Tour de Romandie - Discussion
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Posted on 28-01-2024 14:56
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Tour de Romandie
C1 – 6 Stages
The Tour de Romandie is a mixed bag of opportunities, with chances for all types of specialists. The race begins with a flat 18.3km TTT which will open up GC gaps right off the bat. A complicated sprint stage finds the riders for stage 2 although they should come to the line together. Stage 3 is a very mountainous hill stage. The final 30km should really challenge the GC contenders and we expect this to be won by a punchier climber. Stage 4 is an absolute mountain test as the riders finish on the Col de La Croix. A day for the pure climbers, but the valleys mean you’ll need some domestiques. Stage 5 is a mountain prologue which will test both their solo abilities and their climbing as the final GC day. Day 6 is for any remaining sprinters to see who is the strongest after some tough days in the high mountains.
History
Tour de Romandie is entering its 16th consecutive season in the MG calendar.
Romain Sicard joins as the only returning champion after his 2017 win, although he’s declined just a tad since then. Colin Stüssi is our top returning from 2022 when he placed 7th. He’ll hope to improve upon that placing after a great Giro d’Italia.
A full history: https://www.pcmdaily.com/forum/viewth...d_id=64773
Let’s look at each of the teams racing here:
| | | | | | | | | | Adidas – Eurocash | CT |
Last name | First name | Flat | Mountain | Hill | TT | Stamina | Resistance | Recovery | Sprint | Acceleration | Fighter | Downhill | Prologue | Stepniak | Grzegorz | 69 | 54 | 64 | 61 | 65 | 65 | 70 | 76 | 74 | 60 | 65 | 70 | Tracz | Szymon | 66 | 66 | 67 | 62 | 65 | 65 | 65 | 62 | 65 | 67 | 66 | 63 | Braun | Julian | 66 | 58 | 62 | 70 | 68 | 68 | 61 | 67 | 70 | 55 | 66 | 71 | Schachmann | Maximillian | 66 | 67 | 75 | 56 | 74 | 69 | 64 | 69 | 78 | 72 | 76 | 56 | Keup | Pierre-Pascal | 66 | 62 | 67 | 60 | 64 | 67 | 67 | 65 | 68 | 64 | 73 | 60 | Wilksch | Hannes | 65 | 67 | 66 | 63 | 66 | 67 | 65 | 62 | 63 | 67 | 67 | 63 |
★
Not sure exactly what Adidas – Eurocash’s path to success here is. Maybe Schachmann can find a breakaway or two. Stepniak will be a 2nd level choice in the sprints.
| | | | | | | | | | Air New Zealand – Alfa Romeo | CT |
Last name | First name | Flat | Mountain | Hill | TT | Stamina | Resistance | Recovery | Sprint | Acceleration | Fighter | Downhill | Prologue | Vink | Michael | 71 | 67 | 75 | 69 | 74 | 71 | 68 | 64 | 68 | 74 | 74 | 69 | Skala | Jakub | 74 | 56 | 71 | 56 | 70 | 72 | 65 | 66 | 71 | 72 | 74 | 69 | Reddish | Nick | 72 | 62 | 67 | 66 | 68 | 75 | 74 | 71 | 72 | 72 | 65 | 75 | Diaz | Daniel Ricardo | 65 | 75 | 67 | 69 | 64 | 68 | 66 | 58 | 63 | 61 | 71 | 69 | Costagli | Teodoro | 59 | 75 | 67 | 66 | 64 | 65 | 70 | 50 | 61 | 72 | 63 | 66 | Puccio | Salvatore | 70 | 54 | 64 | 59 | 73 | 68 | 61 | 58 | 52 | 58 | 74 | 59 | Shalunov | Evgeny | 70 | 75 | 69 | 70 | 75 | 71 | 73 | 64 | 63 | 65 | 72 | 68 | Brown | Connor | 70 | 66 | 67 | 66 | 65 | 68 | 66 | 66 | 68 | 63 | 68 | 65 |
★★
Air New Zealand – Alfa Romeo has a couple mountain options to stay in weak GC contention, but nothing more than depth scoring from a GC perspective. A chance for a Stage 4 breakway for KOM points is available as well.
| | | | | | | | | | Bordeaux Métropole – Euskotren | CT |
Last name | First name | Flat | Mountain | Hill | TT | Stamina | Resistance | Recovery | Sprint | Acceleration | Fighter | Downhill | Prologue | Polanco | Steven Manuel | 66 | 60 | 65 | 66 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 65 | 67 | 76 | 75 | 67 | Pacher | Quentin | 70 | 71 | 75 | 61 | 73 | 74 | 69 | 70 | 73 | 72 | 67 | 63 | Rodriguez | Cristian | 70 | 70 | 76 | 67 | 76 | 70 | 70 | 65 | 71 | 75 | 74 | 67 | Doubey | Fabien | 71 | 74 | 75 | 59 | 72 | 72 | 71 | 67 | 70 | 63 | 60 | 59 | Rochas | Remy | 67 | 77 | 74 | 61 | 70 | 70 | 73 | 61 | 73 | 72 | 66 | 62 | Berthet | Clement | 64 | 73 | 72 | 58 | 68 | 72 | 64 | 62 | 72 | 71 | 75 | 58 | Le Berre | Mathis | 67 | 64 | 68 | 65 | 68 | 69 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 68 | 66 | 62 | Serrano | Javier | 65 | 64 | 68 | 64 | 71 | 74 | 67 | 60 | 68 | 69 | 71 | 62 |
★★
Rochas should be able to manage a decent result in GC, but an extremely weak TTT is going to be a real challenge. No way to impact the sprint stages besides finding the breakaway.
