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Baltic Chain Tour Discussion
redordead
Baltic Chain Tour


pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Profiles/t2_balticchain.jpg


Welcome to the now 10th edition of the Baltic Chain Tour. Not to be mistaken with the Balkans this race is more similar to TONE as it covers 5 countries in mostly the northern part of Europe.

For the most part, the race is shaped like any other sprinter stage race: four fairly straight-forward flat stages. Stage five features some hills, which could provide an opportunity for more punchy types, but previously this has gone to the sprinters as well.

The one unique feature is the prologue: It’s just 3 kilometers long, but almost half of that is covered in tough cobblestones. As such cobbles is definitely the main stat used here. It tends to be a battle between riders that are good on both cobbles and in the prologue, but pure cobble talent can triumph also. More importantly the sprinters who are above average in at least one of these can get an early advantage in the GC battle.


Cobbled Prologue

CBPRCBPRCBPR
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/hla.png Rowe7574pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/taf.png Breen7868pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/anz.png Stash6778
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/bee.png Edmondson7474pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/hla.png Daniel8064pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/anz.png Scully6777
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/min.png Sweeck7671pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/bdx.png Insausti7766pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/ziz.png Thomas6479
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/caa.png Saber7670pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/kmm.png De Buyst7568pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/gct.png Pedersen6378
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/kmm.png Walsleben7470pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/kmm.png Zhupa7765pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/anz.png Reddish6475
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/rbz.png Räim7174pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/anz.png Naesen7666pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/taf.png Waersted6076
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/hla.png Riesebeek7371pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/hla.png Thwaites7661pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/bee.png Boudat5878


Just for interest's sake I decided to split the prologue favourites into three groups. Hybrid, cobblers and prologue specialists, although I do expect the winner to come from one of the first two groups type wise.

pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/hla.png Rowe is the best at combining both stats, closely followed by pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/bee.png Edmondson. pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/caa.png Saber won the prologue last year proving his type has what it takes.
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/taf.png Breen has a decent prologue stat to go along with being a very good cobbler. On the other hand pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/hla.png Daniel is clearly the best cobbler here and came here mostly for this stage. Is his 80 CB good enough?
The prologue specialists are less likely to succeed here, but the duo of pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/anz.png Stash and pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/anz.png Scully have a passable CB stat, while pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/ziz.png Thomas was 10th here last year. So not completely out of the realms of possibility.


Sprinters

SprinterFLRSSPACLead outFLRSSPAC
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/vlf.png Ahlstrand74738382pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/vlf.png Marin74737878
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/caa.png Saber75728179pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/caa.png Olei69717575
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/gct.png Enger73738178pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/gct.png Pedersen76767777
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/ino.png Howard75698178pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/ino.png Suryadi71687976
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/ccc.png Eislers78768176pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/ccc.png Liepins73687879
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/brs.png Silvestre78718081pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/brs.png Lauk74697272
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/ziz.png Jakobsen74738080pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/ziz.png Hofstetter74717778
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/kmm.png Haller72718079pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/kmm.png De Buyst73757676
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/hla.png Rowe78707980pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/hla.png Thwaites73707876
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/trg.png Kanter75737980pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/trg.png Nyoni67697068
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/anz.png Scully74707980pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/anz.png Stash73737777
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/min.png Kalaba74727979pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/min.png Kuboki72727675
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/bee.png Boudat73747978pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/bee.png Merlier73727874
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/taf.png Bertilsson73717977pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/taf.png Waersted73787879


Sprinting is still the main attraction of this race. Some have mostly come to chase stage results, some will be counting every bonus second for their GC placing. The top dog is very clearly pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/vlf.png Ahlstrand with a nice lead out rider in pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/vlf.png Marin. pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/caa.png Saber is another who if needed will be hoping his lead out with pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/caa.png Olei will work as well as it can. The pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/brs.png Silvestre/Lauk dui are the only others I really fancy in lead out, but you never know with sprints.


