christian Garby | | Carlsberg - Danske Bank | Jesper Hansen | | Carlsberg - Danske Bank | Jonas Bjelkmark | | Carlsberg - Danske Bank | Alex Aranburu | | Carlsberg - Danske Bank | Kasper Asgreen | | Carlsberg - Danske Bank | Jonas Gregaard | | cycleYorkshire | Louis Meintjes | | cycleYorkshire | Scott Thwaites | | cycleYorkshire | Heiko Redecker | | cycleYorkshire | Andrew Tennant | | cycleYorkshire | Matt Rowe | | cycleYorkshire | Tim Kennaugh | | cycleYorkshire | Gabriel Cullaigh | | cycleYorkshire | Benjamin Thomas | | Desigual | Bakhtiyar Kozhatayev | | Desigual | Magno Nazaret | | Desigual | Carter Jones | | Desigual | Jack Burke | | Desigual | William Barta | | Desigual | Hugo Hofstetter | | Desigual | Taylor Newton | | Desigual | Federico Olei | | eBuddy | Joseph Dombrowski | | eBuddy | Ian Boswell | | eBuddy | Fabio Aru | | eBuddy | Rafel Majka | | eBuddy | Coen Vermeltfoort | | eBuddy | Valerio Conti | | eBuddy | Antwan Tolhoek | | eBuddy | Omer Goldstein | | Fablok - Bank BGZ | Tim Wellens | | Fablok - Bank BGZ | Cristian Raileanu | | Fablok - Bank BGZ | Martin Hacecky | | Fablok - Bank BGZ | Idan Shapira | | Fablok - Bank BGZ | Jaka Bostner | | Fablok - Bank BGZ | Leszek Plucinski | | Fablok - Bank BGZ | Jakub Kaczmarek | | Fablok - Bank BGZ | Daniel Eliad | | Farfetch Pro Cycling | Yonathan Monsalve | | Farfetch Pro Cycling | Adam Yates | | Farfetch Pro Cycling | Tosh Van der Sande | | Farfetch Pro Cycling | Anthony Turgis | | Farfetch Pro Cycling | Samuel Ssabagwanya | | Farfetch Pro Cycling | Kyeng Ho Min | | Farfetch Pro Cycling | Milan Menten | | Farfetch Pro Cycling | Marco Tizza | | Gazelle | Davide Formolo | | Gazelle | Blaz Furdi | | Gazelle | Marc Potts | | Gazelle | Anatoliy Sosnitskiy | | Gazelle | Roman Senyenov | | Gazelle | Louis Vervaeke | | Gazelle | Jacques Janse van Rensburg | | Gazelle | Neilson Powless | | Generali | Dylan Teuns | | Generali | Nathan Brown | | Generali | Robin Carpenter | | Generali | Pedro Sequera | | Generali | Matthias Krizek | | Generali | Bert Van Lerberghe | | Generali | Jasper De Buyst | | Generali | Giulio Ciccone | | Grieg - Maersk | Jo Kogstad Ringheim | | Grieg - Maersk | Michael Vink | | Grieg - Maersk | Rhys Gillett | | Grieg - Maersk | Jonathan Lastra | | Grieg - Maersk | Thiago Duarte Nardin | | Grieg - Maersk | Truls Engen Korsaeth | | Grieg - Maersk | Yuan Tan Peng | | Grieg - Maersk | Ken Sebastian Vassdal | | Iberia - Team Degenkolb | Roy Jans | | Iberia - Team Degenkolb | Alexis Gougeard | | Iberia - Team Degenkolb | Benoit Cosnefroy | | Iberia - Team Degenkolb | Cyril Barthe | | Iberia - Team Degenkolb | Egan Bernal | | Iberia - Team Degenkolb | Artem Nych | | Iberia - Team Degenkolb | Mathijs Paasschens | | Iberia - Team Degenkolb | Dilmurdjon Siddikov | | Indosat Ooredoo - ANZ | Matthew Goss | | Indosat Ooredoo - ANZ | Maximillian Schachmann | | Indosat Ooredoo - ANZ | Bartosz Warchol | | Indosat Ooredoo - ANZ | Meron Russom | | Indosat Ooredoo - ANZ | Christopher De Souza | | Indosat Ooredoo - ANZ | Isaac Speirs | | Indosat Ooredoo - ANZ | Sergey Luchshenko | | Indosat Ooredoo - ANZ | Robin Manulang | | ISA - Hexacta | David Boily | | ISA - Hexacta | Jianhua Ji | | ISA - Hexacta | Emiliano Contreras | | ISA - Hexacta | Emerson Santos | | ISA - Hexacta | Souheil Khederi | | ISA - Hexacta | Murilo Affonso | | ISA - Hexacta | Farzad Khodayari | | ISA - Hexacta | Salah Eddine Mraouni | | Kulczyk - Alitalia | Jerome Baugnies | | Kulczyk - Alitalia | Anthony Lavoine | | Kulczyk - Alitalia | Jempy Drucker | | Kulczyk - Alitalia | Patrick Gretsch | | Kulczyk - Alitalia | Polychronis Tzortzakis | | Kulczyk - Alitalia | Kamil Gradek | | Kulczyk - Alitalia | Cristian Cominelli | | Minions | Yasmani Martinez | | Minions | Chad Haga | | Minions | Damion Drapac | | Minions | Borislav Ivanov | | Minions | Chris Barton | | Minions | Jay Major | | Minions | Laureano Rosas | | Minions | Alvaro Hodeg | | Moser - Sygic | Jan Hirt | | Moser - Sygic | Ignacio Jesus Prado | | Moser - Sygic | Matej Vysna | | Moser - Sygic | Erik Baska | | Moser - Sygic | Ondrej Cink | | Moser - Sygic | Josef Hosek | | Moser - Sygic | Michael Kolar | | Moser - Sygic | Giovanni Carboni | | Podium Ambition | Momchil Robov | | Podium Ambition | Martin Grashev | | Podium Ambition | Loic Vliegen | | Podium Ambition | Jyme Bridges | | Podium Ambition | Dobrin Lilovski | | Podium Ambition | Christopher Lawless | | Podium Ambition | Kim Le Court | | Podium Ambition | Kristian Vanderpool | | Repsol - Netflix | Merhawi Kudus | | Repsol - Netflix | Giacomo Nizzolo | | Repsol - Netflix | Valens Ndayisenga | | Repsol - Netflix | Jesus Herrada | | Repsol - Netflix | Rafael Serrano | | Repsol - Netflix | Antonio Pedrero | | Repsol - Netflix | Jaime Roson | | Repsol - Netflix | Matthew Teggart | | Swisslion Cycling Team | Costa Seibeb | | Swisslion Cycling Team | Stefan Petrovski | | Swisslion Cycling Team | Callum Scotson | | Swisslion Cycling Team | Jovan Zekavica | | Swisslion Cycling Team | Dusan Rajovic | | Swisslion Cycling Team | Michael Christodoulos | | Team Tinkoff | Artem Samolenkov | | Team Tinkoff | Sergei Kolesnikov | | Team Tinkoff | Matvey Mamykin | | Team Tinkoff | Alexander Foliforov | | Team Tinkoff | Evgeny Shalunov | | Team Tinkoff | Alexander Vlasov | | Team Tinkoff | Aydar Zakarin | | Team Tinkoff | Alexandr Kulikovskiy | | Team UBS | Andrei Amador | | Team UBS | Tom Bohli | | Team UBS | Artur Grigrian | | Team UBS | Matteo Badilatti | | Team UBS | Dominik Fuchs | | Team UBS | Matthias Frank | | Team UBS | Patrick Müller | | Team UBS | Martin Schäppi | | Valio - Viking Genetics | Andrew Talansky | | Valio - Viking Genetics | Sameera Chatarunga | | Valio - Viking Genetics | Awet Gebremedhin | | Valio - Viking Genetics | Sachin Dulanjana | | Valio - Viking Genetics | Joonas Henttala | | Valio - Viking Genetics | Sasu Helme | | Valio - Viking Genetics | Gokhan Hasta | | Valio - Viking Genetics | Martins Blums | | Volvo acc. by Spotify | Marcus Faglum Karlsson | | Volvo acc. by Spotify | Carl Fredrik Hagen | | Volvo acc. by Spotify | Barry Markus | | Volvo acc. by Spotify | Winner Anacona | | Volvo acc. by Spotify | Rasmus Tiller | | Volvo acc. by Spotify | Kristoffer Halvorsen | | Volvo acc. by Spotify | Lucas Eriksson | | Volvo acc. by Spotify | Harry Tanfield | | Xero Racing | Tsgabu Gebremaryam Grmay | | Xero Racing | Shaun Nick Bester | | Xero Racing | Joseph Areruya | | Xero Racing | Dylan Kennett | | Xero Racing | Arvid de Kleijn | | Xero Racing | Sergio Higuita | | Xero Racing | Nils Schomber |
Man Game: McCormick Pro Cycling |
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| Tamijo |
Posted on 27-07-2020 07:27
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Team Leader
Posts: 7406
Joined: 14-07-2015
PCM$: 599.00
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Very important race for us, will define the late part of the season.