| | | | | | | | | | Bralirwa - Stevens | PCT |
Last name | First name | Flat | Mountain | Hill | TT | Stamina | Resistance | Recovery | Sprint | Acceleration | Fighter | Downhill | Prologue | Meintjes | Louis | 71 | 80 | 78 | 71 | 77 | 76 | 78 | 61 | 69 | 71 | 74 | 71 | Silvestre | Fabio | 77 | 60 | 66 | 72 | 68 | 69 | 72 | 79 | 79 | 69 | 62 | 76 | Uwizeyimana | Bonaventure | 71 | 76 | 72 | 74 | 76 | 75 | 77 | 56 | 68 | 69 | 58 | 74 | Izagirre | Ion | 69 | 72 | 79 | 75 | 70 | 69 | 64 | 58 | 61 | 67 | 68 | 75 | Politt | Nils | 73 | 63 | 66 | 78 | 70 | 73 | 72 | 59 | 65 | 69 | 66 | 76 | Hadi | Janvier | 68 | 74 | 72 | 74 | 73 | 70 | 71 | 74 | 71 | 68 | 69 | 74 | Verona | Carlos | 71 | 54 | 62 | 77 | 72 | 75 | 67 | 62 | 63 | 60 | 66 | 77 | Mugisha | Samuel | 76 | 64 | 70 | 74 | 70 | 74 | 71 | 62 | 68 | 74 | 64 | 68 |
★★★★★
Meintjes is a Top 3 GC contender here, especially with such a strong TTT setup. This team has someone for every stage with Silvestre a great option for the two sprint stages as well. Great balance and some real potential for a top result.
| | | | | | | | | | Caja Rural Cycling Team | CT |
Last name | First name | Flat | Mountain | Hill | TT | Stamina | Resistance | Recovery | Sprint | Acceleration | Fighter | Downhill | Prologue | Serrano | Gonzalo | 69 | 72 | 77 | 63 | 73 | 75 | 72 | 68 | 77 | 77 | 65 | 63 | Scheit | Florian | 66 | 72 | 76 | 58 | 72 | 71 | 69 | 64 | 71 | 77 | 66 | 58 | Ezquerra | Jesus | 68 | 64 | 70 | 61 | 67 | 69 | 64 | 68 | 69 | 65 | 66 | 64 | Guardini | Andrea | 69 | 52 | 61 | 56 | 69 | 64 | 66 | 77 | 77 | 71 | 57 | 56 | Sinkeldam | Ramon | 71 | 62 | 72 | 61 | 69 | 65 | 63 | 65 | 63 | 72 | 71 | 61 | Intxausti | Benat | 60 | 72 | 61 | 67 | 64 | 64 | 58 | 52 | 56 | 57 | 54 | 67 | Munoz | Daniel | 66 | 79 | 73 | 66 | 72 | 72 | 74 | 56 | 71 | 70 | 61 | 58 | Ablenado | Aberlardo | 67 | 78 | 67 | 72 | 73 | 77 | 77 | 51 | 65 | 59 | 64 | 72 |
★★★
Munoz should be focusing on a top GC result here after Caja has had some tough races the last few times out. Munoz will absolutely lose time in the time trials. Guardini should be able to find themselves in a Top 5-10 position in the sprints.
| | | | | | | | | | DK Zalgiris | PCT |
Smith | Dion | 69 | 78 | 75 | 68 | 72 | 74 | 75 | 66 | 74 | 75 | 71 | 65 | Guldhammer | Rasmus | 66 | 79 | 75 | 69 | 71 | 72 | 69 | 68 | 73 | 69 | 63 | 69 | Beniusis | Justas | 71 | 69 | 60 | 79 | 71 | 73 | 72 | 57 | 67 | 68 | 68 | 78 | Lasinis | Venantas | 69 | 77 | 72 | 74 | 73 | 72 | 74 | 61 | 68 | 67 | 69 | 74 | Pronskiy | Vadim | 64 | 77 | 73 | 63 | 73 | 72 | 77 | 61 | 73 | 73 | 70 | 63 | Affonso | Murilo | 69 | 76 | 72 | 73 | 72 | 70 | 74 | 54 | 68 | 74 | 53 | 73 | Herrada | Jesus | 65 | 74 | 72 | 73 | 70 | 70 | 68 | 64 | 67 | 70 | 63 | 72 | Pszczolarski | Wojciech | 73 | 60 | 70 | 74 | 68 | 72 | 67 | 71 | 72 | 68 | 65 | 77 |
★★★★
This is a fantastic depth squad for the high mountains with Guldhammer as the leader. Beniusis should be able to tow the rest of the group for a strong TTT. No sprint option might actually be good for his team to be able to stay calm on those stages. Looking for some strong results here.
| | | | | | | | | | Ekoi – Le Creuset | CT |
Last name | First name | Flat | Mountain | Hill | TT | Stamina | Resistance | Recovery | Sprint | Acceleration | Fighter | Downhill | Prologue | Garibian | Arman | 68 | 71 | 68 | 69 | 70 | 71 | 73 | 60 | 69 | 65 | 69 | 69 | Hopkins | Dylan | 68 | 68 | 68 | 67 | 69 | 70 | 63 | 57 | 65 | 66 | 70 | 64 | Thompson | Reuben | 71 | 68 | 66 | 63 | 67 | 71 | 66 | 67 | 68 | 62 | 73 | 62 | Vauquelin | Kevin | 67 | 69 | 64 | 68 | 65 | 69 | 66 | 68 | 67 | 70 | 70 | 67 | Chevrier | Clement | 65 | 75 | 74 | 57 | 69 | 69 | 69 | 60 | 67 | 77 | 60 | 57 | Russo | Clement | 73 | 65 | 73 | 65 | 73 | 73 | 76 | 76 | 78 | 66 | 64 | 65 | Jiang | Zhihui | 72 | 61 | 66 | 65 | 69 | 73 | 72 | 75 | 75 | 65 | 73 | 79 | Karatsivis | Panagiotis | 69 | 72 | 68 | 68 | 70 | 71 | 70 | 64 | 71 | 71 | 67 | 67 |
★★
Ekoi – Le Creuset will be relying on the sprints for success and Russo will need to be their man. Chevier may be able to find a breakaway as well or a lower GC position, but that’s the extent of chances.
