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Criterium du Dauphine Libere - Discussion
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seancoll
Criterium du Dauphine Libere
PTHC
7 Stages


pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Profiles/mg_dauphine.jpg

The PTHC calendar enters France while many teams also race in Switzerland (Tour de Suisse) and Germany (Frankfurt-Eschborn). It’s a packed startlist with 23 teams slated to tackle the French circuit.

Stage 1: This parcours begins with a relatively flat 6.6km prologue while will allow for some GC gaps to start the race. There is a slight incline in the 2nd half of the prologue

Stage 2: A 176.7 flat stage, this should absolutely be for the sprinters. A great prologue/sprint rider could take over the GC lead with bonus seconds if all goes right.

Stage 3: Officially a hilly stage, this is for the hybrid climbers. 195.4km of undulating terrain all day will take stamina, punch, and acceleration. A final climb of approximately 10km with a relatively flat final few kilometers should give us a legitimate GC selection, but not blow up the race.

Stage 4: A 228.8km flat stage with a steep climb about 70km to go. This should either be one for the breakaway or the sprinters. Our bet is on no major drops from the climb, but there’s always possibilities to try.

Stage 5: A true mountain stage – 159.8kkm. The final 3 climbs are the most challenging and most important. The 3rd to last presents a shallow and short descent which won’t allow much recovery. The penultimate is the hardest of the day, but anyone who gets over that climb together should be able to challenge on the final uphill. The biggest gaps should come here.

Stage 6: A bumpier version of stage 3, Stage 6 sees 182.8km of up and down as there’s almost not a single flat kilometer in the stage. This could be another one for the breakaway, especially as the KOM should have major points on offer here. The final climb will benefit the punchiest riders left with a final 2-3km kicker.

Stage 7: The queen stage, 153.0km up to Mont Blanc. Significant climbs start as early as 30km into the stage and the climbs are difficult. Mont Blanc is steep and about 11km long. There will already be GC gaps, so riders will absolutely be trying to make up for any lost time, while others may be struggling to hold on at the end of a very challenging stage race.

History

Winners:
5 time: Taylor Phinney (2021, 2020, 2018, 2016, 2013)
2 time: Thomas Dekker (2017, 2007); Rein Taaramae (2015, 2014); Simon Spilak (2012, 2011); John Gadret (2010, 2009)
1 time: Justin Tenorio(2022) Romain Sicard (2019) David Moncoutie (2008),

This race has had more multiple-time winners than single winners, but there isn’t a single returning champion on the startlist. Guess that means the 1st-time winner list will grow this year!

Aular is our highest returning finisher after finishing 6th last season.


GC Favorite


NameFLMOHISTRSRCACDHPR
Lachlan pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/yor.png Morton708476797878676873
Mark pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/p4e.png Padun678277727476757065
Fredrik Strand pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/cdb.png Galta698173787977667071
Orluis pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/lph.png Aular688172767577697170
Pierre pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/pol.png Latour698175807880747374
Ki Ho pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/sfi.png Choi718174777679687174
Joseph pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/xr0.png Areruya728181767879766065
Tadej pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/ced.png Pogacar708076798080726675
Kevin pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/dev.png Inkelaar648070757679746964
Marcus pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/aab.png Faglum Karlsson717973787576687479
Rasmus pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/zal.png Guldhammer667975717269736369
Nikias pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/dev.png Arndt717976777672756456
Thibaut pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/isa.png Pinot717973757873686664
Kyeng Ho pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/tlt.png Min687976757770666966
Michal pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/trg.png Schlegel697977717476756664


Morton enters this race two steps above the rest when it comes to the high mountains. He’s well positioned to take the victory here but simply riding everyone off his wheel on the mountaintop finishes.

Areruya is going to get our 2nd place prediction has the two hillier days might suit him best of any of the favorites. Those extra bonus seconds should make-up for anything he loses to the rest of the group assuming he doesn’t blow up on stage 5 or 7.

Latour will earn the 3rd place prediction based on his inability to tire. He’s strong all the way to the end of stages and should put themselves in good position after the MTT. Choi and Pogacar should also expect to start with a bit of advantage over all but Morton.

