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Tour de France Predictions
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| Smowz |
Posted on 28-06-2013 07:51
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Ian Butler wrote:
nutter453 wrote:
A note on 1st and 2nd. I would like Alberto to win as his style of riding is far more exciting than Sky, but I feel Sky could just tempo ride everyone into submission 
Don't forget this isn't the Sky of last year, and this isn't the Saxo Bank of last year. Contador has brought climbing specialists, while Sky has more of an overall team. No Henao, Uran, Wiggins... Much less climbers than before.
Um Henao and Uran were not riding last year either.
Last years Sky doom train was Knees, Hagen, Rogers, Porte, Froome (Wiggins), they also had Eisel and Cav and Siutsou left the race before it really started.
This year's sky doom train Hagen, Kiryenka, Kennaugh, Thomas, Siutsou, Lopez, Porte, Froome. There is also the steam engine Stannard as well. Sky is for me stronger this year. They will tempo ride on most of the mountain climbs and most of the time the others will just sit and suffer behind, just like they have done in every stage race they have had a strong leader in for the last two years.
Though you are correct Saxo have a focus this year and Movistar look good along with Belkin and Garmin. These teams will pick their moments as BMC and Liquigas tried to do last year, but they will likely wait for the Alps.
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| Ian Butler |
Posted on 28-06-2013 07:57
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Smowz wrote:
Ian Butler wrote:
nutter453 wrote:
A note on 1st and 2nd. I would like Alberto to win as his style of riding is far more exciting than Sky, but I feel Sky could just tempo ride everyone into submission
Don't forget this isn't the Sky of last year, and this isn't the Saxo Bank of last year. Contador has brought climbing specialists, while Sky has more of an overall team. No Henao, Uran, Wiggins... Much less climbers than before.
Um Henao and Uran were not riding last year either.
Last years Sky doom train was Knees, Hagen, Rogers, Porte, Froome (Wiggins), they also had Eisel and Cav and Siutsou left the race before it really started.
This year's sky doom train Hagen, Kiryenka, Kennaugh, Thomas, Siutsou, Lopez, Porte, Froome. There is also the steam engine Stannard as well. Sky is for me stronger this year. They will tempo ride on most of the mountain climbs and most of the time the others will just sit and suffer behind, just like they have done in every stage race they have had a strong leader in for the last two years.
Though you are correct Saxo have a focus this year and Movistar look good along with Belkin and Garmin. These teams will pick their moments as BMC and Liquigas tried to do last year, but they will likely wait for the Alps.
Still, Porte is no Froome, and Lopez is no (doped) Rogers, imo.
Also, last year the Sky train was active all year, destroying every stage race they appeared at. This year their train has not been equally effective. Managers and riders are getting to know the train and can hop on board easier or find a way to battle it. |
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| MitchNL |
Posted on 28-06-2013 07:58
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Am I the only one who thinks Jean-Christophe Péraud can make it into the Top 10? He's a decent climber and time-triallist, and AG2R is a strong team, Péraud has team mates like Gadret, Dupont and Riblon to help him out. 
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| Aquarius |
Posted on 28-06-2013 11:23
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MitchNL wrote:
Am I the only one who thinks Jean-Christophe Péraud can make it into the Top 10? He's a decent climber and time-triallist, and AG2R is a strong team, Péraud has team mates like Gadret, Dupont and Riblon to help him out.
He's got the potential to be in the top 10, yes. Rather at the bottom of it though.
Having a strong mountain team doesn't really help in his case, as he'll probably use the tactic consisting in following for as long as he can then ride a steady pace to the summit, and be constant every day.
No jersey defending burden that'd require a (strong) team there. |
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| SotD |
Posted on 28-06-2013 14:32
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Péraud could obviously enter the top 10 as he is a good rider. It will take for some of the other Top 10 favorites to fail or abandon though I suspect. Top 15 seems more realistic, but why not. I'll be cheering for him, like I'm always cheering on the french riders here.
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| issoisso |
Posted on 29-06-2013 09:15
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He's perfectly capable of a top 10.
He did it in his first Tour in 2011, and the only reason he didn't do it again in 2012 is because he was peaking for the MTB race at the Olympics
Edited by issoisso on 29-06-2013 09:15
The preceding post is ISSO 9001 certified
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| jph27 |
Posted on 29-06-2013 10:39
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Fashionably late as ever 
1. Froome
2. Contador
3. Pinot
4. Quintana
5. Rodriguez
6. Porte
7. Valverde
8. Van Garderen
9. Rolland
10. Hesjedal
Points: Cavendish
KoM: Rodriguez
Young Riders: Pinot
Teams: Movistar |
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| alexkr00 |
Posted on 29-06-2013 10:46
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1. Froome
2. Contador
3. Valverde
4. Rodriguez
5. Pinot
6. Martin
7. Mollema
8. Rolland
9. Van den Broeck
10. Hesjedal
Points: Sagan
KoM: Voeckler
Young Riders: Pinot
Teams: Garmin
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| JulYeoSchw |
Posted on 29-06-2013 10:53
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Hmm lets no go with the flow 
1. Contador
2. Evans
3. Froome
4. Rodriguez
5. Valverde
6. Fuglsang (bias)
7. Martin
8. Porte
9. Van den Broeck
10. Van Gerderen
Points: Sagan
KoM: Kessiakoff
Young Riders: Van Gerderen
Teams: Garmin
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| Spilak23 |
Posted on 22-07-2013 14:45
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As always, looking back at your predictions is fun!
