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PCMdaily DB Stat Discussion
matt17br
A sprinters race seems too generic to me. Surely neither Cavendish nor Kittel won't ever win it.
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Tafiolmo
matt17br wrote:
A sprinters race seems too generic to me. Surely neither Cavendish nor Kittel won't ever win it.


I'm older than most of you on here and started watching cycling properly in the 90's and right back then it was always known as the sprinters classic and great sprinters like Abdoujaparov and Cipollini along with other sprinters all won it and those two were very much the Cavendish and Kittel of their time.

But it was different to say the Milan San Remo, as it always had bad weather and high winds and of course cobbles which made it an ideal race for sprinters that also can ride the cobbled classics, which is why riders like Kristoff, Degenkolb and Sagan are ideal riders for the race.

Like the Milan San Remo it often throws up a reduced group as well to contest it at the line, which gives it some variety, but in general its a race for a sprinter that can ride cobbles.
Edited by Tafiolmo on 15-04-2015 18:00
 
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Tafiolmo
Final cobble stats decided
Since most of us will soon be discussing the Ardennes classics, this is probably the final time we'll discuss the cobbles this season. These are the cobble stats that I've finally decided to go with, based on the averages that I did, reading the opinions of other members, how good they were last year as well, recognizing that the game reads the cobble stat much more than the flat stat for the cobble races and of course my own gut feeling to get the most realistic performances based on the three years I've been playing the game.

Cobble
82- Cancellara

Kept Cancellara at 82 as I think he would've won one of the cobble classics again this season or nearly would've.

81- Vanmarcke
81- Van Avermaet
81- Stybar
81- Degenkolb

Went with 81 for Degenkolb in the end, as he has finished 1st and 2nd in the hardest cobble classic. I had Vanmarcke at 82 last season but this year he looked no better than the rest when it really mattered, in fact at times he looked like an 80 most of the time so I compromised and put him at 81.

80- Boonen
80- Terpstra
80- Kristoff
80- Thomas

Put Thomas at 80 (and he has other high stats ) as I know the game AI won't accommodate his flat stat in the cobble classics properly. Kristoff has 1 point higher than Degenkolb in sprint, hill and stamina for that reason it also helped me to decide that Degenkolb should gain a point over him in cobble.

79- Vandenbergh
79- Boom
79- Sagan

Sagan looked jaded this season and seemed to run out of steam on a few races therefore I just decided to keep him on 79 but reduce his stamina stat to 77 which is a less than his rivals who sit at 80-78.

78- Langeveld
78- Stannard
78- Wiggins

Stannard has a good cobble stat but I'm sure his Achilles heel is stamina compared to his rivals which is why I've put that at 76. Wiggins has targeted the PR all season and he looked good when he attacked at the PR, problem is he should've gone with Vandenbergh earlier but I still think he's worth 78 for realism.

Langeveld like Boonen and Cancellara didn't race of course and I saw no reason to punish any of them too much with stat decreases. Also as I want realism when I play these races I won't be using these three either.
Edited by Tafiolmo on 15-04-2015 18:27
 
TheManxMissile
Now if only we had a 2015DailyDB to use the stats in Frown
i.imgur.com/UmX5YX1.jpgi.imgur.com/iRneKpI.jpgi.imgur.com/fljmGSP.jpgi.imgur.com/qV5ItIc.jpgimgur.com/dr2BAI6.jpgimgur.com/KlJUqDx.jpg[/img[img]]https://imgur.com/yUygrQ.jpgi.imgur.com/C1rG9BW.jpgi.imgur.com/sEDS7gr.jpg
 
Tafiolmo
TheManxMissile wrote:
Now if only we had a 2015DailyDB to use the stats in Frown


I use Jesley's so I'm happy.

Also isn't Jesley one of the admin team here and if so, why does he do his own stats and not a combined one with the rest of the MB team. It's like little brother and big brother are both doing different things.
Edited by Tafiolmo on 15-04-2015 18:33
 
Alakagom
Yea plus the Daily statsmaker has been hired by JESDGB anyway so I can recommend moving on Pfft
Edited by Alakagom on 15-04-2015 18:33
pcmdaily.com/images/awards/2012/avatar.png


pcmdaily.com/images/awards/2012/admin.png
 
Avin Wargunnson
Tafiolmo wrote:
Final cobble stats decided
Since most of us will soon be discussing the Ardennes classics, this is probably the final time we'll discuss the cobbles this season. These are the cobble stats that I've finally decided to go with, based on the averages that I did, reading the opinions of other members, how good they were last year as well, recognizing that the game reads the cobble stat much more than the flat stat for the cobble races and of course my own gut feeling to get the most realistic performances based on the three years I've been playing the game.

