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In the Year 2015
roturn
New season, new predictions.


- Cadel Evans will podium in Down Under
- Caleb Ewan wins a TdU stage
- Sagan will once again not win the big monuments
- Kwiatkowski is having another huge season winning one Ardennes
- Daniel Martin won`t crash in LBL taking a podium
- Degenkolb wins a cobbled classic
- Kittel takes the most sprint wins in GT`s
- Tony Martin wins the Worlds ITT
- Quintana won`t be as strong in GT`s as expected, neither is Froome
- Contador wins yet another GT
- Majka improves and podiums on a GT
- Cancellara won`t win more than 3 stages/ITT`s
- There will be another Astana doper
- König won`t get a chance to go for a GT as leader
- Nerz will come close to a top10 in the Vuelta or top15 in the Tour

And here my recap of the 2014 season:
Spoiler
- Froome and Contador will both win a GT this year. 1/2 at least
- Sky will still not win the big classics. true
- Kwiatowski, Stybar, Vanmarcke have big seasons with at least one big win each they all had good seasons, but only Kwiatkowski with a big win
- Porte will disappoint a lot of DNF and only top20 in Down Under and Andalucia is disappointing
- Sagan will win one monument and 15+ wins easily this season not his season...~6 wins and no monument
- Kittel though takes the normal sprint stages in the big races against Greipel/Cavendish/Sagan weren`t too many direct duels, but he won quite a few of them
- Gilbert will be stronger taking 1 Ardennes Classic Amstel Gold Race bingo
- BMC will hugely fail this year but TvG will take California at least Wink actually they weren`t too bad plus TVG did not win California, so pretty wrong
 
MARSUPILAMI
- Simon Gerrans won´t win Tour Down Under
- Betancur´s season will disappoint
- Contador will win Giro and will podium Tour
- Froome will win a GT
- Nibali´s season will disappoint
- Kwiatkowski will win one Ardennes
- Kwiatkowski won´t have the "rainbow curse"
- König will be in Top 5 in a GT
- Majka will podium in a GT
- Quintana won´t win a GT, but he will be close
- Cancellara won´t win a Flanders classic (P-R, RVV, E3 or G-W)
- Sagan will win San Remo
- Vanmarcke will win at least a Flanders classic
- Joaquim Rodríguez´s season won´t be good, but he will win some late season classics
- Valverde will win an Ardennes classic
- Gilbert will be in podium at least in two Ardennes classics

My predictions, assuming I can send them
Edited by MARSUPILAMI on 04-01-2015 12:08
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Ian Butler
- Cavendish continue to weaken and not take a single Tour de France stage.
- Tim Wellens to podium a TDF stage, but not win.
- Same Tim Wellens rides top 10 in one or more of the Ardennes Classics.
- Boonen with his final monument victory.
- Kwiatkowski with a one-week stage race victory, but not a single classic.
- Quintana wins the Tour, Froome DNF again.
- Vanmarcke to win Ronde Van Vlaanderen
- Wiggins to set the hour-record very sharp.
- Tony Martin to regain his WC title in time trialing.
- Sagan to underachieve all through the season, however still taking the Maillot Vert in the TDF and podium the WC.
- Bakelants will do great in his AG2R shirt. The team continues to impress, too.

Wow, my predictions from last year were pretty bad:

-Gilbert back to his strength (obviously not like 2011, but better than 2012 and 2013), Okay, this was sort of true, though.
- Van Den Broeck reinvented and stronger than ever, maybe podium. Oh dear, no...
- Boonen to break a few records. I guess he holds record at Kuurne, now? But other than that...

