Every single of those October WT races look good for us. As long as we don't fail horribly we should comfortably remain in the division for yet another year to hopefully rebuild come the transfer season.
Colombia looks like decent planning - yes Appo could potentially dominate but Siskevicus is amazing and should do well. Really glad I didn't waste Nieve here and hopefully Ospina delivers a solid performance. Elsewhere Ventura could do well for PureBlack and Vanendert has two chances to cap off his amazing season with a win in CT.1
24/02/21 - kandesbunzler said “I don't drink famous people."
15/08/22 - SotD said "Your [jandal's] humour is overrated"
11/06/24 - knockout said "Winning is fine I guess. Truth be told this felt completely unimportant." [ICL] Santos-Euskadi | [PT] Xero Racing
I had some free time and I've been itching to do something other than writing my story on Daily. So I decided to set up a comparison of how well I predicted this ICL season
ICL Predictions by AbhishekLFC
THE VERDICT
Legend
Positive Difference values indicate prediction was higher than actual rank.
Negative Difference values indicate prediction was lower than actual rank. Accuracy (for each team) is calculated based on the Difference and the Number of Teams in the division. Accuracy (for division) is the average accuracy for teams. Positive Wrong Prediction is teams who performed better than predicted. Negative Wrong Prediction is teams who performed worse than predicted.
World Tour Rankings (for WT teams) vs My Predictions
Continental Rankings (for CT teams) vs My Predictions
Rank
Team
Prediction
Difference
Accuracy
1
Fiskars Cykling
1
0
100%
2
Santos - Euskadi
8
-6
71%
3
VisitUkraine p/b Nemiroff
6
-3
86%
4
Specialized World Cycling
10
-6
71%
5
Credit Suisse Pro Cycling
9
-4
81%
6
CCC Sprandi Polkowice
16
-10
52%
7
Team Cymru Wales
11
-4
81%
8
Sevilla Cycling Team
2
6
71%
9
Gaerne - CSF
3
6
71%
10
Lufthansa IN Racing
4
6
71%
11
Fast N' Loud Cycling Project
18
-7
67%
12
Aeropostal Venezuela Ciclismo
15
-3
86%
13
Schuh p/b Wiggle
13
0
100%
14
A1 Cycling Team
14
0
100%
15
Pedal Africa
7
8
62%
16
Team Renova
12
4
81%
17
Carlsberg - Danske Bank
17
0
100%
18
ICBC Cycling Team
20
-2
90%
19
Team Heineken - Shell
19
0
100%
20
Team Coldeportes
5
15
29%
21
Enel Pro Cycling
21
0
100%
Accuracy: 80%
Prestige Rankings (for CT teams) vs My Predictions
Rank
Team
Prediction
Difference
Accuracy
1
Fiskars Cykling
1
0
100%
2
Santos - Euskadi
8
-6
71%
3
Gaerne - CSF
3
0
100%
4
VisitUkraine p/b Nemiroff
6
-2
90%
5
Specialized World Cycling
10
-5
76%
6
Team Cymru Wales
11
-5
76%
7
Lufthansa IN Racing
4
3
86%
8
Sevilla Cycling Team
2
6
71%
9
Credit Suisse Pro Cycling
9
0
100%
10
CCC Sprandi Polkowice
16
-6
71%
11
Fast N' Loud Cycling Project
11
-7
67%
12
Aeropostal Venezuela Ciclismo
15
-3
86%
13
Schuh p/b Wiggle
13
0
100%
14
A1 Cycling Team
14
0
100%
15
Pedal Africa
7
8
62%
16
Team Renova
12
4
81%
17
Carlsberg - Danske Bank
17
0
100%
18
Team Coldeportes
5
13
38%
19
Team Heineken - Shell
19
0
100%
20
ICBC Cycling Team
20
0
100%
21
Enel Pro Cycling
21
0
100%
Accuracy: 85%
U23 Rankings vs My Predictions
Rank
Team
Prediction
Difference
Accuracy
1
Podravka Development Team
1
0
100%
2
VW
7
-5
71%
3
Reizen Waes - Pinkpop Development Team
3
1
94%
4
Specialized Development Team
11
-7
59%
5
Bora - Argon18 Junior Team
5
0
100%
6
Suntory Orangina
6
0
100%
7
La Fundación
10
-3
82%
8
Korup
4
4
76%
9
Celesio Pro Cycling Development Team
14
-5
71%
10
Blue Water Youth Project
3
7
59%
11
PureBlack Racing
8
3
82%
12
Team PrivatBank
15
-3
82%
13
Centrica Cycling Academy
9
4
76%
14
Fiat
13
1
94%
15
Finair Development
12
3
82%
16
Air China U23
16
0
100%
17
Canada Dry Dev Team
17
0
100%
Accuracy: 84%
Biggest Positive Wrong Prediction (WT in WT Rankings): Allianz Cycling Team and Suntory Lucozade Sport Biggest Negative Wrong Prediction (WT in WT Rankings): Saeco Canondale
Biggest Positive Wrong Prediction (WT in Prestige Rankings): Allianz Cycling Team Biggest Negative Wrong Prediction (WT in Prestige Rankings): Saeco Canondale
Biggest Positive Wrong Prediction (CT in CT Rankings): CCC Sprandi Polwokice Biggest Negative Wrong Prediction (CT in CT Rankings): Coldeportes
Biggest Positive Wrong Prediction (CT in Prestige Rankings): Fast N' Loud Cycling Project Biggest Negative Wrong Prediction (CT in Prestige Rankings): Coldeportes
Biggest Positive Wrong Prediction (U23 Rankings): Specialized Development Team Biggest Negative Wrong Prediction (U23 Rankings): Blue Water Youth Project
Podravka Development Team (Vegeta Cycling Team / SSJ2Luigi)
Wow! I’m being blown away by the awesomeness of this team. Not only did they fill 10 spots, the only team to do so, they’re incredibly strong as well. Racz, Hajdu, Varro and Biro will dominate the mountains, Farkas and Maltar will do the sprints and Rumac everything in between. The extra numbers will give them an easy planning a well. Without any doubt, the strongest team and favourite to win the 2017 title.
Reizen Waes - Pinkpop Development Team (Filliers - Mora Pro Cycling Team / Ollfardh)
A familiar looking team, must be because they’ve been here 4 years as well. Two pot 7 guys, especially Dumont looks incredible. Vanbutsel has shared highest cobble stat, but with better backup stats and Groen at his side. Pizarro, Gonzalez, Aleman and De Bruyn all ok riders on their own terrain. They will do excellent on the cobbles, but miss a second area with high results to win the title.
Saving the best for last? Maybe, because Peter Geissler is an absolute beast, as per team tradition. There’s nothing this man can’t do and he’s my second favourite to win the solo title, even though his support could be a bit better. Besides this future superstar, Peiffer covers the mountains, even if he lacks the time trial for the stage races. If these 2 pot 7 leaders score well, the league title will be very close.
I definitely got the top 3 right, these 3 dominated the league. Especialy Podravka with 5 guys in the top 20, just amazing! Geissler also took the individual title and Pfeiffer was the best stage racer in the end. I didn't expect Wachter coming that close though, and he gave Specialised a nice 4th place in the team rankings. Gonzalez 3rd in the individual rankings was also unexpected, I did not see him as the best guy of my team.
Mathias Rask Jeppessen is the disappointment for me, only finishing 8th in the individual rankings. Maybe it's the lack of hilly races, but I saw him do more. Pureblack surprised me in a good way, Canada Dry in a bad way. The other teams finished more or less where expected.