GC Favourites

FLRSCBSPACPR
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/vlf.png Ahlstrand747367838272
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/caa.png Saber757276817970
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/hla.png Rowe787075798074
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/ziz.png Jakobsen747373808069
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/brs.png Silvestre787156808177
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/anz.png Scully747067798077
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/trg.png Kanter757370798068
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/gct.png Enger737358817877
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/min.png Kalaba747257797978
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/bee.png Boudat737458797878
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/ino.png Howard756962817867
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/kmm.png Haller727158807971


This is mostly just a list of the best sprinters with those who have a chance of limiting their losses in the prologue. pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/vlf.png Ahlstrand though can really make up any deficit with a couple of stage wins. pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/caa.png Saber likely would've won this race last year, if it wasn't for the GC bug allowing him to sprint in only 1/4 stages. Finishing 2nd two years in a row, he'll want to win this race in his last year at full strength. pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/hla.png Rowe isn't near the top of the sprinting food chain so he really needs a good prologue. pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/ziz.png Jakobsen is last year's winner, while pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2022/Micros/brs.png Silvestre is a proven commodity as a sprinter and should be one of the main favourites as well.


Full startlist:

Spoiler
ScullyTomAir New Zealand p/b Pirelli
NaesenOliverAir New Zealand p/b Pirelli
StashMamyrAir New Zealand p/b Pirelli
SkalaJakubAir New Zealand p/b Pirelli
GazeSamuelAir New Zealand p/b Pirelli
NolfFrederikAir New Zealand p/b Pirelli
ReddishNickAir New Zealand p/b Pirelli
ArchboldShaneAir New Zealand p/b Pirelli
HabtomMikielBianchi - Panerai
NavardauskasRamunasBianchi - Panerai
BayerTobiasBianchi - Panerai
ColleoniKevinBianchi - Panerai
MulubrhanHenokBianchi - Panerai
EggenbergRubenBianchi - Panerai
BoudatThomasBonduelle - Eesti Energia
BarbierRudyBonduelle - Eesti Energia
RussoClementBonduelle - Eesti Energia
MerlierTimBonduelle - Eesti Energia
EdmondsonAlexanderBonduelle - Eesti Energia
NommelaAkselBonduelle - Eesti Energia
TessonJasonBonduelle - Eesti Energia
PajurMarkusBonduelle - Eesti Energia
WackermannLucaBordeaux Métropole - Euskotren
SarreauMarcBordeaux Métropole - Euskotren
AberasturiJonBordeaux Métropole - Euskotren
InsaustiJon AnderBordeaux Métropole - Euskotren
PuccioniDarioBordeaux Métropole - Euskotren
BerthetClementBordeaux Métropole - Euskotren
LazkanoOierBordeaux Métropole - Euskotren
BrunNilsBordeaux Métropole - Euskotren
SilvestreFabioBralirwa - Stevens
OkbamariamTesfomBralirwa - Stevens
KhederiSouheilBralirwa - Stevens
LaukKarl PatrickBralirwa - Stevens
MengoulasAlexBralirwa - Stevens
MenicucciSamueleBralirwa - Stevens
DebesayYacobBralirwa - Stevens
UhiriweRenusBralirwa - Stevens
SaberLahcenColombini-Adler AP
OleiFedericoColombini-Adler AP
De BondtDriesColombini-Adler AP
QuispeAlainColombini-Adler AP
GonzalesAndre AlexanderColombini-Adler AP
GiuliettiLuigiColombini-Adler AP
AquilaniAndreaColombini-Adler AP
BonelloDanielColombini-Adler AP
MartinoStanColombini-Adler AP
EislersIngusCrabbe-CC Chevigny
LiepinsEmilsCrabbe-CC Chevigny
DriznersJarradCrabbe-CC Chevigny
Van TrichtStanCrabbe-CC Chevigny
KielichTimoCrabbe-CC Chevigny
BonneuKamielCrabbe-CC Chevigny
Van Den BosscheFabioCrabbe-CC Chevigny
