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Amstel Gold Race Discussion
Selwink
The classics of the Ardennes are coming close once again, and as is tradition the first of the three races is the one that's not raced in Belgium: The Amstel Gold Race, which is held in the hills of the Dutch part of Limburg. The south of Limburg is known for its hills, which obviously are going to decide today's race.

General


i187.photobucket.com/albums/x62/Smowz/Saxobank%20pcm%20story/AmstelGold_zps4b5ca6ad.jpg

In comparison with the previous years the parcours has had only a minor change, which shouldn't make too much difference in the decision of the race. As usual, the race is likely to be decided on the Cauberg, the final hill, where all punchers will try to reach the top first. In the past years the finish was right there already, but now it's 1.5kms further, after a flat section.

Favourites


The top favourite for this kind of races is as usual i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/akm.png Boasson Hagen. Not only is he the best puncher of the field, he also has very strong support, with especially Levarlet being an incredibly strong lieutenant for him. This makes the winner of last year and 2011 the biggest favourite.

Boasson Hagen's biggest rival is likely i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/btc.png Bakelants. The Belgian may have more support from the audience, but he might suffer from problems with support in his team, with Teklehaimanot, El Fares and Martin as support.

i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/tcs.png Tinkoff Credit Systems Bank will rely on Trofimov for this edition. The Russian rider may have some trouble with acceleration, as both Boasson Hagen and Bakelants are better at that. However, he does have a strong squad to support him, with Rovny, Rybakov and Zakarin as main lieutenants.

The German Stefan Schumacher will be the key rider for i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/swi.png Swisscom - UBS this year. Even more than Trofimov though he hasn't got the best acceleration. With Fumeaux and Albasini he does have some decent support and he hopes he can improve his second place of last year.

Last year, i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/pnd.png Gilbert ended at a disappointing 14th place, after having won in 2012. With riders like Lutsenko, Silva and Teklit by his side he hopes he can pick up his second victory here.

i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/pok.png Pokerstars.com brings Ginanni here, who is here for the first time since 2010, when he came 6th. Due to having Roche, Izagirre and Wallays by his side this team might be the strongest squad here.

Apart from these favourites there are some very dangerous outsiders. 2010 winner i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/vsa.png Schleck should never be ruled out, nor should be i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/wik.png Van Garderen, i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/gde.png Ponzi and i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/fes.png Riccò.

Startlist

i40.photobucket.com/albums/e206/Selwink1/MG%20Reports/PCM1536_zps065e685e.jpg

History

YearWinnerTeam
2007Filippo PozzatoAG2R-Prévoyance
2008Samuel Sánchez GonzalezDiscovery Channel
2009Michael BoogerdPhilips-Hummel
2010Fränk SchleckAccumalux-Huez
2011Edvald Boasson HagenTeam B&O
2012Philippe GilbertPendleton's
2013Edvald Boasson HagenAker-MOT


Conclusion

The 2014 Amstel Gold Race is looking like it will be an open race, where many attacks should occur in order to make sure the favourites are not going to claim victory. A nightmare scenario would be a mass sprint up the Cauberg and hopefully that will be prevented.
 
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roturn
Sanchez, Roux, Boom, Thurau. Can`t offer much more in the hilly classics.
Still I have some hopes here.
Thurau and Boom are expected to attack at some time.
Roux and Sanchez should fight for a high result. Hopefully the co-leadership will work and not give me one result and one gruppetto rider. Wink

Top10 would be awesome top 15 and three in top30 wanted.
 
Bushwackers
Alright Schumacher do something special. This should be a fun race either way.
 
SotD
It will be very interesting to see how Ricco can fare in these races. He kinda needs to pull some top 10s atleast.
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beagle
Can´t wait for report, hopefully Ginanni fulfill his leader´s role and score some valuable points Smile
Manager of Polar in Man-Game
 
OlegTinkov
Looking forward to the report! No sponsor goal, so no pressure, still a top-3 would be awesome!
 
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ember
This is kind of a make or break. Boasson Hagen hasn't been convincing at all so far this season, but it will all be forgotten if he can do anything similar to what he performed last year in AGR, Flèche and LBL. Fingers crossed we'll be off for a good start!

Looking a lot forward to the report Smile
 
dave92
Van Garderen needs a strong Ardennes campaign to make up for some early failure undperformances across the squad.
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roturn
Hmm. Not sure what I shall think about the outcome.

Roux surprisingly strong. 15th is okay.

LLS must have had a bad daily form. Not even top30 while he probably should have been capable of 5-15 is not good and my 3rd best on 85. is unacceptable.

Also I don`t understand why in every race this season my team does not get into the breakaway and then is even chasing for an outside favourite. Let the other teams doing the main work and concentrate on your strengths...

I really hope that the more mountain races and GT`s will finally give me some breakaway time.

Thanks for the report. Nicely done.
 
OlegTinkov
Wow, what a race, great report, team preformed really well. Also Schleck is having a good season so far. Two more (hill classics) to go, next up Fleche Wallone, a top-5 will do, fingers crossed for a Top-3 at Liege- Bastogne - Liege (sponsorgoal!)
Edited by OlegTinkov on 20-08-2014 21:39
 
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Smowz
Thanks for the report selwink.

No mention fir the red bull lads and no surprise about that. Very tactical finale, Hagen messing up badly really, trofimov superb and super strong you have to say.
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niconico
Really liked the report! Also decent result for us with Kwiatek in 18th... maybe should've trained him as a puncheur Rolling Eyes
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/bampo.png
 
Bushwackers
Whoah that was horrible. 19th??

Well congrats to Oleg anyway.
 
beagle
Nice report, thanks Selwink!

Roche is continuing on his hot run, 5th place is very satisfying. Ginanni slightly disappointing again, this guy just can´t handle with his 83 hilly skill Pfft

congrats to Oleg!
Manager of Polar in Man-Game
 
alexkr00
When Leezer is my best rider all that is left to say is... Hello Continental Tour!

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CountArach
Bushwackers wrote:
Whoah that was horrible. 19th??

Well congrats to Oleg anyway.

You know things are going poorly when even my team beats you.

Thanks for the report Selwink.
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys/PCT/bps_zps2b426596.png Manager of Team Bpost - Vlaanderen i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys/PCT/bps_zps2b426596.png

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Avin Wargunnson
One of the best reportsi have ever read in the man-game, fantastic job Selwink! Grin

Congrats to Oleg, Trofimov is a deserved winner. And one more trick from the old Schleck ponny, this man never gets old in the man-game, or does he?
I'll be back
 
Roman
Truly great report Selwink!

Happy with 11th place from Sagan, it is nice to see delivering things from him once again. Smile
Manager of Moser - Sygic
 
ember
Wow, that was surprisingly bad from Boasson Hagen. It looks more and more like this is definitely not his season at all. He should at least be better in Flèche and LBL compared to this.

Anyway, thanks for a great report! And congratulations to Oleg.
 
dave92
Quality report for a hectic race.

Strong riding from Trofimov, deserved win.

Very pleased with Van Garderen, constantly aggressive and quite strong.
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