| | | | | | | | | | Genii Hyundai N Cycling | PCT |
Last name | First name | Flat | Mountain | Hill | TT | Stamina | Resistance | Recovery | Sprint | Acceleration | Fighter | Downhill | Prologue | Penasa | Pierre Paolo | 70 | 80 | 74 | 70 | 75 | 72 | 77 | 57 | 76 | 68 | 64 | 70 | Sicard | Romain | 69 | 78 | 74 | 72 | 74 | 73 | 76 | 60 | 64 | 73 | 61 | 72 | Barta | William | 69 | 76 | 72 | 73 | 71 | 74 | 70 | 72 | 67 | 65 | 56 | 75 | Pavlic | Marko | 69 | 75 | 72 | 72 | 71 | 73 | 74 | 68 | 69 | 70 | 70 | 74 | Pokälä | Samuel | 69 | 63 | 70 | 76 | 73 | 71 | 71 | 59 | 63 | 61 | 63 | 75 | Kittel | Marcel | 71 | 51 | 60 | 77 | 68 | 64 | 59 | 56 | 67 | 68 | 60 | 77 | Vernon | Ethan | 71 | 60 | 64 | 74 | 70 | 74 | 66 | 73 | 69 | 63 | 64 | 75 | Jarc | Aljaz | 69 | 63 | 66 | 63 | 67 | 68 | 68 | 67 | 69 | 72 | 68 | 63 |
★★★★
Penasa will lead the group of strong climbers, but they’re missing some specialty on the hills which isn’t the most crucial bit here. Penasa is must be considered a Top 3 threat. Barta and Sicard will likely lose time on the more selective stages but a strong TTT could earn some team priority. A great TTT should bring them to the front early in the race.
| | | | | | | | | | Indosat Ooredoo | PCT |
Last name | First name | Flat | Mountain | Hill | TT | Stamina | Resistance | Recovery | Sprint | Acceleration | Fighter | Downhill | Prologue | Salinas | Jonathan | 68 | 76 | 72 | 70 | 72 | 72 | 68 | 58 | 70 | 63 | 65 | 70 | Yates | Adam | 71 | 80 | 76 | 71 | 79 | 80 | 76 | 67 | 76 | 71 | 71 | 71 | Nur Hasan | Sandy | 74 | 60 | 64 | 59 | 74 | 74 | 78 | 79 | 78 | 73 | 66 | 61 | Rohendi | Teten | 70 | 75 | 75 | 70 | 73 | 75 | 74 | 62 | 73 | 71 | 70 | 71 | Abdurrahman | Muhammad | 68 | 77 | 72 | 72 | 74 | 74 | 74 | 60 | 68 | 74 | 64 | 72 | Arif Prayogo | Dealton Nur | 73 | 63 | 68 | 76 | 73 | 75 | 70 | 64 | 64 | 74 | 64 | 78 | Wolf | Justin | 70 | 60 | 63 | 77 | 71 | 72 | 70 | 56 | 62 | 58 | 59 | 75 | Kochetkov | Mikhail | 72 | 64 | 60 | 76 | 72 | 69 | 69 | 71 | 78 | 74 | 60 | 58 |
★★★★★
One of the stronger full teams here, Indosat Ooredoo has options no matter which way the race goes. Yates is the favorite and one of the strongest in the race. Some great energy resistance could be huge for some of the more challenging stages. Nur Hasan will also contest the sprints with a great chance at a stage. 3 great TTers will also keep this group up front in the GC race to start.
| | | | | | | | | | Jura GIANTS | PCT |
Last name | First name | Flat | Mountain | Hill | TT | Stamina | Resistance | Recovery | Sprint | Acceleration | Fighter | Downhill | Prologue | Stüssi | Colin | 71 | 79 | 73 | 75 | 77 | 73 | 78 | 63 | 66 | 65 | 69 | 69 | Bol | Cees | 76 | 64 | 70 | 67 | 75 | 77 | 81 | 79 | 77 | 68 | 67 | 69 | Bissegger | Stefan | 74 | 68 | 69 | 78 | 73 | 77 | 72 | 72 | 73 | 64 | 71 | 77 | Darbellay | Valentin | 69 | 77 | 71 | 75 | 73 | 75 | 77 | 67 | 64 | 70 | 67 | 76 | Kung | Stefan | 73 | 70 | 73 | 77 | 74 | 72 | 73 | 63 | 71 | 73 | 78 | 78 | Rekita | Szymon | 72 | 58 | 63 | 79 | 70 | 73 | 73 | 69 | 70 | 63 | 73 | 78 | Marchewka | Krzysztof | 65 | 64 | 60 | 77 | 73 | 75 | 74 | 52 | 64 | 62 | 65 | 77 | Janssen | Christoph | 71 | 63 | 65 | 72 | 68 | 71 | 70 | 59 | 66 | 64 | 65 | 72 |
★★★★
This team is READY for the TTT! It would be a surprise to see one of the GIANTS not wearing the leader’s jersey after stage 1. Stussi may need his extra TT skills on stage 5 if he loses time to the best group of climbers on stages 3 and 4. Bol should make his presence known in the sprints as well!
| | | | | | | | | | Kraftwerk Man Machine | PCT |
Last name | First name | Flat | Mountain | Hill | TT | Stamina | Resistance | Recovery | Sprint | Acceleration | Fighter | Downhill | Prologue | Ranaweera | Suranga | 67 | 80 | 73 | 76 | 75 | 75 | 74 | 58 | 65 | 57 | 69 | 73 | Haller | Marco | 72 | 61 | 65 | 56 | 72 | 71 | 76 | 80 | 79 | 66 | 64 | 71 | Roson | Jaime | 67 | 78 | 76 | 61 | 67 | 70 | 77 | 54 | 74 | 73 | 66 | 58 | Boily | David | 66 | 75 | 77 | 69 | 71 | 71 | 67 | 67 | 73 | 68 | 78 | 60 | Ludvigsson | Tobias | 68 | 76 | 72 | 76 | 75 | 72 | 73 | 62 | 71 | 65 | 72 | 75 | De Buyst | Jasper | 73 | 61 | 70 | 68 | 73 | 75 | 75 | 76 | 76 | 70 | 70 | 68 | Theorpanous | Stavros | 68 | 68 | 68 | 67 | 66 | 69 | 70 | 67 | 72 | 70 | 68 | 66 | Uhlig | Henri | 65 | 57 | 61 | 62 | 63 | 68 | 72 | 59 | 73 | 66 | 71 | 60 |
★★★★★
Ranaweera is going to be ready for a title run here with a fantastic combination of TT and MO capabilities. They’ll struggle a bit in the TTT, but Haller will be there to find stage success in the sprints as well. He should officially be the sprint favorite.
