Baltic Chain Tour Discussion
|
roturn |
Posted on 12-02-2017 15:22
|
Team Manager
Posts: 22246
Joined: 24-11-2007
PCM$: 3900.00
|
The Baltic Chain Tour in it`s 4th edition sees two former winners again at the startline in Avelino (2013) and Ahlstrand (2015). Both again belong to the very top favourites as the race itself remains a sprinter event despite the opening prologue on cobbles. 4 flat stages in total for the sprinters should see them taking the GC lead over timetrialists or cobblers depending on how the opener works out.
The recently finished Nakhon Ratchasima Trophy saw a very similar lineup with just small changes in the sprinter field. Hence it`s a good indicator of who is in form and will challenge for the win here.
Bouhanni, while not a top of the line sprinter, won in Thailand and hence must be watched here!
Lo Cicero was the best of the top riders and should feel confident to beat the others again.
Ahlstrand, Guerao and Kupfernagel all had a weak performance in the classic and hence need to improve. Surely they have the speed for a better run here.
Avelino and Zabel both were in the late top5 and hence will surely aim for similar in the Baltic Chain Tour.
Van Heerden and Lavoine are unknowns as they skipped the sprinter classic but normally should fight for a spot inside the top10 just like Itami and Van Asbroeck, who did well in Nakhon.
Other top sprinters are Castañeda, Serebriakov, Aberasturi or coming from the PT division Porsev and Lay.
| Fl | Sp | Acc | Lo Cicero | 72 | 84 | 78 | Ahlstrand | 74 | 83 | 82 | Guerao | 74 | 83 | 76 | Avelino | 71 | 83 | 78 | Van Heerden | 73 | 82 | 73 | Zabel | 74 | 81 | 79 | Castañeda | 71 | 80 | 79 | Van Asbroeck | 75 | 80 | 78 | Serebriakov | 74 | 80 | 77 | Itami | 75 | 80 | 82 | Lavoine | 73 | 80 | 78 | Kupfernagel | 74 | 80 | 80 | Bouhanni | 74 | 80 | 77 | Porsev | 74 | 79 | 80 | Aberasturi | 74 | 79 | 78 | Lay | 73 | 79 | 81 |
The prologue could either go the the short TT specialists or to the cobblers. Both kind of riders are at the start and with a good one, they might even be in the mix of the GC despite having a clear disadvantage to the sprinters as bonus seconds are expected to count a lot more than the time gaps in the opener.
| Cob | Prl | | Cob | Prl | Fiedler | 60 | 82 | Teunissen | 81 | 64 | Cornu | 69 | 81 | Sibilla | 81 | 58 | Schädlich | 62 | 80 | Vanbilsen | 80 | 63 | Gonzalez Salas | 60 | 80 | Franzoi | 79 | 69 | Kwok | 53 | 79 | Maes | 79 | 64 | Dillier | 68 | 79 | Ferreira | 79 | 63 | Brändle | 56 | 79 | Taillefour | 78 | 65 | Reus | 67 | 79 | Jacobs | 78 | 62 | Kuboki | 59 | 78 | Lhotellerie | 77 | 69 | Dumoulin | 52 | 78 | Lagab | 76 | 75 | Balloni | 54 | 78 | Nepomnyachsniy | 76 | 67 |
|
|
|
|
Ollfardh |
Posted on 12-02-2017 15:36
|
World Champion
Posts: 14563
Joined: 08-08-2011
PCM$: 9100.00
|
All short and hillless stages, not to the liking of Van Asbroeck. But if he can do a good prologue with his cobbles stat and get a few boni seconds along the way, a good GC might be possible.
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
|
|
|
|
Selwink |
Posted on 12-02-2017 15:41
|
Grand Tour Champion
Posts: 8856
Joined: 17-05-2012
PCM$: 200.00
|
The prologue should be good for cobblers, but Sibilla has been a bit underwhelming this season. Hopefully he can still do well here.
Otherwise Sererbriakov for some top-10s in the sprint I hope.
|
|
|
|
Croatia14 |
Posted on 12-02-2017 15:44
|
Directeur Sportif
Posts: 9099
Joined: 13-03-2013
PCM$: 2100.00
|
hopefully Ahlstrand to finally deliver...sweet preview roturn!
|
|
|
|
Gustavovskiy |
Posted on 12-02-2017 15:49
|
Team Leader
Posts: 6036
Joined: 20-07-2008
PCM$: 200.00
|
A good result here would be very welcomed. There are a good number of teams who could hope for a nice harvest, so whoever manages to achieve it will not only climb a few positions in the rankings, but could also hurt a few of their rivals.
Hopefully we'll find ourselves on the better end of that problematic.
Thanks for another race, roturn. It's always nice to benefit from such a knowledgeable reporter as you!
|
|
|
|
viking90 |
Posted on 12-02-2017 16:06
|
Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 4032
Joined: 24-01-2009
PCM$: 200.00
|
As shown before it´s very hard to know what to expect when it comes to sprints this season.
But we always hope Ahlstrand can preform what we have thought before the season, with help from Kruopis (73 FL, 78 SP) , Vedel Kvist (75 FL, 77 SP) , Reimer (75 FL, 77 SP) & Van Poppel (75 FL, 76 SP).
