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Lillestrom GP Discussion
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| valverde321 |
Posted on 24-06-2021 21:54
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World Champion
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 [C2] Lillestrom GP
Hello, and welcome everyone to beautiful Norway, where we will be treated to an exciting and unpredictable 208km of cycling in Lillestrom, just 18km north of Oslo.
We have defending champ,  Ramon Domene here, although riding for a different team this time round. Will his experience at the race help him to repeat? His team manager would obviously love it if he could however, Domene is not the strongest classics rider on his team. Insausti, and Owen both look better on paper, so perhaps Domene will be stuck in a helpers role.
| Surname | FL | HIL | STA | RES | COB | SPR |  Nolf | 73 | 65 | 76 | 71 | 79 | 62 |  Baugnies | 77 | 71 | 79 | 72 | 79 | 64 |  Van Avermaet | 74 | 72 | 72 | 69 | 78 | 74 |  Taubel | 73 | 65 | 69 | 73 | 78 | 61 |  Van Lerberghe | 74 | 66 | 75 | 74 | 77 | 75 |  Thomas | 73 | 58 | 72 | 67 | 77 | 72 |  Sinkeldam | 74 | 75 | 74 | 70 | 77 | 68 |  Schreurs | 72 | 67 | 75 | 75 | 77 | 72 | | Owen | 73 | 69 | 73 | 71 | 77 | 64 |  Maes | 78 | 65 | 76 | 71 | 77 | 60 |
As a predominantly flat cobbles race, there is one name that stands out to me as favourite, and that is Baugnies. His combination of Flat, Stamina and cobbles will make him tough to beat, and to back that up, he's one of the stronger riders on hills as well. His only shortcome is his sprint finish. Nolf, Taubel, Owen
, and Maes are in a similar vein to Baugnies in regards to their sprint, so a reduced group at the end is the outcome they are likely hoping for rather than a larger peloton.
Despite the flat rating on the profile, the hills could prove decisive here, and if that is the case, Van Avermaet and Sinkeldam could be the favourites from this group of Top 10 favourites. van Avermaet in particular is a strong podium candidate due to his versatility.
| Surname | FL | HIL | STA | RES | COB | SPR | | Tsatevich | 74 | 77 | 74 | 73 | 75 | 75 |  Schoonbroodt | 72 | 75 | 75 | 73 | 74 | 68 |  Menten | 71 | 73 | 73 | 75 | 75 | 67 |  Marcos | 74 | 73 | 71 | 65 | 74 | 74 | | Insausti | 70 | 64 | 76 | 73 | 77 | 57 |  Eeckhout | 72 | 61 | 71 | 71 | 77 | 64 | | Thomas | 73 | 58 | 72 | 67 | 77 | 72 | | Naesen | 75 | 72 | 77 | 73 | 76 | 77 | | Okbamariam | 73 | 65 | 70 | 73 | 76 | 72 | | Flaksis | 70 | 65 | 75 | 70 | 76 | 61 | | Lindeman | 73 | 64 | 72 | 69 | 76 | 74 | | Domene | 73 | 57 | 73 | 68 | 76 | 74 |
Tsatevich is here as the strongest puncheur and while the hills may not be difficult enough to create major gaps, they may help to keep him the strongest once its time to lift the pace and perhaps he will try a move on one of the hills, rather than on cobbles. Schoonbroodt
looks like another solid contender, but just lacks that finishing speed. With one of the better STA+RES combos, he might be a dark horse for a Top 5 of the outsiders group due to his versatility as well. Marcos and Lindeman
will be hoping for a sprint, likely, but watch out for either of them if they make it into the decisive group. The same can be said for Naesen who has the 2nd best STA behind Baugnies, and great all-round ability as well. In fact Naesen may be considered the strongest of the "outsiders" and really wouldn't be out of place if he won here. With two of his team-mates aforementioned already, he's got good support to do so as well. Thomas has the cobble abilities, but his lack of HILL and RES may harm him here. He will need to try something on the cobbles and create a gap to those with a better
| Surname | FL | HIL | STA | RES | COB | SPR | FGH | | Wallays | 72 | 75 | 72 | 71 | 64 | 64 | 82 | | Bovenhuis | 73 | 71 | 74 | 70 | 74 | 62 | 79 | | Kuznetsov | 76 | 70 | 75 | 73 | 69 | 72 | 76 | | Albert | 72 | 66 | 71 | 69 | 75 | 60 | 76 | | van den Berg | 76 | 64 | 75 | 76 | 75 | 70 | 75 | | Quicibal | 78 | 68 | 69 | 71 | 63 | 62 | 75 | | Sinkeldam | 74 | 75 | 74 | 70 | 77 | 68 | 75 | | Novardianto | 76 | 68 | 70 | 78 | 69 | 73 | 74 | | Hagen | 68 | 75 | 74 | 72 | 65 | 71 | 74 |
Just for fun, I decided to look at who might have a chance if they decide to join the breakaway. Obviously Sinkeldam is more of a favourite, but this shows that if he's allowed to go clear early on, he may never be brought back. Someone like Bovenhuis or Albert would be extremely dangerous due to their cobble rating, but Kuznetsov and Novardianto while being weaker on cobbles are not that bad, and definitely have the skills to do well if they can somehow stay in the lead group past the final cobble section.
