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Tour of Ukraine Discussion
AbhishekLFC
This preview has been written by cunego59.
.
Tour of Ukraine
--
Preview


Welcome to the 10th anniversary edition of the Tour of Ukraine! After a five year stretch as a HC race, it returned back to PTHC status last year and was promptly won by the PT Individual Rankings winner himself, Taylor Phinney. The American is back again and looking to become only the second two-time winner in the race’s history, following Aleksandr Pluchkin.

Profile
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Profiles/t1_ukraine.jpg

As those names suggest, the race is one for the stage racers. Elite time trialing is a prerequisite, but then you also need to the climbing skills to be competitive in both the steep second half of the prologue and the finale of the only road stage of the race, one for the puncheurs. Put it all together and you have a chance at a really nice points haul.

Favorites
FLMOHITTSTRSACPL
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/mol.png Phinney7284768276737482
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/eav.png Wirtgen7378758276757280
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/ino.png Dunbar6977768074776877
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/pol.png Bernal7182747880806976
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/aau.png Haig7282747776757377
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/mck.png McNulty7280747775776875
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/ced.png Geoghegan Hart7079747876746976
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/ziz.png Conci7177747876756877
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/snz.png Bobridge7167817571717775
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/evo.png Foss6978727777796972

If you ask the bookies (and you actually can!), there is one big favorite. pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/mol.png Phinney is here to defend his title, and it’s going to be tough to stop him. pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/eav.png Wirtgen was the runner-up last year, almost a whole minute down. In the offseason, he’s been in the wind tunnel working on his time trialing, but the American still has the upper hand in prologues and climbing. Still, if one man can stop him, it’s likely the EA Vesuvio leader.

pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/ino.png Dunbar is the second biggest challenger in a race perfectly suited to his strengths. As long as stage 2 isn’t super favorable to strong climbers, a podium place should be his objective. Those strong climbers among the top favorites include last year’s third place pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/aau.png Haig as well as pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/pol.png Bernal, who’s been steadily climbing the ranks here, from 24th in 2020 to 11th and then 4th last year, collecting 3 white jerseys along the way. He’ll hope to continue the upward trend.

pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/mck.png McNulty, pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/ced.png Geoghegan Hart, pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/ziz.png Conci and pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/evo.png Foss are the next tier of stage racer vying for a top result. In contrast, pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/snz.png Bobridge is the best time trialist among the pure puncheurs. He finished 3rd here two years ago, a result which seems unlikely to be repeated, but if he shines on day two, he can still end up high in the GC.

Outsiders
FLMOHITTSTRSACPL
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/zpc.png Fraile6875717873756578
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/eav.png Munton6774737873746477
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/pol.png Shikai7281717674766776
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/min.png Dennis7173747771736680
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/min.png Brown6875737674737177
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/jur.png Stüssi7179737577736669
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/lpu.png Oomen7181757478776977
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/mol.png Almeida6980717376787173
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/aab.png Faglum Karlsson7179737378756879

There is a variety of riders and rider types in the second row competing for the Top 10 to 15. Time trialing specialists who climb decently well include pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/zpc.png Fraile, pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/eav.png Munton and Minions duo pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/min.png Dennis and pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/min.png Brown. pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/pol.png Shikai leads the third tier of stage racers, a formidable lieutenant to pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/pol.png Bernal. pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/jur.png Stüssi – who has a pronounced prologue weakness that might hurt him –, pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/lpu.png Oomen, pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/mol.png Almeida and pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/aab.png Faglum Karlsson are also in that category.

Puncheurs
FLMOHITTSTRSACPL
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/evo.png Lopez7079847176747872
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/min.png Kinoshita7372836680777766
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/aau.png McCarthy7067825880757458
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/snz.png Bobridge7167817571717775
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/eav.png Valter7277806676757866
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/zal.png Moscon7173806676777370
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/ziz.png Borges7070806175738160
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/trg.png Kron7370796675757365
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/jur.png Errazkin7174787076757370
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/coc.png Gebrezgabihier6870796674746964
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/yor.png Romo7071786676756963
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/ino.png Bilbao7066786476707460

Some very strong puncheurs are here to contend stage 2 – and only stage 2 for the most part. This excludes pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/snz.png Bobridge, of course, but top stage favorite pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/evo.png Lopez also has both the strength to generate a sizeable gap to the pack and the time trialing skills to salvage a decent GC result if he does.

