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Kenya Mountain Classic Discussion
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| redordead |
Posted on 05-04-2022 06:37
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 4881
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Welcome to the 9th edition of the Kenya Mountain Classic. The route has remained the same throughout the years. A huge climb to start then a long descent and some flatter roads before another huge climb to finish the race. It's a race for the pure climbers, but unless someone can drop everyone else earlier, we can expect the race to be decided in the last kilometer or so. A good late kick can certainly help.
With that said let's look at some of the favourites:
| FL | MO | HI | RS | AC |  Wellens | 72 | 82 | 75 | 80 | 68 |  Guldhammer | 68 | 81 | 77 | 75 | 76 |  Padun | 67 | 81 | 77 | 74 | 75 |
Wellens should be the strongest rider here. He tops everyone in MO and RS, his only slight weakness is a lower AC stat. Which makes the next two riders difficult opponents. Guldhammer has already proved he can duke it out with the best in PT let alone PCT. He's not averse to a stinker here or there, but he's the fastest rider here and his climbing doesn't fall short of the best. No Pluchkin for Popo4Ever, but Padun is also great. A very similar rider to Guldhammer.
| FL | MO | HI | RS | AC |  Latour | 69 | 80 | 75 | 78 | 74 |  Quintana | 68 | 82 | 74 | 76 | 66 |  Oomen | 71 | 81 | 75 | 77 | 69 |  Spilak | 68 | 81 | 78 | 75 | 68 |  Galta | 69 | 81 | 73 | 79 | 66 |
Latour can do a bit of everything, but he maybe wouldn't want the last climb to be too hard for his 80 MO. Quintana on the other hand might want to make it hard as he's among the slower riders. Oomen and Spilak are riders who should be able to adjust to the situation on the road. Not the strongest or fastest, but still very good. Galta could team up with Quintana to make the final climb hard.
| FL | MO | HI | RS | AC |  Warchol | 70 | 80 | 74 | 77 | 70 |  Penasa | 70 | 80 | 74 | 72 | 76 |  Schelling | 71 | 80 | 75 | 76 | 70 |  Shikai | 72 | 81 | 71 | 76 | 66 |  Henao Montoya | 68 | 80 | 69 | 76 | 70 |  Carapaz | 69 | 80 | 71 | 76 | 65 |  Nerz | 70 | 80 | 72 | 72 | 68 |  Faglum Karlsson | 71 | 79 | 73 | 75 | 68 |  Amador | 66 | 80 | 71 | 68 | 66 |
It would be difficult to see anyone from tier III winning this race, but a podium or top 5 is perhaps possible. Warchol and Schelling are both solid allrounders. Penasa is one of the fastest climbers, but can he follow the best to use his acceleration in the end? Shikai is the best climber in this tier, but among the slowest. Henao Montoya is not at his best anymore, but he is a two time winner and was 2nd last year. One more big result for him in Kenya? Carapaz, Nerz and Faglum Karlsson are all pretty similar. As is Amador who is flying the flag for the CT teams. He's been in good form recently, but does it translate here?
Full startlist:
Spoiler | Galta | Fredrik Strand | Aker - MOT | | Wohrer | David | Aker - MOT | | Videika | Airidas | Aker - MOT | | Kaislavuo | Jesse | Aker - MOT | | Pruus | Peter | Aker - MOT | | Yzeiraj | Marildo | Aker - MOT | | Faglum Karlsson | Marcus | Assa Abloy | | Breen | Vegard | Assa Abloy | | Scarponi | Paolo | Assa Abloy | | Van der Haar | Lars | Assa Abloy | | Gonzalez Salas | Mario | Assa Abloy | | Bolivar | Isaac | Assa Abloy | | Bonnin | Thomas | Assa Abloy | | Konig | Leopold | Assa Abloy | | Rodrigues | Joao | Binance Cycling | | Henao Montoya | Sergio Luis | Binance Cycling | | Valls | Rafael | Binance Cycling | | Bartl | David | Binance Cycling | | Almeida | Joao | Binance Cycling | | Antunes | Amaro | Binance Cycling | | Benito | Miguel Angel | Binance Cycling | | Stavrakakis | Georgios | Binance Cycling | | Guldhammer | Rasmus | Carlsberg - Danske Bank | | Warbasse | Lawrence | Carlsberg - Danske bank | | Olesen | Patrick | Carlsberg - Danske Bank | | Roe | Timothy | Carlsberg - Danske Bank | | Forssell | Hugo | Carlsberg - Danske Bank | | Stocek | Matus | Carlsberg - Danske Bank | | Cannister | Goldwijnn | Carlsberg - Danske Bank | | Domene | Ramon | Crabbe-CC Chevigny | | Lietaer | Eliot | Crabbe-CC Chevigny | | Serry | Pieter | Crabbe-CC Chevigny | | Kulikovskiy | Alexandr | Crabbe-CC Chevigny | | Nareklishvili | Beka | Crabbe-CC Chevigny | | Van Tricht | Stan | Crabbe-CC Chevigny | | Drizners | Jarrad | Crabbe-CC Chevigny | | Blouwe | Louis | Crabbe-CC Chevigny | | Kennaugh | Tim | cycleYorkshire | | Holmes | Matthew | cycleYorkshire | | Skaarseth | Anders | cycleYorkshire | | Hayter | Ethan | cycleYorkshire | | Stannard | Ian | cycleYorkshire | | Tennant | Andrew | cycleYorkshire | | Hugentobler | Gregory | Eddie Stobart | | Drapac | Damion | Eddie Stobart | | Umerbekov | Nikita | Eddie Stobart | | Lovik | asmund Romstad | Eddie Stobart | | De Tier | Floris | Eddie Stobart | | Moreno Hernandez | Salvador | Eddie Stobart | | Malacarne | Davide | Eddie Stobart | | Savini | Daniel | Eddie Stobart | | Carapaz | Richard Antonio | Eurosport x GCN | | Moulingui | Clenne Morvan | Eurosport x GCN | | Pantano Gomez | Jarlinson | Eurosport x GCN | | Dowsett | Alex | Eurosport x GCN | | Landa | Mikel | Eurosport x GCN | | Cuming | Michael | Eurosport x GCN | | Rutsch | Jonas | Eurosport x GCN | | Carr | Simon | Eurosport x GCN | | Warchol | Bartosz | Indosat Ooredoo | | Arifin | Muhammad Imam | Indosat Ooredoo | | Setiawa | Andreas Odie Purnama | Indosat Ooredoo | | Abdurrahman | Muhammad | Indosat Ooredoo | | Nur Hasan | Sandy | Indosat Ooredoo | | Phodingam | Sakchai | Indosat Ooredoo | | Quintana | Nairo | Jura - Fiat | | Pernsteiner | Hermann | Jura - Fiat | | Thiery | Cyrile | Jura - Fiat | | Manfredi | Andrea | Jura - Fiat | | Saggiorato | Mirco | Jura - Fiat | | Schmid | Mauro | Jura - Fiat | | Van Poucke | Aaron | Jura - Fiat | | Tediashvili | Giorgi | Jura - Fiat | | Nerz | Dominik | Kraftwerk Man Machine | | Koch | Michel | Kraftwerk Man Machine | | Costagli | Teodoro | Kraftwerk Man Machine | | Helme | Sasu | Kraftwerk Man Machine | | Tatarinov | Gennadiy | Kraftwerk Man Machine | | Dulanjana | Sachin | Kraftwerk Man Machine | | Ho | Burr | Kraftwerk Man Machine | | Kasa | Gabor | Kraftwerk Man Machine | | Oomen | Sam | Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | | Novak | Domen | Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | | Senni | Manuel | Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | | Sajnok | Szymon | Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | | Biermans | Jenthe | Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | | Aleotti | Giovanni | Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | | Van Gils | Maxim | Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | | Potocki | Viktor | Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | | Spilak | Simon | Los Pollos Hermanos | | Munoz | Daniel | Los Pollos Hermanos | | Affonso | Murilo | Los Pollos Hermanos | | Quispe | Alain | Los Pollos Hermanos | | Beukeboom | Dion | Los Pollos Hermanos | | Minoungou | Oumaru | Los Pollos Hermanos | | Lopez Nolasco | Luis Enrique | Los Pollos Hermanos | | Beltran | Guillermo Andres | Los Pollos Hermanos | | Penasa | Pierre Paolo | Philips - Force India | | Talansky | Andrew | Philips - Force India | | Paprstka | Tomas | Philips - Force India | | Anguilet | Charles | Philips - Force India | | Zoidl | Riccardo | Philips - Force India | | Henttala | Joonas | Philips - Force India | | Schelling | Ide | Philips - Force India | | Moricz | Daniel | Philips - Force India | | Latour | Pierre | Polar | | Barthe | Cyril | Polar | | Carpenter | Robin | Polar | | Di Maggio | Cesare | Polar | | Rodriguez Galindo | Michael | Polar | | De Luna | Flavio | Polar | | Brandao | Joni | Polar | | Brockhoff | Jan | Polar | | Padun | Mark | Team Popo4Ever p/b Nemiroff | | Andriafenomananiaina | Zouzou | Team Popo4Ever p/b Nemiroff | | Nitu | Adrian | Team Popo4Ever p/b Nemiroff | | Sibilla | Michel | Team Popo4Ever p/b Nemiroff | | Dzhus | Volodymyr | Team Popo4Ever p/b Nemiroff | | Orlov | Andriy | Team Popo4Ever p/b Nemiroff | | Pronskiy | Vadim | Team Popo4Ever p/b Nemiroff | | Papanov | Martin | Team Popo4Ever p/b Nemiroff | | Schelling | Patrick | Team UBS | | Bouchard | Geoffrey | Team UBS | | Schir | Thery | Team UBS | | Goncalves | Jose | Team UBS | | Schäppi | Martin | Team UBS | | Grigrian | Artur | Team UBS | | Fuchs | Dominik | Team UBS | | Grand | Arnaud | Team UBS | | Wellens | Tim | Tryg - Ritter Sport | | Hoem | Bjorn Tore | Tryg - Ritter Sport | | Nieuwenhuis | Joris | Tryg - Ritter Sport | | Johannessen | Tobias Halland | Tryg - Ritter Sport | | Klaris | Magnus Bak | Tryg - Ritter Sport | | Sleen | Torjus | Tryg - Ritter Sport | | Gross | Felix | Tryg - Ritter Sport | | Iversen | Rasmus | Tryg - Ritter Sport | | Chaves | Johan Esteban | Volcanica - Fox | | Amador | Andrei | Volcanica - Fox | | Brenes | Gregory | Volcanica - Fox | | Herrada | Jesus | Volcanica - Fox | | Herrera | Erick | Volcanica - Fox | | Jorgenson | Matteo | Volcanica - Fox | | Rojas | Henry Antonio | Volcanica - Fox | | Rivera | Kevin | Volcanica - Fox | | Shikai | Chen | Voyagin - Bird | | Shirota | Yamato | Voyagin - Bird | | Cheung | King Lok | Voyagin - Bird | | Plucinski | Leszek | Voyagin - Bird | | Salcone | Jacob | Voyagin - Bird | | Chen | Mingrun | Voyagin - Bird | | Matsuda | Shoi | Voyagin - Bird | | Barbier | Pierre | Voyagin - Bird |
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| Croatia14 |
Posted on 05-04-2022 07:20
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Directeur Sportif
Posts: 9099
Joined: 13-03-2013
PCM$: 2100.00
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This race has been strange I'm the past, and the final kick together with good positioning could decide it. I'd bet on Padum if I had to.
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| AbhishekLFC |
Posted on 05-04-2022 07:45
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Directeur Sportif
Posts: 11676
Joined: 27-07-2015
PCM$: 1861.50
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Another important race for us after Vineyards, where we aren't doing as well I had hoped. Top 10 seems like the realistic expectation here for Penasa. Hope we can get some depth points too.
Thanks for the preview red 
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| Ollfardh |
Posted on 05-04-2022 07:58
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World Champion
Posts: 14563
Joined: 08-08-2011
PCM$: 9100.00
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Last chance to turn the season around I guess.
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
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| DaveTwoBob |
Posted on 05-04-2022 11:08
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Small Tour Specialist
Posts: 2433
Joined: 07-07-2013
PCM$: 200.00
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Top 10 from Nerz and some depth points from Costagli/Koch/Tatarinov would be nice.
Thanks for the preview red.
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| ember |
Posted on 05-04-2022 11:38
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Team Leader
Posts: 6849
Joined: 27-03-2008
PCM$: 700.00
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A top 8 looks doable for Galta with a normal performance here, meaning even more is possible if he’s lucky with daily form. Not a lot of support, though, but hopefully Wohrer and Pruus, at least, are able to be with him to the foot of the final climb.
Looking forward to the race. Will be interesting to see how it plays out. Wellens must fancy his chances, but at the same time, I’m sure he fears both Padun and Guldhammer if they are all together when the final kilometer starts. |
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| baseballlover312 |
Posted on 05-04-2022 13:18
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Tour de France Champion
Posts: 16429
Joined: 27-07-2011
PCM$: 10438.70
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No Pluchkin certainly opens this up a bit. Not sure the long, gradual climbing and uphill finish helps Guldhammer utilize his puncheur/sprinting skillset to its best, but he's still in with a chance as much as anyone.
Top 10 is the baseline goal, but a since this is C1 now, a top 5 is more of what's needed points wise if we're legitimately making a promotion play. Not enough minor points available to play the depth game.
Thanks for the preview!
