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Tour of Slovenia - Discussion
ivaneurope
Top  #1 Print Post
Posted on 29-03-2025 09:07
Tour of Slovenia

pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Profiles/t1_slovenia.jpg


This is the 16th year in which Tour of Slovenia has been part of the MGUCI Calendar and the 5th as part of the PTHC category of races. The current format of the race suits mostly riders with really strong TT skills and decent hill stats and last year was no exception with Tom Wirtgen defending his title, snatching the win from Mads Würtz with Egan Bernal in third. Well, both Wirtgen and Würtz will renew their duel from last year with the Luxembourger looking for the illusive 3-in-a-row, but Polar chose to not race Bernal for the entire month of July, meaning that we won't see him here. 2021 winner Filippo Ganna (who finished 4th last year) is also not racing this month either, but the 5th placed from 2023 Tao Geoghegan Hart will.

The profile is the same as last year - the race will start from Maribor, going southwest towards Celje. Then, a 31 km TTT in Celje will offer first glimpse of who will be the GC contenders. The third stage will be the first of the two stages with an uphill finish with the riders reaching the nation's capital of Ljubljana. The next stage will finish in Predmeja and the final test is a 53 km ITT near Trebnje. But let's see who are the favourites according to the panel.

RiderMTHITTRSAC
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/eav.png Wirtgen7875847572
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/grm.png Würtz6771837870
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/ino.png Dunbar7776827768
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/kng.png Mano7275807366
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/yor.png Oliveira7072797272
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/ced.png Geoghegan Hart7974787469
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/bbc.png Powless7872787471
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/eav.png Munton7473787464
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/elc.png Ioannidis7573787470
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/elc.png Kiriakidis7473787371
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/elc.png Christapopoulos6273787269
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/isa.png Ferreyra7272787469
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/jur.png Brunel6771787865
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/pum.png Kämna7771787367
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/ziz.png Conci7774787568
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/ziz.png Cosnefroy6871788169
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/kng.png Herregodts7575777870
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/jur.png Kung7073777271
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/kng.png McNulty8174777768
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/kng.png Van Baarle6872777670


No surprises here - pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/eav.png Wirtgen and pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/grm.png Würtz are once again the two top favourites with Wirtgen looking for his third straight win. Compared to Würtz, he has superior climbing skills which can prove decisive in the 3rd and 4th stages. pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/ino.png Dunbar is ranked third here, but last year he finished 6th, 1'12 behind Wirtgen. With Ganna and Bernal not here, the Irishman will hope to do better as is pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/ced.png Geoghegan Hart. pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/kng.png Mano finished 8th in 2022, but didn't race last year and will hope to improve as well. pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/yor.png Oliveira was 5th in 2022, but was all the way down in 22nd last year, but his skillset is still considered strong enough for the panel to place him in the Top 5.

The following list of riders are considered pure TT'ers, but in case the gaps aren't that big by the time of the ITT, could be considered dark horses with pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/oxf.png Zmorka as the leading candidate.

RiderMTHITTRSAC
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/oxf.png Zmorka6166827570
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/pol.png Mullen6270817470
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/bbc.png Durbridge5766807262
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/ced.png Lammertink6469807668
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/zal.png Beniusis6960807367
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/min.png Bjerg6468807770
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/oxf.png Sütterlin5965807760
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/trg.png Norsgaard6265797566
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/zal.png Kmieliauskas6869797069
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/eav.png Tanfield5963797572
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/jur.png Rekita5863797370
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/oxf.png Vlatos5064796863
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/ubs.png Haugard5760797767
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/tir.png Paillot6970797363
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/tti.png Zakarin6666797070


Stages 3 and 4 are hilly stages, which can give riders with weak TT a chance to at least win a stage or two:

RiderMTHITTRSAC
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/tti.png Skujins6982587675
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/aab.png Gesbert7480647873
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/yor.png Kanerva6479706976
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/zal.png Kwiatkowski7679687372
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/aab.png Chaves7477667069
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/t3a.png Mayer6977707277
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/ino.png Dunbar7776827768
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/isa.png Sepulveda7476747171
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/llv.png Villella6476607278
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/t3a.png Le Court7076607066



