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PCMdaily DB Stat Discussion
Jesleyh
Here's a thread to discuss the stats from the PCM 14 PCMdaily projects.

Everything written down here will be considered for the next PCMdaily DB.
Edited by Jesleyh on 23-08-2014 18:50
i1326.photobucket.com/albums/u660/jesleyh/Junk/0ca5fb14-ed59-44b1-8eb0-596097ba5c01_zps8e97f370.jpg

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PCMdaily Awards: 12x nomination, 9x runner-up, 0x win.
 
Jesleyh
Anyway, to continue on the Contador discussion:

Contador won both Tirreno - Adriatico and Pais Vasco and seems to get near to his pre-suspension form.
He and Froome were both ''shared'' favourites for this TdF, but they both crashed.
i1326.photobucket.com/albums/u660/jesleyh/Junk/0ca5fb14-ed59-44b1-8eb0-596097ba5c01_zps8e97f370.jpg

Feyenoord(football) and Kelderman fanboy


PCMdaily Awards: 12x nomination, 9x runner-up, 0x win.
 
Dusen
Navardauskas: Maybe lower his ACC a stat or two. Cause he isn't a real sprinter. Dunno if that will make a difference at all.

Kittel: Maybe lower his HILL stat to 63. He literally falls of at every bump on the road Grin
 
admirschleck
Navardauskas was 3rd on Champs Elysee (besides all other great results on the Tour this year), so you can't really say he's not a real sprinter. Wink
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Dusen
admirschleck wrote:
Navardauskas was 3rd on Champs Elysee (besides all other great results on the Tour this year), so you can't really say he's not a real sprinter. Wink


While you are right, he doesn't have the same ACC like the "real" sprinters.
At least thats what i think. Smile

He is fast enough to get 77, but to get a more real Navardauskas in the game i think lowering his ACC a bit so he doesn't jump out of a box, but comes with a steady strong sprint instead, would be better.
 
ste_18
In my opinion Pinot doesn't deserve 80, i mean he took 8 min (79 maybe). Same for Peraud. About Hill stats i've seen contador and Nibali both 79, but the Italian in the classic managed to reach better result than the Spanish and Pozzovivo is 78 (which is good) but it's the same for Pinot and others. After Liege i think he should have 1 point more at least.
 
dark_x2012
ste_18 wrote:
In my opinion Pinot doesn't deserve 80, i mean he took 8 min (79 maybe). Same for Peraud. About Hill stats i've seen contador and Nibali both 79, but the Italian in the classic managed to reach better result than the Spanish and Pozzovivo is 78 (which is good) but it's the same for Pinot and others. After Liege i think he should have 1 point more at least.

Agree for the mountains BUT the hilly races Contador raced were:
1) Basque Country where he beat the second best puncher in the hills.
2) TdF stage 8 where he's beaten, guess who .....Wink
 
Jesleyh
We've given Navardauskas ''just'' 75ACC, but we could give him 74 maybe. It's just pretty tough to get his stats right, I understand what you're saying.

Contador and Nibali are both fairly good on hills. Hills is more than just Ardennes anyway.

Pinot was a point of doubt, but has relatively bad backup stats.
Edited by Jesleyh on 23-08-2014 19:22
i1326.photobucket.com/albums/u660/jesleyh/Junk/0ca5fb14-ed59-44b1-8eb0-596097ba5c01_zps8e97f370.jpg

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PCMdaily Awards: 12x nomination, 9x runner-up, 0x win.
 
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ste_18
dark_x2012 wrote:
ste_18 wrote:
In my opinion Pinot doesn't deserve 80, i mean he took 8 min (79 maybe). Same for Peraud. About Hill stats i've seen contador and Nibali both 79, but the Italian in the classic managed to reach better result than the Spanish and Pozzovivo is 78 (which is good) but it's the same for Pinot and others. After Liege i think he should have 1 point more at least.

Agree for the mountains BUT the hilly races Contador raced were:
1) Basque Country where he beat the second best puncher in the hills.
2) TdF stage 8 where he's beaten, guess who .....Wink


Basque and stage 8 of Le Tour aren't really classics. When you'll play Liege Contador will be at the same level if not even stronger (due to the 82 in MO) than Nibali eventhough he manged to do 2nd at Liege and 3rd at Milano San Remo (not this year but i think he can do better than Contador in those races)

I know hill is more than just Ardennes, this was my opinion though
Edited by ste_18 on 23-08-2014 19:26
 
dark_x2012
ste_18 wrote:
dark_x2012 wrote:
ste_18 wrote:
In my opinion Pinot doesn't deserve 80, i mean he took 8 min (79 maybe). Same for Peraud. About Hill stats i've seen contador and Nibali both 79, but the Italian in the classic managed to reach better result than the Spanish and Pozzovivo is 78 (which is good) but it's the same for Pinot and others. After Liege i think he should have 1 point more at least.

