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01-02-2023 05:29
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PCM.daily » PCM.daily's Management Game » [Man-Game] General
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Ronde Van Nederland Discussion
AbhishekLFC
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Ronde van Nederland


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Hello and welcome to the Netherlands, where Ronde van Nederland will be on the Pro Tour calender for the 5th consequtive time. The race is mainly for the durable sprinters, but as we saw in 2019 there is always room for a powerhouse attacking late to steal the glory.

The race has been won by sublime topsprinters like World Champion, Fernando Gaviria aswell as Arnaud Demare, John Degenkolb and Peter Kennaugh. The latter two are not present after their statdecline, while the two former are. Fernando Gaviria is the most recent winner, and is yet again touted as the top favorite for the race.

The race is 3 stages long, and consists of 3 bumpy stages, where stage 1 finishes on a slight uphill slope, stage 2 on a flat run-in, and then the infamous stage 3, which tends to rule out a number of strong sprinter as the stage is basically touted as a puncheur stage. Still, it's usually one for the sprinters - but the stage does mix up the GC a bit as some of the weak climbing sprinters tend to be shaken here.

Let's have a look at the top favorites for the race, and their immidiate leadoutpotential.

NameFLHISPACNameFLHISPAC
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/iso.png Gaviria76728384pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/iso.png Peak78697676
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/hsk.png Grosu73738380pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/hsk.png Van Poppel72648178
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/isa.png Ewan75718381pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/isa.png Contreras72687880
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/pum.png Demare73808281pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/pum.png Steimle74707880
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/ela.png Coquard73678483pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/ela.png Farantakis74658080
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/eav.png Van der Lijke73768279pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/eav.png Gunnlaugsson75657471
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/aeg.png Groenewegen73678281pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/aeg.png De Kleijn70757475
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/duo.png Van Stayen73768173pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/duo.png Van der Sande75707979
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/lph.png Manninen74668180pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/lph.png Nieuwenhuis75697375
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/mol.png Lo Cicero70628275pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/mol.png Walscheid71637777
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/tti.png Samolenkov74648179pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/tti.png Trakhov68796975
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/yor.png Cullaigh74668081pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/yor.png Pidcock73747278
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/kng.png Hsu75678079pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/kng.png Darbinyan72667674
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/mos.png Swift70648076pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/mos.png Lagane69757475



pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/iso.png Gaviria comes with the potential to defend his title, and he does so with a very solid team around him. With Peak, Rickaert and Cherkasov in particular they are very strong in the flat sectors, and while Isostar is still somewhat looking to get the leadout just right, the raw strength of these guys should fit just perfect to this race.

Riders like pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/hsk.png Grosu and pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/isa.png Ewan should also be as close to a perfect fit for this race as possible. In van Poppel Grosu probably has the strongest leadout of all, but whether he can survive the difficulty of the route is another question. Ewan probably have a more balanced setup around him, but time will tell if that does the trick. On paper Contreras and Santos are very solid.

We can't rule out the win for former winner pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/pum.png Demare ofcourse, and he probably is the #1 favorite when looking at the stat combination given how strong of a puncheur he is. But given that he isn't the top favorite for the first two stages and those who are in general are good at fending off his threat on the final stage, I don't see him as the best fit - despite having a solid Steimle with him, and Ganna and Cavagna to really put the hammer down.

A bit below the above we find the likes of pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/eav.png Van der Lijke and pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/duo.png Van Stayen. While the latter has a very solid leadout (outside candidate) in van der Sande it's probably not likely that he will be looking to set up a train. His limited acceleration might prove to be a problem compared to van der Lijke and the others above. Van der Lijke is probably mostly concerned with having teammates like Valter and Ulissi in here to chase their own dreams, and will be very much on his own here, which could be a difficult scenario.

We can't look past the remaining top sprinters like pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/ela.png Coquard, pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/aeg.png Groenewegen, pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/lph.png Manninen, pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/yor.png Cullaigh and several others, but history doesn't give them benefit of the doubt, as only the 2019 edition actually found room for sprinters with less than 70 HI in the top 5.