Cobble
82- Cancellara

Kept Cancellara at 82 as I think he would've won one of the cobble classics again this season or nearly would've.

81- Vanmarcke
81- Van Avermaet
81- Stybar
81- Degenkolb

Went with 81 for Degenkolb in the end, as he has finished 1st and 2nd in the hardest cobble classic. I had Vanmarcke at 82 last season but this year he looked no better than the rest when it really mattered, in fact at times he looked like an 80 most of the time so I compromised and put him at 81.

80- Boonen
80- Terpstra
80- Kristoff
80- Thomas

Put Thomas at 80 (and he has other high stats ) as I know the game AI won't accommodate his flat stat in the cobble classics properly. Kristoff has 1 point higher than Degenkolb in sprint, hill and stamina for that reason it also helped me to decide that Degenkolb should gain a point over him in cobble.

79- Vandenbergh
79- Boom
79- Sagan

Sagan looked jaded this season and seemed to run out of steam on a few races therefore I just decided to keep him on 79 but reduce his stamina stat to 77 which is a less than his rivals who sit at 80-78.

78- Langeveld
78- Stannard
78- Wiggins

Stannard has a good cobble stat but I'm sure his Achilles heel is stamina compared to his rivals which is why I've put that at 76. Wiggins has targeted the PR all season and he looked good when he attacked at the PR, problem is he should've gone with Vandenbergh earlier but I still think he's worth 78 for realism.

Langeveld like Boonen and Cancellara didn't race of course and I saw no reason to punish any of them too much with stat decreases. Also as I want realism when I play these races I won't be using these three either.

I quite like your final stats, but Sagan is once again underrated. You have him listed as 10-12th best cobbler and i would think that he is better than that, judged by his results at De Ronde and his riding at Roubaix before his race was ruined by broken shifter and waiting for a bike change (after which he single handed got back to the second big group).

Combined with that lowered stamina (hell why? He is still the long races specialist and was again 4th at MSR and 4th at Ronde) he will have a hard time to reproduce some of his results in game. But he is always underrated in many databases, so it is a tradition now. Smile

What i would do is lowering his sprint and acceleration, as he lost quite a some in last couple of years. He is 79-80 cobbles and 80-82 stamina in my eyes.
I'll be back
 
Tafiolmo
Avin Wargunnson wrote:
Sagan is once again underrated. You have him listed as 10-12th best cobbler and i would think that he is better than that, judged by his results at De Ronde and his riding at Roubaix before his race was ruined by broken shifter and waiting for a bike change (after which he single handed got back to the second big group).

Combined with that lowered stamina (hell why? He is still the long races specialist and was again 4th at MSR and 4th at Ronde) he will have a hard time to reproduce some of his results in game. But he is always underrated in many databases, so it is a tradition now. Smile

What i would do is lowering his sprint and acceleration, as he lost quite a some in last couple of years. He is 79-80 cobbles and 80-82 stamina in my eyes.


Sagan's stats were the only ones that I was concerned with and not completely sure about when I did my final stats. I agree that his 4th place in Milan San Remo and Tour of Flanders warrants to make him better.

The big concern with Sagan is that yes he is an endurance rider that can go 250-300km races and can be in a position to win them. This year though he has lacked the power that he normally has and at E3 Harelbeke he couldn't go with Thomas and Stybar and at Flanders he couldn't go with GCV at the final and sure he had some bad luck at PR. I recognize that 77 stamina may be a bit too low, so will change him to 78, but higher than that this season I don't think so really. He also has a higher hill stat that most other riders here, so that's a good leveller for him as well.

The acid test for me with the stamina stat, is when a rider can finish or sprint equally well at both 200km and 300km and riders like Kristoff and Degenkolb have shown that they can do that this season, whereas Sagan this year is a bit below that.