Agree for the mountains BUT the hilly races Contador raced were:
1) Basque Country where he beat the second best puncher in the hills.
2) TdF stage 8 where he's beaten, guess who .....Wink


Basque and stage 8 of Le Tour aren't really classics. When you'll play Liege Contador will be at the same level if not even stronger (due to the 82 in MO) than Nibali eventhough he manged to do 2nd at Liege and 3rd at Milano San Remo (not this year but i think he can do better than Contador in those races)

We don't know how Bertie will do cuz he hasn't ridden them and ther's no real reason for thinking he'll fail except ppersonal prejudices Wink That's why eaqual stats are fine for me. But of course if you quote for Nibbles you have the full right to change the stats for yourself Wink
 
Naskela
Arberg27: You could say Andy Schleck have not taken his training seriously last 4 seasons.
Valverde has also won many small race, it does not make him better than Quintana.


Valverde have won some small races for sure but he never beated the best climbers in mountain stages this year which were the case with Contador who won mountain stages against riders like Froome and Quintana.
Edited by Naskela on 23-08-2014 19:31
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Dusen
"Kittel: Maybe lower his HILL stat to 63. He literally falls of at every bump on the road"

What do you guys think about this ^^ Smile?
 
dark_x2012
Dusen wrote:
"Kittel: Maybe lower his HILL stat to 63. He literally falls of at every bump on the road"

What do you guys think about this ^^ Smile?

I would even give him 50 Pfft
 
Jesleyh
I'm not sure. 63HI might cause him to drop at the first TdF stage(or at least make it hard to win), for example. 65 seems drastic enough, because Kristoff already has 9 HI stats higher than him Wink
Edited by Jesleyh on 23-08-2014 19:33
i1326.photobucket.com/albums/u660/jesleyh/Junk/0ca5fb14-ed59-44b1-8eb0-596097ba5c01_zps8e97f370.jpg

Feyenoord(football) and Kelderman fanboy


PCMdaily Awards: 12x nomination, 9x runner-up, 0x win.
 
Dusen
Jesleyh wrote:
I'm not sure. 63HI might cause him to drop at the first TdF stage, for example. 65 seems drastic enough, because Kristoff already has 9 HI stats higher than him Wink


Yeah. You could be right about that. But could be worth checking In game Smile

Cause he is really bad on hills, but i don't know how it looks in the game with the current stats Pfft
 
baseballlover312
I think a 2 stat gap between Tejay and Pinot is too much based on the Tour. I think it should be 1.
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Dusen
baseballlover312 wrote:
I think a 2 stat gap between Tejay and Pinot is too much based on the Tour. I think it should be 1.


I agree on this Smile
It was one of Pinot's first great races since 2012, while TVG has been strong in the mountains for a long period.
 
Jesleyh
Quickly looking at the results, it seems that TvG never even managed to stay in the same group as Pinot, let alone beating him even once.
78MO is enough for Tejay. As said, Pinot was really a 50/50(Alak and I had multiple discussions about that Pfft), but got 80MO with low backup stats.

@Dusen Well, Pinot got 7th in the Vuelta and is really developing well atm. Tejay always profits from his TT and was never a ''star'' in the mountains itself, though it seems he's getting stronger.
Edited by Jesleyh on 23-08-2014 19:44
i1326.photobucket.com/albums/u660/jesleyh/Junk/0ca5fb14-ed59-44b1-8eb0-596097ba5c01_zps8e97f370.jpg

Feyenoord(football) and Kelderman fanboy


PCMdaily Awards: 12x nomination, 9x runner-up, 0x win.
 
Dusen
Jesleyh wrote:
Quickly looking at the results, it seems that TvG never even managed to stay in the same group as Pinot, let alone beating him even once.
78MO is enough for Tejay. As said, Pinot was really a 50/50(Alak and I had multiple discussions about that Pfft), but got 80MO with low backup stats.

@Dusen Well, Pinot got 7th in the Vuelta and is really developing well atm. Tejay always profits from his TT and was never a ''star'' in the mountains itself, though it seems he's getting stronger.