Stage 2 is a TTT and will require teamwork, meaning that for a GC win a strong TTT train is a must. Here's how the the trains are set up:

TeamTop 8Top 5Top 3
EA Vesuvio80.3 (1)80.3 (1)80.3 (1)
Oxxo - Frisby80.3 (1)80.3 (1)80.3 (2)
Grieg-Maersk79.3 (3)79.3 (4)79.3 (3)
Tinkoff Team - La Datcha79 (4)79 (3)79 (14)
Cedevita78.7 (5)78.7 (5)78.7 (5)
Jura GIANTS78.3 (6)78.3 (5)78.3 (9)
King Power78.3 (6)78.3 (5)78.3 (3)
cycleYorkshire78 (8)78 (13)78 (14)
DK Zalgiris78 (8)78 (14)78 (18)
ELCO - ABEA78 (8)78 (8)78 (6)
Indosat Ooredoo77.7 (11)77.7 (14)77.7 (11)
Minions77.7 (11)77.7 (11)77.7 (12)
Team UBS77.7 (11)77.7 (9)77.7 (8)
Benetton Bimex Cycling77.3 (14)77.3 (14)77.3 (16)
JEWA TIROL77.3 (14)77.3 (18)77.3 (20)
Team Puma - SAP77.3 (14)77.3 (11)77.3 (10)
ZARA - Irizar77.3 (14)77.3 (9)77.3 (7)
Lidl Cycling77 (18)77 (14)77 (17)
Polar76.7 (19)76.7 (22)76.7 (22)
Podium Ambition76.3 (20)76.3 (21)76.3 (21)
Tryg - Eni76.3 (20)76.3 (20)76.3 (19)
ISA - Hexacta76 (22)76 (18)76 (13)
Llapi-Vita68.7 (23)68.7 (23)68.7 (23)
Assa Abloy67.7 (24)67.7 (24)67.7 (24)


Obiously, the teams with GC contenders have sent their strongest TT riders. 10 teams are within 2.3 (Top 8) of each other. Whoever wins this TTT stage, will have its top GC contender on pole position.

And last, but not least, there's the opening stage which has a flat finish. Teams with no GC aspirations have surely sent a rider to at least go for a stage win in the sprint stage:

RiderFLSPACRS
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/aab.png Abdul Halil70817968
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/tti.png Banaszek74798173
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/pum.png Steimle74788069
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/isa.png Harrison72788170
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/jur.png Szarka77787873
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/ldl.png Larsen77777673
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/ldl.png Dekker77777677
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/pol.png Garcia Cortina76777672
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/trg.png Silvestre75777666
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2024/Micros/aab.png Rickaert78757375


And here is the startlist:
Spoiler


And that's it from us over at IESN for today. Tune in during the following days as AbhishekLFC will provide coverage from the race
i.imgur.com/rrQH4R2.png
i.imgur.com/KoxIGiG.png
 
tastasol
Top  #2 Print Post
Posted on 29-03-2025 09:42
Wirtgen of course the big favourite. We have to hope for relatively non-selective hilly stages and that Würtz has a lot left in the tank for the final stage. Could be anything from a podium to 14th place, so let's hope for the best. Thanks for the preview, Ivan!
 
SotD
Top  #3 Print Post
Posted on 29-03-2025 11:07
At PCT Level we have a pretty strong TTT setup, but we are out of our League here.

All We Can do is hope We Can limit the losses, and then for a couple of hilly stages in our favor before the long ITT.