| | | | | | | | | | Lierse SK – Pizza Ullo | PCT |
Last name | First name | Flat | Mountain | Hill | TT | Stamina | Resistance | Recovery | Sprint | Acceleration | Fighter | Downhill | Prologue | Potocki | Viktor | 70 | 69 | 70 | 75 | 73 | 75 | 73 | 65 | 68 | 70 | 72 | 75 | Oomen | Sam | 71 | 81 | 75 | 74 | 78 | 77 | 78 | 65 | 69 | 72 | 68 | 77 | Van Gils | Maxim | 69 | 76 | 74 | 61 | 70 | 74 | 73 | 68 | 74 | 70 | 69 | 61 | Sajnok | Szymon | 74 | 61 | 65 | 78 | 70 | 76 | 71 | 73 | 72 | 62 | 70 | 79 | Covi | Alessandro | 66 | 73 | 74 | 62 | 70 | 71 | 67 | 64 | 66 | 65 | 66 | 63 | Siddikov | Dilmurdjon | 75 | 63 | 65 | 77 | 76 | 75 | 72 | 65 | 66 | 78 | 72 | 77 | Van Aert | Wout | 75 | 63 | 66 | 70 | 72 | 73 | 72 | 64 | 68 | 69 | 75 | 79 | Weemaes | Sasha | 73 | 60 | 62 | 75 | 74 | 70 | 67 | 73 | 72 | 67 | 64 | 75 |
★★★★★
We’re going to call Oomen the GC favorite as Lierse SK comes with a strong TTT, Oomen is the best climber in the field and he should manage to extend his gap on Stage 5. The only challenge is that Oomen may be left without domestiques before most others. If Oomen falters somehow, this could be a very challenging race.
| | | | | | | | | | Saeco | CT |
Last name | First name | Flat | Mountain | Hill | TT | Stamina | Resistance | Recovery | Sprint | Acceleration | Fighter | Downhill | Prologue | Aru | Fabio | 66 | 77 | 73 | 63 | 73 | 74 | 75 | 55 | 69 | 55 | 69 | 63 | Ciccone | Giulio | 67 | 77 | 73 | 71 | 70 | 70 | 73 | 51 | 69 | 59 | 59 | 79 | Petrucci | Mattia | 62 | 66 | 66 | 57 | 66 | 64 | 60 | 61 | 66 | 62 | 63 | 57 | Silva | Pedro | 66 | 65 | 67 | 58 | 74 | 71 | 63 | 65 | 71 | 71 | 65 | 60 | Franco | Alejandro | 65 | 68 | 64 | 57 | 70 | 68 | 66 | 60 | 70 | 70 | 64 | 57 | Zambanini | Edoardo | 66 | 68 | 69 | 58 | 72 | 67 | 67 | 63 | 69 | 64 | 68 | 65 | Verre | Alessandro | 67 | 66 | 67 | 57 | 66 | 64 | 66 | 63 | 71 | 65 | 55 | 57 |
★★
Ciccone and Aru will battle for Saeco in the mountains, but that’s about it for Saeco. The opening TTT is possibly the worst in the field which could sink any chances for a decent strong GC result. Ciccone could make some great inroads on the mountain TT.
| | | | | | | | | | Sauber Petronas Racing | PCT |
Last name | First name | Flat | Mountain | Hill | TT | Stamina | Resistance | Recovery | Sprint | Acceleration | Fighter | Downhill | Prologue | Frankiny | Kilian | 69 | 78 | 76 | 64 | 72 | 75 | 77 | 61 | 75 | 71 | 66 | 67 | Einhorn | Itamar | 74 | 60 | 61 | 62 | 71 | 71 | 74 | 80 | 78 | 60 | 63 | 64 | Natarov | Yuriy | 65 | 78 | 72 | 70 | 66 | 70 | 78 | 65 | 67 | 79 | 57 | 69 | Misbah | Mushin | 68 | 77 | 70 | 75 | 76 | 73 | 74 | 62 | 68 | 70 | 70 | 74 | Liphongyu | Nawuti | 68 | 75 | 72 | 74 | 73 | 72 | 74 | 58 | 63 | 68 | 63 | 73 | Dulanjana | Sachin | 67 | 74 | 72 | 74 | 75 | 71 | 77 | 62 | 61 | 60 | 75 | 75 | Noia | Carlo | 76 | 58 | 60 | 78 | 70 | 74 | 70 | 61 | 69 | 70 | 65 | 77 | Maccagli | Andrea Enrico | 72 | 63 | 66 | 75 | 70 | 71 | 68 | 63 | 68 | 69 | 70 | 75 |
★★★
This is a strong but confusing team to judge. Frankiny should be the GC leader, except that he’ll probably be dropped in the TT. This leaves Misbah as a good, but second tier GC option with a number of good climbers. TTT should finish in the top 5-7 spots though. Einhorn is the 2nd best sprinter in the field and could see two fantastic stage results.
| | | | | | | | | | Sony – Force India | PCT |
Last name | First name | Flat | Mountain | Hill | TT | Stamina | Resistance | Recovery | Sprint | Acceleration | Fighter | Downhill | Prologue | Choi | Ki Ho | 71 | 81 | 74 | 75 | 77 | 76 | 79 | 59 | 68 | 68 | 71 | 74 | Carboni | Giovanni | 70 | 78 | 76 | 69 | 73 | 73 | 73 | 66 | 69 | 61 | 72 | 69 | Kozhatayev | Bakhtiyar | 74 | 77 | 74 | 72 | 71 | 75 | 71 | 52 | 69 | 62 | 74 | 72 | Leemreize | Gijs | 66 | 76 | 74 | 65 | 69 | 73 | 72 | 62 | 70 | 74 | 67 | 65 | Jungels | Bob | 72 | 64 | 68 | 78 | 74 | 75 | 69 | 63 | 63 | 72 | 70 | 78 | Ahmad Zamri | Muhamma Afif | 70 | 75 | 70 | 75 | 72 | 74 | 75 | 59 | 69 | 71 | 59 | 75 | Ocampo | Victor Alejandro | 69 | 59 | 64 | 76 | 72 | 71 | 73 | 58 | 63 | 58 | 66 | 76 | Hayter | Leo | 72 | 71 | 65 | 70 | 71 | 70 | 66 | 66 | 73 | 64 | 69 | 71 |
★★★★★
Choi is the 2nd best GC rider in the entire field and many could argue Choi is even better than Oomen. Sony-Force India has a fantastic TTT as well. Carboni is a fantastic final domestique to control things, too. They should be in for a great GC fight.