PlutoMartinsCrabbe-CC Chevigny
EngerSondre HolstGjensidige Pro Cycling Team
PedersenCasperGjensidige Pro Cycling Team
DanielGregoryGjensidige Pro Cycling Team
RojusAdomaitisGjensidige Pro Cycling Team
KittelMarcelGjensidige Pro Cycling Team
KurianovStepanGjensidige Pro Cycling Team
ArensmanThymenGjensidige Pro Cycling Team
ChristakosDimitriosGjensidige Pro Cycling Team
RoweLukeHelloFresh - Lampre
DanielMaximeHelloFresh - Lampre
DzamastagicMarkHelloFresh - Lampre
HermansQuintenHelloFresh - Lampre
ThwaitesScottHelloFresh - Lampre
RiesebeekOscarHelloFresh - Lampre
KumaraAmith UdayaHelloFresh - Lampre
BattistellaSamueleHelloFresh - Lampre
HowardLeighIndosat Ooredoo
SuryadiBambangIndosat Ooredoo
GaniAbdulIndosat Ooredoo
SetiawaAndreas Odie PurnamaIndosat Ooredoo
Arif PrayogoDealton NurIndosat Ooredoo
WolfJustinIndosat Ooredoo
YudhaMuhammadIndosat Ooredoo
AhmadFirdausIndosat Ooredoo
HallerMarcoKraftwerk Man Machine
LudvigssonTobiasKraftwerk Man Machine
De BuystJasperKraftwerk Man Machine
ZhupaEugertKraftwerk Man Machine
ChaiyasombatThanakhanKraftwerk Man Machine
WalslebenMaxKraftwerk Man Machine
MathisMarcoKraftwerk Man Machine
VernonEthanKraftwerk Man Machine
KalabaDusanMinions - Subwoolfer
SweeckLaurensMinions - Subwoolfer
KubokiKazushigeMinions - Subwoolfer
MarcosLeandroMinions - Subwoolfer
De WitteMathiasMinions - Subwoolfer
TikhoninEvgeniiMinions - Subwoolfer
RosasLaureanoMinions - Subwoolfer
StöckliJanMinions - Subwoolfer
ReisRafaelRed Bull Zalgiris
SmirnovsAndrisRed Bull Zalgiris
BeniusisJustasRed Bull Zalgiris
GrossschartnerFelixRed Bull Zalgiris
RäimMihkelRed Bull Zalgiris
EvenepoelRemcoRed Bull Zalgiris
ConsonniSimoneRed Bull Zalgiris
LiWen HaoRed Bull Zalgiris
BreenVegardTafjord Kraft
BertilssonChristianTafjord Kraft
WaerstedSyverTafjord Kraft
EislersSandisTafjord Kraft
HaavardsholmOleTafjord Kraft
AnderssonEmilTafjord Kraft
LindauPhilipTafjord Kraft
PruusPeterTafjord Kraft
KanterMaxTryg - Gobik
OmarssonIngvarTryg - Gobik
SleenTorjusTryg - Gobik
BellanJurajTryg - Gobik
AdriaRogerTryg - Gobik
IversenRasmusTryg - Gobik
NyoniSimiloTryg - Gobik
AbolajiFatiuTryg - Gobik
AhlstrandJonasVolcanica - Fox
MarinGabrielVolcanica - Fox
NaudPatrickVolcanica - Fox
VillalobosRomanVolcanica - Fox
ZingleAxelVolcanica - Fox
Bolor-ErdeneEnkhtaivanVolcanica - Fox
JuradoCristofer RobinVolcanica - Fox
HuertasJasonVolcanica - Fox
JakobsenFabioZara - Irizar
HofstetterHugoZara - Irizar
CastrilloJaimeZara - Irizar
ThomasBenjaminZara - Irizar
HestersJulesZara - Irizar
De La Cruz ChapulinLuis FernandoZara - Irizar
MiquelPauZara - Irizar
VandeveldeYentlZara - Irizar
 
Marcovdw
Hoping for the cobbles to be little influential so Kalaba has an advantage. Will be surprised to see the team building a train for him so we can expect good results in the sprint Smile
 
Ollfardh
I was considering coming here with Bonifazio, but he's no Gaviria or Van Asbroeck. Also he's been having a really bad season so far so good riddance!
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
 
KaiserAdler
We definitely come here expecting glory with Saber. His performances this season already give me high hopes he will be able to perform. Even if he doesn’t succeed in winning the GC a top 3 seems likely to me which will provide the necessary points to keep up our promotion run. Saber has proven he has what it takes to beat better sprinters without a train, so maybe Olei can give him that extra edge to bring it home. Good luck to everyone, and especially to my team as we will need it.
i.imgur.com/aYK9J6J.png



San Marino is my city. - Stan Martino
 
Laurens147
Looking forward to this one. Don't know how the combo Liepins-Eislers will pan out Smile

Thanks red for the preview!
ICL - Latvijas Balzams - Olainfarm
MG - Crabbe-CC Chevigny
 
Eden95
Expect nothing and yet still expect to be disappointed. Will be thoroughly whelmed if Howard can sneak into the top-50 GC, might be hard for him but we’ll see.