Edited by Ian Butler on 06-01-2015 16:59
 
Roextro
MARSUPILAMI wrote:
- Simon Gerrans will win Tour Down Under


He has a broken collarbone and he wont take part in the race
 
Miguel98
Contador will win the Tour
Majka will finish on the podium on the Giro, maybe even challenging Nibali
Stybar shows himself as a great northern classics specialist, finishing on the podium in PR and top 5 on RvV
Greg van Avarmaet will finish on the podium on the RvV and PR, but won't win neither
Cancellara wins the RvV, but doesn't win Paris-Roubaix
Paris-Roubaix is once again won by an outsider
Kwiatkowski wins one of the Ardennes
Froome disappoints
Sky disappoint
The saga of doping continues, with more Astana riders having more positives, and the Gazzeta list making all heaven rains on earth, and turning into Operacion Puerto v2. Just, not with the same ending
Martin wins LBL
Kittel dominates sprints
Rui Costa finishes top 10 on the Tour, wins (again) the Tour of Suisse, and one or two one day classics
World Champioships are won by an outsider

Quick recap of my 2014:
Spoiler
- Rui Costa won't finish in the Tour top 10, but will win a couple of one week races and one of the Ardennes - Eated the first parst. Sadly, he didn't win an Ardenne Classic
- Stybar will win RvV - Nope. Sad
- Vanmarcke will defeat on the sprint both Cancellara and Boonen to win Paris Roubaix - Not even close.
- Froome will win (again) the Tour by 5 minutes+ - Didn't happen. Instead, if we replace Froome with Nibali, it's spot on.
- Nibali will finish 2nd - Nope, 1st.
- Porte will win the Giro by 5+ minutes as well, and he will still help Froome like nothing happened - Wrong here, definetelly.
- Gilbert won't do anything (again) - Nope, if you count winning Amstel.
- Valverde won't finish on the podium in the Tour, but he will finish 2nd in the Vuelta - Almost spot on. Just 3rd, instead of 2nd.
- Purito will win the Vuelta and the WC - Sadly, no. Sad
- Contador will fail hard and Kreuziger will be leader, to fail hard as well - Way to far.
- Majka takes over at SaxoBank as the supreme leader of the team after finish 3rd at the Giro - Can I amek this one one of my 2015 ones?
 
Selwink
-The TDU will be a surprise winner, Serry is my guess
-Barguil will have a surprise season, podiuming in the Dauphiné and top-5 in the Tour.
-Bardet or Pinot podiums the Tour, the other isn't in the top-10
-Boonen will have a better year than last year, but he won't win a monument.
-Vanmarcke will win a monument.
-The Ardennes classics will have 3 different winners, none of them being Kwiatkowski or Gilbert.
-Gesink will have a strong year, riding top-10 in the tour and top-5 in at least one of the Ardennes classics.
-San Remo will once again be a mass sprint, Degenkolb wins it.
-Sagan gets annoyed at and by Tinkov and has a terrible season.
-Lombardia will be won by a surprise, possibly Wellens.
-Froome once again doesn't win the Tour.
-Contador podiums both Giro and Tour, but wins neither.
-Quintana wins the Tour with a big margin.
-The Giro will go to Aru.
-Pozzovivo to podium the Vuelta.
-Valverde to win the Vuelta
-Kruijswijk will be back at his 2011 level, riding top-10 in the Giro.
-Betancur to have a disappointing season, with one world tour stage win.
-Van Avermaet surprises everyone at the worlds.
-Degenkolb wins his first stage in the Tour, and take green
-Kittel will win more than 3 stages in the Tour.
-Kelderman will ride top-10 in the Tour, but not top-5.
-Stannard will win one cobbled race, but not a monument.
-Movistar wins the team rankings.

My guess is about 10% of these predictions will actually turn out to be correct.
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MARSUPILAMI
jihardy wrote:
MARSUPILAMI wrote:
- Simon Gerrans will win Tour Down Under