| | | | | | | | | | Stela-Vita | CT |
Last name | First name | Flat | Mountain | Hill | TT | Stamina | Resistance | Recovery | Sprint | Acceleration | Fighter | Downhill | Prologue | Urcelay | Adria | 67 | 74 | 70 | 62 | 71 | 67 | 72 | 57 | 71 | 72 | 77 | 64 | Goos | Marc | 70 | 76 | 73 | 75 | 77 | 74 | 74 | 66 | 72 | 69 | 67 | 75 | Freuler | Jan-Andre | 69 | 72 | 75 | 68 | 73 | 75 | 72 | 67 | 75 | 67 | 75 | 69 | Groselj | Ziga | 69 | 63 | 75 | 72 | 72 | 73 | 68 | 72 | 72 | 72 | 63 | 72 | Wohrer | David | 65 | 74 | 73 | 63 | 66 | 70 | 70 | 65 | 71 | 74 | 69 | 62 | McCutcheon | Connor | 69 | 72 | 72 | 54 | 74 | 73 | 74 | 53 | 73 | 74 | 72 | 50 | John | Naveen | 66 | 68 | 67 | 71 | 67 | 69 | 69 | 64 | 66 | 73 | 66 | 72 | Demiri | Mikel | 66 | 52 | 52 | 70 | 64 | 64 | 63 | 66 | 73 | 77 | 62 | 70 |
★★
Goos is the best chance for Stela-Vita here and there isn’t too much support for a top result sadly. There’s satisfactory TTT support to end middle/bottom of the pack and potential for Goos to have a decent MTT. No sprint chances for Saeco.
| | | | | | | | | | Tafjord Kraft | PCT |
Last name | First name | Flat | Mountain | Hill | TT | Stamina | Resistance | Recovery | Sprint | Acceleration | Fighter | Downhill | Prologue | Bardet | Romain | 65 | 76 | 73 | 58 | 70 | 68 | 69 | 51 | 73 | 66 | 70 | 58 | Hoem | Bjorn Tore | 67 | 77 | 72 | 67 | 74 | 69 | 74 | 58 | 62 | 61 | 72 | 67 | De la Cruz | David | 66 | 75 | 72 | 71 | 67 | 71 | 70 | 57 | 68 | 62 | 70 | 71 | Garby | Marc Christian | 65 | 79 | 70 | 68 | 71 | 76 | 75 | 52 | 70 | 72 | 63 | 68 | Dyrnes | Kristian | 68 | 72 | 78 | 61 | 73 | 73 | 70 | 65 | 77 | 78 | 74 | 66 | Kaislavuo | Jesse | 73 | 65 | 70 | 59 | 73 | 73 | 73 | 67 | 72 | 76 | 70 | 59 |
★★★
There’s some great climbers in this squad, but TTT is going to sink Tafjord Kraft with only 6 riders and some pure domestiques. Tafjord should absolutely hope for a stage 4 breakaway with such a great secondary options. Garby could make a strong result on stage 4 in the right scenario.
| | | | | | | | | | Team UBS - Tissot | PCT |
Last name | First name | Flat | Mountain | Hill | TT | Stamina | Resistance | Recovery | Sprint | Acceleration | Fighter | Downhill | Prologue | Schelling | Patrick | 70 | 79 | 74 | 71 | 73 | 74 | 71 | 57 | 68 | 66 | 71 | 70 | Barbio | Antonio | 68 | 74 | 72 | 76 | 72 | 73 | 68 | 63 | 67 | 76 | 71 | 75 | Schir | Thery | 67 | 77 | 72 | 72 | 73 | 72 | 74 | 59 | 65 | 69 | 68 | 72 | Haugard | Phan Age | 72 | 57 | 60 | 79 | 74 | 77 | 70 | 57 | 67 | 73 | 65 | 79 | Dillier | Silvan | 69 | 50 | 63 | 79 | 73 | 76 | 65 | 60 | 61 | 73 | 62 | 78 | Fominykh | Daniil | 74 | 56 | 67 | 77 | 74 | 71 | 68 | 64 | 69 | 61 | 63 | 76 | Schäppi | Martin | 72 | 64 | 67 | 75 | 74 | 72 | 69 | 66 | 68 | 70 | 60 | 75 | Blum | Elia | 69 | 60 | 67 | 72 | 68 | 70 | 69 | 63 | 66 | 63 | 71 | 71 |
★★★★
Team UBS-Tissot will be rivaling Jura for the best TTT. Schelling should get pulled into a good GC position to start and Schir should be able to support. We’ll see how strongly they can remain in towards the top of the standings.
| | | | | | | | | | Team Würth MODYF | | | | |
Last name | First name | Flat | Mountain | Hill | TT | Stamina | Resistance | Recovery | Sprint | Acceleration | Fighter | Downhill | Prologue | Lehtinen | Sakari | 67 | 75 | 73 | 65 | 72 | 69 | 70 | 65 | 67 | 67 | 70 | 60 | Elosegui | Inigo | 65 | 77 | 71 | 72 | 77 | 80 | 83 | 60 | 71 | 65 | 66 | 71 | Finkst | Tilen | 72 | 62 | 67 | 65 | 69 | 69 | 65 | 68 | 70 | 67 | 72 | 64 | Hindley | Jai | 71 | 72 | 76 | 67 | 75 | 72 | 72 | 67 | 73 | 76 | 70 | 67 | Lipowitz | Florian | 62 | 71 | 71 | 59 | 63 | 72 | 71 | 59 | 70 | 73 | 63 | 58 | Vangheluwe | Warre | 71 | 60 | 61 | 66 | 68 | 71 | 67 | 61 | 69 | 73 | 66 | 66 | Dumoulin | Tom | 70 | 58 | 67 | 77 | 74 | 75 | 68 | 64 | 66 | 65 | 59 | 77 | Magnussen | Davur | 73 | 58 | 69 | 72 | 66 | 72 | 64 | 67 | 70 | 74 | 70 | 76 |
★★★
Elosegui is the GC hope here with his best chances coming through recovering on the downhills. It’s a tough TTT setup for this group, but they should be able to manage an acceptable time.