Finally I keep Sagan's sprint higher than some DB's and have him at 79 this year and at 80 last year, as I think to always make him a contender for the green jersey at the Tour de France he needs to be at least that to compete with the other best sprinters so he can get points and just for the Tour de France I'll probably up him to 80 sprint.
Edited by Tafiolmo on 16-04-2015 13:11
 
Paul23
Avin Wargunnson wrote:
I quite like your final stats, but Sagan is once again underrated. You have him listed as 10-12th best cobbler and i would think that he is better than that, judged by his results at De Ronde and his riding at Roubaix before his race was ruined by broken shifter and waiting for a bike change (after which he single handed got back to the second big group).

Combined with that lowered stamina (hell why? He is still the long races specialist and was again 4th at MSR and 4th at Ronde) he will have a hard time to reproduce some of his results in game. But he is always underrated in many databases, so it is a tradition now. Smile

What i would do is lowering his sprint and acceleration, as he lost quite a some in last couple of years. He is 79-80 cobbles and 80-82 stamina in my eyes.


Sagan clearly isn't underrated. I'm totally fine with Tafiolmo's stats. We can simply ggo through any rider who has a higher stat, to see if they deserve to have a higher stat.

Cancellara


Nothing much to say. Spartacus > Sagan.

Vanmarcke


Is normally a beat on the cobbles. He just has bad luck all the time. For example at Omloop, where he pulled out the Andy Schleck move.

Stybar


For sure, one great cobbler. Looked better on E3 and RvV. He simply wasn't allowed to ride for his own.

Degenkolb


Won Paris-Roubaix. And it looked very easy for him.

Boonen


Not here this season. But he still is a hell of a cobbler.

Terpstra


2nd in RvV. Great in Omloop. Weak in Paris-Roubaix.

Kristoff


Awesome season so far. Won RvV. Wasn't all there in Roubaix.

Thomas


Won E3. Looked fantastic this year. Crashed in Roubaix, otherwise, he would be better than Sagan there, too.

Van Avermaet


Outsprinted Sagan in RvV. 3rd in Roubaix. Looked good in Omloop. #GVAweakrelays

Sagan doesn't finish well in Roubaix...well he had a mechanical. But still. He finished good in RvV, i mean he has a better HI stat than everyone who was in front of him. He was dead at E3 at the end.

His reduced stamina, is justifiyed. He is like Kwiatek. A class rider, with wuite a kick, but in long races, he runs out of power. If he would have a better Stamina, he would have outsprinted the weaker GVA(lower HI stat, lower SP stat) or he would have won E3 with ease from the leading trio. I like Sagan, but he simply needed a downgrade from last season to this season. And please don't tell me that you're objective. It's like me, when I argue about Tony MArtins stats. It's simply too biased.
Edited by Paul23 on 16-04-2015 16:01
i.imgur.com/aJSlUNt.png
 
asoutar
I like Tafiolmo's stats I probably agree with them the most out all that I've seen. I have to agree with Avin though. There is absolutely no way you can say there is a two point gap between Stybar, Vanmarcke and GVA. Sagan is at least as good as them on the cobbles. He has won G-W and E3 and has had good results to go with them - GVA has never won a cobbled classic and Stybar's best was 5th before this year. To add to this fact Sagan has other targets such as Tour de France Green Jersey and other classics throughout the season. I understand Sagan has other stats such as hill and sprint but he does get underrated.
 
Paul23
asoutar wrote:
I like Tafiolmo's stats I probably agree with them the most out all that I've seen. I have to agree with Avin though. There is absolutely no way you can say there is a two point gap between Stybar, Vanmarcke and GVA. Sagan is at least as good as them on the cobbles. He has won G-W and E3 and has had good results to go with them - GVA has never won a cobbled classic and Stybar's best was 5th before this year. To add to this fact Sagan has other targets such as Tour de France Green Jersey and other classics throughout the season. I understand Sagan has other stats such as hill and sprint but he does get underrated.


only because Sagan won some classics before this year, doesn't justify a very high stat.

Also Stybar had to work for his Team the last years, while Sagan was always the leader of his team.