Hope Martin will continue the good results
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| beagle |
Posted on 27-07-2020 09:05
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 4200
Joined: 06-10-2007
PCM$: 200.00
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With no ambitions in terms of GC, I expect to see my riders in break every stage.
Thanks for the preview!
Manager of Polar in Man-Game
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| ryant |
Posted on 27-07-2020 09:19
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Small Tour Specialist
Posts: 2322
Joined: 15-08-2012
PCM$: 200.00
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Big race for us considering this will be our last big chance of getting a nice haul of points I'd think this season. The competition is stronger than I would have liked but Meintjes is the best puncheurs of the favourites so I hope he will use it to his advantage.
A top 5 GC would do nicely and an obligatory Matt Rowe stage win as well!!!
 John St Ledger in Team Bunzl-Centrica and Team U25Red Bull Driver in RFactor
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| alexkr00 |
Posted on 27-07-2020 09:42
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World Champion
Posts: 13915
Joined: 05-08-2008
PCM$: 300.00
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Hopefully, Dombrowski will win it this time 
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| Marcovdw |
Posted on 27-07-2020 10:55
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Grand Tour Champion
Posts: 7593
Joined: 04-07-2012
PCM$: 15345.00
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Race without expectations, nine breakaway appearances would be a welcome change
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| tastasol |
Posted on 27-07-2020 10:56
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Classics Specialist
Posts: 2889
Joined: 11-09-2010
PCM$: 200.00
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Cio called our lineup in Portugal a throwaway lineup, but this is a proper throwaway lineup. Just hoping for some points really.
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| jandal7 |
Posted on 27-07-2020 11:01
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World Champion
Posts: 11392
Joined: 17-12-2014
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Very glad I picked Grmay and Bennett this way round here and Portugal - but I still am pissed off at how good this startlist is, our man may have to go for breaks if he has any hope of a top 10.
24/02/21 - kandesbunzler said “I don't drink famous people."
15/08/22 - SotD said "Your [jandal's] humour is overrated"
11/06/24 - knockout said "Winning is fine I guess. Truth be told this felt completely unimportant."
[ICL] Santos-Euskadi | [PT]  Xero Racing
5x  x5
2x  x2
2x  x2 |
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| jph27 |
Posted on 27-07-2020 11:03
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Team Leader
Posts: 7339
Joined: 20-03-2010
PCM$: 900.00
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We need to put two riders in the top 10 and Van der Sande (with his 65 MO to help him survive) to have a crack at the points jersey to make this race a success. I've already accepted that Monsalve will find a way to screw that plan up, but Yates normally saves us when we need him to  |
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| DubbelDekker |
Posted on 27-07-2020 13:35
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Small Tour Specialist
Posts: 2633
Joined: 20-04-2008
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Formolo will try to finish in GC top 10 and I'm curious what Sosnitskiy and Vervaeke can do. Hope we'll join breaks because Formolo isn't one of the main favorites.
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| baseballlover312 |
Posted on 27-07-2020 14:34
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Tour de France Champion
Posts: 16429
Joined: 27-07-2011
PCM$: 10438.70
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Well, here we are. 9 PTHC race days where we are obviously underpowered, but need points.
