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Classique du Grand Duché discussion
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| Imladrik |
Posted on 23-10-2022 14:21
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Breakaway Specialist
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Not quite the Ardennes yet, but we’re not that far and the roads in Luxembourg should be a difficult one : it’s long, it’s bumpy, and some of the best puncheurs of the Pro Tour are eager to fight for a win. Let’s see who are the favourites to take over Turgis’ crown, as the Frenchman is not returning.
Favourites
| Name | FL | MO | HI | TT | ST | RS | RC | CB | SP | AC | FG | DH | PR |  Sean De Bie | 73 | 71 | 84 | 72 | 77 | 76 | 69 | 68 | 72 | 75 | 74 | 65 | 68 |  Miguel Miguel Angel Lopez | 70 | 79 | 84 | 71 | 76 | 74 | 74 | 50 | 66 | 78 | 80 | 71 | 72 |  Toms Skujins | 70 | 70 | 83 | 59 | 80 | 77 | 73 | 67 | 68 | 76 | 66 | 66 | 59 |  Peter Sagan | 72 | 74 | 83 | 68 | 78 | 74 | 70 | 62 | 73 | 76 | 71 | 78 | 68 |  Wilco Kelderman | 70 | 71 | 82 | 70 | 80 | 75 | 73 | 62 | 67 | 72 | 77 | 71 | 70 |  Jay McCarthy | 70 | 67 | 82 | 58 | 80 | 75 | 70 | 69 | 65 | 74 | 71 | 71 | 58 |  Clement Koretzky | 73 | 71 | 81 | 63 | 77 | 70 | 71 | 63 | 71 | 79 | 73 | 70 | 61 |  Michal Kwiatkowski | 72 | 78 | 81 | 70 | 74 | 76 | 75 | 68 | 67 | 75 | 73 | 69 | 75 |  Simon Yates | 74 | 70 | 81 | 68 | 77 | 70 | 73 | 52 | 77 | 80 | 74 | 64 | 71 | | Cesare Di Maggio | 63 | 63 | 80 | 60 | 70 | 65 | 62 | 50 | 63 | 72 | 65 | 71 | 60 |  Patrick Müller | 70 | 65 | 80 | 63 | 76 | 71 | 70 | 68 | 66 | 73 | 75 | 63 | 63 |  Tiesj Benoot | 71 | 75 | 80 | 63 | 75 | 74 | 74 | 76 | 69 | 71 | 62 | 66 | 62 |
Damn, that line-up looks good.
De Bie and Lopez do seem a bit better than their opponents. The Belgian got himself a 6th place in this race in 2020, and will try to really launch his season. He has two good supports in Enrico Barbin and Nico Denz, the latter finishing 30th here last year.
While De Bie was 6th in 2020, Miguel Angel Lopez won this race, and came back to make 6th in 2021. He should as always have a target on his back, moreover as he’s accompanied with a strong field of support and secondary leaders, with Blums, Vosekalns and Polanc.
Toms Skujins is a veteran here – he finished 2nd in 2018 and 5th in 2019, though while riding for Evonik-ELKO. While his supports seem weaker than those of the aforementionned rider, his greater endurance should allow him to play a big role in the race.
Peter Sagan is another former winner and veteran returning. He won here in 2017 and 2019, and was already 12th in 2014 ! Accompanied by Di Maggio – a top 10 contender in his own right –, he’ll try to secure a third win for Moser-Sygic.
Kelderman already was battling with Sagan in those time. He’ll bring his experience to Los Pollos Hermanos to do good. As will Jay McCarthy for Amaysim and Koretzky for ELCO-ABEA, the latter finishing second last year and having generally good result in this race.
Behind them, Kwiatkowski, Yates, Müller and Benoot all have a shot at the victory, and at least at a very good result, while EA Vesuvio duo Valer/Ulissi, or  Preidler for Aker-MOT and  Gerts for Husi Chocolate could cause a bit of trouble to the favourites.