Mine was bad. Real bad. Top 10, White, Dots and Team all wrong. Not one rider placed correct in the top 10
I was correct with Sagan but that wasn't hard.
But I did predict a great tour for Bakelants
Spilak23 wrote:
Combativité
Jan Bakelants. Will surprise everybody 
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| Pellizotti2 |
Posted on 22-07-2013 14:53
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Pellizotti2 wrote:
1. Froome
2. Valverde
3. Rodriguez
4. Contador
5. Vandenbroeck
6. Evans
7. Hesjedal
8. Pinot
9. Van Garderen
10. Fuglsang
Got the top 4 pretty much spot on. Admittedly the wrong Movistar rider in 2nd, but correct places apart from that. 
The rest are way off, but I do think Vandenbroeck would've been close to 5th if he hadn't crashed out. Nieve wasn't too far away from polkadots either.
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| Wilier |
Posted on 22-07-2013 15:05
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I only got Froome right. And of course Sagan for green and Quintana for white. |
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| Jesleyh |
Posted on 22-07-2013 15:05
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Jesleyh wrote:
TOP 10
1. Chris Froome
2. Alberto Contador
3. Joaquim Rodriguez
4. Jurgen v/d Broeck
5. Nairo Quintana
6. Richie Porte
7. Bauke Mollema
8. Alejandro Valverde
9. Andy Schleck
10. Thibaut Pinot
Green
Sagan has this. Flat stages will be for Cav, but Sagan will take podiums there, and get most of his points in the hilly bunch sprints.
Polka Dots
Thomas Voeckler, by attacking a lot.
White
Quintana got this.
Combativité
Thomas Voeckler, again.
Best Team
Sky. Vroome, Vroome, here comes the Sky train.
Meh.
Edit: Second look at it isn't that bad, actually.
Still meh.
Edited by Jesleyh on 22-07-2013 15:09
Feyenoord(football) and Kelderman fanboy
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| jph27 |
Posted on 22-07-2013 15:13
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jph27 wrote:
Fashionably late as ever
1. Froome
2. Contador
3. Pinot
4. Quintana
5. Rodriguez
6. Porte
7. Valverde
8. Van Garderen
9. Rolland
10. Hesjedal
Points: Cavendish
KoM: Rodriguez
Young Riders: Pinot
Teams: Movistar
Er, yeah... |
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| Kirchen_75 |
Posted on 22-07-2013 15:19
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Kirchen_75 wrote:
TOP 10
1. Alberto Contador
2. FROOME.EXE
3. Cadel Evans
4. Purito
5. Alejandro Valverde
6. Thibaut Pinot
7. Bauke Mollema
8. Daniel Martin
9. Nairo Quintana
10. Michal Kwiatkowski
Green
CAV
Polka Dots
Voeckler, Rolland, Voigt, Bakelandts
White
Pinot
Combativité
Chavanel!
Best Team
Movistar
Terrible lol. Almost got Kwiatek right tho |
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| welker3257 |
Posted on 22-07-2013 15:25
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welker3257 wrote:
Top 10
1. Froome
2. Contador
3. Van Den Broeck
4. Rodreguiz
5. Porte
6. Schleck
7. Pinot
8. Hesjedal
9. Mollema
10. Quintana
Green: Cavendish too many flat stages for Sagan and I Cav has improved in getting over the hills.
KOM: Voeckler
White: Pinot although Quintana could suprise if he can get enough time over Pinot in the tt for the mountains.
Team: Radioshack. They always have a bunch of solid climbers on the team and Jens will gain time from breaks.
The only thing I got right was the winner
Gig 'em Aggies
Fast N' Loud Cycling Project - ICL
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| Pascheck1990 |
Posted on 22-07-2013 15:27
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Pascheck1990 wrote:
My predictions for the Tour:
TOP 10
1. Alberto Contador (he hasn't shown his best this year so far. he's a champion and he'll outfight Froome by a little margin)
2. Chris Froome
Battle over the third place will be very interesting in my opinion. there at least ten riders who have the potential to do so. And 20 rider to get into Top 10. However here's my rest of the Top 10.
3. Alejandro Valverde (he's a proven GT rider. The route suits him really good. was great in la vuelta last year.)
4. Joaquim Rodriguez (on par with valverde. but i see one of-day for him which favours valverde over him.)
5. Bauke Mollema (impressed me this year. really good climber with the hilly TT's. i expect a lot from him this year. hope belkin don't make the mistake und put gesink over him.)
