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TdF'13 Stage 12 - Fougères to Tours (July 11)
Malkael
Stage 12 - Fougères to Tours

www.letour.fr/PHOTOS/TDF/2013/1200/PROFIL.png

With the first individual time trial completed, the Tour de France continues its transition to the French city of Lyon, and a Sunday showdown on the infamous Mont Ventoux. To help accomplish the goal of reaching Lyon by road in three days, Stage 12 travels 218km from the town of Fougères to the city of Tours. Similar to Stage 10, the journey could be quite dull until the race approaches the finish, where the sprint trains wills start to form.

Intermediate Sprint

www.letour.fr/PHOTOS/TDF/2013/1200/PROFILSPRINT.png

The Intermediate Sprint is the only event of note, arriving 166km in to the stage's route, or 52km from the finish if you prefer. With the terrain almost perfectly level approaching the line the sprint will arguably be won by the breakaway follow by Andre Greipel, of Lotto-Belisol. While the German still has a massive 83 point deficit to recoup on Peter Sagan, of Cannondale, the contest cannot be declared entirely over until Sagan finishes on the Champs-Élysées.

Final Kilometers

www.letour.fr/PHOTOS/TDF/2013/1200/PROFILKMS.png

A technical finish awaits the sprinters in Tours, as the stage ends with two 90-degree turns within the final 1500 metres. Positioning and cornering will be everything heading in to the finishing straight in Tours, as the lead out trains for Greipel, Cavendish, Kittel, and Goss battle for position at the head of the bunch. With the second 90-degree right hand turn roughly 400-500m from the finishing line the advantage will lie with whichever team manages to first swing around the corner, hopefully with their lead out still intact.

Stage Favourites

The 2013 Tour de France has not quite matched the expectations of Mark Cavendish and Omega Pharma-Quickstep so far. While Cavendish is a world class sprinter able to compete with or without a lead out, we have seen Lotto-Belisol and Argos-Shimano grab a stage victory each when they have swamped Cavendish. The one victory Cavendish has taken so far in the 2013 Tour de France came when his team mates, particularly Gert Steegmans, positioned him ahead of his two German rivals.

Meanwhile, after their narrow defeat in Stage 10, Greipel and Lotto-Belisol will be keen to make amends and claim a second stage victory to match Argos-Shimano. The strength of the Lotto-Belisol's lead out for Greipel has been readily apparent, with the German only defeated once when ahead of his rivals. The organisation and experience of the Lotto Belisol sprint train could be the crucial decider between who takes the stage victory, with Greipel the favourite should he be positioned ahead of the his rivals.

After pipping Greipel to the line in thrilling fashion and collecting their second stage victory, Marcel Kittel and Argos-Shimano will be feeling confident headed in to the bunch sprint. Argos-Shimano arguably have as equally a strong lead out for Kittel as Lotto-Belisol do for Greipel. However, the Argos-Shimano express just are not quite consistent enough to successfully compete with Lotto-Belisol each stage. Should Kittel be near to the wheel of Greipel, we could witness another exhilarating tight sprint to the line.

Outsiders

Almost certain for a finish somewhere within the top five for the stage is Peter Sagan, of Cannondale. He arguably lacks the top end speed required to defeat Cavendish, Greipel and Kittel. However, he compensates through his excellent positioning and ability to usually follow the right wheel. Due to the nature of Stage 12's approach in to the finish Sagan's ability to position himself could very well see him in the opportune position to snatch an unexpected victory should the other favourites falter.

Outsiders for the stage victory include Matthew Goss for Orica-GreenEDGE, Danny van Poppel for Vacansoleil-DCM, and Alexander Kristoff for Team Katusha. According to Sporting Director Matt White, Orica-GreenEDGE will be focusing on the sprint stages littering the second week of the Tour de France. With Goss' form supposedly on the improve and the full dedication of the team towards protecting and leading him out in the sprint, he may be able to achieve some top 5 finishes.

Epilogue

So after the drama of Stage 10 and the individual time trial we are back to the sprints again. Who will you be backing for Stage 12 from Fougères to Tours? Will Cavendish redeem himself? Will Greipel get a second stage win? Can Kittel make it a third victory for Argos-Shimano?
 
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Miguel98
''The Veelers tripper'' get's 3rd again. Greipel wins. Going to pray all night that Froome crashes hard tomorrow.
 
SSJ2Luigi
Miguel98 wrote:
''The Veelers tripper'' get's 3rd again. Greipel wins. Going to pray all night that Froome crashes hard tomorrow.

you won't be alone
 
Selwink
This preview is the only thing thats fun about the stage. Greipel will win, Cavendish will finish somewhere in the pack, just 1 place behind Veelers
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Pellizotti2
SSJ2Luigi wrote:
Miguel98 wrote:
''The Veelers tripper'' get's 3rd again. Greipel wins. Going to pray all night that Froome crashes hard tomorrow.

you won't be alone

I dislike him a lot as well, but wishing that he crashes might a bit too much. Not a thing I hope happens to any rider, no matter how much I dislike the person.
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juszta
Another one for the Gorilla I think.