GVA may have never won a cobbled classic, but he is always 2nd or 3rd. I could easily argue that we should give Dumoulin(Tom) a low TT stat, since he has never won the World Championship.
i.imgur.com/aJSlUNt.png
 
fidjim2013
Paul23 wrote:
asoutar wrote:
I like Tafiolmo's stats I probably agree with them the most out all that I've seen. I have to agree with Avin though. There is absolutely no way you can say there is a two point gap between Stybar, Vanmarcke and GVA. Sagan is at least as good as them on the cobbles. He has won G-W and E3 and has had good results to go with them - GVA has never won a cobbled classic and Stybar's best was 5th before this year. To add to this fact Sagan has other targets such as Tour de France Green Jersey and other classics throughout the season. I understand Sagan has other stats such as hill and sprint but he does get underrated.


only because Sagan won some classics before this year, doesn't justify a very high stat.

Also Stybar had to work for his Team the last years, while Sagan was always the leader of his team.

GVA may have never won a cobbled classic, but he is always 2nd or 3rd. I could easily argue that we should give Dumoulin(Tom) a low TT stat, since he has never won the World Championship.


You're funny Paul you seems to forget something right there because working for his team is not a good excuse to defend stybar stat. Don't forget that terpstra too had to work for his team before and since last year he doesn't because he won P-R because he capitalized on his chance. Working for your teammates doesn't necessarily means that you can't get good results, look at vandenbergh he's no leader but he's always well placed in cobble classics. Another examples is Luke Rowe from team sky he capitalized on his chance and finished 8th in Roubaix.
 
Tafiolmo
Ever since I've been a member of this forum, there has been more debate about Sagan's stats than any other rider in the peloton and it's normally over his sprint stat but now it's over his cobble and stamina stat.

According to Avin, Sagan should have a cobble stat to match the other top riders which means 80/81 and he also thinks that his stamina should be one of the best between 80-82. Now if we did this we would have a Sagan that was on an equal footing as both Kristoff and Degenkolb and he would have an equal chance to beat those riders as they would him. This year though has seen him much weaker than these riders in the most important part of the race which is the final kms.

Therefore by lowering his stamina to 78/77 it reflects this weakness that he can't quite last the distance with them and there was no way last season that Sagan would've been dropped by Thomas/Stybar and GVA in these races in the final kms.
To be realistic his cobble should be 79 with 78/77 stamina or 80 cobble with 77 stamina and as Paul said he still has the best hill stat as well and he's the third best sprinter of all the riders that we're discussing. Also if his daily form on each race is good then he's still going to be a contender for victory if not quite an overall favourite.
Edited by Tafiolmo on 16-04-2015 17:59
 
fidjim2013
Tafiolmo wrote:
Ever since I've been a member of this forum, there has been more debate about Sagan's stats than any other rider in the peloton and it's normally over his sprint stat but now it's over his cobble and stamina stat.

According to Avin, Sagan should have a cobble stat to match the other top riders which means 80/81 and he also thinks that his stamina should be one of the best between 80-82. Now if we did this we would have a Sagan that was on an equal footing as both Kristoff and Degenkolb and he would have an equal chance to beat those riders as they would him. This year though has seen him much weaker than these riders in the most important part of the race which is the final kms.

Therefore by lowering his stamina to 78/77 it reflects this weakness that he can't quite last the distance with them and there was no way last season that Sagan would've been dropped by Thomas/Stybar and GVA in these races in the final kms.
To be realistic his cobble should be 79 with 78/77 stamina or 80 cobble with 77 stamina and as Paul said he still has the best hill stat as well and he's the third best sprinter of all the riders that we're discussing. Also if his daily form on each race is good then he's still going to be a contender for victory if not quite an overall favourite.


There's no way that sagan was better last season but the problem is that a lot of riders are surpassing him like kristoff, degenkolb, GVA, Thomas, and Stybar. I mean let's not forget that sagan once finished 2nd in Flanders behind the beast cancellara.There's too much of good all round riders now that are capable of doing the same thing that sagan is doing. In 2010 sagan was probably the only guy that was all rounder in the peloton.
 
Paul23
fidjim2013 wrote:
Paul23 wrote:
asoutar wrote:
I like Tafiolmo's stats I probably agree with them the most out all that I've seen. I have to agree with Avin though. There is absolutely no way you can say there is a two point gap between Stybar, Vanmarcke and GVA. Sagan is at least as good as them on the cobbles. He has won G-W and E3 and has had good results to go with them - GVA has never won a cobbled classic and Stybar's best was 5th before this year. To add to this fact Sagan has other targets such as Tour de France Green Jersey and other classics throughout the season. I understand Sagan has other stats such as hill and sprint but he does get underrated.


only because Sagan won some classics before this year, doesn't justify a very high stat.