Faglum Karlsson might try to sneak into the top spots in the early stages if they aren’t the most decisive. The MTT doesn’t look to have much flat, but anything that isn’t straight uphill should give the Assa Abloy rider a bit of an advantage.
The rest of this group should all be disappointed if they don’t get a top 10 GC or a top 10 on any of the individual mountain stages. Obviously, some will have to miss out, but all of them should be aiming that direction.

These riders should be the favorites for stages 3, 5, 6 and 7, even though the hill markers may say otherwise for 3 and 6.

Hill Specialists

NameFLMOHISTRSRCACDHPR
Peter pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/bnb.png Sagan717382777368757767
Michal pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/bnb.png Kwiatkowski717780737573746874
Alex pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/cdb.png Aranburu697779707974716763
Aidan pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/isa.png Van Niekerk697579727576747165
Ivan pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/kng.png Sosa667878757980746665
David pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/ced.png Gaudu737178787571706966

While the GC riders should be the favorites for stages 3 and 6, there are a few riders who just might make it over the main climbs and find their way with a shot at those stages.

Kwiatkowski is the most likely stage winner in these scenarios with his ability to get over multiple climbs, although he may be asked to rider in support of Sagan. Both Binance riders should be aiming at stage wins – hopefully they don’t get in each other’s way.

Sosa is the other major contender from this group, as a very balance climber/punchier, but we’ll see what sort of prioritization he’s given.

Sprinters

NameFLHIRSRCSPAC
Stanislaw pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/p4e.png Aniolkowski766574798079
Adrien pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/dev.png Petit756470767976
Bas pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/rab.png Van der Kooij736974837877
Emiliano pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/isa.png Contreras726875777880
Dusan pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/ced.png Rajovic726476707882
Sam pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/gla.png Bennett706367787878
Pascal pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/zpc.png Ackermann727771797780
Mihkel pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/zal.png Räim746772757675
Bert pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/bnb.png Van Lerberghe746674747573
David pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/ldl.png Dekker756576697574

This is… not the strong sprint field that we’ll see this year, but there will be an exciting battle between the best.

Aniolkowski is clearly the strongest sprinter, but with Padun on the squad, who knows how much Team Pop4Ever p/b Morshynska will want to chase on the two flat stages.

Petit is another strong option, but he’s not the most explosive of the bunch.
Rajovic might actually be the biggest favorite if everyone decides to take things slow and leave it to a late sprint. Contreras will be thinking the same thing.

Bennett and Van der Kooij should also be coming here with hopes to gain at least 1 top 5 finish.

The lack of sprinters here could mean a lot when it comes to who will chase the breakaways, especially on stage 4. 228.8k is a lot to keep a strong break in check, so it might be worth placing a rider in the break for each of these strong sprinter teams with the hopes of landing the duties on the shoulders of GC contenders.

