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Arab Tour Discussion
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Posted on 22-11-2024 14:51
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| AbhishekLFC |
Posted on 23-05-2021 13:23
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Hello UAE! This is the first edition of this stage race in the Emirates. The profiles are some of the flattest in the calendar with the Arabian deserts and cityscapes providing beautiful backgrounds to the stages.
The race starts with a Prologue, which is slightly longer than the traditional ones. The riders good against the clock will be favoured to take the first Leader's Jersey. The next two stages are moderate length mostly flat stages, which will allow the sprinters to claim back some time. Stage 4 looks likely to be the decider, with the longer TT allowing the specialists to gain more time. The final stage is another one for the sprinters.
| FLA | TT | RES | REC | SPR | ACC |  Fiedler | 78 | 82 | 74 | 76 | 65 | 61 |  Zmorka | 74 | 82 | 75 | 72 | 62 | 70 |  Schädlich | 70 | 80 | 71 | 73 | 70 | 76 |  Howson | 71 | 80 | 74 | 72 | 64 | 68 |  Paillot | 70 | 80 | 74 | 68 | 63 | 64 | | Kittel | 75 | 81 | 70 | 68 | 60 | 73 |  Sergent | 79 | 80 | 74 | 71 | 61 | 51 | | Gonzalez Salas | 70 | 80 | 76 | 67 | 61 | 54 | | Dempster | 73 | 78 | 72 | 71 | 70 | 70 |  Mullen | 75 | 79 | 74 | 72 | 60 | 70 |  Nareklishvili | 74 | 78 | 74 | 69 | 66 | 67 | | Viennet | 72 | 80 | 75 | 72 | 55 | 64 |
Fiedler starts as top favourite, with his strong TT and flat skills. Zmorka, with identical TT capabilities is the other top favourite,
The leading duo will be run close by Schadlich, Howson and Paillot, none of who have had a great season, but have been solid in certain appearances.
Kittel has not had a good season at all and will look to improve in this race. Repsol's three pronged attack is completed by Gonzalez Salas, who has been relatively better this season.
Sergent carries a bit of responsibility to score well for his team and keep them above the relegation spots.
Dempster is Duolingo's second option.
Polar is another team who've brought two top contenders in Mullen and Viennet.
Nareklishvili looks to Zalgiris's best option for this race.
| FLA | TT | RES | REC | SPR | ACC | | Postlberger | 73 | 77 | 72 | 69 | 69 | 70 | | Hofer | 73 | 78 | 72 | 68 | 63 | 68 |  Rekita | 71 | 77 | 71 | 71 | 69 | 69 | | Atkins | 75 | 78 | 75 | 72 | 61 | 63 | | Balloni | 73 | 78 | 71 | 68 | 63 | 67 |  Goldstein | 74 | 79 | 72 | 72 | 58 | 61 | | Vandousselaere | 74 | 76 | 72 | 71 | 70 | 71 | | Archbold | 73 | 77 | 71 | 70 | 73 | 75 |  Eaton | 75 | 77 | 76 | 74 | 62 | 68 |  Silvestre | 78 | 73 | 71 | 74 | 80 | 81 | | Stimulak | 73 | 77 | 72 | 69 | 72 | 74 | | Hacecky | 73 | 76 | 72 | 66 | 70 | 74 | | Janse van Rensburg | 70 | 78 | 71 | 69 | 60 | 76 |
Repsol's strength in depth is on clear display with Postlberger making the top of the outsiders' list.
Minions and Mapei have three riders each in the above list, with Mapei's cause being further boosted by having the overall top favourite as well, as already elaborated in the previous section.
Silvestre is the best sprinter in either list.
| FLA | TT | PRL | | Zmorka | 74 | 82 | 82 | | Fiedler | 78 | 82 | 81 | | Kittel | 75 | 81 | 81 | | Schädlich | 70 | 80 | 80 | | Howson | 71 | 80 | 80 | | Paillot | 70 | 80 | 80 | | Gonzalez Salas | 70 | 80 | 80 | | Sergent | 79 | 80 | 80 | | Viennet | 72 | 80 | 80 | | Goldstein | 74 | 79 | 79 |  Mottin | 69 | 79 | 79 | | Mullen | 75 | 79 | 78 | | Dempster | 73 | 78 | 78 | | Hofer | 73 | 78 | 78 | | Balloni | 73 | 78 | 78 | | Janse van Rensburg | 70 | 78 | 78 |
Zmorka starts as top favourite for the Prologue on account his better ability over shorter distances. It remains to be seen whether this translates on this particular route. Fiedler and Kittel are next, although the latter has flattered to deceive on multiple occasions this season.
