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Road Race Betting 2012
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| roturn |
Posted on 21-02-2012 21:00
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Team Manager
Posts: 22246
Joined: 24-11-2007
PCM$: 3900.00
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New betting Year, new thread to comment.
And probably another year where I will have less than 1% winning bets.
But maybe I can win the Langkawi overall bet with Robert Förster.  At least I could earn lots of money with him.
Spoiler Who chose him as favourite? Probably a mistake, wasn`t it?
Edited by roturn on 21-02-2012 21:01
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| lluuiiggii |
Posted on 21-02-2012 21:09
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Grand Tour Champion
Posts: 8542
Joined: 30-07-2010
PCM$: 200.00
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There was such a thread last year?  I've only seen about it now. Probably because I never scrolled down the forums past the Man Game.
It wasn't my worse start of the year so far, 2/8. Betting in the early season is tough.
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| Ad Bot |
Posted on 22-11-2024 15:43
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Bot Agent
Posts: Countless
Joined: 23.11.09
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| FreitasPCM |
Posted on 21-02-2012 21:22
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Grand Tour Champion
Posts: 8389
Joined: 08-09-2009
PCM$: 200.00
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My last bet won dates of April 10th 2011.  |
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| cio93 |
Posted on 21-02-2012 21:27
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World Champion
Posts: 10845
Joined: 29-10-2007
PCM$: 500.00
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Well, I'm not quite sure who does the bets, but he certainly misjudges the abilities of German sprinters recently...
I already found it very irritating that in both Oman stages Kittel won, he neither was a concretely named favourite (which he clearly was pre-race, surely more than Wagner or Gatto), but Förster as overall bet for a stage race including a mountain, no matter how long or steep it is, is quite...surprising.
Good luck with that bet, roturn, I certainly won't bet a single cent on that
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| roturn |
Posted on 21-02-2012 21:29
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Team Manager
Posts: 22246
Joined: 24-11-2007
PCM$: 3900.00
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cio93 wrote:
Good luck with that bet, roturn, I certainly won't bet a single cent on that
No worry. I wouldn`t bet a single cent on him neither. I just had a smile on my face when seeing it as he is one of the sprinters without any climbing skilly at all. |
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| markene2 |
Posted on 21-02-2012 21:34
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Domestique
Posts: 419
Joined: 22-06-2007
PCM$: 200.00
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Also placed a bet on Langkwaki, Danielson, simpely because Vino is rehabilitating and wont go for the overal, and i dont know how Rujano's form is, the last race he did was back in south america months ago.
So for me Danielson was the most likely bet!
Venga Vino
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| Pellizotti2 |
Posted on 21-02-2012 21:36
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World Champion
Posts: 10121
Joined: 01-05-2010
PCM$: 200.00
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Went for another rider on the Langkawi bet. Just because it's more or less impossible to know whether any of the top names will be in form, and most likely, none of them are.
Therefore I find another rider being a more tempting choice. 
Edited by Pellizotti2 on 21-02-2012 21:58
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| MitchNL |
Posted on 21-02-2012 21:42
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Protected Rider
Posts: 1130
Joined: 07-02-2010
PCM$: 200.00
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I went for Rujano, cause I think he's already in form while preparing for the Giro. Vino? Nah, too old I think.
SUPPORTING RODA JC KERKRADE AND EVERTON FC
TOM DUMOULIN FAN SINCE 2012 |
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| ianrussell |
Posted on 21-02-2012 22:30
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Classics Specialist
Posts: 3440
Joined: 09-10-2008
PCM$: 200.00
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Wow, some incredibly strong line ups heading to Omloop Het Nieuswblad. BMC taking enough potential leaders for the rest of the peloton? As unlikely as it is given team role and competition, I'd love to see Eisel wind back the clock.
Edited by ianrussell on 21-02-2012 23:03
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| rjc_43 |
Posted on 21-02-2012 22:53
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Team Leader
Posts: 6716
Joined: 13-10-2007
PCM$: 200.00
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Well, I decided to start doing some more bets, like Oman, and Langkawi, and Het Nieuswblad because we don't always get them up and I have some free time.
