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Cycling betting
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| Riis123 |
Posted on 12-05-2016 22:25
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Sioutsou>Firsanov, 2,37 - 175 DKK
Greipel>Demare, 1,83 - 150 DKK
Tsatevich>Colbrelli, 2,50 - 200 DKK
Less duels, more money. Apparently Tsatevich crashed and thats why his odds is high, but should be fine. |
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| Squire |
Posted on 13-05-2016 06:18
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Had a very good Giro day yesterday!
Stage 6
Sergey Firsanov over Gianluca Brambilla @ 2.30
Maxime Monfort over Darwin Atapuma @ 2.05
Domenico Pozzovivo over Rafal Majka @ 2.45
Tim Wellens Win @ 25
Georg Preidler Win @ 80
Trying my luck today as well.
Stage 7
Elia Viviani over Sonny Colbrelli @ 2.33
Sacha Modolo over Giacomo Nizzolo @ 2.25
Rick Zabel over Alexey Tsatevich @ 1.77
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| Riis123 |
Posted on 13-05-2016 19:18
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Riis123 wrote:
Sioutsou>Firsanov, 2,37 - 175 DKK
Greipel>Demare, 1,83 - 150 DKK
Tsatevich>Colbrelli, 2,50 - 200 DKK
Less duels, more money. Apparently Tsatevich crashed and thats why his odds is high, but should be fine.
NAJZ. |
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| Squire |
Posted on 14-05-2016 04:58
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Good job, Riis123!
Despite yesterday being Porsev day, as I predicted, Tsatevich decided to defy crash pains and lead out duties and stay in the top 10 as well.
Stage 7
Elia Viviani over Sonny Colbrelli @ 2.33
Sacha Modolo over Giacomo Nizzolo @ 2.25
Rick Zabel over Alexey Tsatevich @ 1.77
Throwing in a few long shots today. Anything can happen.
Stage 8
Przemyslaw Niemiec Win @ 50
Alessandro De Marchi Win @ 23
Matteo Busato Win @ 40
Matteo Trentin Win @ 65
Carlos Betancur Win @ 40
Sergey Firsanov over Bob Jungels @ 2.45
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| Spilak23 |
Posted on 14-05-2016 10:30
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Will start to post mine aswel. Giro has been okay so far cause I won easy money going against Mareczko in H2H during first three days.
For today:
Fuglsang over Nibali @ 2.4
Landa over Pozzovivo @ 2.05
Amador over Scarponi @ 1.72
Fuglsang to win at 29
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| Riis123 |
Posted on 14-05-2016 10:56
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Thanks! Glad to see others play as well. To be completely honest, I even threw 50 after Greipel at odds 6 since I thought Kittel would be dropped - sometimes, you need a little luck, I definitely had that yesterday. 
Unfortunately I haven't been able to play yesterday so the best odds are gone. Saw Fuglsang over Nibali at 2,80 at bet365. But here goes.
Fuglsang>Nibali, 2,62 - 100 DKK
Kruijswijk>Chaves, 2,50 - 100 DKK
Pozzovivo wins stage 8, 151,00 - 5 DKK. |
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| Riis123 |
Posted on 14-05-2016 11:28
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Squire wrote:
Good job, Riis123!
Despite yesterday being Porsev day, as I predicted, Tsatevich decided to defy crash pains and lead out duties and stay in the top 10 as well.
Stage 7
Elia Viviani over Sonny Colbrelli @ 2.33
Sacha Modolo over Giacomo Nizzolo @ 2.25
Rick Zabel over Alexey Tsatevich @ 1.77
Throwing in a few long shots today. Anything can happen.
We learn something every day: always play against Colbrelli on pure sprint stages. He doesn't bother. Surprised that the bookies haven't found out yet... |
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| Ad Bot |
Posted on 22-11-2024 02:28
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| Squire |
Posted on 14-05-2016 12:04
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Riis123 wrote:
Squire wrote:
Good job, Riis123!
Despite yesterday being Porsev day, as I predicted, Tsatevich decided to defy crash pains and lead out duties and stay in the top 10 as well.
Stage 7
Elia Viviani over Sonny Colbrelli @ 2.33
Sacha Modolo over Giacomo Nizzolo @ 2.25
Rick Zabel over Alexey Tsatevich @ 1.77
Throwing in a few long shots today. Anything can happen.