The likes of pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/min.png Kinoshita, pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/zal.png Moscon, pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/trg.png Kron, pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/coc.png Gebrezgabihier, pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/yor.png Romo and pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/ino.png Bilbao can go all out for the stage win, though as we get further down the list, the actual win feels more and more unlikely. On the other hand, pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/aau.png McCarthy, pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/eav.png Valter and pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/ziz.png Borges are in the complicated situation of being both an elite puncheur and teammate to a stage racer going for the GC. It’ll be interesting to see how the teams play this.

Time Trialists
FLMOHITTSTRSACPL
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/pol.png Mullen7562708175747078
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/pum.png Ganna7669738074817382
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/aab.png Paillot7070718075746480
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/ced.png Lammertink7464698070766879
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/pol.png Viennet7254678075756480
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/aab.png Gonzalez Salas7057608074765480
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/yor.png Oliveira7070727976727279
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/min.png Bjerg7564687973777079
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/eav.png Hepburn7164667974776979
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/trg.png Norsgaard7362657969756677
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/zal.png Beniusis7169607971736778
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/ziz.png Cosnefroy7668717878816978
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/jur.png Brunel7567717872786578
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/yor.png Hayter7866707875787379
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/ced.png Christodoulos7268687875696479
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/mos.png Kukrle7268667874747179
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/ziz.png Thomas7356667875737979
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/lpu.png Sajnok7461657870767279
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/snz.png Erdenebat7560657877786479

In addition to pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/mol.png Phinney, pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/eav.png Wirtgen and pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/ino.png Dunbar, all of whom can pull off a stage win in an ITT, there is a deep field of time trialists looking for decent results. And some might even have their eye on the GC, too. pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/pol.png Mullen is the best on pure flats and an okay puncheur, but even on a less selective stage 2 – which all of these guys have to hope for –, his poor climbing might be his doom. pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/pum.png Ganna, pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/aab.png Paillot or pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/yor.png Oliveira could fare a bit better, while the likes of pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/ced.png Lammertink, pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/pol.png Viennet and pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/aab.png Gonzalez Salas will be going for stage glory only.

It’s a deep, deep field of time trialists behind them, too many to go through them in detail and the list could have been longer still. And then there are also prologue specialists pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/mol.png Chavanne and pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Micros/snz.png Kopfauf, although it remains to be seen how they cope with the steeper parts of the prologue here. Many more domestiques and second-tier leaders can hope to score some points by climbing into the Top 20, too. To comb through them all, just have a look at the startlist:

Startlist

pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Reports/PTHC/Ukraine/Startlist.jpg

