Mafia VI
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Ian Butler |
Posted on 08-01-2018 15:39
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Tour de France Champion
Posts: 21854
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Some things I agree with:
Gunsmith could come forward after he gave me a gun. Is not necessary but saves me an investigation.
Masons, come forward. You can make the search for the mafia a lot easier!
We have to be careful lynching, we don't accidentally want to lynch the doc.
Even lynching Hillis wouldn't be a disaster because if he is mafia, it's good and if he's not, at least the doc didn't die.
Not voting to lynch wsf may be mafia thing, bit only if wsf was terrorist. If he was mafia goon, any sensible mafia would've joined in the lynch to save face. |
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jseadog1 |
Posted on 08-01-2018 15:52
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When is the deadline to vote? I am stuck between lynching somebody or lynching nobody
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Aquarius97 |
Posted on 08-01-2018 15:57
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jseadog1 wrote:
When is the deadline to vote? I am stuck between lynching somebody or lynching nobody
26-28 hours left in the day
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Ad Bot |
Posted on 23-11-2024 08:53
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hillis91 |
Posted on 08-01-2018 16:07
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Also a point to make here is, who made TMM the autority we need to convince? Im really tempted to vote to lynch him now. As he has played himself into the role of being a "100% townie who is suspicious of everybody and needs convincing". I don't like it.
Either way. If you don't belive me to be the CC at this point i don't know what to tell you. All the evidence i can provide is out there now.
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TheManxMissile |
Posted on 08-01-2018 16:20
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Tour de France Champion
Posts: 18187
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hillis91 wrote:
"100% townie who is suspicious of everybody and needs convincing"
Just you and trek really, i'm ok with most others for the moment
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ryant |
Posted on 08-01-2018 18:29
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Small Tour Specialist
Posts: 2322
Joined: 15-08-2012
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Honestly, just be throwing around random and in my opinion some really non-nonsensical votes makes me believe he is suspect. I'd like Ian to investigate him next in my opinion.
I also agree in the gunsmith giving Ian a gun, as its been pointed out the terrorist may likely be alive.
I lynch nobody for now, but expect TMM to be on my list if he continues his tactic of bringing 'chaos' to the town by just throwing around outlandish accusations. I believe Hillis is the CC, any other counter claim would have been made by now and the likelihood of the CC being dead already was very low when Hillis made his claim.
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jandal7 |
Posted on 08-01-2018 19:37
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World Champion
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@jandal: Why was the name of who the doctor saved made public this time?
Just a change I made for this edition, will ask for feedback at the end
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Marcovdw |
Posted on 08-01-2018 19:43
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Lynching nobody (again) is a bad move imo, we'll just be waiting for the maffia to murder us one by one.
Hillis is a possible subject but given he appears to be CC and no one else has come forward (unless it was sammy or Croatia) it would be an unnecessary lynch.
TMM, Ian and trek are the active ones at the moment, Ian as detective (unless...) should be trusted for now
If we want to limit the risk of losing our doctor, we have to look at the people who were inactive at the time and therefore cannot be the doctor. But given the low amount of lynches atm I'll hold off my vote for now.
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Bikex |
Posted on 08-01-2018 20:59
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I agree we should lynch someone. Due to us already having gotten rid of one mafia member we even can allow ourselfes some mislynches. Also it reduces the guys Ian has to investigate.
I'd still like the masons to reveal themselves to further reduce investigation targets and I think the gunsmith already can show himself today, as he still has the next night to give Ian a gun anyways. If all of this happens we can already plan quite well ahead with not many names that have to make up the remaining mafias. I can understand though if the gunsmith wants to stay under cover a little longer, but the masons imo should definitely show themselves already.
For now, I vote to lynch trekbmc, due to reasons already stated before and because he is the only one with a lynch vote so far. However, I'm willing to listen to what he has to say and if convinced, reserve myself the option to change my vote.
jandal7 wrote:
@jandal: Why was the name of who the doctor saved made public this time?
Just a change I made for this edition, will ask for feedback at the end
Thanks for the answer. Tbh I like it this way better, reduces confustion. |
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jseadog1 |
Posted on 08-01-2018 21:06
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lynch trekbmc
I agree that somebody has to go so I will go with the majority for now but am also open to listen to what he has to say. I think hillis is the CC and TMM is probably on the safe side as well. I have a feeling the mafia is hiding in the background this time instead of being involved in a ton of discussions but thats just my guess.
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ryant |
Posted on 08-01-2018 21:08
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Bikex wrote:
I agree we should lynch someone. Due to us already having gotten rid of one mafia member we even can allow ourselfes some mislynches. Also it reduces the guys Ian has to investigate.
