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25-11-2024 19:10
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calculated stats based on FINAL results
TankNL
What I could do is implement a penalty into the mountain calculation, based on the points acquired in the sprints. That way top sprinters will end up with lower mountain stats.
 
Squire
Pretty impressive stuff if every stat just comes from calculation. Mountain stat is pretty spot on, and especially the hill stat.

I'm just wondering if it's possible to differentiate between different TT profiles? It seems like the TT stat of the climbers is a bit too high in some cases. Maybe you can disregard, or penalise, mountain TTs and very hilly TTs? I guess some of those TT stats are results of Vuelta a Espana or Pais Vasco TTs, which hardly measures real TT ability. The hill stat will help with those TTs in the game.
pcmdaily.com/images/awards/2010/11_Teamstory.png
 
TankNL
I made an adjustment on the mountain stats based on the height of the sprint stats. Every sprinter with a sprint stat higher than 75 gets a minus on the mountain stat of -8 + 83 (max sprintstat) - sprintstat. that way the best sprinters have a bigger penalty.

However, I did this for the sprinters with a hill score lower than 75... that way the good riders in hills, like Sagan keep their score in the mountains.
 
TankNL
Squire wrote:
Pretty impressive stuff if every stat just comes from calculation. Mountain stat is pretty spot on, and especially the hill stat.

I'm just wondering if it's possible to differentiate between different TT profiles? It seems like the TT stat of the climbers is a bit too high in some cases. Maybe you can disregard, or penalise, mountain TTs and very hilly TTs? I guess some of those TT stats are results of Vuelta a Espana or Pais Vasco TTs, which hardly measures real TT ability. The hill stat will help with those TTs in the game.


Thanks for the feedback Squire.
can you give some examples? I'm struggling on pin pointing the exact results that needs adjustments... I've accounted 106 TT's; flat, hill and even mountaines, but all with their own points in TT... so I can adjust, but need some pointers.
 
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TankNL
Put the adjustments into a .cdb again;
https://dl.dropbo...lStats.cdb

Mountains
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/4-4-2015%20Mountains.png

Hills
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/4-4-2015%20Hills.png

Cobbles
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/4-4-2015%20Cobbles.png

Sprints
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/4-4-2015%20Sprint.png

TT
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/4-4-2015%20TT.png
 
matt17br
All the stats seem particularly spot on now! One very last flaw seems to be a too damn high sprint stat for the gc contenders, the punchers and the cobblers. I think that you may try to differntiate the 60+ men sprints from the very tight sprints as the mountain stages ones are. For the rest, glad to see you managed to fix the mountain stat for the sprinters and everything looks more realistic than ever!
(Former) Manager of pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2020/Micros/gen.png Generali pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2020/Micros/gen.png
 
http://v.ht/Matt17
TankNL
I think I've done it. alternated the stats buildup in the lower regions and now it does give lower stats to skills that are not primairy of secondairy. Will post some results later on.
 
TankNL
new .cdb with adjusted stats;
https://dl.dropbo...lStats.cdb

Mountains
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/5-4-2015%20Mountains.png

Hills
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/5-4-2015%20Hills.png

Cobbles
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/5-4-2015%20Cobbles.png

Sprints
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/5-4-2015%20Sprint.png

TT
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/5-4-2015%20TT.png
Edited by TankNL on 05-04-2015 09:21
 
matt17br
Definitely better now. Not sure yet where 70 for Froome and 73 for Nibali come from but they can be adjusted easily Wink
(Former) Manager of pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2020/Micros/gen.png Generali pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2020/Micros/gen.png
 
http://v.ht/Matt17
TankNL
matt17br wrote:
Definitely better now. Not sure yet where 70 for Froome and 73 for Nibali come from but they can be adjusted easily Wink


Hi Matt, thanks for the support.
the "high" sprint stat comes from the hill races, with a small group sprint in the end. Therefore I had give 10% of the points in the stage/race to sprint... I've nerved it down to 5%, so now Froome has 70 and Nibali also has 70.. Mollema has 71, Rui Coast has 73 and Valverde has 75.

That should give them a (small) advantage in PCM when a small group comes to the finish. That is my reasoning at least.
 
matt17br
Ah, got it now. But well, imo it could turn out that they perform well in not klonly the tight sprints. I mean: neither Nibali nor Vroome can sprint at all, not even in a very tight sprint. Guys like Contador or Purito can do much, much better than them. I don't really think it will make the gameplay better, just give them the stats thry deserve and even if they're low as hell the results will turn out to be realistic anyway Wink