Also Stybar had to work for his Team the last years, while Sagan was always the leader of his team.

GVA may have never won a cobbled classic, but he is always 2nd or 3rd. I could easily argue that we should give Dumoulin(Tom) a low TT stat, since he has never won the World Championship.


You're funny Paul you seems to forget something right there because working for his team is not a good excuse to defend stybar stat. Don't forget that terpstra too had to work for his team before and since last year he doesn't because he won P-R because he capitalized on his chance. Working for your teammates doesn't necessarily means that you can't get good results, look at vandenbergh he's no leader but he's always well placed in cobble classics. Another examples is Luke Rowe from team sky he capitalized on his chance and finished 8th in Roubaix.


Vandenbergh and Rowe, huh? What about Stybars 6th place at Paris Roubaix in 2013? Where's Rowes 6th place? Or Vandenberghs? If you have watched the last races(i assume, that you haven't) you clearly saw, how strong Stybar was on the cobbles. Also this year, Wtixx tactics were quite shit. When Terpstra attacks at RvV. What do you do in the pursuer group? Right. Do Nothing. Or at Omloop, where he simply didn't care about his position at the finish. He HAD to play the anchor role very often this season. But thats not so important. Terpstra. I don't think he deserved 81 COB last season. He got dropped, came back and attacked on the flat and won. Thats not because he is the best, but because the situation helped him. I would suggest you watch the races and then argue in this thread. I know that my stat suggestions often are not perfect. But thats mainly because I watch the Etixx riders during the race. So I know what my Etixx riders where doing at those classics.
i.imgur.com/aJSlUNt.png
 
asoutar
Paul23 wrote:
only because Sagan won some classics before this year, doesn't justify a very high stat.

How can you say this? So Boonen should be penalised too.
Paul23 wrote:
Also Stybar had to work for his Team the last years, while Sagan was always the leader of his team.

So Luke Rowe should get 81 aswell.
Paul23 wrote:
GVA may have never won a cobbled classic, but he is always 2nd or 3rd.

Don't want to embarrass you but last three years cobbles:
GVA podiums: 4 (5 if you include omloop)
Sagan podiums : 6
Smile
 
fidjim2013
Paul23 wrote:
fidjim2013 wrote:
Paul23 wrote:
asoutar wrote:
I like Tafiolmo's stats I probably agree with them the most out all that I've seen. I have to agree with Avin though. There is absolutely no way you can say there is a two point gap between Stybar, Vanmarcke and GVA. Sagan is at least as good as them on the cobbles. He has won G-W and E3 and has had good results to go with them - GVA has never won a cobbled classic and Stybar's best was 5th before this year. To add to this fact Sagan has other targets such as Tour de France Green Jersey and other classics throughout the season. I understand Sagan has other stats such as hill and sprint but he does get underrated.


only because Sagan won some classics before this year, doesn't justify a very high stat.

Also Stybar had to work for his Team the last years, while Sagan was always the leader of his team.

GVA may have never won a cobbled classic, but he is always 2nd or 3rd. I could easily argue that we should give Dumoulin(Tom) a low TT stat, since he has never won the World Championship.


You're funny Paul you seems to forget something right there because working for his team is not a good excuse to defend stybar stat. Don't forget that terpstra too had to work for his team before and since last year he doesn't because he won P-R because he capitalized on his chance. Working for your teammates doesn't necessarily means that you can't get good results, look at vandenbergh he's no leader but he's always well placed in cobble classics. Another examples is Luke Rowe from team sky he capitalized on his chance and finished 8th in Roubaix.


