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Baltic Chain Tour Discussion
Vien
Baltic Chain Tour


pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/profiles/c1_baltic.jpg


Hello everybody and welcome to the preview of 2018's Baltic Chain Tour. Quite a classic in the MG universe, we are entering its sixth edition already. Who's going to follow in the footsteps of Avelino, Vantomme, Ahlstrand, Lo Cicero and last year's winner, Tom van Asbroeck?

The race's formula remains the same: Four sprinter stages through the Baltic area. But before that, we start with a very short cobbled prologue. This stage will likely turn out as unpredictable as ever, but that should only increase the fun!

And once we're done with the prologue... Actually, have you ever realized how annoying this must be for riders? Spending an entire day prepping and recovering for racing THREE kilometers? What a brutal sport this can be in so many ways!

So as I said, after the prologue we get four sprinter stages who all look quite the same: Flattish, but with tiny hills that make riders getting dropped unlikely, but might give some tougher sprinters a small advantage in the final sprint. Especially stage 3 is quite long, with 200 kilometers in the saddle for the peloton. So stamina will play a minor factor here, too.

Favourites
SPACCFLRESSPACCFLRES
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_itd.png Degenkolb84817671pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_teb.png Nizzolo80797367
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_cfe.png Lo Cicero84787263pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_min.png Drapac80797165
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_t3a.png Ewan83817571pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_lpu.png Van Asbroeck80787572
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_kmm.png Cavendish83817371pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_p4e.png Ulanowski80777366
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ssc.png Guerao83767464pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_0r8.png Rowe79807870
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ino.png Goss82787471pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_rot.png Coutinho79807274
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_nvo.png Vantomme82787365pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_rot.png Hochmann79807061
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_npn.png Holloway80827877pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_kmm.png Willwohl79787367
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_xfc.png Kip80826963pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ayu.png Lander79777772
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_rpn.png Roelandts80797473pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_lpu.png Peeters79777268


Due to the four flat stages, many bonification seconds are up for grabs. Therefore, winning this stage race from only winning the prologue seems extremely unlikely. So we will focus on the sprinters to see who may become the final winner!

And then it gets quite hard to control all the stats that may be important in this race... Is it the pure sprints? The flat racing with the potential crosswinds? The cobbles to start off with a good timeset? Or perhaps even the potential to get over the hills if the peloton sets a super high pace? One rider who probably isn't too worries about this is John Degenkolb, who possesses the ability to conquer all. Therefore, ans also based on his previous results this season, he should be named as the main favourite for this race.

Close behind him are Caleb Ewan and Mark Cavendish. The young talent and the veteral have a similar skillset, though Ewan has slightly higher substats. Which has shown in this season, as he has been outperforming the Manx Missile so far. Will it change this time?

One rider to always look out for, but sadly not so much lately, is Lo Cicero. Carrefour's “gamble” has been working out poorly this season, as he hasn't been able to showcase his sprinting potential a lot. Maybe a race he's won before will help him?

Guerao is also a type of rider with the same inconsistency as Lo Cicero. Kip, Drapac and Hochmann are three riders who will also likely struggle to get a good result every day. But a stage win can't be ruled out.

Goss, Vantomme, Holloway, Roelants, Van Asbroeck and perhaps even Rowe form the group of the most dangerous outsiders. All should not have what it takes to beat Degenkolb and the other major favourites in a sprint, but they have the potential to outsmart them in one way or the other. They will surely get mentioned in the stage reports, that's for sure.

Prologue Favourites
COBPRLCOBPRL
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_min.png Zepuntke8165pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_npn.png Ford5981
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_rpn.png Vanmarcke8067pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_kmm.png Schädlich6280
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_lpu.png Vanbilsen8063pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_npn.png Sergent5380
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ino.png Maes7964pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_nvo.png Hansen5679
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ssc.png David7865pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_min.png Janse van Rensburg6378
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_rpn.png Taillefour7865pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ayu.png Rajapakshage6178
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ayu.png Chatarunga7767pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_p4e.png Golovash5578
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_cfe.png Gaudin7767pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_lpu.png Van Aert6677
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_itd.png Insausti7766pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_kmm.png Cavendish7076
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_itd.png Kosic7761pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_zal.png Kruopis6976
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_nvo.png Kasperkiewicz7672pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_0r8.png Rowe7574


Of course, the lack of cobbled and TT races also attracted quite a lot of specialists who are keen on the prologue only. Zepuntke, Vanmarcke and Vanbilsen are the best cobblers, while Ford, Schädlich and Sergent are the best prologue favourites. Kasperkiewicz and Rowe are two dangerous riders who possess the ability to do both quite well.