Those are my 2 cents, not a huge deal as the high mountain stats for sprinters was but still.
(Former) Manager of pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2020/Micros/gen.png Generali pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2020/Micros/gen.png
 
http://v.ht/Matt17
TankNL
Hi Squire,

I don't want to make the thread of PCM Daily about my stats... So here are the results that have been taken into account in the stats of Tiesj Benoot

daterace_typecyclist_nameresultcategory
5-4-2015CobbleHillsRonde van Vlaanderen (264,9 km)5 1.WT1
27-3-2015CobbleSprintE3 Harelbeke (215,3 km)18 1.WT2
25-3-2015CobbleHillsDwars door Vlaanderen (provisional)6 1.HC
21-3-2015CobbleSprintRonde van Zeeland Seaports (196,1 km)6 1.1
20-3-2015SprintHandzame Classic (199 km)3 1.1
18-3-2015CobbleSprintNokere Koerse (198 km)128 1.1
8-3-2015GCDriedaagse van West-Vlaanderen, General classification23 2.1
4-3-2015SprintLe Samyn (201 km)4 1.1
28-2-2015CobbleHillsOmloop Het Nieuwsblad (200,2 km)36 1.HC
22-2-2015GCVolta ao Algarve, General classification21 2.1
21-2-2015finishOnHillVolta ao Algarve, Stage 4 : Tavira - Alto do Malhao (212 km)16 2.1s
1-2-2015SprintTrofeo Palma (168,2 km)50 1.1
31-1-2015SprintTrofeo Serra de Tramuntana (165,7 km)8 1.1
29-1-2015SprintTrofeo Santanyi (175,5 km)88 1.1
14-10-2014SprintNationale Sluitingprijs Putte-Kapellen (177,4 km)46 1.1
12-10-2014SprintParis - Tours (238 km)16 1.HC
7-10-2014UphillSprintBinche - Chimay - Binche / Mémorial Frank Vandenbroucke (194,5 km)8 1.1
5-10-2014GCTour de l'Eurométropole, General classification (provisional)34 2.1
20-9-2014HillsGP Impanis - Van Petegem (195 km)86 1.1
17-9-2014finishOnHillGP de Wallonie (198 km)17 1.1
7-9-2014SprintGP de Fourmies (205 km)44 1.HC
19-8-2014HillsGP Stad Zottegem (189 km)4 1.1
10-8-2014GCPost Danmark Rundt - Tour of Denmark, General classification10 2.HC
9-8-2014ITTonFlatPost Danmark Rundt - Tour of Denmark, Stage 5 : Middelfart I.T.T. (15 km)17 2.HCs
9-8-2014SprintPost Danmark Rundt - Tour of Denmark, Stage 4 : Nyborg - Odense (100 km)13 2.HCs
8-8-2014UphillSprintPost Danmark Rundt - Tour of Denmark, Stage 3 : Skanderborg - Vejle (176 km)3 2.HCs
6-8-2014SprintPost Danmark Rundt - Tour of Denmark, Stage 1 : Hobro - Mariager (157 km)16 2.HCs
21-9-2013HillsGP Impanis - Van Petegem (197 km)114 1.1
18-9-2013HillsGP de Wallonie (203,1 km)17 1.1

Edited by TankNL on 09-04-2015 21:00
 
Alakagom
Trofeo Serra de Tramuntana is certainly not sprint Pfft

Anyway with Benoot you are not taking his U23 result with actually hills being by far his best discipline, but I guess you can't include these in these. Anyway clearly his hill is way off, but you can't make system suit one rider!

Well done on your progress so far.
pcmdaily.com/images/awards/2012/avatar.png


pcmdaily.com/images/awards/2012/admin.png
 
TankNL
Alakagom wrote:
Trofeo Serra de Tramuntana is certainly not sprint Pfft

Anyway with Benoot you are not taking his U23 result with actually hills being by far his best discipline, but I guess you can't include these in these. Anyway clearly his hill is way off, but you can't make system suit one rider!

Well done on your progress so far.


I saw that too... see 3 races in that period that have their type mixed up... fixed it now.
still that doesn't give him a whole lot more points.

Problem is that I only take into account the World Tour and the .1 or .HC races. So no .2 of ncup races. I have tried to set it up, but on a good number of them the profile is just not available, so hard to make up what kind of race-result it is.

And you are right, the system is definitely not perfect, but gives a nice start to any database that can then be adjusted to the views of the creator Smile
 
Squire
I love the concept, but with the results only provided from big races, it kind of defeats the purpose. Any more or less dedicated cycling fan can set the stats of most WT riders; it's the more unknown riders this could be useful for, and the system would then need lower category races.

Of course I understand the practical challenges of including the smaller races, and I know this is still an experiment, but with extensive research, it could be invaluable for PCM databases Smile

PS: Races like l'Avenir, U23 editions of Ronde, P-R and Liège etc. should be easy to implement, and could give a decent pointer on young riders.
pcmdaily.com/images/awards/2010/11_Teamstory.png
 
TankNL
Squire wrote:
I love the concept, but with the results only provided from big races, it kind of defeats the purpose. Any more or less dedicated cycling fan can set the stats of most WT riders; it's the more unknown riders this could be useful for, and the system would then need lower category races.

Of course I understand the practical challenges of including the smaller races, and I know this is still an experiment, but with extensive research, it could be invaluable for PCM databases Smile

PS: Races like l'Avenir, U23 editions of Ronde, P-R and Liège etc. should be easy to implement, and could give a decent pointer on young riders.


