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Ayubowan! | PCT 2016
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| jph27 |
Posted on 24-02-2017 14:29
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Croatia14 wrote:
great peace of work jph! I'd say Telkom > Hugo Boss and Generali > Coldeportes though...
a close one between Ayubowan and Strava additzionally
Thanks - I put Telkom behind Hugo Boss due to the effect I expect America to have on their PPRD, and also because of the fact that the remaining races for Hugo Boss play to their strengths. With Generali and Coldeportes, it was mainly due to the potential for Guerao to score heavily in HC races, and also the fact that I expect Uran to ride the two mountain races.
I wouldn't expect it to be close between Ayubowan and Strava though. Strava are well ahead right now and I can't see us catching them unless they no-score in Rheden - the massive score they'll likely get there plus the depth they have in the remaining races should be more than enough. Much more likely that it'll be close between Ayubowan and Meiji in my opinion.
dev4ever wrote:
woah awesome overview and prediction there! cant find much to disagree with either!
Thanks, good to hear from someone else involved in the promotion battle! |
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| Croatia14 |
Posted on 26-02-2017 23:33
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I guess our differences are just a fair thing of beliefs and different judgements that are marginal...
what I see in Generali is that they have plenty of upside surprising material, while Coldeportes has just the two guys that are either successful or can fail big time - maybe the most unpredictable variable here...
with Telkom looking at the first hilly stage your predictions look decent - but then again, the Africans have so much firepower there...but I'd love to see Boss marching through, and indeed, on the right side of the luck they can score massively with their puncheurs team
for your side it's just the classical "hoping for the best but expecting the worst" - a statement I very much like to use for my own side - for Meiji to come close it needs a Kinoshita that dominates further in the upcoming races, as all other guys only look like secondary scorers currently - and tbh I also see more scoring potential in your team than in Stravas for the last races (really depending on depth results in Rehden, which could become a crazy race), but the advantage they have indeed is pretty handy
Either way, a lot of happy faces with your predictions and quite some of my favourite teams including yours up there: Fantastic! I would really like to see a real go of yours in the WT next year jph 
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| valverde321 |
Posted on 27-02-2017 01:22
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World Champion
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Fantastic review of the promotion battle! I think you are pretty spot on about us, in that it would require a pretty "perfect" final few races from Kinoshita for us to get into a promotion spot. He has been fairly unbeatable so far this year, so my thinking is it has to even out at some point. (I'm still hoping for a Japan Cup win though).
Now on the other hand, all my other key riders have severely under performed (imo) and even just a slight improvement from all of them in their final races, plus only a slight reduction in Kinoshita's performances (which is what I expect) could see us challenge one of the last few promotion spots as well.
At the very least it should be an exciting battle!
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| Croatia14 |
Posted on 27-02-2017 09:02
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thought about it a little more and also Arrinera and Spotify might have a real chance of taking some big points and joining the battle, as some very good races fur puncheurs and sprinters are left on the line...
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| matt17br |
Posted on 27-02-2017 09:55
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what I see in Generali is that they have plenty of upside surprising material, while Coldeportes has just the two guys that are either successful or can fail big time - maybe the most unpredictable variable here...
I have Ulissi, he can be successful or fail big time from now to the end of the season 
I'd also put us above Coldeportes, but it's going to be close.
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| Croatia14 |
Posted on 27-02-2017 10:02
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matt17br wrote:
what I see in Generali is that they have plenty of upside surprising material, while Coldeportes has just the two guys that are either successful or can fail big time - maybe the most unpredictable variable here...
I have Ulissi, he can be successful or fail big time from now to the end of the season
disagree here, you have the depth to take one or two surprise results from brekaways or overperformances...I don't see the same for Coldeportes... |
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| knockout |
Posted on 02-03-2017 16:52
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Grand Tour Champion
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A bit late but very nice preview for the promotion fight. Would only be better if you would have included which leaders are expected in the final races (Iirc you asked some managers for their schedule anyway so would propably not be much more work) but great stuff anyway 
A Big Thank You To All MG Reporters! |
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| jph27 |
Posted on 09-03-2017 06:21
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Team Leader
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We sent a team containing 5 of our riders to the Tour de l'Avenir - Hugh Carthy, Suranga Ranaweera, Nihal Silva, Adith Umaya Kumara and Sanju Dimantha Sembukutti. They would be joined by Silvio Herklotz and Muhammad Suhaimi Ghani to create a team of 7 riders in our colours.