[center] | | | | | | | | | | Trans Looney Tunes | PCT |
Last name | First name | Flat | Mountain | Hill | TT | Stamina | Resistance | Recovery | Sprint | Acceleration | Fighter | Downhill | Prologue | Min | Kyeng Ho | 68 | 79 | 76 | 66 | 75 | 77 | 70 | 62 | 66 | 69 | 69 | 66 | Primozic | Jaka | 69 | 76 | 74 | 68 | 79 | 77 | 79 | 66 | 73 | 72 | 67 | 69 | Knox | James | 70 | 75 | 73 | 73 | 75 | 77 | 77 | 63 | 67 | 65 | 61 | 73 | Jang | Gyung Gu | 66 | 75 | 75 | 61 | 70 | 68 | 68 | 65 | 72 | 72 | 55 | 61 | Piaskowy | Emanuel | 69 | 72 | 72 | 72 | 73 | 70 | 74 | 54 | 68 | 67 | 62 | 72 | Doull | Owain | 72 | 59 | 65 | 73 | 71 | 70 | 68 | 73 | 73 | 63 | 65 | 75 | Stimulak | Klemen | 72 | 58 | 65 | 76 | 69 | 70 | 67 | 71 | 72 | 64 | 60 | 65 | Tulett | Ben | 70 | 64 | 65 | 70 | 68 | 69 | 64 | 63 | 68 | 71 | 70 | 70 |
★★★
Another team with a confusing choice of strategy. Min should be a great option on stages 3 and 4, but doesn’t quite have the levels in the TTT. Some strong breakaways and attacks feel like the best route for Trans Looney Tunes.
| | | | | | | | | | Tryg - Gobik | PCT |
Last name | First name | Flat | Mountain | Hill | TT | Stamina | Resistance | Recovery | Sprint | Acceleration | Fighter | Downhill | Prologue | Schlegel | Michal | 69 | 79 | 77 | 65 | 71 | 74 | 76 | 64 | 75 | 73 | 66 | 64 | Seibeb | Costa | 71 | 75 | 76 | 66 | 70 | 69 | 71 | 61 | 73 | 80 | 59 | 66 | Norsgaard | Mathias | 73 | 62 | 65 | 79 | 69 | 75 | 65 | 57 | 66 | 57 | 59 | 77 | Sleen | Torjus | 69 | 71 | 71 | 73 | 69 | 72 | 73 | 63 | 69 | 71 | 64 | 71 | Iversen | Rasmus | 74 | 63 | 65 | 73 | 69 | 71 | 69 | 62 | 64 | 69 | 64 | 73 | Frison | Frederik | 71 | 57 | 67 | 77 | 73 | 71 | 67 | 65 | 65 | 63 | 67 | 77 | Nyoni | Similo | 69 | 54 | 61 | 75 | 66 | 71 | 67 | 70 | 68 | 71 | 64 | 75 | Pedrero | Antonio | 67 | 76 | 73 | 65 | 73 | 68 | 71 | 70 | 71 | 76 | 70 | 65 |
★★★
Schlegel is one of the strong combo Mo/Hi riders and could easily see success on stage 3. It’s probably best to see if Schlegel can stick on the TTT for as long as possible since without Schlegel they still can’t make it to the top of the podium.
| | | | | | | | | | Xero Racing | PCT |
Last name | First name | Flat | Mountain | Hill | TT | Stamina | Resistance | Recovery | Sprint | Acceleration | Fighter | Downhill | Prologue | Bennett | George | 67 | 81 | 76 | 65 | 75 | 74 | 79 | 65 | 73 | 55 | 63 | 65 | Fouche | James | 66 | 78 | 75 | 69 | 72 | 73 | 77 | 61 | 75 | 75 | 65 | 69 | Van Niekerk | Morne | 76 | 61 | 67 | 78 | 73 | 75 | 72 | 61 | 67 | 72 | 64 | 77 | Novardianto | Jamalidin | 76 | 61 | 68 | 68 | 70 | 78 | 74 | 73 | 79 | 74 | 68 | 75 | Van Zyl | Johann | 74 | 71 | 74 | 73 | 74 | 74 | 72 | 62 | 66 | 73 | 60 | 73 | Vermeersch | Florian | 74 | 62 | 67 | 70 | 71 | 73 | 65 | 74 | 76 | 67 | 75 | 72 | Van Wilder | Ilan | 66 | 72 | 70 | 71 | 66 | 70 | 67 | 67 | 68 | 64 | 66 | 70 | Schomber | Nils | 73 | 54 | 58 | 74 | 66 | 76 | 68 | 69 | 69 | 65 | 64 | 81 |
★★★★
Bennett is a huge threat for the overall if he can find the type of success he found at the Giro, but challenges in the TTs could be he deciding factor in GC. Still, Bennett is a huge threat to win on Col de la Croix. If Bennett can find his best days on the TTs, maybe he can challenge for the win.
| | | | | | | | | | Zwift Pro Cycling | PCT |
Last name | First name | Flat | Mountain | Hill | TT | Stamina | Resistance | Recovery | Sprint | Acceleration | Fighter | Downhill | Prologue | Powless | Neilson | 72 | 78 | 72 | 78 | 76 | 74 | 76 | 65 | 71 | 64 | 65 | 78 | Fraile | Omar | 68 | 75 | 71 | 78 | 73 | 75 | 70 | 59 | 65 | 78 | 64 | 78 | Jorgenson | Matteo | 72 | 77 | 74 | 74 | 77 | 76 | 70 | 65 | 70 | 65 | 69 | 73 | Lopez | Juan Pedro | 66 | 78 | 75 | 59 | 71 | 72 | 75 | 60 | 78 | 74 | 64 | 63 | Tejada | Harold | 68 | 77 | 73 | 71 | 72 | 76 | 72 | 59 | 70 | 66 | 64 | 71 | Pickrell | Riley | 69 | 65 | 66 | 65 | 65 | 72 | 67 | 63 | 67 | 65 | 68 | 64 | Stroll | Lewis | 66 | 72 | 69 | 72 | 71 | 72 | 73 | 62 | 68 | 70 | 75 | 72 | Jussaume | Tristan | 65 | 55 | 71 | 70 | 70 | 68 | 63 | 60 | 65 | 60 | 66 | 70 |
★★★★
Powless is maybe the best GC time trialist of the startlist and should use this to skyrocket up the rankings on stage 5. Zwift has a huge number of options for every mountain stage and is built for success in this tour.
