After Kigali we're definitely finishing inside the Top20, and that's safe. I don't care about anything more than that! We've survived a heavily compromised year having lost Ewan and Yates to XP hunting, whilst the cobbles depatment have not lived up to expectations. But with PCT stability we'll get a max'd Ewan and Yates to add to Ricki, Talansky and Thomas/Burghardt. Add in the other stat gains we can have a quiet transfers just adding one or two riders and look to move up more solidly to the mid-table.
trekbmc wrote:
Very tense times for us, we've got no races left and now will have to just watch Valio. who look like they definitely have a decent chance, Vastaranta is an interesting man in Kigali and Gautier is always a potential for top 5 or podium in Japan...
Well I need 166 points (plus whatever points you may score). That means we need to podium both the remaining races incl. at least one win.
So far in the cobbles we have only had success when Brynjolfsson won from the break.
Realistically looking at previous performances this season I'd say around 50-60 pts total is the most realistic output.
Hmm, looks like I misjudged it a bit, maybe I looked at the wrong points? I still think Vastaranta could overperform at Kigali and technically with a win in Japan, you'd only need a top 10 in Kigali, though you're right it seems hard unless Gautier happens to win Japan or you steal Kigali with a breakaway.
2 pts in Kigali so now I just need a win and another rider in top 4 in the last race
Wouldn't 1st and 10th be enough?
Also, for Minions to 'bottle' it, 1st, 3rd and 6th in Japan for MOL, 2nd, 4th, 5th and 9th for Valio. Not looking good for the Minions.
Guess so, don't know what numbers I was looking at. Still can't see it happening though unless some crazy breakaway luck.
Just crunched the numbers after GP Kigali. Looks like we are in eighth right now, but just 32 points off fifth place going into the final race of the season in Japan.
That's certainly doable with a good race from TVG, but to leapfrog three teams on the final day of the season to take the last automatic promotion spot would be an incredible feat. Going to be crazy.
Pretty decent season from the team really, initially predicted finishing between 9-12, so i'm pleasantly surprised! SPAR can still jump us, but a top-10 looks comfortable regardless which is big for the team. Funny considering I think our team (bar Goss & Ji) have been super disappointing all year. Oh well
![imgur.com/KlJUqDx.jpg[/img[img]]https://imgur.com/yUygrQ.jpg](https://imgur.com/KlJUqDx.jpg[/img[img]]https://imgur.com/yUygrQ.jpg)