I follow what you are saying, but in fairness, that Benoot is something special. He was third in the 2014 RvV U23, but in the nr 1 (Dylan Groenewegen) and nr 2 (Kristoffer Skjerping) also rode the RvV 2015 and both had far lesser results... so It's still hard to tell how the U23 / Junior results would weigh in a professional cyclist field.
 
marble
The problem with RvV U23 is that it's not nearly as tough as the senior version of the race (around 165km long). Two of the past three years it's been a quite a big bunch sprint for the win. Vanbilsen escaped narrowly to win in 2012, but the sprint for 2nd was a large bunch. I can only assume the route was changed alongside the pro race in 2012, because before that the gaps were bigger for sure. Still though hard to find a huge correlation between U23 cobble results and pro cobble results. Both of those two you mentioned (Groenewegen and Skjerping) podiumed because of their sprint ability, at least that is one thing you could get from it. Doesn't mean they will become cobble champions though. Based on previous winners chances are they won't.
 
TankNL
Here are the calculated stats after Paris-Roubaix based on FINAL results. Only gave Cancellara +1 in cobbles.

CyclistNameFLAMOUHILTTPROCOBSPRACCDWNFTRSTARESRECPOP
CANCELLARA 8361748183837474827079796283
VAN AVERMAET 8064806476827475827980807385
DEGENKOLB 8162756275828281827481797488
TERPSTRA 8263737467827474827479797382
STYBAR 7963756060817374807578786882
KRISTOFF 8162756369818282817382787689
VANMARCKE 8061746061817474807078786481
BOOM 7963737375817073796975787475
SAGAN 8064797079808081827381797790
BOONEN 7959656161807576797477776370
THOMAS 7974747578797374807578787582
VANDENBERGH 7859625757796463786675766034
PAOLINI 7862705957787370787477776455
ROELANDTS 7861695960787676787578766770
KEUKELEIRE 7661685956787173777474756544
STANNARD 7661666562786364767473756638
LANGEVELD 7560636267786262757474746428
CHAVANEL 7873768079777473797778787583
ELMIGER 7562676967776465757373746841
DEBUSSCHERE 7860635961777878777174746665
LEUKEMANS 7560765352766670767475776352
LAMPAERT 7659666164766868767373756339
BOZIC 7660645964767475767475746244
TURGOT 7459635962766364747071746123
ROWE 7560626157766364756969746226
BOASSON 7863756875757676787778777082
OSS 7661736874757373767474756444
TRENTIN 7860735960757575787575766562
BURGHARDT 7462686056756365747373746429
DEMARE 7859666066758080777277747483
DRUCKER 7559665974757474757473746550
THEUNS 7558645050757475757467746038
VAN KEIRSBULCK 7460636562756363757063736530
WYNANTS 7460635961756263747066736321
WALLAYS 7559636150757374747371746234
BENOOT 7458635650756565747370745924
EISEL 7460625954757071747373736328
HAYMAN 7459625962756667747366736022
DE BACKER 7459615954757173747373736126
KWIATKOWSKI 7875817882747476807978797885
NIBALI 7683797874747077797279788288
FUGLSANG 7478766867746573777675767782
MARCATO 7561745963747371767574766755
POZZATO 7560746068747369757576766153
WIGGINS 7875738380746266797473757782
BRESCHEL 7660735958747474767576756661
GATTO 7460735957747073747473746134
VAN ASBROECK 7659685150747878767575746368
FLECHA 7463656060746464747368736630
DE VREESE 7459655955746666747369736127

Edited by TankNL on 12-04-2015 20:08
 
TankNL
For those who are interested, a new db based on Jesgd v1.75 with calculated stats including the races of today.

https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4...lStats.cdb

Screens can be posted on request.
 
TankNL
Here are some screens from a simulated season

Tour Down Under;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20TdU.png

Tirreno;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20Tirreno.png

Paris-Nice;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20Paris-Nice.png

Milaan San Remo;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20MSR.png

Catalunya;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20Catalunya.png

E3 prijs;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20E3.png

Gent-Wevelgem;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20Gent-Wevelgem.png

Ronde van Vlaanderen;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20RvV.png

Pais Vasco;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20Pais%20Vasco.png

Paris-Roubaix;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20Paris-Roubaix.png

Amstel Gold Race;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20Amstel.png

Fleche Wallonne;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20Fleche%20Wallonne.png

Liege Bastogne Liege;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20LBL.png

Romandie;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20Romandie.png

Giro d'Italia;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20Giro.png

Dauphine;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20Dauphine.png

Suisse;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20Suisse.png

Tour de France;
result was messed up by the cobble stage!
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20TdF.png

Sebastian;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20Sebastian.png

Pologne;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20Pologne.png

Eneco;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20Eneco.png

Vattenfall;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20Vattenfall.png

Plouay;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20Plouay.png

Vuelta Espagne;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20Vuelta.png

Quebec;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20Quebec.png

Montreal;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20Montreal.png

WC ITT;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20WC%20ITT.png

WC;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20WC.png

Lombardia;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20Lombardia.png

Overall;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20Overall.png

transfers ??;
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/47817916/PCM%20Screens/simulation/DB%20v1.75%20Transfers.png
 
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