Spoiler
HaigJackAmaysim Australia.com
McCarthyJayAmaysim Australia.com
StorerMichaelAmaysim Australia.com
HamiltonChrisAmaysim Australia.com
LanePatrickAmaysim Australia.com
HarperChrisAmaysim Australia.com
ChristianMarkAmaysim Australia.com
MillerNickAmaysim Australia.com
PaillotYoannAssa Abloy
Faglum KarlssonMarcusAssa Abloy
Gonzalez SalasMarioAssa Abloy
MoscaJacopoAssa Abloy
HänninenJaakoAssa Abloy
KvistLinusAssa Abloy
GougeardAlexisAssa Abloy
HooleDaanAssa Abloy
Geoghegan HartTaoCedevita
LammertinkStevenCedevita
HabtemichaelDanielCedevita
BorisavljevicMilosCedevita
CraddockLawsonCedevita
NareklishviliGiorgiCedevita
ChristodoulosMichaelCedevita
CrncevicAleksaCedevita
GebrezgabihierAmanuelColombini Cycling
VliegenLoicColombini Cycling
CabanasOscarColombini Cycling
BdadouYoussefColombini Cycling
AquilaniAndreaColombini Cycling
SprengerFelixColombini Cycling
MartinoStanColombini Cycling
BonelloDanielColombini Cycling
OliveiraIvocycleYorkshire
HayterEthancycleYorkshire
RomoJaviercycleYorkshire
SteroboRasmuscycleYorkshire
BalleriniDavidecycleYorkshire
HolmesMatthewcycleYorkshire
SkaarsethAnderscycleYorkshire
DujardinSandycycleYorkshire
MosconGianniDK Zalgiris
GuldhammerRasmusDK Zalgiris
BeniusisJustasDK Zalgiris
LasinisVenantasDK Zalgiris
HagenCarl FredrikDK Zalgiris
AffonsoMuriloDK Zalgiris
HerradaJesusDK Zalgiris
PszczolarskiWojciechDK Zalgiris
RachidElias AbouDuckDuckGo - Everesting
SiposZoltanDuckDuckGo - Everesting
VahtraNormanDuckDuckGo - Everesting
MontenegroSantiagoDuckDuckGo - Everesting
OroscoKempDuckDuckGo - Everesting
KusiClementDuckDuckGo - Everesting
WirtgenTomEA Vesuvio
ValterAttilaEA Vesuvio
MuntonByronEA Vesuvio
GirdlestoneKeaganEA Vesuvio
HepburnMichaelEA Vesuvio
CabreraNicolas AlejandroEA Vesuvio
De BodStefanEA Vesuvio
PelikanJanosEA Vesuvio
LopezMiguel AngelEvonik - ELKO
PolancJanEvonik - ELKO
FossTobiasEvonik - ELKO
PlappLukeEvonik - ELKO
GavarsEriks TomsEvonik - ELKO
KanepejsDeinsEvonik - ELKO
Bergstrom FriskHannesEvonik - ELKO
KrastsAlekssEvonik - ELKO
PenasaPierre PaoloGenii Hyundai N Cycling
NikiemaBachirouGenii Hyundai N Cycling
VelascoSimoneGenii Hyundai N Cycling
BartaWilliamGenii Hyundai N Cycling
PavlicMarkoGenii Hyundai N Cycling
NsengimanaJean BoscoGenii Hyundai N Cycling
PokäläSamuelGenii Hyundai N Cycling
SelimovicHuseinGenii Hyundai N Cycling
MainKentGlanbia
EatonDanielGlanbia
O'LoughlinMichaelGlanbia
DunneConorGlanbia
OramJamesGlanbia
DowneySeanGlanbia
CheyneJordanGlanbia
ScotsonMilesGlanbia
DunbarEddieIndosat Ooredoo
RohendiTetenIndosat Ooredoo
BilbaoPelloIndosat Ooredoo
KolarMichaelIndosat Ooredoo
SetiawaAndreas Odie PurnamaIndosat Ooredoo
Arif PrayogoDealton NurIndosat Ooredoo
CahyadiAimanIndosat Ooredoo
WolfJustinIndosat Ooredoo
StüssiColinJura GIANTS
ErrazkinXubanJura GIANTS
BisseggerStefanJura GIANTS
BrunelAlexysJura GIANTS
KungStefanJura GIANTS
TediashviliGiorgiJura GIANTS
MarchewkaKrzysztofJura GIANTS
Bakke ChristophersenCedricJura GIANTS
OomenSamLierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam
SajnokSzymonLierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam
SiddikovDilmurdjonLierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam
VerwilstAaronLierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam
PotockiViktorLierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam
BiermansJentheLierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam
WeemaesSashaLierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam
Van AertWoutLierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam
McNultyBrandonMcCormick Pro Cycling
NarvaezJhonatanMcCormick Pro Cycling
WarbasseLawrenceMcCormick Pro Cycling
AffiniEdoardoMcCormick Pro Cycling
DanielGregoryMcCormick Pro Cycling
RevardThomasMcCormick Pro Cycling
HoehnAlexMcCormick Pro Cycling
MatteCharlesMcCormick Pro Cycling
KinoshitaTomohiroMinions
DennisRohanMinions
BjergMikkelMinions
BrownNathanMinions
SlagterTom JelteMinions
QuintanaDayerMinions
MarcosLeandroMinions
AlexanderNathanMinions
PhinneyTaylorMOL Cycling Team
AlmeidaJoaoMOL Cycling Team
BrozynaPiotrMOL Cycling Team
FilutasViktorMOL Cycling Team
KennaughTimMOL Cycling Team
ChavanneGabrielMOL Cycling Team
BassoLeonardoMOL Cycling Team
CampenaertsVictorMOL Cycling Team
CernyJosefMoser - Sygic
KukrleMichalMoser - Sygic
HoflandMorenoMoser - Sygic
OtrubaJakubMoser - Sygic
TurekDanielMoser - Sygic
AtkinsJoshMoser - Sygic
BellanJurajMoser - Sygic
SalazarJohnMoser - Sygic
BernalEganPolar
ShikaiChenPolar
MullenRyanPolar
BartheCyrilPolar
ViennetEmilienPolar
Le RouxRomainPolar
PostlbergerLukasPolar
OldaniStefanoPolar
BobridgeJackSpark-BNZ Racing
SakalouAndreiSpark-BNZ Racing
SchleckJordanSpark-BNZ Racing
YatesJoelSpark-BNZ Racing
ErdenebatBilguunjargalSpark-BNZ Racing
MarryattJakeSpark-BNZ Racing
KopfaufMarkusSpark-BNZ Racing
RodriguezCarlosSpark-BNZ Racing
GannaFilippoTeam Puma - SAP
CavagnaRemiTeam Puma - SAP
StorkFlorianTeam Puma - SAP
BrändleMatthiasTeam Puma - SAP
CemazarNikTeam Puma - SAP
O'BrienKellandTeam Puma - SAP
KmieliauskasRokasTeam Puma - SAP
HeidemannMiguelTeam Puma - SAP
KronAndreasTryg - Gobik
SeibebCostaTryg - Gobik
NorsgaardMathiasTryg - Gobik
SleenTorjusTryg - Gobik
IversenRasmusTryg - Gobik
NyoniSimiloTryg - Gobik
Blume LevyWilliamTryg - Gobik
CurrieLoganTryg - Gobik
BorgesBrunoZARA - Irizar
ConciNicolaZARA - Irizar
CosnefroyBenoitZARA - Irizar
CastrilloJaimeZARA - Irizar
ThomasBenjaminZARA - Irizar
FinklerLeonardo HenriqueZARA - Irizar
CardonaJulianZARA - Irizar
GilmoreBradyZARA - Irizar
FraileOmarZwift Pro Cycling
JorgensonMatteoZwift Pro Cycling
TejadaHaroldZwift Pro Cycling
CarrSimonZwift Pro Cycling
StrollLewisZwift Pro Cycling
JussaumeTristanZwift Pro Cycling
CanalCarlosZwift Pro Cycling
PickrellRileyZwift Pro Cycling
 