He has a broken collarbone and he wont take part in the race


So I change will. I put... won´t
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matt17br
- Evans out of the podium in the TDU
- Cancellara will podium at Sanremo, Sagan will win it
- Kristoff's season will disappoint
- Again another duel between them at Harelbeke and Wevelgem, but Sagan will take Harelbeke and another rider among Degenkolb and Demare will take Wevelgem
- Wiggins setting the new hour record, beating Bobridge's one set few months before
- Cancellara will get weaker and weaker all around the season leaving the Ronde to Gilbert and the Roubaix to Vanmarcke
- Kwiatkwoski will take the Amstel Gold Race
- Valverde's and Purito's seasons will both disappoint, with Purito getting old and Valverde never winning a neither a monument nor a WT classic
- In the meantime, a particularly strong Vanendert will take the Fleche Wallonne
- While Daniel Martin will manage not to fall in the last corner of the LBL and will take it in front of Gerrans, that will get stronger and stronger
- Rui Costa's season will disappoint, after a promising podium in the Tour de Romandie, race won by Nibali
- Therefore Nibali will take the Giro as well, in front of a disappointing Contador
- Formolo will be the biggest surprise, taking an incredible 5th place in the Giro
- Cavendish will win the most stages of the Giro
- Froome's season will disappoint quite a lot and he will just win a stage at Dauphinè, race won by Kwiatkowski
- Then, Quintana will prove that he's already the best climber, winning the Tour by a few margin in front of Nibali, which will try its best in the last TT, but because of the short kilometrage won't manage to gain enough.
- Kittel, once again, wins 4 stages in the Tour, Cavendish will win 2 and Sagan 1, winning the Points Jersey another time
- The after tour classics will be dominated by Gerrans that, along with his San Sebastian win, will take Plouay and Canadian classics.
- Eneco Tour will be won by Boasson Hagen, back from 3 disappoiniting seasons
- And Majka and Kwiatkowski will fight for the Tour of Pologne, but the second one will take it
- Degenkolb will win the Vattenfall but will get a lot of 2nd spots, especially in the latest part of the season
- Kittel will race Vuelta winning 3 stages, and Dumoulin, after being closer and closer to Martin in all the TTs before the Vuelta, will defeat him in both the TTs.
- Indeed Martin will get less unbeatable in the TTs after some close Dumoulin battles and some big losses against Wiggins in the earliest part of the season, that after that will focus on the Track Cycling
- So Contador will take another Vuelta in front of an incredible Aru, that before had got a great 3rd place in the Giro, as Nibali's main domestique.
- Kelderman's season will disappoint, with only a top 10 in the Tour.
- Adam Yates will get stronger this year, taking as highlight of the season a 5th place in the Vuelta after a Tour in which he won a Mountain stage with a big breakway win
- The World Championships in Richmond will be won by Sagan in front of a pissed off Cancellara
- And the TT will be really close. Eventually Dumoulin will manage to win it in front of Tony Martin and Wiggins.

I know that I'm perhaps too ambitious, I just wanna see how many will really happen Pfft
Edited by matt17br on 04-01-2015 12:18
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Marcovdw
- Contador and Froome will not win a GT this year
- Kelderman will crash out of the Tour
- Vanmarcke will win a classic, and Wiggins will finish top10 in Roubaix
- Gilbert will win 1 monument this year
- The Worlds will not be won by a Spaniard
- The Dutch will have an average season with no stage victories in a GT
- A former GT-winner will get caught for doping
- Van Avermaet will ride a podium in RvV before crashing out in Roubaix
- Rein Taaramae will be back to former glory
- Kittel will once again show he's the best sprinter
Manager of Minions
 
Stromeon
matt17br wrote:

- Then, Quintana will prove that he's already the best climber, winning the Tour by a few margin in front of Nibali, which will try its best in the last TT...

You mean the prologue? Pfft
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Vamos Nairo! #SueñoAmarillo
 
alexkr00
Selwink wrote:
-Gesink will have a strong year, riding top-10 in the tour and top-5 in at least one of the Ardennes classics.


Amen brother!