Most of the same names repeat from the favourites' list as Prologue ability might not be the only deciding factor for this stage.
| FLA | RES | SPR | ACC | | Guerao | 74 | 64 | 83 | 76 |  Gaviria | 76 | 76 | 81 | 84 |  Manninen | 74 | 75 | 81 | 80 |  Maksimov | 72 | 69 | 81 | 84 | | Kemboi | 78 | 77 | 80 | 80 | | Silvestre | 78 | 71 | 80 | 81 | | Boeckmans | 72 | 70 | 80 | 82 | | Guardini | 72 | 69 | 80 | 82 | | Itami | 75 | 67 | 80 | 82 |  Drapac | 71 | 65 | 80 | 79 |  Lutsyshyn | 70 | 73 | 79 | 80 | | Kalaba | 74 | 72 | 79 | 79 |  Boivin | 74 | 70 | 79 | 80 | | Matthews | 76 | 67 | 79 | 79 | | Willwohl | 73 | 67 | 79 | 78 |  Awang | 64 | 62 | 79 | 83 |
Guerao is the fastest man in the race but it takes him time tog et there and he can't hold it for very long. Perhaps for these reasons, it might be wiser to put your money on Gaviria and Manninen as the real top favourites for the sprint stages. Taking nothing away from the Zalgiris fast man, he should still be a contender.
Maksimov is fast rider as well but his support stats leave a little to be desired.
Two riders to keep an eye on, especially on Stages 2 and 3 are Kemboi and Silvestre, because both decently good against the clock and will be looking to snatch the leaders jersey away from the TT specialists, if only temporarily.
A lot rides on Boeckmans and Itami, to keep the points coming in for their respective teams in the relegation battle. Both have had a good season so far.
Guardini will be hoping to supplement Fiedler, who looks set to have a good race. This could be big chance for Mapei to score big points in the title and promotion races.
The others in the list - Drapac, Lutsyshyn, Kalaba,  Boivin. Matthews, Willwohl and Awang, will be hoping to pull off upsets if they are to beat the riders mentioned before them. None of them, with perhaps the exception of Kalaba have had good seasons so far.
Spoiler | Last Name | First Name | Team | | Kämna | Lennard | Adastra N Hell Energy Cycling | | Aasvold | Lorents Ola | Adastra N Hell Energy Cycling | | Wildauer | Markus | Adastra N Hell Energy Cycling | | Otruba | Jakub | Adastra N Hell Energy Cycling | | Drapac | Damion | Adastra N Hell Energy Cycling | | Rochas | Remy | Adastra N Hell Energy Cycling | | Thurau | Bjorn | Adastra N Hell Energy Cycling | | Lavric | Martin | Adastra N Hell Energy Cycling | | Awang | Azizulhasni | Andorra Cycling Project | | Eekhoff | Nils | Andorra Cycling Project | | Majoral | Jordi | Andorra Cycling Project | | Tizza | Marco | Andorra Cycling Project | | Urcelay | Adria | Andorra Cycling Project | | Rubio | Einer Augusto | Andorra Cycling Project | | Cheyne | Jordan | Azteca - NBCSN | | Garrison | Ian | Azteca - NBCSN | | Florez | Miguel | Azteca - NBCSN | | Garcia | Jhojan | Azteca - NBCSN | | Cepeda | Jefferson Alexander | Azteca - NBCSN | | Alba | Juan Diego | Azteca - NBCSN | | Rivera | Kevin | Azteca - NBCSN | | Vaquera | Cesar | Azteca - NBCSN | | Stork | Florian | Bakkafrost | | Akhmaevi | Sulkhan | Bakkafrost | | Van der Haar | Lars | Bakkafrost | | Vichot | Arthur | Bakkafrost | | Dainese | Alberto | Bakkafrost | | Veyhe | Torkil | Bakkafrost | | Zariff | Nur Aiman | Bakkafrost | | Bonnin | Thomas | Bakkafrost | | Silvestre | Fabio | Berg Cycles | | Tzortzakis | Polychronis | Berg Cycles | | Reckweg | Morten | Berg Cycles | | Goncalves | Domingos | Berg Cycles | | Orken | Ahmet | Berg Cycles | | Almeida | Joao | Berg Cycles | | Kortsidakis | Michail | Berg Cycles | | Portela | Marcio | Berg Cycles | | Nooytens | Sven | Campari Asahi Procycling | | Moschetti | Matteo | Campari Asahi Procycling | | Lasca | Francisco | Campari Asahi Procycling | | Allegaert | Piet | Campari Asahi Procycling | | Neuman | Dominik | Campari Asahi Procycling | | Ferreira | Ricardo | Campari Asahi Procycling | | Jung | Ha Jeon | Campari Asahi Procycling | | Cima | Imerio | Campari Asahi Procycling | | Eaton | Daniel | Desigual | | Verona | Carlos | Desigual | | Narvaez | Jhonatan | Desigual | | Cherkasov | Nicolay | Desigual | | Olei | Federico | Desigual | | Herrera | Erick | Desigual | | Sureda | Jaume | Desigual | | Rhim | Brendan | Desigual | | Nareklishvili | Giorgi | DK - SVA Zalgiris | | Hofer | Andreas | DK - SVA Zalgiris | | Jallays | Welle | DK - SVA Zalgiris | | Nareklishvili | Beka | DK - SVA Zalgiris | | Krizek | Matthias | DK - SVA Zalgiris | | Lasinis | Venantas | DK - SVA Zalgiris | | Einhorn | Itamar | DK - SVA Zalgiris | | Guerao | Oscar | DK - SVA Zalgiris | | Howson | Damien | Duolingo | | Dempster | Zakkari | Duolingo | | Archbold | Shane | Duolingo | | Cornu | Dominique | Duolingo | | Razumov | Nikita | Duolingo | | Sipos | Zoltan | Duolingo | | Rachid | Elias Abou | Duolingo | | Merlier | Tim | Duolingo | | Goldstein | Roy | Fablok - Chocolate Jacques | | Stimulak | Klemen | Fablok - Chocolate Jacques | | Nechita | Andrei | Fablok - Chocolate Jacques | | Plucinski | Leszek | Fablok - Chocolate Jacques | | Bostner | Jaka | Fablok - Chocolate Jacques | | Eliad | Daniel | Fablok - Chocolate Jacques | | Yechezkel | Aviv | Fablok - Chocolate Jacques | | Paillot | Yoann | Farfetch Pro Cycling | | De Bod | Stefan | Farfetch Pro Cycling | | Affini | Edoardo | Farfetch Pro Cycling | | Kemboi | Salem | Farfetch Pro Cycling | | Menten | Milan | Farfetch Pro Cycling | | Cras | Steff | Farfetch Pro Cycling | | van den Berg | Julius | Farfetch Pro Cycling | | Wouters | Enzo | Farfetch Pro Cycling | | Sergent | Jesse | GCN Racing | | Archibald | John | GCN Racing | | Matthews | Michael | GCN Racing | | Williams | Stephen | GCN Racing | | Itami | Kenji | GCN Racing | | Stedman | Max | GCN Racing | | Walls | Matthew | GCN Racing | | Gall | Felix | GCN Racing | | Schädlich | Lucas | Kraftwerk Man Machine | | Gonzalez Cortes | Josue | Kraftwerk Man Machine | | Kasa | Gabor | Kraftwerk Man Machine | | Geniez | Alexandre | Kraftwerk Man Machine | | Moazemi | Arvin | Kraftwerk Man Machine | | Walsleben | Max | Kraftwerk Man Machine | | Cahyadi | Aiman | Kraftwerk Man Machine | | Willwohl | Willi | Kraftwerk Man Machine | | Sajnok | Szymon | Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | | Gamper | Patrick | Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | | Van Aert | Wout | Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | | Gaviria | Fernando | Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | | Mareczko | Jakub | Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | | Fedeli | Alessandro | Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | | Skjerping | Kristoffer | Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | | Kolar | Michael | Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | | Fiedler | Jacob | Mapei | | Atkins | Josh | Mapei | | Balloni | Alfredo | Mapei | | Vandousselaere | Sven | Mapei | | Predatsch | Kevin | Mapei | | Grosser | Aaron | Mapei | | Guardini | Andrea | Mapei | | Ravanelli | Simone | Mapei | | Rekita | Szymon | Minions | | Hacecky | Vojtech | Minions | | Janse van Rensburg | Reinhardt | Minions | | Rosas | Laureano | Minions | | Kalaba | Dusan | Minions | | Barton | Chris | Minions | | Bjerg | Mikkel | Minions | | Champoussin | Clement | Minions | | Hussein | Mujtaba | MOL | | Maksimov | Roman | MOL | | Matte | Charles | MOL | | Dina | Marton | MOL | | Abdurrahman | Muhammad | MOL | | Filutas | Viktor | MOL | | Moricz | Daniel | MOL | | Lovassy | Krisztian | MOL | | Smukulis | Gatis | Nordstrom - CA Technologies | | Okamoto | Hayato | Nordstrom - CA Technologies | | Van Poppel | Boy | Nordstrom - CA Technologies | | Boivin | Guillaume | Nordstrom - CA Technologies | | Gaspar | Joao | Nordstrom - CA Technologies | | Chen | Mingrun | Nordstrom - CA Technologies | | Phodingam | Sakchai | Nordstrom - CA Technologies | | Van Keirsbulck | Guillaume | Nordstrom - CA Technologies | | Bridges | Jyme | Podium Ambition | | Insausti | Jon Ander | Podium Ambition | | Owen | Logan | Podium