You're inspiring me to start betting again, damn you
Smart betting so far, congratz!
Mostly bet on football before but should be wiser to move over to cycling were my knowlegde is much better. My site (Unibet) were not focusing on cycling so should probably head over to your site, as I know nothing bout bet365, my main concern is it also a super long and stressfull payout method there?
Not much to say here. I don't really know too much stuff about the sprints and frankly the head2heads are often a lottery in sprints. I couldn't really find a duel that I liked too much, but I can't see anyone beat Marcel in a fair and square sprint. So going with him and a punt on Modolo. Never heard of Simion, but Ruffoni and Colbrelli should be faster and Tsatevich is Katusha's man.
Riis123 wrote:
Lets make money together! Any good bets out there? Playing at bet365.
For the TT: Valverde>Peraud, 1,90
Kung>Vorobyev, 2,37
Ludvigsson>Gretsch, 1,50
Uran>Firsanov, 2,00
Jungels>Van Emden, 2,00 Cancellara>Tom D, 3,25
5/6 today on my duels. The winners of the stage didnt really matter altho it woulda been nice for Kung to win, but I only placted 5-10 DKK on those. This one is the real deal.
Overall, I was +500 DK up on today. Brilliant start!
dev4ever wrote:
You're inspiring me to start betting again, damn you
Smart betting so far, congratz!
Mostly bet on football before but should be wiser to move over to cycling were my knowlegde is much better. My site (Unibet) were not focusing on cycling so should probably head over to your site, as I know nothing bout bet365, my main concern is it also a super long and stressfull payout method there?
Haha, if you play wisely, you can earn money. Im positive! But its also just super fun and adds to much more fun to the whole spectacle. I always just bet on the Tour, but this year I decided to give the Giro a go. Cause why not?!
My experience is its almost downright impossible to win consistently on football compared to a niche sport such as cycling. You'll find more weird (i.e good) odds on smaller sports such as cycling which is a huge plus. You almost never get lucky in football - the market is too big and the bookmakers just constantly update their odds. If you want to be successful in football, it requires a lot of skill. Many don't have that. In cycling, things are a little different and if you know a lot more about cycling also, thats your sport.
Schleck: Thanks. Superb day on the office.
Edit: I don't know about the payout methods, but I haven't really encountered problems before and I have mostly used bet365. But Unibet is really good for cycling as well, my 2 preferred when it comes to cycling, so I think you should have one on both. The odds are mainly the same, but you'll find that some are different until they adjust. The 100% bonus on bet365 is also nice, but i am 99% certain unibet also have one.
Edited by Riis123 on 06-05-2016 20:45
Yeah, I didn't hit any of these duels, so pretty mediocre today in the Giro, but overall, I am 90 up today due to United. So decent, I can't wait for some proper stages instead of the sprints.
So random duels. I feel all the GC-duels are 50/50, but favoured way too high for those riders who placed 5-10 places above their rival in the duel. So, talking long shots here. Savitskiy again at 3,00, too high to pass on. Sbaragli being the punt, at some point during the Giro, I hope to hit just one of those.
Edited by Riis123 on 07-05-2016 19:47
So random duels. I feel all the GC-duels are 50/50, but favoured way too high for those riders who placed 5-10 places above their rival in the duel. So, talking long shots here. Savitskiy again at 3,00, too high to pass on. Sbaragli being the punt, at some point during the Giro, I hope to hit just one of those.
Very hard to find some decent odds for stage 4, seems like they have learned from stage 3 where there were many outliers. Any input would be appreciated for this one.
Im thinking Arndt>Sbaragli at 2,50 and Modolo>Nizzolo at 2,50, but I dont have any clue at how good climbers these are apart from Arndt.
Would appreciate the stats makers or anyone who knows how well they climb cause those odds seem a tad too high meaning good value.
meyer wrote:
Riis who do you think will win the stage. I think the climb 10 km until finish is too hard for Kittel and Griepel.
I agree, those 2 won't win, however, Kittel is still the bookmakers favourite at 8 since there aren't any standout favourite at all. Its very, very hard to predict the winner of the stage, so I am sticking to the duels. Thats also generally the best way to win.
At least Greipel won't win, but I actually have the feeling that Kittel might survive if the tempo isn't too high.
I'm feeling Nizzolo for the win today, backed him at 18.00 e/w. He's a decent climber and he looked fast yesterday when he flew past Greipel in the last meters.
Modolo is my top pick for today, if Etixx flawless train is not there in the last few kilometers, I really see Modolo in a shape good enough to contest it. 1:30 is too good to pass as well.
Selwink wrote:
I'm 100% sure neither Nizzolo nor Modolo will win today, or in fact anyone else
Looking at the odds Navardauskas and Ligthart could be interesting gables.
I don't think any of them will win either, but Im looking for who is the best climber of those 2 and the other duel. But who knows, its literally impossible to pick the outright winner for a stage like tomorrow.
Actually, I think Kittel at 8 is a decent odds. Which of the GC-team would be interested in a fast pace? Think they will wait until the end of the week. If he doesn't get dropped, he pretty much wins.
I also just played Kung at 151,00 and Mareszko at 201,00 cause yolo.
Kittel is in top shape, + in the leaders jersey. I think he can make it over the climbs, question is if he is strong enough in the sprint.
Ofc. If they start grinding hard early on the stage on the precivious hills, it can become quite the challenge for Kittel, but with the form he has, i think odds 8.00 is a pretty good bet.
So random duels. I feel all the GC-duels are 50/50, but favoured way too high for those riders who placed 5-10 places above their rival in the duel. So, talking long shots here. Savitskiy again at 3,00, too high to pass on. Sbaragli being the punt, at some point during the Giro, I hope to hit just one of those.
Riis123 wrote:
Actually, I think Kittel at 8 is a decent odds. Which of the GC-team would be interested in a fast pace? Think they will wait until the end of the week. If he doesn't get dropped, he pretty much wins.
I also just played Kung at 151,00 and Mareszko at 201,00 cause yolo.
I don't think Kittel and Mareczko will contest tomorrow.