7th on Stage 3, Silvio Herklotz
4th on Stage 4, Silvio Herklotz
3rd on Stage 5, Silvio Herklotz
GC Lead on Stage 6, 7, 8 and 9, Silvio Herklotz
6th on Stage 6, Silvio Herklotz
2nd on Stage 7, Silvio Herklotz
5th on Stage 7, Hugh Carthy
1st on Stage 8, Silvio Herklotz
7th on Stage 8, Hugh Carthy
Points Lead on Stage 9 and 10
7th on Stage 10, Silvio Herklotz
2nd on GC, Silvio Herklotz
8th on GC, Hugh Carthy
23rd on GC, Suranga Ranaweera
1st in Points, Silvio Herklotz
4th in KoM, Silvio Herklotz
1st in Teams, Ayubowan! |
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| jph27 |
Posted on 20-03-2017 14:48
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Team Leader
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Tour of Britain
8th on Stage 4, Jonathan Bellis
7th on Stage 8, Chris Opie
16th on GC, Jonathan Bellis
18th on GC, Cyril Gautier
Tour of Ukraine
8th on Stage 2, Ian Bibby
4th on Stage 3, Ian Bibby
5th on Stage 5, Sameera Chatarunga
5th on GC, Ian Bibby
27th on GC, Tony Gallopin
8th in KoM, Ian Bibby
Rheden GP
37th, Christophe Laporte
Nantou Classic
8th, Cyril Gautier
14th, Adam Yates
25th, Jonathan Bellis
Milano - Torino
8th, Cyril Gautier
11th, Jonathan Bellis |
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| jph27 |
Posted on 24-03-2017 08:55
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One of the most unique features of Ayubowan this season is the number of developing riders. We had 12 riders of our own on the books who haven't yet reached their full potential, as well as 2 riders loaned out - Nidush Nirantha Fernando at Meiji, and Sanju Dimantha Sembukutti at Sauber.
Not all of those riders did develop, with Chris Opie, Naveen Ruchira and Sujith Silva unable to acquire the experience they needed. However the remaining 11 all did, and it's our pleasure to present to you those riders with their improved stats for the 2017 season.
The most notable of them is Adam Yates, who now becomes a rider who we hope can fight for the top 10 in any stage race he enters. Sameera Chatarunga and Hugh Carthy still have some developing to do but now become useful as domestiques - as does Madushanka Perera. Christophe Laporte and Suranga Ranaweera also have more development ahead but will prove useful now with their versatility. And Tushantha Rajapakshage, Nidush Nirantha Fernando, Nihal Silva, Sanju Dimantha Sembukutti and Amith Udaya Kumara have developed further also - but are still a season or two away from being anything more than squad fillers.
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| Croatia14 |
Posted on 24-03-2017 10:41
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Looks great, especially Yates. Give Yates that training and he'll be a star, he has everything it takes for that but an 80+ mountain stat.
Otherwise Carthy, Laporte and Chatarunga look really interesting, so does Ranaweera for the future.
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| SotD |
Posted on 24-03-2017 11:13
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It looks really nice. I like the look of that Carthy dude. But also Yates will be very cool especially after some training. Ranaweera and Chatarunga will also be very valuable.
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| jph27 |
Posted on 03-04-2017 07:10
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Team Leader
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Paris-Tours
17th, Adrien Petit
22nd Cyril Gautier
Giro dell'Emilia
10th, Adam Yates
18th, Cyril Gautier
20th, Jonathan Bellis
Tour du Faso
16th on GC, Christophe Laporte
21st on GC, Sameera Chatarunga
22nd on GC, Nihal Silva
2nd in Youth, Christophe Laporte
6th in Youth, Sameera Chatarunga
7th in Youth, Nihal Silva
Course de Solidarnosc
1st on Stage 3, Adrien Petit
3rd on Stage 4, Adrien Petit
4th on GC, Adrien Petit
41st on GC, Jonathan Bellis
5th in Points, Adrien Petit
Japan Cup
4th, Jonathan Bellis
7th, Cyril Gautier |
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| jph27 |
Posted on 03-04-2017 08:12
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We ended this season in 8th place in the team rankings, a better performance than we would ever have realistically hoped for at the start of the season. More importantly, we look to have secured our return to the PT for next season thanks to the enlargement of the division and the disbandment of our friends at Metinvest. We expect a challenging season ahead as a result, but things can only go better than they did last time!
| 1 |  | Wiesenhof - Andritz | 3616 | | 2 |  | Porto - Prio | 3079 | | 3 |  | Hugo Boss | 3019 | | 4 |  | Strava | 2916 | | 5 |  | Team Telkom for Africa | 2753 | | 6 |  | Spotify - Haglöfs | 2677 | | 7 |  | VisitUkraine p/b Nemiroff | 2588 | | 8 |  | Ayubowan! | 2564 | | 9 |  | Meiji - JR East | 2549 | | 10 |  | Generali - AXA | 2424 |
When you look at the individual rankings it's clear that our strength in depth really paid off. While our highest ranked rider was only 27th - with less than half the points of rankings winner Kinoshita - we managed to put 6 riders in the top 84 of the rankings. Particularly impressive here in our eyes are Yates and Ranaweera who scored more than we would ever have expected from them at the current stage in their development. As for the 5 riders who failed to score, they at least contributed as teammates through the season.
