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Post Danmark Rundt Discussion
Aquarius97
Preview by Vien

Post Danmark Rundt

The PCT is off to Denmark for the Post Danmark Rundt, or simply the Tour of Denmark. A race in which only time trialists that do not fear some hills will figure out who's the best.

pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/profiles/hc_danmark.jpg


The race starts off with two generally flat stages, with two KoM sprints appearing in stage 2. Regardless, almost every sprinter should be able to survive them with ease.

Then, the real race starts with a 174-kilometre stage that can probably best be compared to the Amstel Gold Race: Some very short, but steep hills. Especially the final circuit (2,5-ish laps) should create some time gaps between the puncheurs, hybrids and pure time trialists.

Stage 4 is another sprint stage, although it's a short stage this time. Then the stage race finishes with an almost 30 kilometre time trial, which should allow the time trialists to make a comeback in the GC. The question is: By how much?

Time Trialists

TTHILACCTTHILACC
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_red.png Zmorka826670pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_yor.png Tennant786968
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_yor.png Durbridge816764pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_min.png Janse van Rensburg786876
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_npn.png Ford815573pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_cdb.png Quaade786363
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_npn.png Sergent806951pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_p4e.png Golovash786076
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_yor.png Viennet806764pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_gnr.png Kung777371
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_fab.png Ignatiev797481pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_cdb.png Steensen777270
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ssc.png Brändle797169pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_gnr.png Dees777264
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_gnr.png Viviani796670pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_cdb.png Würtz776970
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_fab.png Goldstein796161pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ssc.png Postlberger776870
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_gnr.png Koren787466pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_gnr.png Ghyselinck776868

One person probably doesn't care too much about this question too much: Coppel, who would easily have been the favourite to won the GC. However, with their team not participating in this band, the Frenchman will have to watch this race from home!

Then there's the question which ability is going to be more important: Climbing hills or time trialing? Or a combination of both? Judging by last year, in which ignatiev won ahead of four time trialists, it's likely going to be the TT ability. The time trialists with the best package for this race are Ignatiev, Brändle, Koren, Kung and last year's second place Steensen. Though top time trialists Zmorka, Durbridge and iVennet could have a saying in this if stage 3 doesn't create large time gaps, too.

Puncheurs

HILTTACC
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_nbw.png Dowsett806471
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ssc.png Bilbao796375
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ssc.png Moazemi786973
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_min.png Quevedo786575
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_kul.png Barbin786376
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_yor.png Bellis786275
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_0r8.png Roux786275
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_kul.png Vanendert777071
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_itd.png Gougeard776768
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_phc.png Dieteren775866

The puncheurs on the other hand will be trying to keep their lead after stage 3 in the tine trial. The battle for the stage 3 win seems to be quite open, as weaker puncheurs have the backup abilities to threaten the stronger ones. Judging by Moazemi's 10th place last year though, they really need to step up their game this time if they want to win the GC.

Hybrids
TTHILACC
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_phc.png Navardauskas767570
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_0r8.png Bazhkou767564
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_mji.png Kuboki757377
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_nvo.png Konovalovas747573
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_nbw.png Durasek747559
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_wcc.png Thomson747368
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_gnr.png Bille737475
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_kul.png Kaczmarek737469
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ssc.png Gidich737370

Then there are riders who are decent at both time trialing and climbing, but don't excel at either. Navardauskas and Bazhkou are the bestof those, who likely lack that little bit extra to fight for a GC win. That said, their teams are probably hoping for an anonymous top 10 or even top 5 result.

Sprinters
FLSPACC
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_fab.png Mohs758382
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_t3a.png Ewan758381
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ssc.png Guerao748376
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_nvo.png Vantomme738278
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_sct.png Guillén678182
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_fab.png Guardini728082
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_wcc.png Castañeda718079
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_min.png Drapac718079
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_lpu.png Van Asbroeck758078
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_kul.png Lavoine738078
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_cdb.png Kragh Andersen778077
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_npn.png Serebriakov748077
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_p4e.png Ulanowski738077
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_yor.png Rowe728070
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_0r8.png Van der Sande757979

Obviously, the three flat stages and yellow jersey potential also attracted quite some very big sprinters.
Mohs and Ewan are the strongest, though Guerao and Vantomme also have a very decent shot at one or two stage wins. Special shoutout here goes to Van Asbroeck, who actually has a 66 TT stat and might sneaklily get a good result result with the help of bonification seconds.

pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Races/HC/PostD/PostD-Stl1.jpgpcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Races/HC/PostD/PostD-Stl2.jpg

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trekbmc
Interesting race here, most importantly, it's Sobota's home race! So I had to do it justice.

There's a tough sprint field, Mohs and Ewan should be hard to beat but we have good support so maybe we'll get lucky, it'd certainly be a proper tribute to our greatest rider to take a stage.