Thanks for a great preview! |
|
|
|
baseballlover312 |
Posted on 12-02-2017 16:41
|
Tour de France Champion
Posts: 16429
Joined: 27-07-2011
PCM$: 10438.70
|
Perfect type of race for AKA to get in the break or act as a good domestique for In-n-Out, with all the flat stages. Hope he contributes!
RIP Exxon Duke, David Veilleux, Double Feature, and Monster Energy
|
|
|
|
matt17br |
Posted on 12-02-2017 16:50
|
Directeur Sportif
Posts: 10525
Joined: 28-09-2013
PCM$: 200.00
|
Not huge hopes at all, just wish cobbles play a major role so that Teunissen and Taillefour can get some GC points from the prologue, and obviously that Theuns can finally perform in sprints, though that would be a huge request considering the field I'm sure.
Thanks for the preview roturn, looking forward to the racing.
|
|
|
|
Ad Bot |
Posted on 23-11-2024 22:51
|
Bot Agent
Posts: Countless
Joined: 23.11.09
|
|
IP: None |
|
|
dev4ever |
Posted on 12-02-2017 17:30
|
Small Tour Specialist
Posts: 2282
Joined: 13-03-2011
PCM$: 200.00
|
Would be happy for every minor point Salas and Aberasturi can manage to scrape together. Not high hopes at all here.
Feeling an Ahlstrand win here
|
|
|
|
valverde321 |
Posted on 12-02-2017 18:30
|
World Champion
Posts: 12986
Joined: 20-05-2009
PCM$: 530.00
|
This should be one of Itami's best races, with basically pan flat stages everyday, so Im hopeful here.
|
|
|
|
sgdanny |
Posted on 12-02-2017 19:00
|
Classics Specialist
Posts: 3591
Joined: 18-03-2014
PCM$: 200.00
|
Top 10 could be an possibility, fingers crossed
|
|
|
|
Miguel98 |
Posted on 12-02-2017 22:34
|
World Champion
Posts: 10497
Joined: 23-06-2011
PCM$: 200.00
|
My team is so shit here, wow. Top 30 please. |
|
|
|
Gustavovskiy |
Posted on 12-02-2017 23:36
|
Team Leader
Posts: 6036
Joined: 20-07-2008
PCM$: 200.00
|
Spent the whole day working and this actually had me laughing a bit crazy. Cheers, mate. Here's hoping your team is not so shit
|
|
|
|
OlegTinkov |
Posted on 13-02-2017 01:25
|
Small Tour Specialist
Posts: 2666
Joined: 31-12-2007
PCM$: 450.00
|
Up until now the HC races haven't been great for Tinkoff Sport Academy:
Chernetskiy 87th at Corsica, Porsev 39th at Norway, Rybakov 36th at Nelspruit and Shalunov 129th at Andorra.
However Chernetskiy won the KoM and Porsev the 4th stage in Norway, so maybe Porsev can overperform here again in our last HC-race of the year!
|
|
|
|
Luis Leon Sanchez |
Posted on 13-02-2017 10:04
|
Team Leader
Posts: 5533
Joined: 12-06-2013
PCM$: 500.00
|
Cornu is the best prologue rider here relative to his COB stat so hopefully he can put in a performance to get something from the first stage. From there I am hoping that Bouhanni is the sole leader of the team as he has a ridiculous number of supporting riders such as Anton Martin, Reza, Jaser, Sanz and Bonnet. The only other rider is young Milos who has the chance to go for a breakaway. Hoping that it is an active 5 stages and that Bouhanni's form can be carried into this!
|
|
|
|
Heine |
Posted on 13-02-2017 11:39
|
Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 4116
Joined: 08-04-2007
PCM$: 200.00
|
Not really high hopes for this. Hopefully some top 5's
I believe Cornu should win the first stage, then it is just up to the sprinters to get bonus seconds afterwards.
Will be interesting to see if the cobbles matter at all on the TT
|
|
|
|
roturn |
Posted on 13-02-2017 13:43
|
Team Manager
Posts: 22246
Joined: 24-11-2007
PCM$: 3900.00
|
I must admit, I wasn`t expecting this.
I thought time trialists will take it and the higher their cobbled stat, the bigger their advantage.
But apparently cobbled stat was main point in this prologue with 33% of it went over paves.
Now for the sprinters though. |
|
|
|
matt17br |
Posted on 13-02-2017 13:48
|
Directeur Sportif
Posts: 10525
Joined: 28-09-2013
PCM$: 200.00
|
This went exactly like I wanted it to go! Sweet sweet points, I see them coming already <3
Oh and congrats Bikex, glad you can find other ways to score right now
|
|
|
|
Ollfardh |
Posted on 13-02-2017 13:51
|
World Champion
Posts: 14563
Joined: 08-08-2011
PCM$: 9100.00
|
Too bad we miss the top 10, but Van Asbroeck is in a good position now!
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
|
|
|
|
Heine |
Posted on 13-02-2017 13:52
|
Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 4116
Joined: 08-04-2007
PCM$: 200.00
|
No doubt cobbles was the main stat for this. Zabel 25s behind, not a big suprise. Less than I feared but will prolly keep him out of top positions unless he gets really lucky. His prl stat will hold him down his entire carrer I'm afraid
|
|
|