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Tour of Southland Discussion
roturn
i187.photobucket.com/albums/x62/Smowz/Saxobank%20pcm%20story/Southland_zpse881d3d8.jpg

It`s the 3rd MG edition of the Tour of Southland in New Zealand after after a year in the CT won by Thiago Nardin, it`s back in the PCT, where Froome already won the first edition in 2012.
Different to the last two editions though, where we saw a mix of flat stages, a short TTT and 2 short hill finishes, we have quite a different route. First it`s cut to 6 stages only, then a short TTT and a ITT but the most important is that next to the usual Bluff Hill we have a really tough mountain top finish this year on Coronet Peak.

This obviously makes the race favourites rather different to last two editions with the climbers having their race this year and so we have a lot of top climbers:

MountainHill
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/csc.png Abal8170
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/rep.png Kiserlovski8075
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/ven.png Duarte8068
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/mac.png Pedraza7972
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/ken.png Samwel7970
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/jag.png Berhane7875
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/kap.png Marzano7873
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/mei.png Ji7875
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/mac.png Vasquez7764
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/pbn.png Topchanyuk7773
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/csc.png Plaza7772
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/del.png Raisin7667
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/fcb.png Nieve7673
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/mac.png Torres7662
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/ozc.png Bennett7674
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/rep.png Ortega7665
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/rep.png Briceno7670
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/csc.png Lloret7673

In especially CSC with Abal and Plaza have a strong duo here, while Kiserlovski also has nice support. So those two might be top favourites with the next being pretty close together.
It will be very interesting to see how much influence the Bluff Hill stage has as some of the climbers don`t feel very comfortable on the smaller climbs.
A special mention to George Bennet. The Oz rider is the home lands best GC hope and one of the best Kiwi cyclists anyway. The other three Kiwis as also the NZ home team Fletcher might hope for decent stage results or breakaway appearances.

For that stage though we have a few more specialists, who are going to try to grab a stage win there:

MountainHill
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/mei.png Zaini6679
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/afr.png Hategeka7277
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/b3b.png Lloyd7376
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/ozc.png Jiao7276
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/pbn.png Konovalovas6876
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/mag.png Simon6476


With only two sprint stages left, it`s obviously not as much a sprinter race as before. But still a lot of sprinters found their way to New Zealand:

FlatSprintAcceleration
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/mei.png Lo Cicero728478
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/ven.png Corioni748076
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/pbn.png Vanoverschelde728075
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/flg.png Meyer728076
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/abc.png Castañeda718079
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/jag.png Bennett717979
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/spr.png Awang647983
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/mag.png Drujon737878
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/cpl.png Park707877
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/mac.png Rizza717873
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/afr.png Abdallah687876
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/rep.png Brea717876
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/mei.png Modolo727777
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/met.png Vasylyuk727776
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/ozc.png Giacoppo707775
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/kap.png Cucinotta737776
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/rep.png Nielsen687778
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/b3b.png Chicchi717776

No question that Meiji with Lo Cicero are top favourites for both sprint stages. With Meyer and Awang also two CT sprinters are in the mix of the top spots here.

And with a time trial for the individuals and the team also some strong time trialists are at the start. Here just a very few:

i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/ozc.png Ford6381
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/ozc.png Olman6879
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/jag.png Tennant7778
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/sbp.png Johansson7077
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/csc.png Plaza7177
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/met.png Ma7677
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/met.png Zmorka7077
i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/csc.png Abal6877


i.imgur.com/MecFggc.jpg
 
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tsmoha
Has probably been asked before, but i forgot about it: the icons on the profiles are quite confusing. Which of the timetrials is the TTT now? Wasn't the prologue meant to be the ITT this year?
 
roturn
The symbols in the profiles are correct.
First a short ITT prologue. Then a TTT on the 4th day.