I'd still like the masons to reveal themselves to further reduce investigation targets and I think the gunsmith already can show himself today, as he still has the next night to give Ian a gun anyways. If all of this happens we can already plan quite well ahead with not many names that have to make up the remaining mafias. I can understand though if the gunsmith wants to stay under cover a little longer, but the masons imo should definitely show themselves already.
For now, I vote to lynch trekbmc, due to reasons already stated before and because he is the only one with a lynch vote so far. However, I'm willing to listen to what he has to say and if convinced, reserve myself the option to change my vote.
jandal7 wrote:
@jandal: Why was the name of who the doctor saved made public this time?
Just a change I made for this edition, will ask for feedback at the end
Thanks for the answer. Tbh I like it this way better, reduces confustion.
We are lynching trek because??? TMM said so???
lynch TMM
If we lynch someone, we have to start with TMM. He's the one who has acted the most suspicious of anyone so how he gets a free pass goes over my head completely. As you say we can afford ourselves a mislynch and TMM isn't leading the town well at all with his incoherent logic and lynch votes.
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TheManxMissile |
Posted on 08-01-2018 21:25
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Tour de France Champion
Posts: 18187
Joined: 12-05-2012
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Simple logic on Trek: Ian makes claim as detective. Everyone who was online and commenting follows along except Trek. Therefore Trek is mafia trying to buy time for his buddy.
My feeling on Hillis is less factual and more a bad gut feeling, hence why with some backup from other townspeople i've switched my lynch.
The mafia are outnumbered 11 to 2, and they can't kill one of those (Ian who should still be protected). So we've got plenty of room to try and Lynch the mafia rather than wait around being picked off slowly. Trek hasn't done himself a favor by standing apart yesterday.
And my word this game would be boring if we just waited for Ian to get his stuff done, and i don't want to be bored!
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trekbmc |
Posted on 08-01-2018 21:30
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Posts: 7366
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Lynch TMM Stop throwing round random accusations based on nothing much. Guys following him, remember how he shot Croatia?
Your maths is waaaaay off.
Hillis being CC is not 11/13, but closer to 1/9. You need to remove the detective, doctor and two mafia members from the potential list, and then it's still only 1 because he's one person not 11 people.
Sammy/Croatia would sit at 2/15(ish) given we didn't know other roles at the time and other people were still alive. 2/15 becomes 1/7.5, making them more likely to be the CC than Hillis.
You are right, I made a mistake in my maths. Since we know that the detective, doctor and 2 mafia members are alive, there is actually statistically a 7/9 chance that Hillis is the CC and a 2/9 chance that he is not, which still is such small odds that it'd be weird for a mafia to risk it - especially after one of his buddies has just been caught. Remember that the CC would've come forward if they were alive, so yes, it actually is a 7/9 chance that hillis is real.
Also, your numbers are wrong as well, further off then mine so if we're lynching for wrong numbers (which never works anyway), you should be lynched.
With the detective known, alive and protected the Mafia have to do something to keep themselves out of the spotlight and making a claim of being a CC is the best bet there.
Claiming Masons is dangerous because there's two and only one needs to be alive to ruin that move. Claiming to be the Doctor is as risky, but as the Doctor can actively influence the game you'd be busted the next day if you're lying.
This is really incorreherant, before the detective has been revealed, claiming to be the CC can be a good, sneaky claim (although it did fail for me two games ago) but it works because the detective now doesn't want to reveal themselves and because the CC now believes they are the detective. After the detective reveals, if you fake claiming the CC, the real CC will just claim as well and... now you're lynched.
And how would you busted as doctor? Nobody can prove 'which' doctor saved him or even if the doctor is alive unless the mafia is killing super obvious targets, that's the reason we should lynch all doctor claims (and why we lynched you last game when you claimed it after shooting Croatia), it doesn't benefit the town to know who the doctor is, but it sure does benefit the mafia.
I agree that at some point the masons should reveal themselves to reduce the number of players, Ian has to investigate. Maybe also the gunsmith can come forth.
Masons 100%, gunsmith wouldn't get protection though so it's hard to say for sure.
Looking at the thread, I notice trekmbmc and marco posting, but not lynching wsf. Maybe we should keep an eye on them. Trek's explanation of why he didn't lynch does not make me completely
happy.
Alright, he's the full chronology for you:
I competed in the J19 National Championships that morning, so you could understand that I'd be tired, I was barely awake at 9:30 but when I saw the detective claim, I figured I'd better respond, however, I didn't want to get on the lynch claim until Ian responded as to why he investigated wsf, I then went to bed immediately and when I woke up, it the day was over. The day went from 9:30 PM to 7:00 AM, how am I meant to contribute? Plus, once he has 5 votes, any mafia would add another more.