Vandenbergh and Rowe, huh? What about Stybars 6th place at Paris Roubaix in 2013? Where's Rowes 6th place? Or Vandenberghs? If you have watched the last races(i assume, that you haven't) you clearly saw, how strong Stybar was on the cobbles. Also this year, Wtixx tactics were quite shit. When Terpstra attacks at RvV. What do you do in the pursuer group? Right. Do Nothing. Or at Omloop, where he simply didn't care about his position at the finish. He HAD to play the anchor role very often this season. But thats not so important. Terpstra. I don't think he deserved 81 COB last season. He got dropped, came back and attacked on the flat and won. Thats not because he is the best, but because the situation helped him. I would suggest you watch the races and then argue in this thread. I know that my stat suggestions often are not perfect. But thats mainly because I watch the Etixx riders during the race. So I know what my Etixx riders where doing at those classics.


Did I say Rowe was 6th ? I guess not I said he was 8th in P-R, and for vandenbergh I said he's always with the big ones for the most part. For your information I did watched P-R but i'm not here to to argue about that but about stats. Stybar only got one big result and it's this year by finishing 2nd in roubaix. If it was not for this result he wouldn't be in the discussion. Imo Stybar is more of a 80 cobbler the situation helped him finih 2nd in Roubaix. John degenkolb finished 2nd in roubaix last year and he was quite strong and he didn't got a boost to 81 in cobble. The fact that he won roubaix this year makes him a great cobbler and he certainly derserve his high stats.
 
Tafiolmo
fidjim2013 wrote:
but the problem is that a lot of riders are surpassing him like kristoff, degenkolb, GVA, Thomas, and Stybar.


Well you've defeated your own argument above about putting Sagan higher than I've suggested, by stating that all the above riders are better than him at the moment.

I mean let's not forget that sagan once finished 2nd in Flanders behind the beast cancellara.There's too much of good all round riders now that are capable of doing the same thing that sagan is doing. In 2010 sagan was probably the only guy that was all rounder in the peloton.


I know that RvV very well and it's one of my favs and yes Sagan was a stronger rider back then and would be easily 80 cobble with a very high stamina as well, but gradually and especially since joining Tinkoff he hasn't looked like the rider he once was. He's still young of course and can get back to his previous level BUT I still expect him with his current stats to be a favourite for the green jersey again in the Tour.

@Paul The problem with Etixx is very simple, they have too many leaders and too many cards to play which leaves them with some complex tactics. The nearest team to them in strength and style at the cobble classics were Sky who were as strong as they were, but Sky always had one true leader in Thomas (even though Wiggins was equal for PR) and didn't have to choose between Terpstra, Stybar and even Vandenbergh at times, and just imagine if Boonen had been riding as well!

Whereas teams like Katusha and Giant have one simple main goal and that is to put Kristoff and Degenkolb into a winning position, which makes for a much easier gameplan.
Edited by Tafiolmo on 16-04-2015 18:31
 
fidjim2013
Tafiolmo wrote:
fidjim2013 wrote:
but the problem is that a lot of riders are surpassing him like kristoff, degenkolb, GVA, Thomas, and Stybar.


Well you've defeated your own argument above about putting Sagan higher than I've suggested, by stating that all the above riders are better than him at the moment.

I mean let's not forget that sagan once finished 2nd in Flanders behind the beast cancellara.There's too much of good all round riders now that are capable of doing the same thing that sagan is doing. In 2010 sagan was probably the only guy that was all rounder in the peloton.


I know that RvV very well and it's one of my favs and yes Sagan was a stronger rider back then and would be easily 80 cobble with a very high stamina as well, but gradually and especially since joining Tinkoff he hasn't looked like the rider he once was. He's still young of course and can get back to his previous level BUT I still expect him with his current stats to be a favourite for the green jersey again in the Tour.

@Paul The problem with Etixx is very simple, they have too many leaders and too many cards to play which leaves them with some complex tactics. The nearest team to them in strength and style at the cobble classics were Sky who were as strong as they were, but Sky always had one true leader in Thomas (even though Wiggins was equal for PR)

Whereas teams like Katusha and Giant have one simple main goal and that is to put Kristoff and Degenkolb into a winning position, which makes for a much easier gameplan.


Indeed I said they are surpassing peter sagan in cobbles but stybar isn't better than peter sagan by a big margin. 79 in cobbles and 81 in cobbles makes all the difference. Stybar should be 80 There's no way stybar can be 81 cobbles for now unless he get a top 5 next year.
 
Ollfardh
Making Stybar and Terpstra too high also means Boonen will work for them. Not the realistic race we're aiming for.
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
 
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