Marcovdw
Could've been Cattaneo here but Dennis will have to for the GC fight. Or like the other hilly stages Bjerg might be able to hang on to this one as well. Kinoshita here for stage glory only.

Thanks for the preview!
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AbhishekLFC
Betting available for this race: https://pcmdaily....ame_id=438
 
redordead
I'm hoping for a top 5 from TGH and some good depth scoring from either my stage racers or TTers. I'd be surprised if Phinney doesn't win again.

Thanks for the preview.

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"I am a cyclist, I may not be the best, but that is what I strive to be. I may never get there, but I will never quit trying." - Tadej Pogačar
 
Eden95
First (and last for a while) hit out for Dunbar, with probably the scariest startlist he’ll face this season. With the 22’ shenanigans so far I’d be content with a top-10, but a podium would be amazing. I wonder how this game version will handle stage 2? I can see it causing no real selection, or being a total massacre. Something in between would be ideal Smile

Phinney should have this locked down, but Wirtgen will take an upset and finally get one over him I reckon. Hope new TGH and Foss go well, very cool riders.

Thanks for the preview Smile
Indosat - ANZ HQ

"This Schleck sandwich is going to cause serious indigestion for Evans" - Phil Liggett
 
Jakstar22
Win goal. Why did Phinney have to come :lol: I’m hoping Bobridge has a cracker of a race! Still exciting as we have potential winners for every stage as well as an outside chance for the GC. Will be very interesting! Hopefully we can come out with at least a stage win!
 
cio93
Slava Ukraini!