Given the nature of the race it wouldn't be smart to rule out the likes of pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/zpc.png Ackermann either, but statwise he just falls outside both the sprinters and puncheur category. But he should be listed as an outsider to the top 10 atleast.

The race thus isn't only for the sprinters, and every season have seen strong puncheurs inside the secondary spots - even some close to taking the win, so let's have a look at which puncheurs we have to take into account as well. Let's call this list - Outsiders:

NameFLHISPACNameFLHISPAC
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/evo.png Lopez70846678pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/mos.png Di Maggio63806372
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/akm.png Mohoric72836777pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/pol.png Izagirre70805963
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/gzl.png Lutsenko69837281pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/p4e.png Prevar72806773
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/mos.png Sagan72837376pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/pum.png Demare73808281
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/tti.png Skujins70836876pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/ubs.png Müller70806673
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/kng.png Gidich72826275pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/dsc.png Turgis73797077
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/lph.png Kelderman70826772pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/tti.png Trakhov68796975
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/ced.png Beltran69816676pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/tti.png Kanerva69796475
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/ela.png Koretzky73817179pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/eav.png Ulissi74787272
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/isa.png Vakoc71817174pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/eav.png Valter72786976
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/mol.png Kwiatkowski72816775pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/hsk.png Gerts77787270
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/ubs.png Buchmann71816573pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/ubs.png Reichenbach70786267
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/mos.png Ponzi72807274pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/tti.png Strakhov69786170



Some teams have opted for the full plate of options here, but the top names in this category cearly comes as the big threat. Here we see riders such as pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/evo.png Lopez, pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/mos.png Sagan, pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/gzl.png Lutsenko, pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/tti.png Skujins, pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/akm.png Mohoric, pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/lph.png Kelderman and pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/kng.png Gidich being the obvious chance-takers, but it is a very long list and a lot comes down to daily form and stage development. Many teams will want to keep things together so you need a strong effort to break free from the fierce trains.

We can't entirely look past the best roulleurs either, but the number of riders that can actually make such a late jump possible is hardly as big as the two aforementioned groups. These are the better options, though.

NameFLHISPACNameFLHISPAC
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/akm.png Andersen81657674pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/pol.png Brockhoff79706273
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/p4e.png Manamalage81595756pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/akm.png Anderberg78696073
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/akm.png Konychev80667473pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/yor.png Antonijevic78667174
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/akm.png Wisniowski80717376pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/iso.png Peak78697676
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/iso.png Cherkasov80717075pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/iso.png Rickaert78697573
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/gzl.png Mundle79655969pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/pol.png Nych78676576



pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/akm.png Wisniowski is one of those riders that have managed to steal a stage win in the past, but it wasn't enough to get a gap, and he was 6th in the final GC that year. Seeing the team around him, one could expect them to send multiple riders away with the likes of Andersen, Konychev, Anderberg and afore-mentioned Wisniowski, but I sense a bit of lack of fate in them as the team has also brought Mohoric as one of the top puncheurs. Whether it will be smart or if they will be in eachothers way is something that will be very interesting to follow. The likes of pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/gzl.png Mundle and pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/p4e.png Manamalage are probably here to target a stage win, as it seems unrealistic that they can survive the hills, and with a number of Gaviria domestiques on this list as well the only realistic offers I see are Brockhoff and Nych of Polar as Izagirre probably isn't high enough on the list to force them out of glory hunting.