We got a really great draw here in the sprints on paper. Five open sprint stages where we have a favorite and big points up for grabs. This is really going to be a race of reckoning for AKA. If he can perform here, we may stay afloat and have something to build on next year, with him as a key player. If he fails as usual, we are going down, and his future is very uncertain. It's up to him, and the random PCM sprint engine.
We do have Garby here GC wise, who may have a chance at a top 15-top 20 if things go right. But he could also easily finish 50th considering his performances this year. Hope he's attentive and aggressive.
These are not the two leaders I would have wanted to have here with my season and team on the line, but it's what it is. Nothing else to say except that I hope we succeed.
Great preview Ulrich!
RIP Exxon Duke, David Veilleux, Double Feature, and Monster Energy |
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| Ad Bot |
Posted on 21-11-2024 20:32
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| baseballlover312 |
Posted on 28-07-2020 00:15
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Tour de France Champion
Posts: 16429
Joined: 27-07-2011
PCM$: 10438.70
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The first stage was definitely not as bad as it could have been. I'll definitely take the podium here. Hopefully a good sign for future stages.
RIP Exxon Duke, David Veilleux, Double Feature, and Monster Energy |
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| tastasol |
Posted on 28-07-2020 00:30
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Classics Specialist
Posts: 2889
Joined: 11-09-2010
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Great ride by Peng! Every point here is bonus, so good to see him in the attack picking up some seconds.
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| beagle |
Posted on 28-07-2020 08:41
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 4200
Joined: 06-10-2007
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Brave effort of my young guns, I like it very much! Once he fully develops, Barthe might become very interesting riders.
More Iberia riders in the breaks, please!
Manager of Polar in Man-Game
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| Marcovdw |
Posted on 28-07-2020 10:24
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Grand Tour Champion
Posts: 7593
Joined: 04-07-2012
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Given his positioning I had hoped Drapac would do better than eighth, but at least we won't leave this race pointless
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| sgdanny |
Posted on 28-07-2020 11:27
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Classics Specialist
Posts: 3591
Joined: 18-03-2014
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probably my most anticipated race of the season, I hope Wellens can secure a Top 5 here and will show whats to come next season. Overall happy with the opponents we'll face, even though nothing is certain with this game. Lets go!
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| Aquarius97 |
Posted on 28-07-2020 11:38
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 4191
Joined: 13-09-2015
PCM$: 300.00
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Nizzolo not bothering in the sprints. Great start
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| Scorchio |
Posted on 28-07-2020 12:24
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Small Tour Specialist
Posts: 2073
Joined: 14-09-2013
PCM$: 4500.00
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Given that September was quite a let down (particualrly ToA performance), unclear exactly how the PCT promotion race looks now as ISA - Hexacta will have caught up on RD's without too much point production, hence hitting the overall ppRD picture quite hard. Maroc the longest race remaining. Boilly had a good showing here last season, winning a stage and solidly in the top 10 on GC, but perhaps the way that racing has evolved this season Ji might be our better hope this time around?
Stage 1 delivers an awesome performance from our emerging sprinter Contreras, delivering his 2nd stage win of the season  . Stage 1 brings the extra value of the additional jerseys, but of course can't expect this too last at all with the difficult terrain upcoming.
Thanks to UU the preview/report.
Manager of ISA - Hexacta in the MG |
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| baseballlover312 |
Posted on 29-07-2020 00:40
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Tour de France Champion
Posts: 16429
Joined: 27-07-2011
PCM$: 10438.70
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VSB outclimbed Garby.
...
RIP Exxon Duke, David Veilleux, Double Feature, and Monster Energy |
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| jandal7 |
Posted on 29-07-2020 02:31
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World Champion
Posts: 11392
Joined: 17-12-2014
PCM$: 1020.00
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Very happy with how Grmay and Areruya looked attentive and racing ambitiously near the front like they are actual favourites
24/02/21 - kandesbunzler said “I don't drink famous people."
15/08/22 - SotD said "Your [jandal's] humour is overrated"
11/06/24 - knockout said "Winning is fine I guess. Truth be told this felt completely unimportant."
[ICL] Santos-Euskadi | [PT] Xero Racing
5x x5
2x x2
2x x2 |
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