I'm cautiously optimistic that particularly after this Paris-Nice showing, Ganna can play a bigger role in the GC than this preview insinuates.
Day 2 definitely is steep towards the end looking at the short stage length, but if he can keep his losses within a minute to the good hybrids and within two to the stage favorites, this can really set Filippo up for a great scoring season.
 
tsmoha
Not sure if it's realistic to hope for Haig to repeat his podium here. I rather assume it ain't. Obviously needs a great form in the TT and ofc good positioning in the climbs.
 
quadsas
Not expecting much, hope we can score some stage points here
deez
 
ivaneurope
Doing something, anything in this race will be a plus for me honestly
i.imgur.com/rrQH4R2.png
i.imgur.com/KoxIGiG.png
 
Sykkel_Freak
Not expecting too much here, but would be nice if Paillot or Faglum Karlsson could get a decent GC result. Hopefully we can limit the losses on stage 2 as much as possible.
 
KaiserAdler
Mostly here for the odd point but not really expecting anything from it.
Thanks for the preview and good luck to everyone
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Fabianski
Well, I absolutely wanted to have this band - planning to get a great stage racer. I didn't get one, and hence the expectations are rather low. Still hoping for Stüssi to be in the mix for a Top 15 result (hoping TT skills will matter more for S1 than PRL).
Otherwise, Errazkin could try something on S2, and hopefully at least one out of Bissegger, Brunel and Küng will not lose too much time, so they could get a decent result in the end. But yeah, without a top-level leader it's also very well possible that the team gets completely ignored and we'd end up with a disappointing zero-pointer.

I guess Phinney should win this race once again, although Wirtgen looks to be on fire as well.
PCT-wise, McNulty should be clearly the strongest rider, and should rather easily take another white jersey here.
If the hill stat matters for the prologue, as someone seemed to suggest pre-season, then Bobridge might be in for a surprise, but I struggle to see 34 y.o. Bobridge do as well in a PTHC race as 32 y.o. Bobridge did in HC two years ago.

Thanks for the preview, and good luck everyone Smile
 
Ulrich Ulriksen
Top 10 goal here, which should be realistic but only if S2 is selective on MT, otherwise could get overwhelmed by all the TT guys, particularly since McNulty isn't great in the prologue. Young rider jersey would also be nice.
Man Game: McCormick Pro Cycling
 
Luis Leon Sanchez
A very strong field which was to be expected! Hoping that Conci can continue his good form to push for a Top 5 result although that'll be challenging. Cosnefroy likely to struggle with the more uphill sections but hopefully he's in the mix in the TTs. Unsure about bringing Borges as it may have been smarter to focus only on the GC but fingers crossed he can provide the goods too.

Thank you for the preview and looking forward to a hotly contested race! Will be interesting to see how the AI goes with us in particular Wink
 
tsmoha
Good start for Haig! Now keep going like that, please Smile
 
redordead
I guess that's an okayish start, but I won't really know if it's a good race until the end.

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"I am a cyclist, I may not be the best, but that is what I strive to be. I may never get there, but I will never quit trying." - Tadej Pogačar
 
Fabianski
I guess 4 in the Top 40 is a pretty good result, especially with Stüssi cracking the Top 20. Hoping the team will now focus on Stüssi or Küng, given that Errazkin is a bit further off (he should go in the breakaway, though). As Ulrich, hoping Mo will be the main skill needed on S2, so Stüssi could climb up a bit.

Congrats to MOL, Phinney still beasting such stages!
Thanks for the report to Abhi.
 
Eden95
Perfect start, right up there at the pointy end is what we needed going in to tomorrow. There’s no beating Phinney or Wirtgen here so this is a great result! Congrats Jaxika, deserved after being shafted recently.

Thanks for the report!
Indosat - ANZ HQ

"This Schleck sandwich is going to cause serious indigestion for Evans" - Phil Liggett
 
Jakstar22
Not the start I wanted at all… Bobridge highest in GC but 30 seconds back. He will need an amazing stage 2 and a really great TT to bounce back into a higher position. We will see!
 
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