6. Tejah van Garderen or Cadel Evans (who will be the leader? I take TVG)
7. Jürgen van den Broek (not a strong season so far. but also not bad. he's very consistent and a top 10 finish should be in the bag.)
8. Jakob Fuglsang (great Dauphine. i have a feeling he will make the top 10.)
9. One Garmin rider (If Hesjedal is fit he will make the top 10. a top 5 is possible also then. If Hesjedal isn't ready there's Talansky. Martin however I don't see there. He's not that consistent.)
10. Andy Schleck (Has he lost his motivation or what? But I expect a sign of life in this tour.)
note: If Valverde crash in the first week Quintana will take his spot. I'm not sure what to do with Porte. I can see him in the Top 10 or even Top 5 BUT it's a three-week race.
Green
Easy decision. The Tourminator will strike again. Sagan with top 3-5 finishes in the sprints. Win or podium in stage 2,3,5. Gap stage could well be a good stage for him too after what i saw in Suisse.
Polka Dot
Dan Martin or Tom Voeckler
White
TVG
Best Team
Saxo or Sky
7 of 10 riders. That's okay
Picked Sagan for Green but the wrong GC winner. My bad. |
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| arthon |
Posted on 22-07-2013 18:28
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arthon wrote:
Soooo, time for my longshots:
Top 10
1. Froome
2. Contador +5'
3. Valverde
4. Purito
5. TVG
6. Hesjedal
7. Quintana
8. Fulgsang
9. Porte
10. Pinot
Green - Cavendish, obviously.
Polka dots - Some Frenchman.
White - TVG
Combativity - Some Frenchman, again.
Best Team - Movistar
So, I got the winning rider, winning gap and arguably best team right.  |
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| issoisso |
Posted on 22-07-2013 18:42
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issoisso wrote:
TOP 10
1. Froomebot v2.1.4.2
Yes
issoisso wrote:
(enough space to park a truck)
Yep
issoisso wrote:
2. Contador
Nope. Might've been right if not for the crash
issoisso wrote:
3. Purito
Yep
issoisso wrote:
5. VDB
No way to judge
issoisso wrote:
4. Hesjedal
6. Valverde
Valverde and Hesjedal will either be very good or very average (average by Valverde's standards being 7th or so)
Gaaah so close
issoisso wrote:
7. Pinot
Oh how I wish I knew about the descent fear he didn't show last year
issoisso wrote:
8. Evans
Hahaha hell no not even close
issoisso wrote:
9. Fuglsang
Meh, close enough considering Valverde and Nieve's time losses on the flat and Mollema getting sick
issoisso wrote:
10.Moreno
Not in a million years
issoisso wrote:
Points
Sagan
Taking credit for this would be like taking credit for predicting the sun will rise
issoisso wrote:
KOM
Voeckler
Complete guess. Complete fail
issoisso wrote:
U25
Quintana
Yep. Thought he'd be really really good and then probably have one horrid day losing ages. That last one didn't happen.
issoisso wrote:
Combativité
Random frenchman
*Fistpump*
issoisso wrote:
Team
Movistar
So close. Damn Valverde mechanical
Péraud prediction:
issoisso wrote:
He's perfectly capable of a top 10.
He did it in his first Tour in 2011, and the only reason he didn't do it again in 2012 is because he was peaking for the MTB race at the Olympics
*Fistpump*
Van Garderen prediction:
issoisso wrote:
Top 5 for a specialist time triallist in the tour route in all of recorded history most suited to a time triallist, that at the same time was the weakest tour de france field ever seen other than possible 1983.....not exactly any indication that he can finish top 5 this year.
I'd consider a top 10 a big success if I were him
*Smirk*
Edited by issoisso on 22-07-2013 18:43
The preceding post is ISSO 9001 certified
"I love him, I think he's great. He's transformed the sport in so many ways. Every person in cycling has benefitted from Lance Armstrong, perhaps not financially but in some sense" - Bradley Wiggins on Lance Armstrong
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| Miguel98 |
Posted on 22-07-2013 19:08
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1. Froome
Easy guess
2. Rodriguez
Close enough. One position lower
3. Contador
Close enough.
4. Van Den Broeck
Shame he had to retire earlier, could have attacked in the mountains.
5. Quintana
Knew that top 5 would be assured for Quintana, didn't expected him to be so high by the end of the Tour.
6. Valverde
Always something.
7. Pinot
Probably last year he had more fear of his manager than descentes himself.
8. Van Garderen
Why did I tought this I have no idea.
9. Rolland
KOTM jersey fight was more important.
10. Fuglsang
Very close.
Points - Greipel
Not even close.
Mountains - Voeckler
Random guess. Stupid guess.
White - Quintana
Nailed it.
Team - Sky
Tought Porte would get 2nd and gain enough time on everyone to give the classification to Sky.
Combativity - Voeckler
Got the nationality, not the rider.
Edited by Miguel98 on 22-07-2013 19:09
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