Full startlist
Spoiler De Bie Sean Aegon - Peroni
Barbin Enrico Aegon - Peroni
Denz Nico Aegon - Peroni
Vansevenant Mauri Aegon - Peroni
De Kleijn Arvid Aegon - Peroni
Robeet Ludovic Aegon - Peroni
Preidler Georg Aker - MOT
Amezawa Takeaki Aker - MOT
Bravo Edison Aker - MOT
Ballerini Davide Aker - MOT
Stokbro Andreas Aker - MOT
Videika Airidas Aker - MOT
Hofer Andreas Aker - MOT
Peng Yuan Tan Aker - MOT
McCarthy Jay Amaysim Cervélo
Storer Michael Amaysim Cervélo
Lane Patrick Amaysim Cervélo
Bayly Cameron Amaysim Cervélo
Canty Brendan Amaysim Cervélo
Harper Chris Amaysim Cervélo
Gillett Rhys Amaysim Cervélo
Christensen Ryan Amaysim Cervélo
Swift Connor cycleYorkshire
Albanese Vincenzo cycleYorkshire
Antonijevic Goran cycleYorkshire
Hennessy Jacob cycleYorkshire
Barbari Adel cycleYorkshire
Atkins George cycleYorkshire
Bettiol Alberto De Stijl Cycling
Salzmann Jodok De Stijl Cycling
Cras Steff De Stijl Cycling
Tiller Rasmus De Stijl Cycling
Boutopoulos Georgios De Stijl Cycling
Affini Edoardo De Stijl Cycling
Gabburo Davide Duolingo
Yates Joel Duolingo
Debesay Mekseb Duolingo
Kulikovskiy Alexandr Duolingo
Scott Cameron Duolingo
Gradek Kamil Duolingo
Valter Attila EA Vesuvio
Ulissi Diego EA Vesuvio
Bax Sjoerd EA Vesuvio
Van der Lijke Nick EA Vesuvio
Geniets Kevin EA Vesuvio
Smit Willie EA Vesuvio
Rucigaj Ziga EA Vesuvio
Rutsch Jonas EA Vesuvio
Koretzky Clement ELCO - ABEA
Morin Emmanuel ELCO - ABEA
Kastrantas Charalampas ELCO - ABEA
Vila Aimiliano ELCO - ABEA
Lafay Victor ELCO - ABEA
Mavrikakis Michail ELCO - ABEA
Delco Lorenzo ELCO - ABEA
Agrotis Alexandros ELCO - ABEA
Lopez Miguel Angel Evonik - ELKO
Blums Martins Evonik - ELKO
Vosekalns Andris Evonik - ELKO
Polanc Jan Evonik - ELKO
Becis Armands Evonik - ELKO
Neilands Krists Evonik - ELKO
Havik Piotr Evonik - ELKO
Bagioli Nicola Gazelle
Tratnik Jan Gazelle
Peters Nans Gazelle
Hofland Moreno Gazelle
Potts Marc Gazelle
Teunissen Mike Gazelle
Mundle Benedikt Gazelle
Van der Poel Mathieu Grieg-Maersk
De Gendt Aime Grieg-Maersk
Van Gestel Dries Grieg-Maersk
Jansen Amund Grondahl Grieg-Maersk
Pedersen Mads Grieg-Maersk
Dahl-Olsen Gunnar Grieg-Maersk
Kosic Nejc Grieg-Maersk
Gerts Floris Huski Chocolate
Hofstede Lennard Huski Chocolate
Roosen Timo Huski Chocolate
Bloem Joren Huski Chocolate
Meeus Jordi Huski Chocolate
Van den Berg Julius Huski Chocolate
Zakarin Ilnur ISA - Hexacta
Bongiorno Francesco ISA - Hexacta
Parra Bustamente Heiner Rodrigo ISA - Hexacta
Koshevoy Ilia ISA - Hexacta
Sagiv Guy ISA - Hexacta
Sanogo Abou ISA - Hexacta
Arissol Ahmad ISA - Hexacta
Chokri El Mehdi ISA - Hexacta
Jaramillo Daniel Alexander Isostar - Specialized
Petelin Jan Drago Isostar - Specialized
Bester Shaun Nick Isostar - Specialized
Verschaeve Viktor Isostar - Specialized
Pronskiy Vadim Isostar - Specialized
Per David Isostar - Specialized
Quita Ronnilan King Power
Sirironnachai Sarawut King Power
Chiu Ho San King Power
Menten Milan King Power
Ferreira Ricardo King Power
Vanthourenhout Michael King Power
Salazar John King Power
Kelderman Wilco Los Pollos Hermanos
Beltran Guillermo Andres Los Pollos Hermanos
Ulloa Jose Gerardo Los Pollos Hermanos
Zepuntke Ruben Los Pollos Hermanos
Ruiz Robinson Steven Los Pollos Hermanos
Nareklishvili Beka Los Pollos Hermanos
Kwiatkowski Michal MOL Cycling Team
Theuns Edward MOL Cycling Team
Filutas Viktor MOL Cycling Team
Carretero Millan Hector MOL Cycling Team
Moricz Daniel MOL Cycling Team