The entire startlist follows below.
Spoiler

GroenewegenDylanAegon - Peroni
De KleijnArvidAegon - Peroni
Van der HoornTacoAegon - Peroni
RobeetLudovicAegon - Peroni
BovenhuisJasperAegon - Peroni
SergentJesseAegon - Peroni
SchädlichLucasAegon - Peroni
KooistraMartenAegon - Peroni
WisniowskiLukaszAker - MOT
MohoricMatejAker - MOT
AnderbergHampusAker - MOT
AndersenSoren KraghAker - MOT
HansenLasse NormanAker - MOT
PengYuan TanAker - MOT
StokbroAndreasAker - MOT
KonychevAlexanderAker - MOT
BeltranEduard AlexanderCedevita
PogacarTadejCedevita
ArdilaAndres CamiloCedevita
SiricIvanCedevita
ZariffNur AimanCedevita
BuitragoSantiagoCedevita
WrightFredCedevita
DuyvesteynKeesCedevita
SummerhillDannycycleYorkshire
CullaighGabrielcycleYorkshire
PidcockThomascycleYorkshire
SwiftConnorcycleYorkshire
AlbaneseVincenzocycleYorkshire
AtkinsGeorgecycleYorkshire
AntonijevicGorancycleYorkshire
SuterJoelcycleYorkshire
TurgisAnthonyDe Stijl Cycling
TillerRasmusDe Stijl Cycling
BolCeesDe Stijl Cycling
Cort NielsenMagnusDe Stijl Cycling
SouliousZisisDe Stijl Cycling
KnoxJamesDe Stijl Cycling
Nur HasanSandyDe Stijl Cycling
BoutopoulosGeorgiosDe Stijl Cycling
Van der SandeToshDuolingo
GabburoDavideDuolingo
Van StayenMichaelDuolingo
GrovesKadenDuolingo
PonsGaetanDuolingo
ScottCameronDuolingo
KulikovskiyAlexandrDuolingo
SzarkaGergelyDuolingo
Van der LijkeNickEA Vesuvio
ValterAttilaEA Vesuvio
UlissiDiegoEA Vesuvio
PelikanJanosEA Vesuvio
SmitWillieEA Vesuvio
BaxSjoerdEA Vesuvio
GenietsKevinEA Vesuvio
GunnlaugssonKristoferEA Vesuvio
CoquardBryanELCO - ABEA
KoretzkyClementELCO - ABEA
FarantakisStylianosELCO - ABEA
KortsidakisMichailELCO - ABEA
MorinEmmanuelELCO - ABEA
VilaAimilianoELCO - ABEA
LafayVictorELCO - ABEA
KoumpetsosAnastasiosELCO - ABEA
LopezMiguel AngelEvonik - ELKO
NeilandsKristsEvonik - ELKO
BecisArmandsEvonik - ELKO
KulppiOlliEvonik - ELKO
HavikPiotrEvonik - ELKO
PszczolarskiWojciechEvonik - ELKO
AnsonsKristersEvonik - ELKO
DversnesFredrikEvonik - ELKO
LutsenkoAlexeyGazelle
TeunissenMikeGazelle
BagioliNicolaGazelle
PottsMarcGazelle
TratnikJanGazelle
HoflandMorenoGazelle
CarcuevaJonelGazelle
MundleBenediktGazelle
WürtzMadsGrieg-Maersk
Van der PoelMathieuGrieg-Maersk
RingheimJo KogstadGrieg-Maersk
De GendtAimeGrieg-Maersk
KronAndreasGrieg-Maersk
LastraJonathanGrieg-Maersk
NorsgaardMathiasGrieg-Maersk
EekhoffNilsGrieg-Maersk
GertsFlorisHuski Chocolate
GrosuEduardHuski Chocolate
Van PoppelDannyHuski Chocolate
Van der KooijBasHuski Chocolate
LammertinkMauritsHuski Chocolate
HofstedeLennardHuski Chocolate
MeeusJordiHuski Chocolate
VaderMilanHuski Chocolate
EwanCalebISA - Hexacta
VakocPetrISA - Hexacta
ContrerasEmilianoISA - Hexacta
SantosEmersonISA - Hexacta
BaskaErikISA - Hexacta
Cepeda HernandezJeffersonISA - Hexacta
SagivGuyISA - Hexacta
MraouniSalah EddineISA - Hexacta
GaviriaFernandoIsostar - Specialized
PeakBarnabasIsostar - Specialized