Otherwise, maybe Hansen will be spurred on be the home race (at the very least to do a good lead-out for once Pfft) or Kono is a wildcard of sorts and I'd be really pleased if he could push for a top 10. On that note, Bazkhou, Nava and Kuboki are really cool riders for this race and I'd love to see one of them do well enough of the hill stage to take the spoils, it'd require some proper aggresive racing from Dowsett and co. to really dislodge the TTists, but it'd make for a fun race. Grin

Thanks for the preview/posting Aquarius/Vien! Now let's watch Van der Sande and Van Asbroeck somehow finish with 2 stage wins between them. Pfft



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jandal7
It's freaking STAN TIME BABY *airhorns*

More hyped for this race now I remember it has a hill stage Pfft Roux with a good standing in the puncheurs column but really hope we don't get screwed by leader choice like Japan and we go all-in for Stan to stay with the puncheurs and distance the TTists as he did so well in Norway. Tosh is an outsider in the sprints, can only hope trek is right. Hope for a top 5 or 3 somewhere maybe and consistently in the points from him.
24/02/21 - kandesbunzler said “I don't drink famous people."
15/08/22 - SotD said "Your [jandal's] humour is overrated"
11/06/24 - knockout said "Winning is fine I guess. Truth be told this felt completely unimportant."

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redordead
Maybe Guillen can get a top 10 in one of the flat stages and I hope we can be present in some breakaways. But overall we're just here for the experience Pfft

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"I am a cyclist, I may not be the best, but that is what I strive to be. I may never get there, but I will never quit trying." - Tadej Pogačar
 
tsmoha
Iirc, last year's hilly stage was ridden quite hard, with a few upsetting individual results (like Steensen). If one of those less strong puncheurs like Zmorka or hopefully Durbridge somehow manage to hand on there, they should be capable to gain back their possible losses in the final TT. So, I'm rooting for Durbridge for obvious reasons.

Thanks for the preview!
 
Marcovdw
Good potential scoring on all terrains, let's go!
Manager of Minions
 
Ollfardh
No, my sneaky plan with Van Asbroeck was discovered Grin

Important race to stay in for us, let's hor for a stage win or a decent GC.
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
 
baseballlover312
Do I really want Steensen to repeat last year? - Yes.

Will he repeat last year? - No

Anything at all in our home race would be really nice considering how far we've fallen.
RIP Exxon Duke, David Veilleux, Double Feature, and Monster Energy
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sgdanny
well this is ours to lose with Ignatiev. Was torn on sending sprinters here, where the game might use Ignatiev as leadout man for our train and having weak support on the hill stage. Oh well, could be nice with a GC win
i.imgur.com/pyvc2uc.png
 
tastasol
Excited to see what Wurtz can do here!
 
valverde321
Lets go Kuboki!!!!
 
Booker
Thanks for the excellent preview Vien Smile

The thought process was that Mullen is useless, so anyone else can have a go...let's see if that pans out.

Looks like some really interesting options are here: Bazhkou, Kuboki, Ignatiev, Koren, etc.

Hopefully Vanendert can do something for us, but as ever this sesaon, these hill races are a bit of a wash for us. Baugnies was sent here to f*ck some stuff up.
 
AbhishekLFC
Need to get some results now, especially in Stage Races. But looking at the field, don't think I can realistically hope for more than an anonymous Top 10 from Navardauskas.

Thanks for the preview Smile
 
Ollfardh
Ah, normal bonifications only, this is disappointing Grin
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
 
Marcovdw
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baseballlover312
Yeah, 10th place won't really do AKA, just so you know.
RIP Exxon Duke, David Veilleux, Double Feature, and Monster Energy
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valverde321
Decent start here for Kayakawa. Cant expect much better from him, given the competition.
 
sgdanny
perfect start ^^
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jandal7
Come on Tosh... 12th is crap, at least Kennett gets some U25 points. Roux being dropped could be a blessing in diguise AI-wise, and even give him some freedom for Stage 3 and breakaways whilst letting Bazhkou lead the GC.
24/02/21 - kandesbunzler said “I don't drink famous people."
15/08/22 - SotD said "Your [jandal's] humour is overrated"
11/06/24 - knockout said "Winning is fine I guess. Truth be told this felt completely unimportant."

[ICL] Santos-Euskadi | [PT] i.imgur.com/c85NSl6.png Xero Racing

i.imgur.com/PdCbs9I.png
i.imgur.com/RPIlJYr.png
5x i.imgur.com/wM6Wok5.png x5
i.imgur.com/olRsxdu.png
2x pcmdaily.com/images/mg/Awards2021/funniest21.png x2
2x i.imgur.com/TUidkLG.png x2
 
Marcovdw
Time to accept Drapac is not a top sprinter and his results last year were a fluke.
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