All I want to see for 2015 is Gesink at the top again Grin
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Ollfardh
- Vanmarcke will win his first big monument, beating Wiggins in a sprint
- De Gendt will win a big race
- Evans wins Tour Down Under
- Greipel will struggle to win a race (Farrar-style)
- Basso wins the Giro, then gets busted for doping
- Quintana takes le Tour
- Contador takes the Vuelta
- Gesink will crash repeatedly
- Rojas will finish 4th repeatedly

Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
 
Ian Butler
Ollfardh wrote:
- Vanmarcke will win his first big monument, beating Wiggins in a sprint
- De Gendt will win a big race
- Evans wins Tour Down Under
- Greipel will struggle to win a race (Farrar-style)
- Basso wins the Giro, then gets busted for doping
- Quintana takes le Tour
- Contador takes the Vuelta
- Gesink will crash repeatedly
- Rojas will finish 4th repeatedly


Oh man I was gonna say that you're out of your mind and it'd never happen that Basso could win the Giro now but after the Horner-tragedy I just can't say it Pfft
 
TheManxMissile
- You wil get sick of my flood of womens cycling related posts
- Vos and Amristead will fight for the World Cup again
- Ferrand-Prevot will take ~5 major wins, and then at least 2 NC's/WC's on top of that
- VelocioSRAM will win another TTT WC
- Taylor Wiles will continue to be the goddess she is (no bias at all)
- Lucy Garner will crack the next level of sprinting and elite level racing with some serious wins
- Other womens cycling stuff you probably don't care about etc etc
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Shonak
-Brändle's Hour Record to be broken until end of January
-Kwiatek to break rainbow curse already in February
-Strade Bianche to feature a quality return of Moreno Moser
-Kristoff to become even stronger than last year, but only podium at MSR
-Bouhanni to win MSR
-Greipel to either win Gent-Wevelgem or crash again
-Vanmarcke to take over cobblez supremacy, winning at least one of the monuments
-Valverde podium at each Ardennes, winning L-B-L
-L-B-L to have an even lamer edition than last year
-Purito to further struggle to reach old heights, only highlight Catalunya but no win there
-Greipel with most wins in 2015, duh - taking at least 3 Giro stage wins
-Contador to successfully attempt Double, winning both
-Nibali to disappoint, but still podium at Tour - on the plus side, he won't be riding in that god awful Astana Italian NC jersey anymore
-Late TTT at le Tour will cause some massive controversy
-Cobblestone stage will be almost as good as 2014 Tour
-Froome: Business as usual with winning at least one stage race (besides Oman) in spring but again having problems with crashes
-Quintana to win Vuelta, if Aru rides Vuelta the Italian will be within a minute to Q
-König or Roche Top 5 in said Vuelta, maybe even Podium
-This will further hurt Porte's GT ambitions
-Van Avermaet wins World Championships, Cance complains about rain
-More Astana dope cases
-Sagan to win Green Jersey, no stage win though yet again
-No Monument for Sagan, yet again
Edited by Shonak on 04-01-2015 12:38
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tsmoha
Jack Haig will Top-10 the TDU and win the Herald Sun Tour

Cool
 
roturn
tsmoha wrote:
Jack Haig will Top-10 the TDU and win the Herald Sun Tour

Cool

I haven`t expected you to say anything more. Pfft
But depening on his early form, which should be quite good as Australian actually, it`s definitely possible.
Edited by roturn on 04-01-2015 12:54
 
SSJ2Luigi
- Sagan will win classic after classic after classic etc, etc.
- Nibali, Quintana and Uran all win one GT
- a high class cyclo-cross rider decides to be a medioce road rider
- a dutchie wins a WT event.
- Luis Leon Sánchez wins a big race
 
baseballlover312
Dan Martin will win Ardennes triple, top 5 in the Vuelta, and win Lombardia and the Worlds.
RIP Exxon Duke, David Veilleux, Double Feature, and Monster Energy
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dark_x2012
-Contador will make the double and will ride the Vuelta in search for a Grand slam
-Sagan to win a monument thanks to the tactics of Bjarne.
-Nibali will finish fourth at le Tour behind Contador, Froome and Quintana.
-Cancellara will win Roubaix.
-Aru will podium a GT.
-Majka will finish in top 5 in a GT not top 3 since he'll have to work for Contador.
-Kwiatkowski will win an Ardennes classic but will finally give up being a climber.
-Valverde will struggle the whole season except a top 3 in the Vuelta.
-Talansky will stop crashing in the most important races.
-There will be a surprising rider to podium a GT.
-Astana will have only one doper for the whole year.
-Froome will be 'ill' the first half of the season.
 
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