Startlist:
Spoiler
Last nameFirst name2023 Team
Faglum KarlssonMarcusAssa Abloy
GebremedhinAwetAssa Abloy
Gonzalez SalasMarioAssa Abloy
GougeardAlexisAssa Abloy
HänninenJaakoAssa Abloy
MatsumotoYosukueAssa Abloy
Van AertBernardAssa Abloy
VeyheTorkilAssa Abloy
BartlDavidBinance
BushRobertBinance
FigueiredoFredericoBinance
KwiatkowskiMichalBinance
MatsangosAlexandrosBinance
SaganPeterBinance
Van LerbergheBertBinance
VanbilsenKennethBinance
AranburuAlexCarlsberg - Danske Bank
GaltaFredrik StrandCarlsberg - Danske Bank
GregaardJonasCarlsberg - Danske Bank
Juul-JensenChristopherCarlsberg - Danske Bank
OlesenPatrickCarlsberg - Danske Bank
PetrovskiStefanCarlsberg - Danske Bank
Skjelmose JensenMattiasCarlsberg - Danske Bank
SulvaranGyasiCarlsberg - Danske Bank
BouchardGeoffreyCedevita
BuitragoSantiagoCedevita
GauduDavidCedevita
GovekarMatevzCedevita
HowsonDamienCedevita
PogacarTadejCedevita
RajovicDusanCedevita
WrightFredCedevita
AntonijevicGorancycleYorkshire
AtkinsGeorgecycleYorkshire
BalleriniDavidecycleYorkshire
ButtigiegAidancycleYorkshire
HolmesMatthewcycleYorkshire
MortonLachlancycleYorkshire
SkaarsethAnderscycleYorkshire
AffonsoMuriloDK Zalgiris
BudenieksKristapsDK Zalgiris
GuldhammerRasmusDK Zalgiris
HagenCarl FredrikDK Zalgiris
HerradaJesusDK Zalgiris
PszczolarskiWojciechDK Zalgiris
RäimMihkelDK Zalgiris
SchönbergerSebastianDK Zalgiris
ArndtNikiasDuckDuckGo - Everesting
Diaz SuarezAndy AlihonayDuckDuckGo - Everesting
HenaoSebastianDuckDuckGo - Everesting
InkelaarKevinDuckDuckGo - Everesting
MontenegroSantiagoDuckDuckGo - Everesting
PetitAdrienDuckDuckGo - Everesting
QuaadeRasmusDuckDuckGo - Everesting
SiposZoltanDuckDuckGo - Everesting
BennettSamGlanbia
DowneySeanGlanbia
JuneauFrancisGlanbia
PedenGeorgeGlanbia
ScotsonMilesGlanbia
WadeAaronGlanbia
AndersenIdarISA - Hexacta
BongiornoFrancescoISA - Hexacta
ContrerasEmilianoISA - Hexacta
PaezAndresISA - Hexacta
Parra BustamenteHeiner RodrigoISA - Hexacta
PinotThibautISA - Hexacta
SepulvedaEduardoISA - Hexacta
Van NiekerkAidanISA - Hexacta
ChamorroJuan ErnestoKing Power
FernandesJoseKing Power
FungKa HooKing Power
GraniganNoahKing Power
HerregodtsRuneKing Power
LeungChun WingKing Power
PhodingamSakchaiKing Power
SosaIvanKing Power
BoilyDavidKraftwerk Man Machine
CherkasovNicolayKraftwerk Man Machine
ColomboFilippoKraftwerk Man Machine
DestriboisAlex AriyaKraftwerk Man Machine
HelmeSasuKraftwerk Man Machine
MathisMarcoKraftwerk Man Machine
RosonJaimeKraftwerk Man Machine
ZhupaEugertKraftwerk Man Machine
Cort NielsenMagnusLidl Cycling
DekkerDavidLidl Cycling
LyuXianjingLidl Cycling
MansouriHamzaLidl Cycling
PradoIgnacio JesusLidl Cycling
RazumovNikitaLidl Cycling
Van der PoelMathieuLidl Cycling
VineJayLidl Cycling
AularOrluisLos Pollos Hermanos
BeltranGuillermo AndresLos Pollos Hermanos
Galvan RamirezOscar SamuelLos Pollos Hermanos
Lopez NolascoLuis EnriqueLos Pollos Hermanos
OsorioAlejandroLos Pollos Hermanos
PiraYesid AlbeiroLos Pollos Hermanos
QuispeAlainLos Pollos Hermanos
SütterlinJashaLos Pollos Hermanos
BellanJurajMoser - Sygic
BonnamourFranckMoser - Sygic
HoflandMorenoMoser - Sygic
HosekJosefMoser - Sygic
KhederiSouheilMoser - Sygic
KukrleMichalMoser - Sygic
OtrubaJakubMoser - Sygic
ToupalikAdamMoser - Sygic
BartheCyrilPolar
BrockhoffJanPolar
CarpenterRobinPolar
LatourPierrePolar
LaukKarl PatrickPolar
Le RouxRomainPolar
NychArtemPolar
OldaniStefanoPolar
ChampoussinClementRabobank
HellemoseAsbjornRabobank
HofstedeLennardRabobank
MartinGuillaumeRabobank
TolhoekAntwanRabobank
VaderMilanRabobank
Van Den BergMarijnRabobank
Van der KooijBasRabobank
AzmanMuhamad ZawawiSauber Petronas Racing
CamperoPiterSauber Petronas Racing
ChenMingrunSauber Petronas Racing
DulanjanaSachinSauber Petronas Racing
FrankinyKilianSauber Petronas Racing
GiuliettiLuigiSauber Petronas Racing
HirschiMarcSauber Petronas Racing
LiphongyuNawutiSauber Petronas Racing
Ahmad ZamriMuhamma AfifSony - Force India
CarboniGiovanniSony - Force India
ChoiKi HoSony - Force India
HayterLeoSony - Force India
JungelsBobSony - Force India
KozhatayevBakhtiyarSony - Force India
LeemreizeGijsSony - Force India
OcampoVictor AlejandroSony - Force India
AndriafenomananiainaZouzouTeam Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska
AniolkowskiStanislawTeam Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska
GladyshRomanTeam Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska
GolovashOleksandrTeam Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska
PadunMarkTeam Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska
PapanovMartinTeam Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska
SergisKasparsTeam Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska
ZumerMaticTeam Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska
JangGyung GuTrans Looney Tunes
KatrasnikGasperTrans Looney Tunes
KnoxJamesTrans Looney Tunes
MinKyeng HoTrans Looney Tunes
MunozCristianTrans Looney Tunes
SenyenovRomanTrans Looney Tunes
SobreroMatteoTrans Looney Tunes
StimulakKlemenTrans Looney Tunes
HoelgaardDanielTryg - Gobik
HonoreMikkelTryg - Gobik
IversenRasmusTryg - Gobik
NyoniSimiloTryg - Gobik
SchlegelMichalTryg - Gobik
SleenTorjusTryg - Gobik
AreruyaJosephXero Racing
BoileauAlanXero Racing
DuyvesteynKeesXero Racing
FoucheJamesXero Racing
SchomberNilsXero Racing
StrongCorbinXero Racing
Van WilderIlanXero Racing
Van ZylJohannXero Racing
AckermannPascalZwift Pro Cycling
CanalCarlosZwift Pro Cycling
CarrSimonZwift Pro Cycling
GloagThomasZwift Pro Cycling
JorgensonMatteoZwift Pro Cycling
JussaumeTristanZwift Pro Cycling
LopezJuan PedroZwift Pro Cycling
RhimBrendanZwift Pro Cycling
 