Only the stage names seem to be old ones.
Edited by roturn on 17-12-2014 16:54
 
Alakagom
Should be nice tour this. I fancy Abal and strong CSC team to finally grab their first overall win this time round. Cheering on Pedraza hopefully Mobil with some luck as well.
pcmdaily.com/images/awards/2012/avatar.png


pcmdaily.com/images/awards/2012/admin.png
 
fjhoekie
Will be interesting to see how well Topchanyuk can do here without Efimkin to help him out.

Vanoverschelde should not even be mentioned in a preview anymore...

EDIT: Aidan, where is Maksimov? Sad Would've loved to see him here again...
Edited by fjhoekie on 17-12-2014 16:58
Manager of Team Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska in the PCM.Daily Man-Game
 
sammyt93
I think my best hope is that Chavanne can show some of his potential in the opening Prologue, that or we feature in the break a lot. Awang struggles enough against the CT sprinters so I doubt he'll do anything on the flat stages here against the PCT's best.
 
tsmoha
roturn wrote:
The symbols in the profiles are correct.
First a short ITT prologue. Then a TTT on the 4th day.


Yes, that's what i thought, too Wink

Then i do have some goals here:

1) Winning the prologue

2) Either Bennett or Jiao doing well on Bluff Hill to have a nice GC-place prior to Coronet Peak

3) Racing a good TTT, even though i can't really give a prediction there
 
Miguel98
Brought two pure climbers here, looking for a top 10. But I'll bet both of them will loose 20 minutes on the hilly stage, and be nowhere in the mountain stage.
 
Mresuperstar
It doesn't get much better than this. Abal is in the perfect position to get our first overall victory. I want to believe he can do it but I have this weird feeling something will go wrong. I'm think the leadership roles between Plaza and Abal this time.

For some reason Plaza usually has a better ITT and he will probably out perform Abal on Bluff Hill. Which will mess the game up for our team going into Stage 5.

Perfect scenario is Abal gets yellow on Day 1 and doesn't look back. Smile
 
https://twitter.com/Mresuperstar
SportingNonsense
Hopefully will be a good race for Jaguar. Should do fairly well in the TTT to set up Berhane for a strong GC result
farm8.staticflickr.com/7458/9357923136_f1e68270f3_n.jpg
 
sutty68
Something tells me that my Stobart guys are going to get well and truly hammered here, ahh well Sad
 
jaxika
I think this will be again a race to forget Wink
 
aidanvn13
Don't really have anything to achieve here. Maybe Hategeka will do something on the hilly finish, but they're really hard to predict. I just hope we'll see a better AI than in the US.
Manager of
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2020/Micros/afr.png Project: Africa pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2020/Micros/afr.png
 
DubbelDekker
Fond memories of this one. Can't defend the title though; it's a completely different race this time.
i.imgur.com/5iNQj.png
 
FroomeDog99
Took a gamble sending Samwel here, hopefully he won't lose too much time in the TT's and get a good GC on stage five.
 
valverde321
Hopefully I win every single stage apart from the TT's and a Top 10. Thats the goal here Pfft

Knowing PCM, the hill stage will probably go to a breakaway or no one will attack and Zaini wont do anything.
 
Avin Wargunnson
Pretty much a race planner filler for us, with TT focus for our lineup + Vasylyuk. Top5 in ITT and TTT should be doable and these are the goals. Or maybe ww can finally join some lucky break here, or hang on the big peloton on "mountain" stage.

Popkov can do well in GC (maybe top15) with less selective hardest stage.

Nice preview Roturn, but i miss the TTT one. Pfft


I'll be back
 
Stevenag
Why did I let Marzano do this, while Pozzovivo is doing Tour de Stupid?
I should be sacked from my job.

 
tsmoha
Ford came...

Ford saw...

Ford won Cool

Feel a bit sorry for Olman, who always comes short on his teammate on such stages... In other news, i would actually prefer losing yellow tomorrow. Don't really trust the AI when Ford would enter Bluff Hill as the man in yellow Smile
 
fjhoekie
Disappointed Konovalovas couldn't get a top 20 here, especially when Ulanowski did in the USAPCC...

Topchanyuk losing time was predicted.
Manager of Team Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska in the PCM.Daily Man-Game
 
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