Unfortunately, when I started to put up the Langkawi bet, as an example, I started to pick the favourites after writing my little blurbs and setting up the other bits and pieces. I realised that pretty much no GC favourites were actually entered into the DB, so unless I wished to re-write/do the bet, I had to choose riders who were on. It just so happened that Forster was. Maybe I gave him bad odds, but oh well, you'd be a fool to pick him.... unless he went away in a breakaway and won by minutes.
As to forgetting Kittel, that truly was a massive mistake, and I made more than one for Oman.
In other areas, I am open to requests for interesting race bets - so if you want to bet on your favourite race (that isn't a high profile one) and I'm very happy to hear feedback so I can improve.
[url=cleavercycling.co.uk]  [/url] |
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| fcancellara |
Posted on 21-02-2012 22:56
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 5194
Joined: 18-08-2011
PCM$: 200.00
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I had $310 after TDU, but I wasn't good in predicting the TOO, so I have a little money left. Voted for Boonen for het Nieuwsblad, because he showed he's in good shape.
And Rujano van Langkawi, because I think the terrain suits him well.
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| Avin Wargunnson |
Posted on 22-02-2012 08:20
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World Champion
Posts: 14236
Joined: 20-06-2011
PCM$: 300.00
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Not a bad start for me, i got 3 from 11 right, thanks to Slovakians performing well. Now go Danielson and Boonen
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| ianrussell |
Posted on 06-03-2012 15:42
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Classics Specialist
Posts: 3440
Joined: 09-10-2008
PCM$: 200.00
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Arrrggghh better positioning by Gerrans would've been a win by bike lengths in stage 3 of Paris-Nice. Made up about 10+ bike lengths in the last 100m to lose by half a wheel. Thanks for blowing my monster 8PCM$ Simon! 
Edited by ianrussell on 06-03-2012 15:42
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| ianrussell |
Posted on 07-03-2012 15:30
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Classics Specialist
Posts: 3440
Joined: 09-10-2008
PCM$: 200.00
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I'd just like to extend my apologies to Gerrans - I will now stop betting on you and you can resume winning and not falling off your bike, apologies for any injury or embarrassment you may have suffered as a result of my cursing you with my betting attentions. |
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| Avin Wargunnson |
Posted on 08-03-2012 05:35
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World Champion
Posts: 14236
Joined: 20-06-2011
PCM$: 300.00
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Sagan at 15.00 to win the stage? He is not the big favourite, but with such an outside bet i must go with him
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| ianrussell |
Posted on 08-03-2012 21:41
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Classics Specialist
Posts: 3440
Joined: 09-10-2008
PCM$: 200.00
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Fisrt win:
"Hello,
This is a message generated by the Fantasy Betting-system to inform you that you have won the bet ''[2.WT] Paris - Nice Stage 5: Winner''.
You made a bet of 3.00 PCM$ at odds of 2.00. You therefore receive 6 PCM$.
Sincerely,
The PCM.daily Fantasy Betting bot"
Phear me!
Edited by ianrussell on 08-03-2012 21:42
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| Avin Wargunnson |
Posted on 10-03-2012 08:14
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World Champion
Posts: 14236
Joined: 20-06-2011
PCM$: 300.00
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Kreuziger not being an option for Chieti?
Well i had to go with Velits, they should be both in very good form.
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| rjc_43 |
Posted on 10-03-2012 12:32
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Team Leader
Posts: 6716
Joined: 13-10-2007
PCM$: 200.00
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He made the shortlist, but I had to add worse options otherwise every rider would end up having crap odds. Or something like that. Blame my logic
[url=cleavercycling.co.uk] [/url] |
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| ianrussell |
Posted on 13-03-2012 15:11
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Classics Specialist
Posts: 3440
Joined: 09-10-2008
PCM$: 200.00
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Nibali gives me some money to play with again  |
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| Deda |
Posted on 13-03-2012 17:31
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Breakaway Specialist
Posts: 901
Joined: 25-03-2009
PCM$: 200.00
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4 out of 11 bets won, joint 5th in the top gamblers section. lucky me
If offense is the best defence, does it mean that defence is the worst defence?
If I should die before I wake, I pray the Lord will delete my browser history.
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