baseballlover312
Big race for us. Galta's last stage race of the season. He was doing so well until the last few days of the Giro. Have to hope the game engine still likes him and he can redeem himself a little bit. A top 5 would go a long way for that. Things will be complicated a bit by the presence of Aranburu. With the hilly/medium mountain stages I felt like he'd be good here, and the lack of a real TT means even a relatively high GC is possible. But that depends on how he interacts with Galta. My hope is that Gregaard is the main protector and Aranburu has some freedom, but PCM is rarely so strategic.

Thanks for the preview!
RIP Exxon Duke, David Veilleux, Double Feature, and Monster Energy
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MacC
You know it's a weak sprint field if Sam Bennett gets a mention ...let's hope he merits it.

Otherwise Glanbia will be looking at the prologue with Seán Downey.

Thanks Sean Coll , good luck all
 
jandal7
No idea how the hilly stages play out, if it's not selective at all overhauling Padun could be tricky, but really we should be wanting 2nd and a stage or two at a minimum. I'm going to just stop posting every race about how we need to overperform everywhere to promote and secure our future because it's going so terribly - however I will say we do have a Win Goal here as well so it'd be nice for that reason too if we can somehow bring down Morton Pfft
24/02/21 - kandesbunzler said “I don't drink famous people."
15/08/22 - SotD said "Your [jandal's] humour is overrated"
11/06/24 - knockout said "Winning is fine I guess. Truth be told this felt completely unimportant."