Havik Yoeri MOL Cycling Team
Sagan Peter Moser - Sygic
Di Maggio Cesare Moser - Sygic
Cerny Josef Moser - Sygic
Hirt Jan Moser - Sygic
Boros Michael Moser - Sygic
Kiskonen Siim Moser - Sygic
Benoot Tiesj Philips - Force India
Raileanu Cristian Philips - Force India
Velasco Simone Philips - Force India
Choi Ki Ho Philips - Force India
Penasa Pierre Paolo Philips - Force India
Eenkhoorn Pascal Philips - Force India
Xandri Jan Philips - Force India
Leemreize Gijs Philips - Force India
Barthe Cyril Polar
Honore Mikkel Polar
Altur Marcos Polar
Baugnies Jerome Polar
Sibilla Michel Polar
Kwok Ho-Ting Polar
Madouas Valentin Team Puma - SAP
Meiler Lukas Team Puma - SAP
Cavagna Remi Team Puma - SAP
O'Brien Kelland Team Puma - SAP
Steimle Jannik Team Puma - SAP
Heidemann Miguel Team Puma - SAP
Müller Patrick Team UBS
Reichenbach Sebastien Team UBS
Badilatti Matteo Team UBS
Fuchs Dominik Team UBS
Bohli Tom Team UBS
Spengler Lukas Team UBS
Grand Arnaud Team UBS
Skujins Toms Tinkoff - La Datcha Team
Trakhov Dmitry Tinkoff - La Datcha Team
Sulimov Alexander Tinkoff - La Datcha Team
Senechal Florian Tinkoff - La Datcha Team
Kamyshev Arman Tinkoff - La Datcha Team
Zubov Matvey Tinkoff - La Datcha Team
Yates Simon Zwift Pro Cycling
Ackermann Pascal Zwift Pro Cycling
Tejada Harold Zwift Pro Cycling
Jones Carter Zwift Pro Cycling
Dewulf Stan Zwift Pro Cycling
Young Eric Zwift Pro Cycling |
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| knockout |
Posted on 23-10-2022 15:11
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Grand Tour Champion
Posts: 7735
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Lopez won this in the past and hopefully he will try to do so again. Got a pretty good support squad here for him to hopefully control the race and make it hard despite struggling with a good triple header split for once.
A Big Thank You To All MG Reporters! |
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| roturn |
Posted on 23-10-2022 15:13
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Team Manager
Posts: 22246
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I usually always pick the wrong hill event with De Bie in the PT triple.
Hopefully his classic performance from last year makes this choice here the better option as race day wise going to PN/TA surely had worked as well.
Being no.1 on list makes a win always possible. Though MAL is a level ahead and will be hard to beat while Skujins/Sagan or also Koretzky/Yates are riders, that use to beat De Bie from time to time, I hope that no other rider will be in the mix in the end.
A top3 or top5 minimum is absolutely needed from De Bie in most races he enters.
Support as you say is decent with Barbin/Denz but also Vansevenant, De Kleijn, Robeet. Only problem is 6 riders only for me.
Looking forward to this one and always nice to see new reporters! |
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| ember |
Posted on 23-10-2022 15:40
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Team Leader
Posts: 6849
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The biggest thing we take from the startlist here, is that the chances for Mohoric in Tirreno looks promising. For this one, Preidler has been around the top 10-top 20 before, and we hope he can do it again. Will obviously need a difficult race for that, and hopefully Evonik gives the peloton just that for MAL.