Edited by seancoll on 28-01-2024 17:02
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Ulrich Ulriksen |
Posted on 28-01-2024 16:38
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Directeur Sportif
Posts: 3259
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PCM$: 300.00
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Glad we skipped one, nastily deep field for a C1 race. Think a few teams are going to be hurting after the TTT Thanks to sean for taking on the coverage.
Man Game: McCormick Pro Cycling
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kandesbunzler26 |
Posted on 28-01-2024 18:55
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Protected Rider
Posts: 1119
Joined: 07-07-2013
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Given the competition I'm glad we didn't send APP (though the TTT was reason enough not to). As sean said it's all about Russo and Chevrier here, so nothing we could reasonably expect.
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Ollfardh |
Posted on 28-01-2024 19:23
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World Champion
Posts: 14563
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PCM$: 9100.00
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After the South Africa TTT with a very similar lineup, I'm far less confident than the author of this otherwise great preview.
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
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Fabianski |
Posted on 28-01-2024 22:05
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 4669
Joined: 29-09-2018
PCM$: 185.00
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Ouch... I was hoping for a far less competitive field here, no clue why almost everyone picked this race in 2023...
With our TTT having made another step up, I should obviously be hoping for an improvement on Stüssi's 7th place last year - but that nasty stage 4 profile change clearly is no good for him. It has always been a breakaway stage, but now it's the most important one of the whole race - so given all the top climbers present, I guess we may have to settle for a lower Top 10. But let's race the whole thing first...
Bol hopefully will recover from his Lithuania zero-pointer; he should be just outside the Top 3 sprinters, which would be perfect.
Overall, I'd put my money on Oomen. He's got the most competitive TTT among the top contenders (if they drop their sub-70 TTers early) - but it might be close with Choi.
But I do honestly find it rather difficult to keep an overview of who's there with team-per-team previews. Whereas I absolutely love to read the assessments, I'm actually more in favor of some favourite overviews. Definitely don't want to criticize the preview - thanks a lot for doing it, sean! - it's just a matter of personal taste
Thanks again for the preview, good luck to all!
Edited by Fabianski on 28-01-2024 23:03
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Imladrik |
Posted on 29-01-2024 08:15
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Breakaway Specialist
Posts: 808
Joined: 05-10-2021
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As most C1/HC race, we're here for the breaks and trying to get mountain points.
Thank you for the preview, good luck everyone!
“...the secret of the Great Stories is that they have no secrets. The Great Stories are the ones you have heard and want to hear again. The ones you can enter anywhere and inhabit comfortably."
A. Roy
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Ad Bot |
Posted on 21-11-2024 23:45
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Bot Agent
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cunego59 |
Posted on 29-01-2024 10:09
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Team Manager
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Tough field indeed, but our team is strong and I'm hoping for another Top 3 overall for Meintjes. Silvestre is also one of just 5-7 proper sprinters here if I'm counting correctly, so hopefully he should be able to get a couple of good results in the two flat stages. I will say, the fact that I'm having to count the number of sprinters myself isn't ideal imo and I agree with Fabianski that I miss a concise overview of the top riders on each terrain in these types of previews. I really enjoy the team by team breakdown, too, and if both is possible, that's awesome, but if I had to choose between seeing each team in full and seeing only the top contenders, the latter provides more value to me personally, at least.
That being said, I do appreciate the preview and thanks very much for taking on the race sean! Looking forward to the reports!
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AbhishekLFC |
Posted on 29-01-2024 11:47
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Directeur Sportif
Posts: 11675
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Choi starts his second race of the season with a strong support team. We were not expecting ourselves to be called a good TTT but we do hope the preview is more right than our assessment! Choi started off well in Colombia and we hope he can continue that here. The field is really tough though, and just one wrong move on the climbs could mean a 4-5 position swing.
Thanks for the preview
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quadsas |
Posted on 29-01-2024 11:53
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Small Tour Specialist
Posts: 2518
Joined: 18-01-2013
PCM$: 300.00
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After months of not riding we bacc. I expect at least 3 guys in top 20
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jandal7 |
Posted on 29-01-2024 19:01
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World Champion
Posts: 11392
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One of Bennett's best races historically with a 2nd and a 3rd, he's been in poor form in races where we can actually keep the points we score so I hope he can turn it around here. Would love to see him in that TOA form again to have a proper special race
24/02/21 - kandesbunzler said “I don't drink famous people."
15/08/22 - SotD said "Your [jandal's] humour is overrated"
11/06/24 - knockout said "Winning is fine I guess. Truth be told this felt completely unimportant."
[ICL] Santos-Euskadi | [PT] Xero Racing
5x x5
2x x2
2x x2
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seancoll |
Posted on 29-01-2024 23:11
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Domestique
Posts: 480
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Fabianski:
But I do honestly find it rather difficult to keep an overview of who's there with team-per-team previews. Whereas I absolutely love to read the assessments, I'm actually more in favor of some favourite overviews. Definitely don't want to criticize the preview - thanks a lot for doing it, sean! - it's just a matter of personal taste
Cunego: I will say, the fact that I'm having to count the number of sprinters myself isn't ideal imo and I agree with Fabianski that I miss a concise overview of the top riders on each terrain in these types of previews. I really enjoy the team by team breakdown, too, and if both is possible, that's awesome, but if I had to choose between seeing each team in full and seeing only the top contenders, the latter provides more value to me personally, at least.