I see what you are getting with this. And if Pinot has lower support stats, it might be just fine like that Smile
 
TankNL
I've started a theard a while ago to fuel this kind of discussions.
here is a link to that thread and to the files that are created;
https://pcmdaily.c...ost_965364

There is an excel file in there with all the results of the 1.1 and 2.1 and above races (mind you it is 50Mb big!). I have calculated how many points a rider has gotten in what kind of terrain and put that in a big pivot table. If you doubleclick on a rider in the table you get an extra tabsheet with all his results and how they are scored... Do that for all the riders mentioned above and you don't just discuss feelings, but also actual results.

Top 50 rounded mountain stats calculated on 3 years of results;
CyclistNameFLAMOUHILTTCOBSPRACCSTARESRECPoints
NIBALI Vincenzo7883808073738081828387
VALVERDE BELMONTE Alejandro7983837659738183838287
RODRIGUEZ OLIVER Joaquim7782817451728082828187
QUINTANA ROJAS Nairo Alexander7581787650677679818285
FROOME Chris7981778150727679818286
MAJKA Rafal7481797451717980808083
PINOT Thibaut7381747453717679808183
CONTADOR VELASCO Alberto7781807955727879818285
MORENO FERNANDEZ Daniel7480817250717980818084
POZZOVIVO Domenico7480807550717780808184

Spoiler
VAN GARDEREN Tejay7780767953727576808184
PERAUD Jean-Christophe7680757652727577808183
ROCHE Nicolas7380757351727779808082
URAN URAN Rigoberto7480797750717679808083
PORTE Richie7580757654717576808082
MOLLEMA Bauke7780807464737980818085
COSTA Rui Alberto Faria7880807553737880818184
HORNER Chris7280757151717476808082
BARDET Romain7680797153737879808083
EVANS Cadel7680797551727679808183
SCARPONI Michele7380777251717579808081
ROLLAND Pierre7280747251717475788081
KÖNIG Leopold7280737452647475777980
NIEVE ITURRALDE Mikel7379747152717477797980
KREUZIGER Roman7479807456717680808082
TEN DAM Laurens7278737251717475777980
TALANSKY Andrew7478747453717373808081
ULISSI Diego7578817352727980807683
SANCHEZ GONZALEZ Samuel7378777350717577797981
ROGERS Michael7578757351727578808081
ARU Fabio7177737251637374757780
FUGLSANG Jakob7577757273727474808081
KISERLOVSKI Robert7277747150717475787980
ANTON HERNANDEZ Igor7277756750697475777680
KELDERMAN Wilco7577757453727475808081
HESJEDAL Ryder7376797250727679797781
MARTIN Daniel7476806750717680807882
INTXAUSTI ELORRIAGA Beñat7376757351717375798081
WIGGINS Bradley7876738073717374798082
KANGERT Tanel7376747451717374777980
PELLIZOTTI Franco7376787150687576797580
HENAO MONTOYA Sergio Luis7376797250717576807981
BASSO Ivan7376747150717475767680
VAN DEN BROECK Jurgen7376747156727373787980
FRANK Mathias7576747251717374798081
NAVARRO GARCIA Daniel7276726751617273757679
CATALDO Dario7276727450717374747379
ZUBELDIA AGIRRE Haimar7275737151717374767780
BETANCUR GOMEZ Carlos Alberto7475797151717576807981
SCHLECK Fränk7275736051667373757579
GESINK Robert7575787250727578807981


In order to see the differences in detail also the top 50 mountain stats calculated with 2 decimals on 3 years of results;

