I'm in Bayern Rundfarth and have only the last stage to go. I currently have the first and second place due to a bit of luck. they are occupied by Alexander Kristoff and my created rider.
Before the last stage the situation is this:
Overall GC:
1. Created rider (time trailer)
2. Alexander Kristoff + 5 sec
3. Schumacher +27 sec
Point Classification:
1. Kristoff 80
2. Schumacher 64
It's a flat stage with 3 intermediate sprints, that means there are 18 seconds to gain aswell as 25, 12 and 8 seconds to whoever comes in 1st, 2nd and 3rd at the finish.
The main problem for me is that I would like the created rider to win, but I also want the points jersey. If I come in at the first 3 places at the finish, then I would secure the point jersey, but Kristoff would take the GC, which isn't bad (it's actually quite good).
If I don't try to win the sprint with Kristoff then I risk losing the green jersey. I also can't get any intermediate points because there's only 5 seconds between 1st and 2nd.
I've cracked some numbers and I've come to the conclusion that if Schumacher wins the sprint then I would have to come in at 7th or better with Kristoff to secure the jersey, but I can't be better then 4th! And in a sprint it's quite difficult to aim for either 4th, 5th or 6th.
Does anyone have any ideas as to what I should do?
The only problem is that he has 53 in sprints so it's a bit or a risk. I also risk Schumacher taking the 2nd or 3rd palce which means that he could possibly overtake Kristoff by getting a good result at the finish.
He has 71 in SP and 73 in ACC, but still he has been either 2nd or 3rd on the 3 earlier flat stages.
Edit: I should point out that due to very agressive riding by me (ripped the peloton to shreds every time there was a tiny climb) as good as every sprinter with more then 72 was blocked and ended up in groups for behind. There arn't that many good riders there, but I believe there are 4-5 with 74 or 75 in SP.
I suppose that if I simply take it easy and let the peloton take it somewhat easy the field will to good for Schumacher.
Edited by cactus-jack on 28-08-2011 16:00