[ICL] Santos-Euskadi | [PT] i.imgur.com/c85NSl6.png Xero Racing

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AbhishekLFC
Similar expectations as in East Java after seeing the startlist. Top 5 would be great but 6th or 7th looks more likely. Hoping for Choi to remain consistent as always. This is a Top 10 goal and that is the minimum requirement!

Thanks for the preview Sean!
 
alexkr00
Not a lot going on for us here. Hoping we'll at least be active in the breakaways.
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redordead
Maybe Pogi has a chance to sneak into the top 5, hopefully he can best a couple of 81 climbers. Also could be a nice race for Rajovic, I could use every extra point we get.

Between this and Suisse we have two important races to put some points on the board. Thanks for the preview Smile

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"I am a cyclist, I may not be the best, but that is what I strive to be. I may never get there, but I will never quit trying." - Tadej Pogačar
 
quadsas
Goal is to avoid a donut. Might be a tall task due to clashes
deez
 
Nemolito
Thanks for the great preview, sean! Goal for Aular should be top-8. Dream goal top-5 I guess. And hopefully a decent result by Sütterlin in the prologue Smile

Good luck to all.
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Fabianski
Looking forward to see how the climbers vs. puncheurs battle plays out! I think Les Gets doesn't look hard enough (despite the length) to make a real difference, so it might be only Mont Blanc that's really too tough for the likes of Kwiatkowski or Aranburu. With all these short uphill finishes, I wonder what Areruya can actually do - losing some time to Morton on the first and last days is very likely, but otherwise?
In general, PCT teams have some pretty punchy climbers - Padun, Arndt, Min, Schlegel - looking forward to see if they can do better than expected here!

Only thing I'm missing in the preview is the list of favourites for the prologue. Maybe it's just so that Schomber doesn't need to be mentioned Pfft
Faglum Karlsson should be among the stage win favourites as well - who knows what he'll be capable of if he gets yellow on the first days...

Thanks for the preview, and good luck to all participants!
 
seancoll
Racing will be delayed due to a technology issue which I hope to resolve soon!
MG Manager - SEE Turtles
 
seancoll
Thanks for the patience as we faced some technology and life issues - we should be back on a normal/expedited schedule as best we can!

Good racing to all!
MG Manager - SEE Turtles
 
redordead
Solid start with Howson's 4th place in the prologue and Pogi only behind Karlsson amongst the climbers. Now to see if we can getting something from the sprints.

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"I am a cyclist, I may not be the best, but that is what I strive to be. I may never get there, but I will never quit trying." - Tadej Pogačar
 
AbhishekLFC
That was a very good Prologue for us I think - Jungels Top 9, Ocampo 2nd in the U25s and Choi behind only Faglum Karlsson and Pogacar in terms of the GC contenders. Can't complain.

Congrats to Bikex and thanks for the report sean Smile
 
MacC
Thanks Sean, the mission to not get zero points begins!
 
Nemolito
Thanks for the report, sean! Congratulations to Bikex.

Hoped for Sütterlin to do a bit better, but I guess he's allowed to perform a little bit less than that after his great TT in Bongo recently. Aular losing max 20 seconds to other climbers, so can't complain about that.
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baseballlover312
Very solid start from Galta. Let's hope it carries through into the climbing.
RIP Exxon Duke, David Veilleux, Double Feature, and Monster Energy
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baseballlover312
Not great for depth points that both Aranburu and Gregaard lost time, but most important thing is Galta was well positioned.
RIP Exxon Duke, David Veilleux, Double Feature, and Monster Energy
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AbhishekLFC
Good that Choi was attentive and stayed with the lead group. That's all that was required from this stage.

Congrats to red and thanks for the report Smile
 
redordead
Banana DULE WINS!!! Banana


Really happy that I got lucky with a manageable sprinting startlist and Rajovic took full advantage. We helped with the chasing duties, so a deserved win in my book Smile

Only downside is our depth pieces lost time, so we are probably relying just on Pogi and Dule for scoring now. Excited to see what tomorrow brings, but Areruya looks in menacing form.

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"I am a cyclist, I may not be the best, but that is what I strive to be. I may never get there, but I will never quit trying." - Tadej Pogačar
 
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