We learn something every day: always play against Colbrelli on pure sprint stages. He doesn't bother. Surprised that the bookies haven't found out yet...
It's even more true considering that Ruffoni is their man for flat sprints. However, that line of thought got me into trouble with Tsatevich.
I saw your Kruijswijk/Chaves bet on bet365. If I was playing there, I'd definitely had gone for that one. Very good value.
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| Riis123 |
Posted on 14-05-2016 12:29
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Yep, should've played more on today. Where are you playing?
Yea, but Colbrelli hasn't been up there on stages 2 and 3, so its pretty free. |
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| Squire |
Posted on 14-05-2016 12:36
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Riis123 wrote:
Yep, should've played more on today. Where are you playing?
Betsson.com. It's a bit random. They're one of the very few sites where I can use my Norwegian bank card to make deposits/withdrawals. But they seem to have good odds and the occasional interesting cycling play.
Obviously, to maximise winnings, one should play with as many bookies as possible. A few years back I made quite a good profit betting on cycling, but as I'm currently on a snail-paced Chinese internet connection with a VPN, I don't bother resurrecting my complicated system for managing deposits/withdrawals to get around Norwegian laws for the time being.
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| DuQuaz |
Posted on 14-05-2016 17:55
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When is bet365 normally opening up for specials to the following day's Giro Stage?  |
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| Riis123 |
Posted on 14-05-2016 18:17
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 5075
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DuQuaz wrote:
When is bet365 normally opening up for specials to the following day's Giro Stage?
Around 7-8pm London time
Lost quite a bit today on some football i dont know anything about, but hopefully ill win it back on Eurovision which I know even less about. Slippery slope? |
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| DuQuaz |
Posted on 14-05-2016 19:33
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Riis123 wrote:
DuQuaz wrote:
When is bet365 normally opening up for specials to the following day's Giro Stage?
Around 7-8pm London time
Lost quite a bit today on some football i dont know anything about, but hopefully ill win it back on Eurovision which I know even less about. Slippery slope?
I will rumble a bit tonight on Eurovision, otherwise it gets too boring to watch with the family 
Also looking forward to the H-2-H for tommorow, should be very interesting. |
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| Riis123 |
Posted on 14-05-2016 20:40
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DuQuaz wrote:
Riis123 wrote:
DuQuaz wrote:
When is bet365 normally opening up for specials to the following day's Giro Stage?
Around 7-8pm London time
Lost quite a bit today on some football i dont know anything about, but hopefully ill win it back on Eurovision which I know even less about. Slippery slope?
I will rumble a bit tonight on Eurovision, otherwise it gets too boring to watch with the family
Also looking forward to the H-2-H for tommorow, should be very interesting.
Look for Ludvigsson, Amador, Hesjedal and Boaro. Go go! |
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| Squire |
Posted on 15-05-2016 10:45
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Stage 8
Przemyslaw Niemiec Win @ 50
Alessandro De Marchi Win @ 23
Matteo Busato Win @ 40
Matteo Trentin Win @ 65
Carlos Betancur Win @ 40
Sergey Firsanov over Bob Jungels @ 2.45
Profitable day. Stage win was always gonna go to Brambilla once he made the break.
Stage 9
Rigoberto Uran over Jakob Fuglsang @ 1.85
Maxime Monfort over Rein Taaramae @ 2.25
Stefan Kung over Bob Jungels @ 2.30
Rigoberto Uran Win @ 35
Bob Jungels Win @ 11
Stefan Kung Win @9.50
My bookie had a very juicy looking Valverde/Nibali h2h with great odds for Valverde which I was too slow to get on before they took it away.
Edited by Squire on 15-05-2016 11:15
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| Riis123 |
Posted on 15-05-2016 18:43
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How did it pan out? Too lazy for PCS.
Sorry for not throwing my odds in here yesterday, very hectic day with a huge amounts of money lost on football and eurovision, god bless, coupled with alcohol.
But anyways, here they are. Extremely good day - best day so far. Over 1000 DKK up today:
Roglic > Cancellara, 3,75
Amador > Kangert, 1,83
Jungels > Dumoulin, 4,00 (!!!!!)
