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Paris - Tours Discussion

24 hours are left until the MG month of September starts. And if you aren't thrilled about that already, hopefully you will be after reading this preview. As tomorrow Paris-Tours will be ridden!


One of the biggest classics on the C2HC calendar, Paris-Tours is mostly known as a sprinter classic. And a quick look at the profile confirms that this may be the best way to approach this race. However, its length (233.9 kilometers) as well as a few annoying speedbumps near the finish line also makes this race very prone to late attacks. And they can certainly be successful too: Both the very first (Ricco) and last (Kneisky) editions were won by late attacks!

pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_del.png Guarnieri82816677pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_sct.png Mezgec79776773
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_rot.png Van Heerden82736874pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_bnz.png Von Hoff79776671
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_sct.png Guillén81826166pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ccr.png Colbrelli79756174
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_bnz.png Carsi80825566pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_rot.png Wippert78826775
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_vad.png Manninen80806671pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_epc.png Modolo78817375
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_gcn.png Keukeleire80797073pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_del.png Kreder78807072
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_teb.png Nizzolo80796470pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_vad.png Liepins78796673
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_emo.png Vanoverschelde80756274pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_teb.png Boev78786574
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_rot.png Coutinho79806575pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_emo.png Krasnov78776372
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_cpl.png Matthews79796472pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_bdb.png Angarita78776271

With the unpredictability of late attacks however, most eyes during the race will be on the very best sprinters of the Continental Tour, which have already met each other quite a few times this season. Not a single rider has completely dominated those sprints, though Guarnieri had had the most success and is also the best overall sprinter on paper. Therefore, he can be regarded as a favourite.

Then on the list of favourites are three sprinters that are each (respectfully) handicapped in some way. Van Heerden famously lacks acceleration and will have to hope for a short sprint. Carsi and Guillén struggle to get themself in a good position and may also not be entirely fresh after 233 bumpy kilometres. Specially those two should perform worse than this list predicts.

More hopeful should be Manninen, Keukeleire, Nizzolo and Vanoverschelde, the other “80” sprinters here today. Especially Manninen and Keukeleire have a very balance skillset and should be able to challenge Guarnieri for the win. Nizzolo and Vanoverschelde might have some more trouble to get over the hills, though Vanoverschelde's stamina could help him a little.

Outsiders for this race are Coutinho and Matthews, who both are very decent sprinters but might lack the top speed to annoy the top favourites. On the right part of the list we see riders who should only be aiming for a top 5-result at best. Modolo and Kreder (if Guarnieri has a bad day) might benefit from a hard day and could overperform, though.

Potential Late Attackers
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_spr.png Mundle796569pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ofr.png Van Wyk766368
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_epc.png Ratto796073pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_epc.png Katrasnik766168
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ccr.png Kluge786875pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_epc.png Quispe765170
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_epc.png Quicibal786866pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ofr.png Van Poppel756778
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_del.png Van der Haar777270pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_sct.png Zhupa756768
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_vad.png Aaltio776861pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ada.png Yzeiraj756568
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_epc.png Kangangi767365pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_del.png Verbist756264

And as already announced, there's always a chance for a late attack to stay ahead of the peloton. It's hard to predict who will try so, as many of the strongers riders of the flat will be blocked by having to lead out their sprinter. Not taking this into account, espcially Van der Haar and Kangangi look dangerous due to their punch. However, riders like Mundle, Ratto, Kluge and Quicibal and many more may show up and decide to give it all or nothing in the finale.


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Posted on 12-07-2020 03:18
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Last goal of the season (besides team standings). Need a top 5 here!

Lengthwise the race should suit Guarnieri well, but of course, he hasn't really delivered in C2 or C2HC races this season, so we'll see. I hope we have a strong enough team to control things, but of course it's always hard to predict how Paris - Tours will pan out.

Looking forward to the report!
I decided to take a risk for this one and leave my sprinters at home and bring guys to try and steal the win with a late attack/ guys with good stamina to try and make sure we definitely have someone in the final group as I want convinced my sprinters had the stamina for it and wanted to see what Mundle could do with Andrew role and no sprinter to work for.
oh we in this? honestly im checked out with all these super long breaks inbetween
Manager of the greatest team in the world
DK Žalgiris
Give us a top 10 Matthews and I'm happy Smile

Thank you so much for the preview Vien, looking forward to this classic!
Wow, the one year I don't bring the sprinters is the one year it all stays together, isn't as hard as normal and no big names get dropped.

I guess that gamble couldn't have gone worse, at least we got a little TV time for the sponsors.
Wow.... Krasnov is a real animal Smile Thanks for the report and for that joke Wink
I’ll take second, but not at all happy with the team performance. We have the by far best sprinter on paper, yet we’re not relaying in the peleton, and we’re not giving him a lead-out. I don’t get it.

Still awaiting that first race win, then!
Decent 6th place from Matti, though it would have been nice if we had saved someone to help him I bit in the final.


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Well it's racing I can't complain Smile
Terrible race...the boys did absolutely nothing except Reddish in the breakaway...look we gotta forget about it and move on

Thanks for the report!
Congrats to the winner!
For my squad it was definitely not what I was looking for.
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