Spoiler | Martin | Lavric | | Adastra N Hell Energy Cycling | | Sergio | Higuita | | Adastra N Hell Energy Cycling | | Remy | Rochas | | Adastra N Hell Energy Cycling | | Markus | Wildauer | | Adastra N Hell Energy Cycling | | Lorents Ola | Aasvold | | Adastra N Hell Energy Cycling | | Martin | Grashev | | Adastra N Hell Energy Cycling | | Krzysztof | Marchewka | | Adastra N Hell Energy Cycling | | Valentin | Stoenchev | | Adastra N Hell Energy Cycling | | Jelle | Wallays | | Andorra Cycling Project | | Albert | Kireva | | Andorra Cycling Project | | Einer Augusto | Rubio | | Andorra Cycling Project | | Kevin | Eeckhout | | Andorra Cycling Project | | Jens | Reynders | | Andorra Cycling Project | | Nils | Eekhoff | | Andorra Cycling Project | | Didier | Munyaneza | | Bralirwa - Stevens Bikes | | Jonas | Rutsch | | Bralirwa - Stevens Bikes | | Samuel | Mugisha | | Bralirwa - Stevens Bikes | | Houcaine | El Sabbahi | | Bralirwa - Stevens Bikes | | Tesfom | Okbamariam | | Bralirwa - Stevens Bikes | | El Mehdi | Chokri | | Bralirwa - Stevens Bikes | | Oliver | Naesen | | Bralirwa - Stevens Bikes | | Bob | Schoonbroodt | | Bralirwa - Stevens Bikes | | Ramon | Sinkeldam | | Carlsberg - Danske Bank | | Erik Nordsaeter | Resell | | Carlsberg - Danske Bank | | Arturs | Belevics | | Carlsberg - Danske Bank | | Mads Ostergaard | Kristensen | | Carlsberg - Danske Bank | | Joel | Suter | | Carlsberg - Danske Bank | | Laurens | De Vreese | | Carlsberg - Danske Bank | | Erlend | Blikra | | Carlsberg - Danske Bank | | Frederik | Nolf | | Carrefour - ESPN | | Jakub | Skala | | Carrefour - ESPN | | Alexey | Tsatevich | | Carrefour - ESPN | | Thanawut | Sanikwathi | | Carrefour - ESPN | | Baptiste | Planckaert | | Carrefour - ESPN | | Janis | Dakteris | | Carrefour - ESPN | | Julius | van den Berg | | Farfetch Pro Cycling | | Jodok | Salzmann | | Farfetch Pro Cycling | | Viktor | Verschaeve | | Farfetch Pro Cycling | | Inigo | Elosegui | | Farfetch Pro Cycling | | Milan | Menten | | Farfetch Pro Cycling | | Steff | Cras | | Farfetch Pro Cycling | | Zisis | Soulious | | Farfetch Pro Cycling | | Enzo | Wouters | | Farfetch Pro Cycling | | Carl Fredrik | Hagen | | Guave's Sunlight Cycling | | Christoph | Taubel | | Guave's Sunlight Cycling | | Irakli | Bablidze | | Guave's Sunlight Cycling | | Sylvain | Moniquet | | Guave's Sunlight Cycling | | Dylan | Page | | Guave's Sunlight Cycling | | Leonardo | Marchiori | | Guave's Sunlight Cycling | | Kevin | Feiereisen | | Guave's Sunlight Cycling | | Genki | Yamamoto | | Guave's Sunlight Cycling | | Romeo | Quicibal | | Los Pollos Hermanos | | Jerome | Baugnies | | Los Pollos Hermanos | | Luca | Sterbini | | Los Pollos Hermanos | | Samuel | Coronel | | Los Pollos Hermanos | | Vitalii | Novakowskyi | | Los Pollos Hermanos | | Jose Gerardo | Ulloa | | Los Pollos Hermanos | | Andre Alexander | Gonzales | | Los Pollos Hermanos | | Fulgencio | Bru | | Los Pollos Hermanos | | Connor W | Brown | | McCormick Pro Cycling | | Jakob | Rathe | | McCormick Pro Cycling | | Samuele | Menicucci | | McCormick Pro Cycling | | Zeke | Mostov | | McCormick Pro Cycling | | Noah | Granigan | | McCormick Pro Cycling | | Luc | Wirtgen | | McCormick Pro Cycling | | Kristofer | Gunnlaugsson | | McCormick Pro Cycling | | Niels | Albert | | Minions | | Leandro | Marcos | | Minions | | Tareq | Esmaeli | | Minions | | Andzs | Flaksis | | Minions | | Mikkel | Bjerg | | Minions | | Clement | Champoussin | | Minions | | Bert-Jan | Lindeman | | Minions | | Vojtech | Hacecky | | Minions | | Jasper | Bovenhuis | | Philips | | Tomas | Paprstka | | Philips | | Bert | Van Lerberghe | | Philips | | Geert | Van der Sanden | | Philips | | Gorazd | Per | | Philips | | Marten | Kooistra | | Philips | | Michel | Kreder | | Philips | | Darren | Matthews | | Podium Ambition | | Jyme | Bridges | | Podium Ambition | | Logan | Owen | | Podium Ambition | | Jon Ander | Insausti | | Podium Ambition | | David | Dekker | | Podium Ambition | | Ramon | Domene | | Podium Ambition | | Kristian | Vanderpool | | Podium Ambition | | Bram | Welten | | Podium Ambition | | Nicola | Boem | | Sotto il sole di riccione | | Simone | Consonni | | Sotto il sole di riccione | | Andrea Enrico | Maccagli | | Sotto il sole di Riccione | | Matteo | Pelucchi | | Sotto il sole di riccione | | Matic | Veber | | Sotto il sole di riccione | | Andrea | Pasqualon | | Sotto il sole di riccione | | Riccardo | Lucca | | Sotto il sole di riccione | | Giovanni | Lonardi | | Sotto il sole di Riccione | | Vyacheslav | Kuznetsov | | Strava | | Jan | Oelerich | | Strava | | Damien | Gaudin | | Strava | | Greg | Van Avermaet | | Strava | | Roger | Kluge | | Strava | | Daniel | Oss | | Strava | | Gregorio | Ferri | | Strava | | Kristian | Sbaragli | | Strava | | Rok | Korosec | | Trans Cycling Team | | Andre | Sotberg | | Trans cycling team | | Geraint | Thomas | | Trans cycling team | | Tesfay | Abraha | | Trans cycling team | | James | Knox | | Trans cycling team | | Cristian | Munoz | | Trans Cycling Team | | Luka | Mezgec | | Trans cycling team | | Mohammad | Ganjkhanlou | | Trans cycling team | | Nikolas | Maes | | Tryg - Ritter Sport | | Aksel | Nommela | | Tryg - Ritter Sport | | Frank | Awuku | | Tryg - Ritter Sport | | Anthon | Charmig | | Tryg - Ritter Sport | | Rasmus | Iversen | | Tryg - Ritter Sport | | Frederik | Rodenberg | | Tryg - Ritter Sport | | Magnus Bak | Klaris | | Tryg - Ritter Sport | | Kristjan | Johanson | | Tryg - Ritter Sport | | Jamalidin | Novardianto | | Xero Racing | | Shaun Nick | Bester | | Xero Racing | | Bachirou | Nikiema | | Xero Racing | | Robert | Stannard | | Xero Racing | | Yacine | Hamza | | Xero Racing | | Salim | Kipkemboi | | Xero Racing | | Hamish | Schreurs | | Xero Racing | | Jason | Tesson | | Xero Racing |
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| baseballlover312 |
Posted on 24-06-2021 22:56
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Tour de France Champion
Posts: 16429
Joined: 27-07-2011
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Flat cobbles are really where Sinkeldam is at his best, so he figures to be weaker than some of the guys he's beaten in hillier races. Nolf and Baugnies should be the strongest here I think. For us, it will be about Sinkeldam making the front group, and maybe hoping De Vreese has a good day for depth points.
RIP Exxon Duke, David Veilleux, Double Feature, and Monster Energy |
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| Ulrich Ulriksen |
Posted on 25-06-2021 02:18
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Directeur Sportif
Posts: 3262
Joined: 02-11-2010
PCM$: 300.00
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A good chance for Rathe to overperform. Hopefully he can take strength from the team performance in the ToA.
Thanks for the preview.
Man Game: McCormick Pro Cycling |
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| cunego59 |
Posted on 25-06-2021 02:29
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Team Manager
Posts: 6508
Joined: 14-09-2008
PCM$: 1090.00
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Second to last chance for our cobble squad to shine. Hopefully we can get a good haul of points!
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| AbhishekLFC |
Posted on 25-06-2021 07:13
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Directeur Sportif
Posts: 11676
Joined: 27-07-2015
PCM$: 1861.50
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Hoping for more good things from our trio in this race. Should suit them well. Thanks for the preview 
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| Marcovdw |
Posted on 25-06-2021 08:37
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Grand Tour Champion
Posts: 7593
Joined: 04-07-2012
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A last trip down to C2, make the best of it!