CherkasovNicolayIsostar - Specialized
BolivarIsaacIsostar - Specialized
BesterShaun NickIsostar - Specialized
RickaertJonasIsostar - Specialized
SweenyHarryIsostar - Specialized
AndersenIdarIsostar - Specialized
GidichYevgeniyKing Power
HsuHsuan PingKing Power
QuitaRonnilanKing Power
MentenMilanKing Power
SirironnachaiSarawutKing Power
ChiuHo SanKing Power
DarbinyanVarshamKing Power
StimulakKlemenKing Power
KeldermanWilcoLos Pollos Hermanos
ManninenMattiLos Pollos Hermanos
UlloaJose GerardoLos Pollos Hermanos
NieuwenhuisJorisLos Pollos Hermanos
RuizRobinson StevenLos Pollos Hermanos
BeltranGuillermo AndresLos Pollos Hermanos
PiraYesid AlbeiroLos Pollos Hermanos
StojnicVeljkoLos Pollos Hermanos
KwiatkowskiMichalMOL Cycling Team
Lo CiceroIvanoMOL Cycling Team
BrozynaPiotrMOL Cycling Team
WalscheidMaximilianMOL Cycling Team
KenyeresAbelMOL Cycling Team
PereyraPedro PabloMOL Cycling Team
DomagalskiKarol AndrzejMOL Cycling Team
MuhindoJimmyMOL Cycling Team
SaganPeterMoser - Sygic
PonziSimoneMoser - Sygic
NeumanDominikMoser - Sygic
SwiftBenMoser - Sygic
MayerAlexandreMoser - Sygic
LaganeChristopherMoser - Sygic
ToupalikAdamMoser - Sygic
Di MaggioCesareMoser - Sygic
AlturMarcosPolar
IzagirreIonPolar
BartheCyrilPolar
Garcia CortinaIvanPolar
HonoreMikkelPolar
NychArtemPolar
BrockhoffJanPolar
NoiaCarloPolar
PluchkinAleksandrTeam Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska
PrevarOleksandrTeam Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska
RiabushenkoAliaksandrTeam Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska
LutsyshynRomanTeam Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska
AniolkowskiStanislawTeam Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska
ManamalageNipuna ShiraTeam Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska
TanovitchiiNicolaeTeam Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska
VargaPeterTeam Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska
DemareArnaudTeam Puma - SAP
GannaFilippoTeam Puma - SAP
SteimleJannikTeam Puma - SAP
MeilerLukasTeam Puma - SAP
CavagnaRemiTeam Puma - SAP
MagerChristianTeam Puma - SAP
ZwiehoffBenTeam Puma - SAP
NiuYikuiTeam Puma - SAP
BuchmannEmanuelTeam UBS
MüllerPatrickTeam UBS
BohliTomTeam UBS
BadilattiMatteoTeam UBS
JacobsJohanTeam UBS
ReichenbachSebastienTeam UBS
BagioliAndreaTeam UBS
AbreuJorgeTeam UBS
SkujinsTomsTinkoff - La Datcha Team
SamolenkovArtemTinkoff - La Datcha Team
KamyshevArmanTinkoff - La Datcha Team
SulimovAlexanderTinkoff - La Datcha Team
TrakhovDmitryTinkoff - La Datcha Team
StrakhovDmitryTinkoff - La Datcha Team
KanervaJoniTinkoff - La Datcha Team
VorobevAntonTinkoff - La Datcha Team
AckermannPascalZwift Pro Cycling
OvsyannikovAlexandrZwift Pro Cycling
WeltenBramZwift Pro Cycling
YoungEricZwift Pro Cycling
SuredaJaumeZwift Pro Cycling
CampbellAkilZwift Pro Cycling
DewulfStanZwift Pro Cycling
DekkerDavidZwift Pro Cycling