Especially the cobblers will also be quite interesting for the sprinter stages though, as quite a few great rouleurs joined to either try to attack near the end of the stage or help their sprinter out. So we may also see these names after the prologue.

pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Races/C1/Baltic/Startlist1.jpg

pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Races/C1/Baltic/Startlist2.jpg

pcmdaily.com/images/mg/PCMdailyAwards2018/bettingchampion.png
 
jandal7
Let's go Rowe!
24/02/21 - kandesbunzler said “I don't drink famous people."
15/08/22 - SotD said "Your [jandal's] humour is overrated"
11/06/24 - knockout said "Winning is fine I guess. Truth be told this felt completely unimportant."

[ICL] Santos-Euskadi | [PT] i.imgur.com/c85NSl6.png Xero Racing

i.imgur.com/PdCbs9I.png
i.imgur.com/RPIlJYr.png
5x i.imgur.com/wM6Wok5.png x5
i.imgur.com/olRsxdu.png
2x pcmdaily.com/images/mg/Awards2021/funniest21.png x2
2x i.imgur.com/TUidkLG.png x2
 
fjhoekie
Hey, a team here? Cool... Darren Young to dominate!
Manager of Team Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska in the PCM.Daily Man-Game
 
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quadsas
This is easy victory for Kruopis. He grew up on the streets everyone will be riding on. Therefore if we don't win GC it's clear that there's collusion against DK Zalgiris
deez
 
Marcovdw
A bit of everything here. We'll see how it goes
Manager of Minions
 
Croatia14
No Wisniowski no Polanc means the bank is open for anybody
pcmdaily.com/files/Awards2019/moty.png
 
DaveTwoBob
Kraftwerk really need The Missile to launch in this race to lift us out of the relegation zone.
Manager of Renault Classic [ICL]
Manager of Kraftwerk Man Machine [Man Game]
 
Ollfardh
Van Asbroeck always does well in this race, let's hope he doesn't disappoint.
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
 
knockout
Croatia14 wrote:
No Wisniowski no Polanc means the bank is open for anybody


This is what intrigues me the most about this race this season. No clear cut prologue favourite makes me hope that someone like Kasperle or Rowe can do well.
A Big Thank You To All MG Reporters!

pcmdaily.com/images/awards/2015/Manteam.pngpcmdaily.com/images/mg/Awards2020/mgmanager.png
 
beagle
A win goal, everything else will be considered as a big failure.

Thx for preview, looking forward to reports.
Manager of Polar in Man-Game
 
jandal7
Oh yeah, what a ride from Rowe! Absolutely fantastic opening, let’s get those bonuses to stay up there and hope for some winds in the coming days!
24/02/21 - kandesbunzler said “I don't drink famous people."
15/08/22 - SotD said "Your [jandal's] humour is overrated"
11/06/24 - knockout said "Winning is fine I guess. Truth be told this felt completely unimportant."

[ICL] Santos-Euskadi | [PT] i.imgur.com/c85NSl6.png Xero Racing

i.imgur.com/PdCbs9I.png
i.imgur.com/RPIlJYr.png
5x i.imgur.com/wM6Wok5.png x5
i.imgur.com/olRsxdu.png
2x pcmdaily.com/images/mg/Awards2021/funniest21.png x2
2x i.imgur.com/TUidkLG.png x2
 
Marcovdw
Good result for Zepuntke. Hopefully he can defend the youth jersey against Ewan but that seems like a tough ask with all the bonus seconds.

Lovely ride by Matthews!
Manager of Minions
 
quadsas
Kruopis angeryface
deez
 
DaveTwoBob
Cavendish beat Degenkolb - don't get the chance to say that very often Smile

Suspect the whole 1 second might not be enough to stay in front of him Wink
Manager of Renault Classic [ICL]
Manager of Kraftwerk Man Machine [Man Game]
 
Marcovdw
Can't remember the last time I saw Drapac sprinting for such a good position. Nice to know he still has it!
Manager of Minions
 
fjhoekie
Decent enough start for Ulanowksi here, just keep getting top 10s, and this race is a success
Manager of Team Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska in the PCM.Daily Man-Game
 
Ollfardh
41Kenneth VanbilsenLierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeams.t.
42Tom Van AsbroeckLierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeams.t.


Bad positioning or wrong designated leader issues?
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
 
DaveTwoBob
Good team performance giving Cav a great position, just not quite enough to beat Degenkolb but very happy with 2nd.
Manager of Renault Classic [ICL]
Manager of Kraftwerk Man Machine [Man Game]
 
trekbmc
Not quite sure how to respond to that result due to the recent tragic news about the winner.

Thanks for the report Vein.



"What done is, is one." - Benji Naesen
 
Ollfardh
Ollfardh wrote:
41Kenneth VanbilsenLierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeams.t.
42Tom Van AsbroeckLierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeams.t.


Bad positioning or wrong designated leader issues?


22Tom Van AsbroeckLierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeams.t.
23Kenneth VanbilsenLierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeams.t.


That's settled then.
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
 
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