I appreciate the feedback and absolutely agree. I had the same concerns as I was writing it and probably will go for the favorite overviews in the future unless I have tons of time to do both in the future. Have been trying out a few different styles as I'm still getting into it. Absolutely always willing to take feedback here, discord or skype.
Even as I was trying to compare GC favorites and sprinters in particular, I feel like my team-by-team feedback gets more accurate as the preview goes on. At the GC level, I think that I would've given Oomen and Choi official GC leader depending on what team I wrote first this time and that's not fair. I think there's definitely an argument either way for Choi or Oomen being the absolute favorite, but ideally I could've presented that argument concisely in a section comparing the two as opposed to asking everyone to find their own answer to that argument through the preview.
All of that is simply to say, there's a reason I'm not officially employed as a journalist. Looking forward to showcasing the racing here soon.
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Eden95 |
Posted on 30-01-2024 13:15
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 4505
Joined: 05-10-2010
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Season starting proper here for Yates. He did very well in Poland, and with the changed route and the support he has here a top-5 is the minimum goal we hope to achieve. A lot can happen in a week, so hopefully we can limit our losses in the TTT - we’re owed one after the disaster in PV that nearly ruined our race I’m hoping Nur Hasan can sneak a stage win here too, would be stoked with that.
Strong list of GC guys - Oomen had to be the favourite for sure. Choi, Meintjes and Yates should be of a similar standing with them all having an opportunity to use their unique strengths to their advantage. Should be a great race!
Thank you for the lovely preview, and please don’t be hard on yourself at all! It was a terrific read, thank you very much
Indosat - ANZ HQ
"This Schleck sandwich is going to cause serious indigestion for Evans" - Phil Liggett
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cunego59 |
Posted on 30-01-2024 14:25
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Team Manager
Posts: 6508
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PCM$: 1090.00
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seancoll wrote:
Fabianski:
But I do honestly find it rather difficult to keep an overview of who's there with team-per-team previews. Whereas I absolutely love to read the assessments, I'm actually more in favor of some favourite overviews. Definitely don't want to criticize the preview - thanks a lot for doing it, sean! - it's just a matter of personal taste
Cunego: I will say, the fact that I'm having to count the number of sprinters myself isn't ideal imo and I agree with Fabianski that I miss a concise overview of the top riders on each terrain in these types of previews. I really enjoy the team by team breakdown, too, and if both is possible, that's awesome, but if I had to choose between seeing each team in full and seeing only the top contenders, the latter provides more value to me personally, at least.
I appreciate the feedback and absolutely agree. I had the same concerns as I was writing it and probably will go for the favorite overviews in the future unless I have tons of time to do both in the future. Have been trying out a few different styles as I'm still getting into it. Absolutely always willing to take feedback here, discord or skype.
Fwiw, if you prefer the team by team preview from a creative standpoint, I think you should continue that. I don't need a big (or any, really) analysis in text next to the overview of contenders. If you were to simply sort the participation file by mountain stat and paste the Top 10-15 in a table above the team preview without comment (and maybe Top 5-10 for sprinters), that would already be enough in my opinion. But at the end of the day, you have to see what works for you Looking forward to the reports!
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DaveTwoBob |
Posted on 30-01-2024 17:07
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Small Tour Specialist
Posts: 2433
Joined: 07-07-2013
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Thanks for the preview.
Hope Ranaweera can live up to his billing, top 5 would be a good result.
Haller being favourite sprinter could be a curse, lets see how the sprints play out.
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Fabianski |
Posted on 30-01-2024 20:40
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 4669
Joined: 29-09-2018
PCM$: 185.00
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seancoll wrote:
All of that is simply to say, there's a reason I'm not officially employed as a journalist. Looking forward to showcasing the racing here soon.
Nobody expects professional quality here - personally, I'm just thankful to have you on the reporting team, putting in tons of hours to keep the game running!
As I said, it's just my personal feeling that a concise list of favourites gives me a better overview of who's there than a team-per-team presentation. As cunego said, having both is amazing, but I'll never expect that. Most importantly, a reporter should do whatever he prefers, and I think you're doing a great job!
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cunego59 |
Posted on 01-02-2024 08:05
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Team Manager
Posts: 6508
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Another really really good TTT performance by the team. Looks like our approach to have a deep, mostly balanced TT squad pays off. Meintjes losing 3 seconds to the others is fine, he's still gaining over 10 seconds on Choi and Oomen, almost 30 on Bennet and over a minute on Yates is great. Only Stüssi is (expectedly) ahead, but 7 seconds could already be made up by third place bonus seconds seconds on the hilltop finish, as an example. We need a little bit of something along those lines before the MTT if Meintjes wants to have a shot at actually winning the race. Should be a very exciting!
But first, let's see if Silvestre can do something tomorrow. And thanks for one of the most detailed TTT reports I've ever read, sean!
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Ollfardh |
Posted on 01-02-2024 08:18
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World Champion
Posts: 14563
Joined: 08-08-2011
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Well, at least it's better than our South Africa TTT
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
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Bjartne |
Posted on 01-02-2024 08:49
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Classics Specialist
Posts: 2907
Joined: 15-07-2007
PCM$: 300.00
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Best rider having to catch up from a 150th GC position is not the optimal first stage for us. We had hopes to not only have Saeco behind us in the ranking as we approach the 2nd stage, but hopefully we will try to make some breakaways because of this and maybe we can find a surprise podium along the way.
Thanks for the exteensive and well written TTT report seancoll! |
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cio93 |
Posted on 01-02-2024 10:32
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World Champion
Posts: 10845
Joined: 29-10-2007
PCM$: 500.00
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Great to see Politt and Hadi bring Bralirwa into a good position!
A really nice TTT report indeed.
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Eden95 |
Posted on 01-02-2024 12:34
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 4505
Joined: 05-10-2010
PCM$: 900.00
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You’re fucking joking 2/2 TTT’s this season we have been screwed in and it’s ruined our race. Wonderful.
Edited by Eden95 on 01-02-2024 12:45
Indosat - ANZ HQ
"This Schleck sandwich is going to cause serious indigestion for Evans" - Phil Liggett
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