Ambition | | Dekker | David | Podium Ambition | | Welten | Bram | Podium Ambition | | Domene | Ramon | Podium Ambition | | Mullen | Ryan | Polar | | Viennet | Emilien | Polar | | Stenersen | Sten | Polar | | Garcia Cortina | Ivan | Polar | | Tjagunovs | Ilja | Polar | | Nych | Artem | Polar | | Gallego Martin | Juan Abenhamar | Polar | | Zmorka | Marlen | Repsol - Netflix | | Kittel | Marcel | Repsol - Netflix | | Gonzalez Salas | Mario | Repsol - Netflix | | Postlberger | Lukas | Repsol - Netflix | | Mas | Lluis | Repsol - Netflix | | Varga | Peter | Repsol - Netflix | | Meeus | Jordi | Repsol - Netflix | | Teggart | Matthew | Repsol - Netflix | | Mottin | Hugues | Swisslion Cycling Team | | Groselj | Matic | Swisslion Cycling Team | | Penko | Izidor | Swisslion Cycling Team | | Christodoulos | Michael | Swisslion Cycling Team | | Marin | Gabriel | Swisslion Cycling Team | | Poljanec | Miha | Swisslion Cycling Team | | Boeckmans | Kris | Swisslion Cycling Team | | Rajovic | Dusan | Swisslion Cycling Team | | Pszczolarski | Wojciech | Team Popo4Ever p/b Nemiroff | | Rikunov | Petr | Team Popo4Ever p/b Nemiroff | | Lutsyshyn | Roman | Team Popo4Ever p/b Nemiroff | | Riabushenko | Aliaksandr | Team Popo4Ever p/b Nemiroff | | Dzhus | Volodymyr | Team Popo4Ever p/b Nemiroff | | De Bondt | Dries | Team Popo4Ever p/b Nemiroff | | Aniolkowski | Stanislaw | Team Popo4Ever p/b Nemiroff | | Bratashcuk | Andrii | Team Popo4Ever p/b Nemiroff | | Pokälä | Samuel | Valio - Viking Genetics | | Manninen | Matti | Valio - Viking Genetics | | Hänninen | Aleksi | Valio - Viking Genetics | | Bergstrom Frisk | Hannes | Valio - Viking Genetics | | Aaltio | Risto | Valio - Viking Genetics | | Chatarunga | Sameera | Valio - Viking Genetics | | Nieuwenhuis | Joris | Valio - Viking Genetics | | Minali | Riccardo | Valio - Viking Genetics |
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| Marcovdw |
Posted on 23-05-2021 13:33
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Grand Tour Champion
Posts: 7593
Joined: 04-07-2012
PCM$: 15345.00
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We have a few decent but not spectacular time trialists, hopefully a few points will fall our way.
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| Ollfardh |
Posted on 23-05-2021 15:04
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World Champion
Posts: 14563
Joined: 08-08-2011
PCM$: 9100.00
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I can't remember if I missed the time trials or just had 5 race days left for Gaviria..
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
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| quadsas |
Posted on 23-05-2021 18:13
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Small Tour Specialist
Posts: 2518
Joined: 18-01-2013
PCM$: 300.00
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Somewhat weaker shortlist, which bodes well cause I picked this race as a potential big scorer, a few clashes iirc. Won't be winning the race, our TTers have been very inconsistent, but if we can get Hofer and Narek in top 15 and Jelle in top 30, that would be good enough and I think it's doable. Guerao is a total wildcard, probably good for like 10 points total from his favorite 6-8th finishes
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| ivaneurope |
Posted on 23-05-2021 19:03
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Classics Specialist
Posts: 2933
Joined: 09-05-2011
PCM$: 300.00
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I've honestly forgotten that I'm even participate in this race 
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| DaveTwoBob |
Posted on 24-05-2021 00:20
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Small Tour Specialist
Posts: 2433
Joined: 07-07-2013
PCM$: 200.00
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Top 5 from Schädlich would be great, maybe a couple of depth scorers as well?