Do I understand correctly, that Ian being saved by the doctor, confirms to 100% he is a townie? Otherwise it could've been a very smart tactical move, removing a dead weight mafia guy, who doesn't log in and establishing the trust of the town. After all, the chance of investigating a mafia guy in the first night is very slim.
This is all true and half the reason I wanted to know why he investigated wsf, the other half being:
I don't trust Trek for not getting in on the lynch when it was fairly clear what was going to happen (Either Ian was right or Ian was going to die the next day).
This is perhaps the most flawed post ever, if Ian was wrong, he could've still been the CC, we would've had an argument over that and, maybe he would've lived, if he died however, we would've just killed 2 townies for absolutely no benefit. (This sounds awfully like the time you shot Croatia).
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TMM, your posts are incredibly flawed, at best you're leading the town into a pit, at worst you are mafia, if anybody wants any evidence, last game should show enough that if he's a townie, he's doing no good.
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Marcovdw |
Posted on 08-01-2018 21:31
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Grand Tour Champion
Posts: 7593
Joined: 04-07-2012
PCM$: 15345.00
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lynch trekbmc
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Marcovdw |
Posted on 08-01-2018 21:33
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Grand Tour Champion
Posts: 7593
Joined: 04-07-2012
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After reading trekbmc's latest post (posted at the same time) I'm retracting my lynch, so for now Lynch nobody.
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TheManxMissile |
Posted on 08-01-2018 21:35
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Tour de France Champion
Posts: 18187
Joined: 12-05-2012
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f*ck it, i'm not saying another word for the rest of the game. definitely the best way to play, do nothing and follow everyone else's reasoning no matter how bad it is
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hillis91 |
Posted on 09-01-2018 00:14
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Team Leader
Posts: 5897
Joined: 30-11-2006
PCM$: 1500.00
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What is the current tally and how many short of a lynch are the tally?
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baseballlover312 |
Posted on 09-01-2018 01:12
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Tour de France Champion
Posts: 16429
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You stay off the internet for most of a day and you come back to this sh*tshow.
I gotta say, after playing so well as mafia last game, I no longer can tell anymore who is telling the truth because I know how as mafia, we tricked the town. That makes this very difficult. I don't wanna be so quick to subscribe to the idea that either TMM or Trek is right in this case, and the other is mafia. It reminds me a lot of several rivalries last game - and those were exactly what we mafia wanted as the mafia.
That being said, I also have no other leads. I keep psyching myself out. If I had to pick a side here, I'd probably lean towards TMM, if only because Trek seems adamant on defending hillis, who I don't see as trustworthy. Not confirmed mafia or anything, but trek is acting as though another CC would immediately claim, which isn't the case. He's basically making evidence where there isn't necessarily any.
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hillis91 |
Posted on 09-01-2018 01:28
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Team Leader
Posts: 5897
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Well. Again. All the evidence about me is out there.
And speaking of the last game. Where i got wrongfully lynched. I sure don't know how to play this game, that is for sure.
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ryant |
Posted on 09-01-2018 01:30
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Small Tour Specialist
Posts: 2322
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baseballlover312 wrote:
You stay off the internet for most of a day and you come back to this sh*tshow.
I gotta say, after playing so well as mafia last game, I no longer can tell anymore who is telling the truth because I know how as mafia, we tricked the town. That makes this very difficult. I don't wanna be so quick to subscribe to the idea that either TMM or Trek is right in this case, and the other is mafia. It reminds me a lot of several rivalries last game - and those were exactly what we mafia wanted as the mafia.
That being said, I also have no other leads. I keep psyching myself out. If I had to pick a side here, I'd probably lean towards TMM, if only because Trek seems adamant on defending hillis, who I don't see as trustworthy. Not confirmed mafia or anything, but trek is acting as though another CC would immediately claim, which isn't the case. He's basically making evidence where there isn't necessarily any.
but it is the case... If there is the CC alive right now and saw a fake claim (which would be instantly very suspicious) and not call it out, then they really are dumb beyond belief. Not sure what I can think of that bolded sentence alone... town are in a good position, we dont need to lynch, nor do we need to be stupid either :/
hillis is to be trusted, because he's either extremely lucky that he killed the CC or wait... he is the CC as there is no counter claim
If you want to peddle that hillis is suspicious, be my guest, but you'd be one of the first people I'd shoot if I had a gun (after TMM)
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