Hope Silvestre and Jakobsen can have a good race and cause an upset.

Thanks for the preview.
Indosat - ANZ HQ

"This Schleck sandwich is going to cause serious indigestion for Evans" - Phil Liggett
 
whitejersey
Hoping for a good result from Luke Rowe as he has done well in this race in the past and on paper he's close to being the top favourite as well.
 
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hillis91
Finally some prober racing for us after a 1 race only month.
Let's gooooo! Good luck rrybody
i.imgur.com/sqJ8APc.png
 
Fabianski
Congrats to Jakobsen, best possible start for the defending champion!

However, that's one of the stages I'd love to see played with limited daily form impact - I just can't make any sense of the result. Jakobsen and Stash have some cobbles skills, but aren't good at prologues; Daniel is the top cobbler and slightly worse at prologues; Sweeck is a better cobbler and prologue rider as the Top 2; Stash is a pure prologue specialist without any cobbles skills - to me, the result looks even more random than usual prologue results. But yeah, I guess PCM doesn't really know either how to deal with such a stage Pfft

Anyway, let the sprinter festival begin now - with Jakobsen in the pole position obviously!

And yeah, thanks for the report, red Smile
 
KaiserAdler
Highs and lows here. Bonello doing a madness getting that result. Saber should've done better honestly. But lets hope he can make the difference in the sprinting instead.

Thanks for the report Red
i.imgur.com/aYK9J6J.png



San Marino is my city. - Stan Martino
 
whitejersey
Hard to really be too upset about this result with two riders in the top 5. Congrats to LLS on the win should just make it straight forward for Jakobsen to defend his win from last year. For us personally it is going to be interesting to see how the game treats our position with Daniel technically being the best ranked member of our team. Also funny to see Stash actually perform after we dropped him for this year.

Thanks for a very nicely laid out report that was easy to follow as well Red!
 
Marcovdw
Kalaba disappointing, but Sweeck steps up!
 
Ollfardh
Jakobsen the new Manninen?
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
 
SotD
That was a strange result to say the least.

Maxime Daniel shouldn't be able to TT if his life depended on it. Jakobsen isn't particularly good either...

It sucks when results are this random.

EDIT: I could just look before posting. Didn't notice it was cobbled Smile
pcmdaily.com/files/Awards2016/manager.png
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Laurens147
Jakobsen is showing his form right away Smile For us it all starts from the next stage, come on Ingus!
ICL - Latvijas Balzams - Olainfarm
MG - Crabbe-CC Chevigny
 
cunego59
Poor start by Silvestre, but he's by far the worst cobbler among the top sprinters, so that's somewhat expected. Looking forward to the next stages, I hope he can recover well!
 
DaveTwoBob
Hopeful that De Buyst and Walsleben can maintain minor GC placings and Haller can sneak some bonus seconds to move him up to the top 20.

3rd in Teams is a good start, hope we can maintain or even improve that.

Thanks for the report red and sorry I missed the preview.
Manager of Renault Classic [ICL]
Manager of Kraftwerk Man Machine [Man Game]
 
Luis Leon Sanchez
Well, didn't expect that start.

What a great way to begin Jakobsen's efforts to go back-to-back Grin

Now to do the job in the sprints as well!
 
rebel1
Silvestre got off to a slow start, but given that he is by far the poorest cobbler among the elite sprinters, that was to be expected. I'm looking forward to the next steps and I hope he heals quickly!
 
cunego59
Umm ... yes, and the slow start continues for Silvestre Grin He just can't seem to get the positioning right in the way he did so often last year.

Congrats on the win for Haller, and strong result for Boudat, too. Fab surely wishes he had shown those flashes in the last two years (unless I missed something).
 
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