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| Nemolito |
Posted on 25-06-2021 10:20
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Classics Specialist
Posts: 3367
Joined: 20-04-2020
PCM$: 425.00
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Come on Baugnies, make me proud! Penultimate race for him as for most CT cobblers, but this should suit him way better than Kigali, so I do hope he scores points here. Only way to score decent points in C2 is to finish very high, but with his skillset that should definitely be possible.
Quicibal might have enjoyed reading that he is a breakaway option, but I've made him clear that he will have to work very hard to reel the break back in. If he dares to join the break now, I blame you 
Thanks for a nice preview!
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| TheManxMissile |
Posted on 25-06-2021 13:22
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Tour de France Champion
Posts: 18187
Joined: 12-05-2012
PCM$: 0.00
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Lets make the PCT proud!
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| baseballlover312 |
Posted on 26-06-2021 18:04
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Tour de France Champion
Posts: 16429
Joined: 27-07-2011
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Well, that was about as bad as it could possibly go. No result for us at all is disappointing obviously. Glad Sinkeldam at least tried to attack once, but he visibly sat up in the finale, which is obviously always frustrating.
This should have been a great type of race for De Vreese, but this is the 3rd or 4th time this year he has done one of these stupid mid range attacks and not reached the break, only to cook himself. No idea what the game sees in him for that to be so common.
Thanks to valv for a very detailed report! Congrats to Nemo, and nice to see GVA actually doing well too.
RIP Exxon Duke, David Veilleux, Double Feature, and Monster Energy |
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| Ollfardh |
Posted on 26-06-2021 19:20
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World Champion
Posts: 14563
Joined: 08-08-2011
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Baugnies! Pollos to PCT!
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
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| Ad Bot |
Posted on 22-11-2024 20:23
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| Nemolito |
Posted on 26-06-2021 19:36
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Classics Specialist
Posts: 3367
Joined: 20-04-2020
PCM$: 425.00
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Spoiler SIIIIUUUUUUUUUUUUUU
Not gonna lie Valverde, you had me at the edge of my seat. I really thought you were foreshadowing and the break was going to survive, but thanks to a strong move by Taubel, an elite trio finally made it back.
Baugnies is not the best sprinter, but I've seen him outsprint way better sprinters in HC as well, which might be because of his stamina and just having more in the tank near the end. No depth points for us, but I can live with that 
Thanks for the great report to finish an amazing day for Los Pollos!
Don't know if these results are enough for a top-7/promotion, but they surely can't do any harm
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| Marcovdw |
Posted on 26-06-2021 20:00
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Grand Tour Champion
Posts: 7593
Joined: 04-07-2012
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Sixth and twelfth, I'll definitely take that! As far as mandatory C2 races go, picking up some points is always good.
Thanks for the report valverde321 and congrats Nemolito!
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| cunego59 |
Posted on 26-06-2021 23:21
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Team Manager
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Hmm. 7th by Naesen is not ideal. Without the breakaway, that would have been 5th, and maybe more if the final kilometers were less hectic and a more coordinated bunch sprint. I liked Okbamariam attacking, but Schoonbroodt doing the same just a bit later was completely unnecessary. Still, he managed to finish 15th, which I guess makes it an okay result for us. Congrats Nemo, after a slow start, Baugnies really did assert himself as the top cobbler we expected him to be Not looking forward to Kigali all that much with the shape he's in Thanks for the report, valv!
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| TheManxMissile |
Posted on 26-06-2021 23:25
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Tour de France Champion
Posts: 18187
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Wolverine 4th without a single mention in the report until the line. Add Insausti and Domene to the Top20. Nice for a restricted C2 visit.
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| sammyt93 |
Posted on 26-06-2021 23:57
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Classics Specialist
Posts: 3634
Joined: 03-07-2012
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Seeing 2 in the break in a race we aren't even in is a nice moment for Sammarinese cycling, hopefully the nation can keep on developing.
Baugnies showing his class to get the win even if it looked like GVA had the better of him for a while.
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| AbhishekLFC |
Posted on 27-06-2021 13:51
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Directeur Sportif
Posts: 11676
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Incredible ride from Paprstka to get 5th after multiple attacks. Good job by Van Lerberghe to recover from being dropped and get 10th. Bovenhuis contributing as well makes it a good day for us.
Thanks for the report and congrats to Nemo
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![imgur.com/KlJUqDx.jpg[/img[img]]https://imgur.com/yUygrQ.jpg](https://imgur.com/KlJUqDx.jpg[/img[img]]https://imgur.com/yUygrQ.jpg)