Hesjedal > Sioutsou, 2,10
Ludvigsson> Kung, 4,00
Nibali to win stage 10, 13,00
Valverde to win stage 10, 23,00
I also had a double with Jungels and Roglic today at 13. |
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| Riis123 |
Posted on 15-05-2016 19:06
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Some odds I might as well share as well:
Formolo wins the white jersey @ 4,00
Zakarin win the overall @ 19,00
Valverde ends in top 3 @ 3,00
The last was was played in the wake of Roccaraso while the 2 others are available now. The point is I guess, bookmakers are overreacting quite a bit just after a stage, fx., Zakarin was odds 9 after Roccaraso, but have now dropped so much due to a few crashes and 1 minute lost Its no biggie.
Similarly, Jungels did on well of an ITT and he might very well win, but the odds doesn't reflect is that well. We haven't had a decent mountain stage yet and Jungels ass is a bit bigger than Formolos.
Movistar wins team GC @Â 3,75
Astana is hugely favoured, a bit too much IMO considering Amador and Movistars tradition of hunting the team GC.
Dumoulin wins mountain jersey @ 201,00
Wants to target stages.... why not, heh.
Edited by Riis123 on 16-05-2016 00:29
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| Riis123 |
Posted on 16-05-2016 00:14
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Monfort > Formolo @ 2,62
Amador > Fuglsang @ 2,62
Majka > Chaves @2,62
Dupont > Rein T @ 2,50
Firsanov > Uran Uran @ 2,75
Nibali > Kruiswijk @ 2,00
Fuglsang > Dumoulin @ 1,95
Hesjedal > Siutsou @ 1,80
Valverde > Brambilla, @ 1,22
Zoidl wins stage 10 @ 151,00
Roglic wins stage 10 @ 81,00
Montaguti wins stage 10 @ 81,00
Nibali > Kruiswijk @ 2,00
A very good stage for Nibali. I think the rest day will do wonders against a hot Kruijswijk. Not super value really, but I think Nibali should be the favourite in this duel.
... and just realised I had a bit money left at Unibet. So here goes.
Fuglsang > Dumoulin @ 1,95
Insane value! Tom D is empty and wants to chase stage wins, so he could lose chunks of time tomorrow.
Hesjedal > Siutsou @ 1,80
Hesjedal only gets better and Sioutsou stunk it up in the ITT.
Edited by Riis123 on 16-05-2016 13:03
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| Squire |
Posted on 16-05-2016 09:05
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Impressive stuff on the TT stage! You seem to be doing well at the moment.
Now, let me be bold enough to disagree with most of your recent bets.
Of your stage 10 head to heads, I see the rider you've betted against as the favourite in all of them. The bookies seem to agree, obviously, and I understand that the odds make them attractive, but I don't really see you doing better than breaking even there (i.e. two are succesful, assuming the same stakes all over).
Movistar for the Team GC is okay value, and Formolo for white as well (but I'd favour Verona). I think Zakarin is a waste of money. I read somewhere on the cyclingnews forum that among the riders who have been top 10 in Romandie, only two (?) in the last ten years have gone on to a top 10 in the Giro (Porte and Menchov, I think). Additionally, Zakarin is rather unproven in both high mountains and three week tours (but that's also a potentially profitable side of gamling, of course).
But you've had more success than me so far, so I should most likely just shut up 
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| Riis123 |
Posted on 16-05-2016 09:55
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Posts: 5075
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I dno, I didn't really find any odds super impressive, so I have only played 100 DKK on each bet. On the contrary, I played 500 DKK on Amador against Kangert yesterday at 1,83 which was a completely gift!
I have rule that I play whatever I feels looks juicy when I first look, sorta of a play what the first impression tells you.
I without a doubt think Movistar is great value.
Formolo, dno, I have Jungels as top-10 and white jersey at some odds you can find on page 1, so I'd win much more if Jungles goes well. I actually also have Verona, but probably not more than 20 DKK.
Zakarin is the kind of rider like Porte I feel like. There is a decent probability that he will drop completely out of top-10 or go full retard and win - and after yesterdays ITT, his odds rose immensely and we all know it will be decided in the high mountains anyways! |
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