Spoiler
CyclistNameFLAMOUHILTTCOBSPRACCSTARESRECPoints
NIBALI Vincenzo77,928379,9279,5873,2672,6879,6680,9382,078387
VALVERDE BELMONTE Alejandro79,0882,578376,3558,5273,0580,5982,68381,6987
RODRIGUEZ OLIVER Joaquim76,7781,5681,4574,4550,6471,7379,7881,9181,9981,3687
QUINTANA ROJAS Nairo Alexander74,9181,0677,91765067,4375,9979,4880,7181,7284,79
FROOME Chris79,0880,9976,7280,525072,0476,3379,4980,8981,8385,55
MAJKA Rafal73,880,9979,3773,6650,6471,3379,0679,8780,2180,0683,43
PINOT Thibaut73,1980,774,4473,8753,1871,3375,7579,3179,9480,5182,74
CONTADOR VELASCO Alberto76,5580,5679,6579,2754,7771,5277,5279,4781,0981,6485,11
MORENO FERNANDEZ Daniel74,2980,1680,8671,885071,1979,2880,1680,688084,27
POZZOVIVO Domenico74,3980,1479,6474,915070,9676,6179,7380,3380,6483,54
VAN GARDEREN Tejay76,7380,0775,5279,2752,9271,6175,3376,2280,2480,8383,52
PERAUD Jean-Christophe75,5980,0275,3775,7652,3871,5875,2776,8580,1580,883,1
ROCHE Nicolas73,428075,3272,5550,6472,3476,7179,4779,5779,5981,77
URAN URAN Rigoberto73,8779,9779,2576,745071,3976,3579,3579,9880,2882,71
PORTE Richie74,9579,9374,7376,0153,8171,0474,5276,379,7980,0182,07
MOLLEMA Bauke77,1579,9180,2873,9363,7273,3579,480,1480,8580,0984,58
COSTA Rui Alberto Faria77,7779,879,7374,5553,4373,0677,5779,9781,0480,7284,48
HORNER Chris72,3479,7874,7571,4650,6471,0174,475,8479,5580,2481,52
BARDET Romain75,6679,7279,3171,1353,1872,6177,6579,4980,1680,0282,84
EVANS Cadel76,1479,6479,4675,3750,8272,0576,279,3580,3380,5383,43
SCARPONI Michele72,979,677,1472,0450,6471,3875,3879,4279,5979,6481,49
ROLLAND Pierre72,0979,5673,6271,8851,2771,2973,9274,9277,5979,5880,66
KÖNIG Leopold72,379,572,6673,551,9163,5673,5475,3676,9179,3580,32
NIEVE ITURRALDE Mikel72,679,4374,0671,1452,4371,1474,4377,4179,2679,2580,47
KREUZIGER Roman73,579,3879,673,5856,4271,0975,9279,6679,9179,8282,03
TEN DAM Laurens72,1577,9173,1471,6550,8771,0773,5474,6177,0179,480,2
TALANSKY Andrew74,1677,8574,2174,4753,1871,0373,2773,0579,5779,8981,1
ULISSI Diego75,4277,7780,7273,4351,9471,7679,2679,5480,376,0982,92
SANCHEZ GONZALEZ Samuel73,0777,6376,7772,765071,2974,7177,2179,4779,4380,97
ROGERS Michael75,0977,575,0272,8650,6472,3474,9677,9979,5479,5781,34
ARU Fabio71,3977,372,7171,6950,8162,9272,6474,375,276,9179,56
FUGLSANG Jakob74,9377,275,0372,0973,3271,7874,4474,2779,6479,7381,42
KISERLOVSKI Robert72,1776,9974,1871,485071,1873,67577,579,480,19
ANTON HERNANDEZ Igor71,9876,6175,1267,335069,0473,9175,2576,5175,8579,9
KELDERMAN Wilco75,1176,5975,1773,8853,1571,6974,0974,5279,6379,981,39
HESJEDAL Ryder73,1376,4279,2671,9850,371,5675,5279,4379,3977,2680,81
MARTIN Daniel73,5976,3680,1367,135071,1476,4579,5279,9177,6581,83
INTXAUSTI ELORRIAGA Beñat73,2476,2975,2972,8850,6471,0373,3574,6479,4679,7180,75
WIGGINS Bradley77,6675,8673,2479,8973,2471,1473,1274,0379,4979,7881,57
KANGERT Tanel72,7375,8173,6973,6551,3671,0673,1373,8877,0979,3380,08
PELLIZOTTI Franco73,2275,7277,7771,0650,286874,9176,379,2775,4980,46
HENAO MONTOYA Sergio Luis73,0975,6879,3871,545071,1674,9276,2779,5179,3180,94
BASSO Ivan72,5175,6873,971,075071,1373,674,7976,4175,979,75
VAN DEN BROECK Jurgen73,1275,6774,0671,4756,3571,6273,3172,6277,6879,4380,29
FRANK Mathias74,9675,674,4372,2851,3671,272,9374,2379,4879,6580,95
NAVARRO GARCIA Daniel71,6675,5971,9366,8550,6460,5871,672,7975,1375,9579,2
CATALDO Dario72,1575,5672,3573,785071,0972,7274,0674,0873,2379,13
ZUBELDIA AGIRRE Haimar72,0475,4473,2771,3451,2770,9872,8873,8175,9177,1679,63
BETANCUR GOMEZ Carlos Alberto73,9775,479,3271,2351,4871,2575,1675,6279,6579,4881,15
SCHLECK Fränk71,7875,117360,0150,6465,5572,6473,3974,8975,1179,22
GESINK Robert75,2275,0677,5371,665071,5574,8677,5579,7479,4981,33
 
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