 
redordead
First fun wildcard race of the season, maybe?

Thanks for the reports.

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SotD
After a worse Praha race than hoped, we really need to perform here, but Coquard and Koretzky are not the best suited riders in all honesty.
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Laurens147
Thanks SotD for the preview. Will be interesting to follow!
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knockout
Hopefully puncheurs work better here than on the poggio
A Big Thank You To All MG Reporters!

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Croatia14
Must win race for us, should be perfectly set for Gaviria. Thanks for the great preview!
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Nemolito
Thanks for the nice preview, SotD! And thanks in advance for the reports, Abhi.

We have two possible scorers here, none of them really top favourites. However, as we've seen in Qatar, as long as Manninen isn't number four, he is quite a consistent sprinter. Last year in TDU he did great in the hilly stages while in the yellow jersey, I wouldn't say no to a similar scenario here. Kelderman should be part of the first group if there are gaps on the final stage, but with his sprint/acceleration combo he shouldn't get more out of this than a depth result. Never say never of course. Good luck to all!
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DubbelDekker
The last stage being hilly rated gives me hope for a proper Lutsenko result. So far his season has been underwhelming.
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Gustavovskiy
Van Stayen and Van der Sande should find their way in a race like this, but their track record isnt the most appealing, so low expectations are our mindset here.
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ember
Another fun race we're looking a lot forward to see how plays out. We definitely brought a top, top team here, eventhough we're without a sprinter. It's similar to our Sanremo team, we really want to be part of attacks and splits. And with Kragh, Wisniowski and Mohoric all being riders who you could fancy to even win a stage, it feels like we've got riders here able to finish a stage off, and thus go high in the GC. That was at least the thinking pre-season Pfft

Thank you for the preview, SotD, looking forward to the report, Abhi!
 
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OlegTinkov
Should be a fun race for sure, good luck everybody!
 
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roturn
Always hoping Groenewegen is doing well in his home race but it`s not the most ideal terrain for pure sprinters indeed. So it`s more like going for a good stage result instead and then see what the GC brings.
 
Ollfardh
That was an exciting finish!
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
 
SotD
Oh man, so close from Coquard... Should have started the sprint a bit later, but a chaos sprint without leadouts usually turn out OK for him. 3rd is OK, and with the surprising gaps he could have a shot at making a decent GC. It could also blow the race wide open with so many riders needing to attack.

Koretzky losing time right at the end is really sad - othewise he would have been in a great position.
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redordead
Maybe it would be more fun if Beltran lost a lot more time here and then make a suicide attack on stage 3. Oh well...

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"I am a cyclist, I may not be the best, but that is what I strive to be. I may never get there, but I will never quit trying." - Tadej Pogačar
 
Nemolito
Not the stage we hoped for, that's for sure. Seems like Manninen really couldn't be bothered again today, but I don't know if putting all our eggs in the Wilco-basket will be very fruitful in the end. Congratulations to cio on a great stage win, and thanks for a very fine report again to Abhishek Smile
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alexkr00
Stage races are really not Grosu's cup of team this year. At least we have two riders well place for the GC. And with Grosu out of the picture, it might be Gerts' time to shine.
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Gustavovskiy
Not sure why I keep expecting my guys to be any good at this
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ember
Positives: Thank you for the report, I enjoyed the read Smile Anderberg featuring in the breakaway and making it a fight for the KoM points. Also that Mohoric managed to grab a few bonus seconds at the finish, which could be valuable if stage 3 also proves selective, as it should make a nice GC placing possible for him.

Negative: Very frustrating to see only Mohoric feature in groups less than two minutes behind Demare and the sprinters creating a gap at the very front. Seeing how it played out, we really should be able to have both Wisniowski and Kragh there. We were supposed to have several cards to play going into the final stage. Now we're only left with Mohoric, which is far from ideal Sad
 
Nemolito
A good old classic sprint stage. Good reaction from Manninen after a bad stage yesterday, there's definitely no shame in losing against a top sprinter like Groenewegen. Although that final Cullaigh dash, denying us a second place, really wasn't necessary Pfft

Congratulations to roturn and thank you for the nice report to Abhishek!
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