Thanks for the preview Abhi.
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| redordead |
Posted on 24-05-2021 06:44
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 4881
Joined: 18-10-2017
PCM$: 200.00
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Mottin is not on the outsiders list, but I hope he can finally perform in accordance with his TT stats and get us a decent GC spot. Boeckmans also has all the support we can muster in the hopes he scores some good results in the sprints. We need to score some meaningful points in the relegation battle here.
Thanks for the preview Abhi 
"I am a cyclist, I may not be the best, but that is what I strive to be. I may never get there, but I will never quit trying." - Tadej Pogačar
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| beagle |
Posted on 24-05-2021 08:34
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 4200
Joined: 06-10-2007
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Easy TT profiles might suit to Viennet well, All he needs is good daily form for once! Mullen will surely add some points, too. I expect to see him at around 15th place overall.
Thanks for the preview Abhi.
Manager of Polar in Man-Game
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| Gustavovskiy |
Posted on 24-05-2021 09:19
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Team Leader
Posts: 6036
Joined: 20-07-2008
PCM$: 200.00
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TTs are usually good to us, but we excel in collective effort rather than individual ones. A top5 would be desieable here, but it's not going to be easy.
Thanks for the preview Abhi!
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| jph27 |
Posted on 24-05-2021 11:27
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Team Leader
Posts: 7339
Joined: 20-03-2010
PCM$: 900.00
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I remain very afraid of a Repsol 1-2-3 with Paillot down in 15th and Kemboi refusing to sprint  |
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| quadsas |
Posted on 24-05-2021 14:18
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Small Tour Specialist
Posts: 2518
Joined: 18-01-2013
PCM$: 300.00
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Jallays needed to do a bit better, but we do have 2 guys in top 15, gotta stay in the peloton and we should be fine
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| beagle |
Posted on 24-05-2021 14:41
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 4200
Joined: 06-10-2007
PCM$: 200.00
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Awful start, another annoying underperformance from my team in TT.
Thx for the report.
Manager of Polar in Man-Game
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| Ollfardh |
Posted on 24-05-2021 14:51
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World Champion
Posts: 14563
Joined: 08-08-2011
PCM$: 9100.00
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Well, at least we won't ever have to worry about Gaviria getting the yellow jersey not sprinting bug.
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
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| redordead |
Posted on 24-05-2021 16:30
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 4881
Joined: 18-10-2017
PCM$: 200.00
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An actually good performance from Mottin for once 
The longer TT will be the big decider, but this is a solid start. Nice to see two others in the top 50, I hope they can stay there as every point counts. Now it's time for Boeckmans to do something in the sprints.
Congrats on the win Heine
"I am a cyclist, I may not be the best, but that is what I strive to be. I may never get there, but I will never quit trying." - Tadej Pogačar
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| Marcovdw |
Posted on 24-05-2021 20:01
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Grand Tour Champion
Posts: 7593
Joined: 04-07-2012
PCM$: 15345.00
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Reasonable start, gives us some opportunities for the GC.
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| jph27 |
Posted on 25-05-2021 11:16
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Team Leader
Posts: 7339
Joined: 20-03-2010
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Strong ride from Paillot, though I overestimated the PRL stat influence so sending Kemboi here was probably a mistake. Still, with no risk of him taking the race lead hopefully he'll sprint on all 3 flat stages and get some points that way. |
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| fintas |
Posted on 25-05-2021 12:03
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Small Tour Specialist
Posts: 2602
Joined: 21-03-2008
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Good start from Silvestre, I do not believe that he can reach the leadership in the next stages but still if he manages to win a few seconds we can dream of a good final classification
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| Ollfardh |
Posted on 25-05-2021 14:08
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World Champion
Posts: 14563
Joined: 08-08-2011
PCM$: 9100.00
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Just when you think PCM AI can't hurt you anymore, they give you this..
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
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| redordead |
Posted on 25-05-2021 14:22
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 4881
Joined: 18-10-2017
PCM$: 200.00
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Ollfardh wrote:
Just when you think PCM AI can't hurt you anymore, they give you this..
Ditto!
We really are trying our best to relegate this year 
"I am a cyclist, I may not be the best, but that is what I strive to be. I may never get there, but I will never quit trying." - Tadej Pogačar
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| quadsas |
Posted on 25-05-2021 14:26
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Small Tour Specialist
Posts: 2518
Joined: 18-01-2013
PCM$: 300.00
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Big time from Guerao, that's a nice haul, will fo sho help us reach 20pprd and keep up the top 10 fight (maybe)
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