Also excited to see what Kwiatkowski can do here, with his Pro Tour return! |
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| jaxika |
Posted on 23-10-2022 17:00
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Classics Specialist
Posts: 3148
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PCM$: 9300.00
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Yay, Kwiats first race at our team. Im very excited. A TOP5 will be a great result, given the startlist. |
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| Gustavovskiy |
Posted on 23-10-2022 18:14
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Team Leader
Posts: 6036
Joined: 20-07-2008
PCM$: 200.00
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Getting ourselves in the BOTD would already be an achivement for ourselves here. Hopefully we can pull it off!
Interested to see who will come out on top though.
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| Croatia14 |
Posted on 23-10-2022 18:24
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Directeur Sportif
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Thought Higuita might be wasted here so went for the Tirreno instead, could be a bad decision looking at the startlists. The break has been good in the past here though, so let's hope for that.
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| SotD |
Posted on 23-10-2022 18:39
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World Champion
Posts: 12188
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Would have liked a couple of the big guys to go for Tirreno, but it’s always a bit of a gamble. Koretzky has a decent shot at top 10, and we need him to deliver in order to make the tripple-header anything but disastrous.
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| Nemolito |
Posted on 23-10-2022 21:10
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Classics Specialist
Posts: 3367
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If Kelderman would actually manage to grab a top-5 that would be amazing. Thanks for the preview and your first report, Imladrik!
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| Bikex |
Posted on 23-10-2022 22:52
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Team Leader
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I have less ambitions here than in the last years. Quita is leading my team here. Maybe he can get a top 20. |
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| Ad Bot |
Posted on 24-11-2024 19:38
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| tastasol |
Posted on 24-10-2022 09:38
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Classics Specialist
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Hope to see some of my guys in the break. De Gendt and Van der Poel might be able to pull something off, but not the biggest expectations.
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| DubbelDekker |
Posted on 24-10-2022 10:35
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Small Tour Specialist
Posts: 2633
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Only hoping to score some depth points here.
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| tsmoha |
Posted on 24-10-2022 13:56
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Directeur Sportif
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Our best Grand Duché leader in years (since Bobridge used to race T-A or P-N) comes with a wildcard. Obviously no pressure then and we don't care about the startlist. That said, it would be still nice to show our colors and get a nice result amongst our long-time PT competitors.
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| SotD |
Posted on 24-10-2022 21:42
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World Champion
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Hmm yeah okay. 7th is alright from Koretzky I guess. But then Kastrantas - what the actual f…?!
Absolutely brilliant to take 5th here after working so hard for Koretzky. Also a few minor points. Great result!
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| Roman |
Posted on 24-10-2022 21:52
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Grand Tour Specialist
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Thanks a lot for a really nice report Imladrik! 
Great result - my team worked strong and even though his attacks went nowhere - I was a lot surprised Sagan still had enough in him for the final sprint. 3rd win of his career here, this Luxembourg classic surely has to be his most successful race now. 
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| tsmoha |
Posted on 24-10-2022 22:09
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Directeur Sportif
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Thanks for the report. Great coverage of the action!
McCarthy delivered again. They said they didn't like his training and it seems to push him to really nice results He was always there, when the moves went, which is always nice to see, when it doesn't mean he's wasting his energy. Apparently he didn't, as he had a nice position and kick at the final climb. Wildcard cash well spent 
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| alexkr00 |
Posted on 24-10-2022 22:22
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World Champion
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Things continue to not go well for us. This used to be a top 10 race for Gerts in the last couple of seasons. But to be fair, I don't think the startlist was ever this good.
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| Bushwackers |
Posted on 24-10-2022 23:40
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Sprinter
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I'm wondering if it would be possible to change to PCT midway through the season so that we could actually compete in races
Congrats to Roman and thank you Imladrik!
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| Nemolito |
Posted on 25-10-2022 06:24
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Classics Specialist
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Ouch, what an incredibly bad performance from Kelderman to only finish 15th. The team did so well, but he must have had a bad day as he wasn't able to follow any attack or do the slightest thing on the final hill. This was supposed to be our best triple header race, so it's not looking very promising 
Congratulations to Roman and a big thank you to Imladrik for the phenomenal report, it feels like you've been doing this for years.
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| Croatia14 |
Posted on 25-10-2022 08:13
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Directeur Sportif
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Nothing, as expected, but that's what happens when you gamble for the break. Incredible race for Moser and especially Elco, as much as SotD may talk them down they still look like podium contenders.
Great report, was a really fun read!
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