Both Kiriakidis and Ioannidis on paper have a shot at a top 10, but could just as Well finish 30th or so. We don’t have any top riders
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quadsas
Top  #4 Print Post
Posted on 29-03-2025 12:28
Gamers, let's get some points here
deez
 
Marcovdw
Top  #5 Print Post
Posted on 29-03-2025 20:15
Not sure what to expect here. The TTT team is not considered a favorite, and Cattaneo will not make it over the hills. Also no sprinter, so the options for success are limited.
Manager of Minions
 
Fabianski
Top  #6 Print Post
Posted on 29-03-2025 22:04
A race I really like in terms of profile, but sadly don't bring a top contender once again (angry looks at Xero ^^). Will see how hard the hills really are this year; Küng did a decent job last year, and hopefully Darbellay can hold on even better; he should if climbing matters a little, otherwise he'll be as useless as in all the other similar races he's already done.
TTT should be decent, otherwise Szarka gets his 2nd chance of the year to shine. Giro form would be much appreciated.

Thanks for the preview, good luck to all.


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Nemolito
Top  #7 Print Post
Posted on 30-03-2025 06:28
Thanks for a nice preview, Ivan. Hoping for a non selective race here.
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SotD
Top  #8 Print Post
Posted on 30-03-2025 16:10
Not much to say about stage 1. Wasn't expecting there to be though.

It's going to be very very interesting to see how that stage 2 will fare. I'm not entirely sure I know how the rankings in the preview are setup though.

Apparently we have 78 in ranking regardles of having 3, 5 or 8 riders. In reality it should be:

3 - 78,0
5 - 77,2
8 - 75,8

It seems like every team have gotten the same numbers (top 3), so suspect it is a copy/paste mistake somewhere. Don't know if the numbers next to refers to a correct ranking order though.
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Marcovdw
Top  #9 Print Post
Posted on 30-03-2025 19:58
Surprised to see a Minion mixing it in the sprint. Kudos Darren!
Manager of Minions
 
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tastasol
Top  #10 Print Post
Posted on 30-03-2025 21:26
Good to see Würtz alert and near the front at the end. The most important thing of course to get through without any time loss. Thanks for the report and congrats to ISA on the stage win!
 
Fabianski
Top  #11 Print Post
Posted on 30-03-2025 23:09
Awful.


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tastasol
Top  #12 Print Post
Posted on 31-03-2025 08:13
Hoped for better, but not awful. Wirtgen surely in pole position now, can't really see him losing from here (even though he lost one second because of stupid time taking in TTs).
 
Nemolito
Top  #13 Print Post
Posted on 31-03-2025 08:31
Decent TTT I think, a shame we lose second place on the stage by milliseconds. Very nice for Galvan Ramirez to ride in white for a day. The valuable experience he gained at Philips/Sony showing here.

Let's see if the AI tries to keep Zmorka up front now.
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redordead
Top  #14 Print Post
Posted on 31-03-2025 09:11
Seems impossible for my team to perform according to its stats. Always finishing below teams with lower TT totals.

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Bikex
Top  #15 Print Post
Posted on 31-03-2025 09:33
We are in an okayish position after the TT. I hope McNulty, Mano and the others can make something of it now.
 
OlegTinkov
Top  #16 Print Post
Posted on 31-03-2025 11:43
Did Toms Skujins forgot to bring his bike to the ttt?
 
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Eden95
Top  #17 Print Post
Posted on 31-03-2025 12:39
Sorry for the delayed commenting. Wirtgen obviously the one to beat here, and nobody will be able to do that you’d think. Dunbar needs to have a good TTT performance to clinch a spot on the podium. The TTT has been surprisingly good this season, so fingers crossed we can keep it going. congrats on ISA on the first stage win and thank you for the report Smile
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KaiserAdler
Top  #18 Print Post
Posted on 31-03-2025 15:22
Decent TTT all things considered. Couldn’t hope for much more with the team we have had here. Hope Powless manages to stay on the front and make up some places. Thanks for the report and congrats to the winner.
i.imgur.com/ojg4YRA.png



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SotD
Top  #19 Print Post
Posted on 31-03-2025 16:51
A bit lower than we would have liked to see, but the PT teams are just really TTT heavy these years.

It’s difficult to see us getting anything useful from this race. Our riders are just too mediocre at this Level.
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Marcovdw
Top  #20 Print Post
Posted on 31-03-2025 17:04
Not that we ever had a shot at the win but that is out the window now.
Manager of Minions
 
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