Contracts in the Management Game
Given I've got very little to do at the moment, I decided to have a quick look at people's renewals, and then decided to try and analyse the renewal costs of riders. The aim was to try and find how good a wage each rider had.
To get this, we use a fairly complex formula, which takes into account that wages grow approximately exponentially with wage. This formula involves comparing the wage of a rider divided by their average, and then comparing this to the expected value that this should be (the expected value is generated from looking at all the riders and taking averages).
Basically, we look at average and wage, put it through a formula, and get a number. The larger the number, the better the renewal, the smaller the worse.
We must also remember that these numbers do not show how good a team or rider is, just how suitable a wage is for a rider, looking at only average and wage. So it doesn't take into account individual stats, past performance, previous wage etc.
So, onwards to some numbers:
Top 10 Contracts
Name
Team
Average
Wage
Cost Ratio
Janez Brajkovic
Domina Vacanze
79
€575,000
4,518
Alberto Contador
Festina – Conec
79
€590,000
4,000
Sam Bewley
Milka – Vittel
81
€750,000
3,879
Domenico Pozzovivo
Cerne
79.2
€600,000
3,797
Markus Fothen
Pearl Adidas
79.2
€600,000
3,797
Bernhard Eisel
Bimbo Nutella
77
€330,000
3,668
Wim De Vocht
Pearl Adidas
75
€110,000
3,644
Angel Madrazo
Santander
78
€750,000
3,562
Andrei Kasheckin
Webeffect
78
€420,750
3,556
Andrei Grivko
Team B&O
75
€115,000
3,444
So the best value for money rider is Domina Vacanze's Janez Brajkovic. He's a very good rider, having taken 2nd in last year's Paris-Nice, although his last season was slightly disappointing, as he could only manage 33rd in the individual rankings (he's the 23rd best rider in the game on average).
Perhaps the best deals though were for Wim De Vocht (Pearl Adidas) and Andrei Grivko (Team B&O). De Vocht has 78 in cobbles, and is a fantastic domestique for Enrico Franzoi in the cobble classics, whilst Grivko is a fantastic all-round domestique, with 74 in mountain and 76 in hill. These two are the kind of domestiques managers want, with the wages managers can normally only dream of.
Average Cost Ratio for each team
So, now that we have a cost ratio for every rider, we can look at the average to get a rough indication of how well each team has negotiated.
Santander and Pearl Adidas appear to be clear leaders. Santander only had 2 riders who perhaps should have been given lower wage, but only just (Didac Ortega with cost ratio of -126, Aitor Galdos with cost ratio of -152). Angel Madrazo was their best deal.
Pearl Adidas only had 3 riders with a negative cost ratio, and by far the worst of these was Romain Vanderbiest, with a cost ratio of -1,956. Markus Fothen and Wim De Vocht were the two star performances, both going for cost ratios above 3,500.
Team Emu Export had 11 riders with a negative cost ratio, with 6 riders below -1500, and 3 riders below -3,000. The worst was Hipolito Elias Martino, a 50k domestique with a cost ratio of -4,310. With an average of only 61.6, it would seem it would have been better to have let him go. But given his experience level is only 1, it seems to be an investment in the future (which we always like).
Wikipedia only had 4 riders with negative cost ratios, with the best at only -12. It's the trio of Zabriskie, Phinney and Van Garderen that let the rest down, with all 3 in the worst ten contracts. But they're very good riders, although Zabriskie may be leaving the team in the upcoming transfer period.
So there we have a quick look at contracts, which we'll return to at the end of the transfer period. If you want more information on the cost ratios for your team, either post here or PM me.
And for this result you want free beer? (Especially german beer)
I will give you a pat on the back but not more
Someone else have to give you free beer so you have to hope for some scandinavian
Team Bianchi - 2012 Man-Game ProContinental Tour Champions
Well those numbers are not quite happy to read if we look at my team though I'm pretty sure that Serpa will still be of great use due to his many race days and high climbing skill. It's pretty much about putting him in the correct races, something I managed pretty well last year.
One thing is clear though and I think the numbers pretty much sums it up and that is the fact that more quality is needed!
This is another excellent little stats bit here, of course two more riders who would be interesting to note are Boonan and Spilak who would like command high wages for Warner Brothers.
Given that 50,000 is the minimum wage and a lot of teams have riders under development I was wondering if the ratios could be considered without those 50K riders or at least with out the non maxed out riders. John Degonkolb is an example here of a rider with a great future so it makes sense for Pokerstars to pay that wage.
But big claps to you Crommy for coming up with this!
Yea, i stuffed up a bit. Didn't quite grasp the concept of how low we were supposed to go. But saying that i have a good base team at plenty of room for big signings in the upcoming season.
alexkr00 wrote:
Crommy, what was Plaza's cost ratio? I think he has quite a good contract for his average.
His cost ratio was -756. But looking at him, he looks excellent value for money
You don't have to tell me about it. Even though he had quite an amazing season with podiums in Catalunya and California, stage wins in Vuelta and Asturias and almost on the overall podium in La Vuelta, he barely asked for an increase for his already medium wage.
Shocking, Sella overpriced, who would have guess that?
I'm actually pretty surprised i'm still "winning" money after contract renewals, i really thought i was losing tons of cash.
3 of my leaders are newly developed riders, so I'm not surprised they are good value for money, that said, Madrazo's average is 81, not 78 so it may be even better value than you think.
[url=www.pcmdaily.com/forum/viewthread.php?thread_id=33182]Team Santander Media Thread[/url]