| 1 | Tomohiro Kinoshita | JPN | | Meiji - JR East | 1267 | | 2 | Andrei Amador | CRC |  | Team UBS | 1160 | | 3 | Ivano Lo Cicero | ITA |  | Valio - DeLaval | 1084 | | 4 | Thomas Dekker | NED |  | Compal-Merida | 1022 | | 5 | Luis Leon Sanchez Gil | ESP |  | Netia - Norske Skog | 966 | | 27 | Ian Bibby | GBR | | Ayubowan! | 592 | | 43 | Cyril Gautier | FRA | | Ayubowan! | 461 | | 52 | Jonathan Bellis | GBR | | Ayubowan! | 390 | | 62 | Adrien Petit | FRA | | Ayubowan! | 331 | | 72 | Thibaut Pinot | FRA | | Ayubowan! | 297 | | 84 | Adam Yates | GBR | | Ayubowan! | 234 | | 181 | Tony Gallopin | FRA | | Ayubowan! | 72 | | 223 | Asela Sisira | SRI | | Ayubowan! | 53 | | 248 | Suranga Ranaweera | SRI | | Ayubowan! | 44 | | 265 | Chris Opie | GBR | | Ayubowan! | 40 | | 338 | Christophe Laporte | FRA | | Ayubowan! | 22 | | 436 | Hugh Carthy | GBR | | Ayubowan! | 9 | | 444 | Sameera Chatarunga | SRI | | Ayubowan! | 9 | | 457 | Nihal Silva | SRI | | Ayubowan! | 8 | | 533 | Naveen Ruchira | SRI | | Ayubowan! | 2 | | 582 | Amith Udaya Kumara | SRI | | Ayubowan! | 0 | | 583 | Madushanka Perera | SRI | | Ayubowan! | 0 | | 584 | Sachin Dulanjana | SRI | | Ayubowan! | 0 | | 585 | Sujith Silva | SRI | | Ayubowan! | 0 | | 586 | Tushantha Rajapakshage | SRI | | Ayubowan! | 0 |
Where we fell down somewhat this season was in our goals. We planned them out with Gautier in mind, but his inability to share leadership with Bellis in most races doomed us somewhat. Still we managed to complete one goal and missed out upon another by only a few places, so it could have been far worse than it was.
| Giro dell'Emelia | Win | 5 | 10th, Adam Yates | | Strade Bianche | Win | 5 | 11th, Jonathan Bellis | | Clasica San Sebastian | Top 5 | 4 | 19th, Cyril Gautier | | Japan Cup | Top 5 | 4 | 4th, Jonathan Bellis | | Team Standings | Top 5 | 5 | 8th |
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| dev4ever |
Posted on 03-04-2017 08:58
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Good to see I wasnt the only one struggling with my goals Although I gotta admit that the most of your goals were a tad more realistic than mine!
Pretty impressive that you managed to promote (by the looks of things) with a talentbase this big, surely gotta be interesting to see how you will rebuild for PT this time around!
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| jph27 |
Posted on 03-04-2017 12:49
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Team Leader
Posts: 7340
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dev4ever wrote:
Good to see I wasnt the only one struggling with my goals Although I gotta admit that the most of your goals were a tad more realistic than mine!
Pretty impressive that you managed to promote (by the looks of things) with a talentbase this big, surely gotta be interesting to see how you will rebuild for PT this time around!
Mine were still a little ambitious - even with decent AI we probably would have failed most of them anyway
Thanks, was unexpected but makes developing them further a lot easier than I'd expected. Ideally we'll add a couple of leaders and build on the depth we had, look forward to seeing what you do with your hilly squad. |
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| jph27 |
Posted on 24-05-2017 18:34
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Team Leader
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Hi everyone,
As you may have noticed, I've not been active at all on the site (or on Skype) in recent times. A combination of personal issues and a lot of stress brought about by the exam period have pretty much made me unable to function for the past month or so, and as a result contributing on here has been pushed out of my list of priorities completely.
Even now I'm still not in a state where I feel I can contribute on a regular basis, but I hope that things will change for the better soon. I hope to remain involved in the Man-Game, but for the foreseeable future don't expect great activity from me - if by the time pre-season tasks begin I'm still unable to contribute then I will consider whether to disband my team in order to avoid delaying the game. But of course, I hope it doesn't come to that.
Just letting you all know so I don't seem to have disappeared without a trace. I'm still here, just less frequently than usual. |
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