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Tour de France 2018 | Stage 3
cunego59
.
Stage 3: Cholet - Cholet

www.procyclingstats.com/images/profiles/ap/ef/tour-de-france-2018-stage-3-profile-8672fb3def.jpg

Spoiler
www.procyclingstats.com/images/profiles/ap/ef/tour-de-france-2018-stage-3-map-3e4cd14fc3.jpg


The Route


Not that flat. Stefan Schumacher won an individual time trial on a similar route in 2008. A few pretty steep ramps with gradients of 10-12%, which will pose quite the challenge, especially for teams with a wider range of climbing skills amongst their riders. The team time is taken with the fourth rider crossing the line.


The Contenders


Team Sky
BMC Racing Team
...
QuickStep
Sunweb
Bora
Michelton-Scott

Many expect Geraint Thomas to wear yellow tomorrow, BMC may be the only team to stop that from happening. Most other GC riders will aim to lose as little time as possible.

---------------

Perhaps not the greatest stage for TV, but a stage that should shape the GC for a few days to come.
 
Avin Wargunnson
1.SKY
2.BMC +10-15s
3-4.Sunweb/Quicsktep +20-25s
5.Scott +30s
6. Bora + 50s

Thomas in yellow.
I'll be back
 
SotD
Avin Wargunnson wrote:
1.SKY
2.BMC +10-15s
3-4.Sunweb/Quicsktep +20-25s
5.Scott +30s
6. Bora + 50s

Thomas in yellow.


Agree... Although I believe the gap after SKY/BMC could potentially be slightly bigger.

And I'm not completely sure that SKY will actually beat BMC... I could see GVA in yellow after today...

If everything goes as the preacher preaches, then I'd say the GC after today is:

1. Geraint Thomas
2. Greg van Avermaet
3. Tejay van Garderen
4. Philippe Gilbert
5. Bob Jungels
6. Julian Alaphilippe
7. Tom Dumoulin
8. Søren Kragh Andersen
9. Michael Matthews
10. Peter Sagan

The Sunweb/Quickstep riders could switch, but I don't see others realistically in the top 10.
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Avin Wargunnson
But maybe Quickstep will want to drag Gaviria with them? Or at least he should not loose much to drop out of top10 maybe...

About SKY/BMC i dont believe they can beat SKY...they are...SKY. Thomas/Froome/Castroviejo/Kwiatek/Moscon (Bernal maybe too?) are just too good to be beaten imo and it is at least 5 guys who are TT beasts that can help them as they can turn more guys at the front. But it can be close, yes, with Porte/TVG/Kung and Greg (Schar maybe?)...i suppose Greg will slow them down a bit compared to SKYbots.
I'll be back
 
Avin Wargunnson
Scott could be stage favourite (Durbo/Howson/Hepburn,/Bauer), but Yates will slow them down...
I'll be back
 
SotD
Avin Wargunnson wrote:
Scott could be stage favourite (Durbo/Howson/Hepburn,/Bauer), but Yates will slow them down...


True... I have them high aswell, but Yates not the fastest and Durbo crashed yesterday. Also maybe a bit more bumpy than what is perfect for Hepburn and Durbo. Bauer, Howson and Yates could make it difficult for them to keep up when it goes up a bit.
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SotD
Avin Wargunnson wrote:
But maybe Quickstep will want to drag Gaviria with them? Or at least he should not loose much to drop out of top10 maybe...

About SKY/BMC i dont believe they can beat SKY...they are...SKY. Thomas/Froome/Castroviejo/Kwiatek/Moscon (Bernal maybe too?) are just too good to be beaten imo and it is at least 5 guys who are TT beasts that can help them as they can turn more guys at the front. But it can be close, yes, with Porte/TVG/Kung and Greg (Schar maybe?)...i suppose Greg will slow them down a bit compared to SKYbots.


I struggle to see them taking Gaviria to the line when he doesn't have yellow. Yes, he could take it back on stage 4, but will lose it again on stage 5 probably/possibly.

I think they will go flat out for Gilbert/Alaphilippe/Jungels, who have good chances to take yellow on stage 6.

Gaviria should lose just 10 seconds or so on the other QuickStep riders to move outside the top 10.
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Ollfardh
Has Sky ever lived up to the expectations in a (big) TTT? I seem to recall it's always BMC/QS/Scott when it atters.
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
 
Avin Wargunnson
They finished just 1s behind BMC in 2015 Tour, but they had Porte, but not Moscon+Kwiatek....BMC had Dennis, so i would say BMC is a bit weaker and SKY is stronger.

Also watch gaps people, not extreme gaps and it was 28kms long, with tough finish. I think there will be quite a lot teams within a minute today, not total carnage like some expect...
I'll be back
 
Avin Wargunnson
Results:
https://www.procy...15/stage-9
I'll be back
 
Forever the Best
This should have been an ITT. A Tour having more TTT kms than ITT kms is pathetic and ridiculous. I'm for banning TTTs in GTs because they favor strongest teams a lot.
The user formerly known as 'The Schleck Fan'
Gracias Alberto.
 
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Kalach
Only BMC can beat SKY I would say. They are experts in this discipline. But Avin is right SKY seems too strong on paper...
Everybody has a plan until they get punched in the mouth.
_____________________________________________
PCM Velogames Championship - Top Results
* 1st Tour de Suisse ('23)
* 1st Tour de Romandie ('19, '18)
* 1st Tour de Pologne ('20, '19)
* 2nd Tour of California ('19)
* 2nd Tour de Suisse ('18)
* 3rd Tour de France ('23, '21)
* 3rd Giro d’Italia ('22)
* 3rd Vuelta Espana ('23)
* 3rd Autumn Classics ('19, '18)
* 9th Spring Classics ('18)
 
sutty68
Avin Wargunnson wrote:
1.SKY
2.BMC +10-15s
3-4.Sunweb/Quicsktep +20-25s
5.Scott +30s
6. Bora + 50s

Thomas in yellow.


Totally agree with this, come on 'G' Grin
 
df_Trek
BMC is going very good
 
Paul23
Craddock doing well today.
i.imgur.com/aJSlUNt.png
 
FreitasPCM
BMC provisional best time so far (less five seconds than Sky)
 
SotD
Greg van Avermaet in yellow unless Bora goes furiously strong to lose less than 16 seconds. Could be...
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Kalach
BMC > SKY BananaBananaBanana
It will be sad that this team will be gone
Everybody has a plan until they get punched in the mouth.
_____________________________________________
PCM Velogames Championship - Top Results
* 1st Tour de Suisse ('23)
* 1st Tour de Romandie ('19, '18)
* 1st Tour de Pologne ('20, '19)
* 2nd Tour of California ('19)
* 2nd Tour de Suisse ('18)
* 3rd Tour de France ('23, '21)
* 3rd Giro d’Italia ('22)
* 3rd Vuelta Espana ('23)
* 3rd Autumn Classics ('19, '18)
* 9th Spring Classics ('18)
 
Kirchen_75
i.pinimg.com/236x/e7/f1/b5/e7f1b5e3ea839c8976f42e20ee53aa39--racing-team-belgium.jpg
 
Nin1388
How is Sunweb starting later than Sky?
 
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