RIP Exxon Duke, David Veilleux, Double Feature, and Monster Energy |
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| Ad Bot |
Posted on 22-11-2024 16:03
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Bot Agent
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| beagle |
Posted on 05-04-2022 13:39
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 4200
Joined: 06-10-2007
PCM$: 200.00
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Strong startlist as expected, I´ll take top 10 from here. Regarding to Latour´s approach, I would prefer, for once, wheelsucking as long as possible instead of (most likely) desperate and useless attack with 10 or 7km to go 
May the best rider win.
Thanks for the preview!
Manager of Polar in Man-Game
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| DarkWolf |
Posted on 06-04-2022 06:50
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Protected Rider
Posts: 1025
Joined: 21-09-2020
PCM$: 700.00
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These C1 races didn't go very well for my team, but then again the competition is tougher here too. Time to move on and hope for better results in other races.
Thank you very much for the preview and report!
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| AbhishekLFC |
Posted on 06-04-2022 08:20
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Directeur Sportif
Posts: 11676
Joined: 27-07-2015
PCM$: 1861.50
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Expected more from Penasa, didn't have the legs to sustain  . Decent from Talansky though. 12th and 14th again!
Congrats to Polar and thanks for the report red
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| cunego59 |
Posted on 06-04-2022 08:22
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Team Manager
Posts: 6508
Joined: 14-09-2008
PCM$: 1090.00
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beagle wrote:
Strong startlist as expected, I´ll take top 10 from here. Regarding to Latour´s approach, I would prefer, for once, wheelsucking as long as possible instead of (most likely) desperate and useless attack with 10 or 7km to go
May the best rider win.
Thanks for the preview!
I love everything about this comment
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| Eden95 |
Posted on 06-04-2022 08:24
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 4505
Joined: 05-10-2010
PCM$: 900.00
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I think Warchol is genuinely broken, he’s fucking awful. Again doesn’t even try.
Thanks for the report.
Indosat - ANZ HQ
"This Schleck sandwich is going to cause serious indigestion for Evans" - Phil Liggett |
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| baseballlover312 |
Posted on 06-04-2022 14:01
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Tour de France Champion
Posts: 16429
Joined: 27-07-2011
PCM$: 10438.70
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Well, Guldhammer went earlier than I would have wanted, but it clearly worked out for Latour. He just didn't have the same legs today. The profile didn't suit him perfectly and the tactics didn't work out.
Alas, C1 is C1, and he's had plenty of success this year. 9th is still within our baseline goal range. More concerned about Warbasse, who seemingly offered zero assistance and is outside the top 40. Worried about him leading in the Tour of America.
Congrats to beagle! Latour didn't need to wheelsuck this time. And thank you to redordead for a captivating report!
RIP Exxon Duke, David Veilleux, Double Feature, and Monster Energy |
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| Nemolito |
Posted on 06-04-2022 15:07
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Classics Specialist
Posts: 3367
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Not the best performance by Spilak, but eighth is also not too terrible of course. Great ride by Latour, Spilak thought he had the same legs for a second, but soon realized he did not Nice to see Munoz score some points as well in the peloton!
Thanks for the captivating report indeed, red, pleasant read as always. Congratulations to beagle!
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| DaveTwoBob |
Posted on 06-04-2022 19:11
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Small Tour Specialist
Posts: 2433
Joined: 07-07-2013
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Nerz saving his legs at Vineyards to put in an impressive performance for 5th place. No attacking heroics this time, just steady pacing.
Thanks for the report red and congrats to beagle.
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| valverde321 |
Posted on 07-04-2022 02:42
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World Champion
Posts: 12986
Joined: 20-05-2009
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7th isn't bad. Can't complain with the strength of the startlist there.
Thanks for the report,
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| ember |
Posted on 07-04-2022 08:22
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Team Leader
Posts: 6849
Joined: 27-03-2008
PCM$: 700.00
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More than expected from Galta! Very happy to see him finally finding his way as our leader, this was a brilliant performance for 4th place.
Labour was super strong here, no question who was the strongest on the day. Congratulations, beagle! |
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| beagle |
Posted on 07-04-2022 10:46
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 4200
Joined: 06-10-2007
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Thank you very much for great report and congratulations!
I'm extremely happy I was completely wrong with my prediction. This is huge win for Latour and the team 
Manager of Polar in Man-Game
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| Bushwackers |
Posted on 08-04-2022 18:20
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Sprinter
Posts: 1907
Joined: 07-02-2009
PCM$: 200.00
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Congrats to beagle, did not really expect to see Latour win but fun nonetheless.
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Kenya Mountain Classic 