Also, wishing for somebody to crash has no place in sport. Angry Sure, he is doped and he will easily win the Tour, and most people don't like him, but hoping for someone to hurt himself is just evil... Rolling Eyes

edit: Zabel'd
Edited by juszta on 10-07-2013 16:41
 
Miguel98
Pellizotti2 wrote:
SSJ2Luigi wrote:
Miguel98 wrote:
''The Veelers tripper'' get's 3rd again. Greipel wins. Going to pray all night that Froome crashes hard tomorrow.

you won't be alone

I dislike him a lot as well, but wishing that he crashes might a bit too much. Not a thing I hope happens to any rider, no matter how much I dislike the person.


I know, probably exagerating there. Sad
 
cio93
So when was the last time three consecutive stages went to Germans? Pfft
 
CountArach
Pellizotti2 wrote:
SSJ2Luigi wrote:
Miguel98 wrote:
''The Veelers tripper'' get's 3rd again. Greipel wins. Going to pray all night that Froome crashes hard tomorrow.

you won't be alone

I dislike him a lot as well, but wishing that he crashes might a bit too much. Not a thing I hope happens to any rider, no matter how much I dislike the person.

This.

I think cavendish will get his revenge here, but it should be much more interesting than the farce that the GC has become.
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jph27
cio93 wrote:
So when was the last time three consecutive stages went to Germans? Pfft


1997?

Hopefully Cav wins and does one of his entertaining salutes.
 
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Malkael
Selwink wrote:
This preview is the only thing thats fun about the stage. Greipel will win, Cavendish will finish somewhere in the pack, just 1 place behind Veelers


Haha, you are spot on there about the probable entertainment value of the stage outside of the sprint. I looked at the stage profile and basically went: "Well that is sure going to be fun to write about... Time to stack up on favourites and outsiders."
 
http://www.theroar.com.au/author/matthew-boulden/
sutty68
Got a feeling a break is going to be successful tomorrow Wink
 
Pellizotti2
sutty68 wrote:
Got a feeling a break is going to be successful tomorrow Wink

No way in hell.

Cavendish desperately wants this after yesterday's miss (or hit, depending on whether you're talking about the stage win or Veelers Pfft). Lotto, Argos and Cannondale will likely join them at the front of the peloton as well.
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Kirchen_75
Cavendish is literally pissed after todays. So I'm going with him
 
sutty68
Pellizotti2 wrote:
sutty68 wrote:
Got a feeling a break is going to be successful tomorrow Wink

No way in hell.

Cavendish desperately wants this after yesterday's miss (or hit, depending on whether you're talking about the stage win or Veelers Pfft). Lotto, Argos and Cannondale will likely join them at the front of the peloton as well.


Yeah i suppose your right, but i really don't want Cav to win tomorrow Frown
 
SSJ2Luigi
Pellizotti2 wrote:
sutty68 wrote:
Got a feeling a break is going to be successful tomorrow Wink

No way in hell.

Cavendish desperately wants this after yesterday's miss (or hit, depending on whether you're talking about the stage win or Veelers Pfft). Lotto, Argos and Cannondale will likely join them at the front of the peloton as well.

unsure about Cannondale. unless Sagan still thinks he can win. any points that are won by the break are less points to lose against the competition.
 
Pellizotti2
SSJ2Luigi wrote:
unsure about Cannondale. unless Sagan still thinks he can win. any points that are won by the break are less points to lose against the competition.

Another thing to consider is that Sagan is the only rider in the team capable of scoring them big points for the WT ranking. Any points he can get from finishing top 5 in the mass sprints are useful to them.

But yeah, they might play it cool and sit back.
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baseballlover312
Pellizotti2 wrote:
SSJ2Luigi wrote:
Miguel98 wrote:
''The Veelers tripper'' get's 3rd again. Greipel wins. Going to pray all night that Froome crashes hard tomorrow.

you won't be alone

I dislike him a lot as well, but wishing that he crashes might a bit too much. Not a thing I hope happens to any rider, no matter how much I dislike the person.


I hope every bike the team has for him get's a major mechanical. Pfft
RIP Exxon Duke, David Veilleux, Double Feature, and Monster Energy
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cio93
Important bit of information:

2.bp.blogspot.com/-IhztLSGsgrg/Ud2lhdpqUVI/AAAAAAAACCo/mBB0atIbraw/s1600/tdf_Stage12_final4.JPG

90° corners with roundabout 600 and 400 metres to go...dunno why ASO thought that'd be a good idea. Rolling Eyes
 
admirschleck
So, Kittel again?
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