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Tour de France 2012 - Prediction Thread
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| Vien |
Posted on 27-06-2012 21:03
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Small Tour Specialist
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Since no one else is doing it, I guess I'll have to. Let's have some fun reading this after the Tour 
Top 10:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Most stage wins:
Green Jersey:
Polka dots:
Best young rider:
Biggest fail(s) of the year:
Biggest surprise(s):
Best team:
Most agressive rider:
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30):
Last ranked finisher:
Will a French rider win stage 13?:
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?:
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?:
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?:
Edited by Vien on 27-06-2012 21:59
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| fcancellara |
Posted on 27-06-2012 21:10
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 5194
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Top 10:
1. Nibali
2. Wiggins
3. Evans
4. Gesink
5. Sánchez
6. Van den Broeck
7. Menchov
8. Schleck
9. Leipheimer
10. Taaramae
Most stage wins: Sagan
Green Jersey: Sagan
Polka dots: Gesink
Best young rider: Taaramae
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Valverde
Biggest surprise(s): Nibali
Best team: Liquigas
Most agressive rider: Hoogerland
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): Under
Last ranked finisher: Greipel (?)
Will a French rider win stage 13?: Yes
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: No
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Cancellara
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: Yes
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| fernando97 |
Posted on 27-06-2012 21:17
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Small Tour Specialist
Posts: 2167
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Top 10:
1. Evans
2. Wiggins
3. Nibali
4. Van den Broeck
5. Froome
6. Menchov
7. S. Sánchez
8. Schleck
9. Gesink
10. Valverde
Most stage wins:
Sagan
Green Jersey:
Sagan
Polka dots:
Moncutie
Best young rider:
Taaramae
Biggest fail(s) of the year:
Team Radioshack
Biggest surprise(s):
Thibaut Pinot
Best team:
Sky
Most agressive rider:
Chavanel
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30):
under
Last ranked finisher:
idk
Will a French rider win stage 13?:
Yes
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?:
No
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?:
Wiggins
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?:
No
It'll be funny to see how it actually happens. 
Edited by fernando97 on 21-07-2012 02:21
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| alexkr00 |
Posted on 27-06-2012 21:23
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World Champion
Posts: 13915
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Top 10:
1. Denis Menchov
2. Bradley Wiggins
3. Robert Gesink
4. Jurgen Van Den Broeck
5. Samuel Sanchez
6. Vincenzo Nibali
7. Cadel Evans
8. Bauke Mollema
9. Daniel Martin
10. Steven Kruijswijk
Most stage wins: Sagan/Cavendish - tie
Green Jersey: Peter Sagan
Polka dots: Johnny Hoogerland
Best young rider: Steven Kruijswijk
Biggest fail(s) of the year: RadioShack, Cadel Evans
Biggest surprise(s): Denis Menchov
Best team: Rabobank
Most agressive rider: Jeremy Roy
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): under
Last ranked finisher: Albert Timmer
Will a French rider win stage 13?: Yes
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: Yes
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Wiggins
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: No
Edited by alexkr00 on 27-06-2012 21:24
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| Vien |
Posted on 27-06-2012 21:24
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Small Tour Specialist
Posts: 2322
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Riis123 wrote:
I'll contribute with my predictions later on, but i just need to clear this out..
As this is a kind of prediction, how do you guys see the chances of Mark Renshaw winning against Tony Gallapin and Tyler Farrar beating Alessandro Petacchi in the points classification? You can get the money 1.70 again for Renshaw and 1.85 for Farrar...
Since Gallopin is French, I see him winning sprints for 13th in breakaway stages, but I doubt he'll go for intermediate sprints. However, there are at least three stages Gallopin can do well at where Renshaw certainly won't get a chance. But maybe he has to work for Klöden and Schleck there, surely they didn't bring him just to get 10th in sprints? Personally I see Gallopin around 12th of the points classification "by accident". Last year 10th was 105 points, which means Renshaw has to do well in about 6 stages. Should be doable with this year's profile.
Last year December Petacchi said he was going for green... Perhaps he'll try at the intermediates? If not, I see Renshaw winning over these two.
As for the last classified rider, perhaps this can help you: https://www.oddsch...fied-rider 
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| Mr_Monk |
Posted on 27-06-2012 21:28
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Domestique
Posts: 718
Joined: 02-08-2011
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Top 10:
1. Wiggins
2. Evans
3. Menchov
4. VdB
5. Gesink
6. F. Schleck
7. S. Sanchez
8. Nibali
9. Leipheimer
10. Froome
Most stage wins: Sagan
Green Jersey: Sagan
Polka dots: F. Schleck
Best young rider: Taaramae
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Gilbert, Valverde
Biggest surprise(s): Menchov, Gallopin
Best team: Sky
Most agressive rider: Hoogerland
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): under
Last ranked finisher: Kittel
Will a French rider win stage 13?: no
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: no
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Wiggins
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: no |
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| Vien |
Posted on 27-06-2012 21:47
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Small Tour Specialist
Posts: 2322
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Top 10:
1. Bradley Wiggins
2. Cadel Evans
3. Vincienzo Nibali
4. Samuel Sanchez
5. Denis Menchov
6. Levi Leipheimer
7. Jurgen van den Broeck
8. Andreas Klöden
9. Robert Gesink
10. Alejandro Valverde
Most stage wins: Tony Martin
Green Jersey: Peter Sagan
Polka dots: Chris Anker Sorensen
Best young rider: Rein Taaramäe
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Hesjedal, Vino, Freire
Biggest surprise(s): Gallopin, Leipheimer, Weening
Best team: Rabobank
Most agressive rider: Hoogerland
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): Over
Last ranked finisher: Mark Renshaw
Will a French rider win stage 13?: No
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: Yes
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Martin
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: Yes
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| Ad Bot |
Posted on 25-11-2024 05:11
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| dienblad |
Posted on 27-06-2012 21:49
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Classics Specialist
Posts: 3772
Joined: 10-09-2010
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Top 10:
1. Cadel Evans
2. Bradley Wiggins
3. Vincenzo Nibali
4. Robert Gesink
5. Jurgen Van den Broeck
6. Samuel Sanchez
7. Ivan Basso
8. Levi Leipheimer
9. Fränk Schleck
10. Denis Menchov
Most stage wins: Mark Cavendish
Green Jersey: Peter Sagan
Polka dots: Jurgen Van den Broeck
Best young rider: Steven Kruijswijk
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Europcar
Biggest surprise(s): Robert Gesink (after breaking his leg!)
Best team: Sky
Most agressive rider: Jeremy Roy
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): under
Last ranked finisher: Martin Velits
Will a French rider win stage 13?: no
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: no
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Martin
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: no
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| Kentaurus |
Posted on 27-06-2012 21:53
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Classics Specialist
Posts: 3999
Joined: 26-07-2011
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Top 10:
1. Evans
2. Wiggens
3. Sanchez
4. Nibali
5. Gesink
6. Menchov
7. VdB
8. Froome
9. Leipheimer
10. Martin
Most stage wins: Cavendish
Green Jersey: Sagan
Polka dots: Rolland
Best young rider: Taaramae
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Gilbert (Won't win in Belgium), Nibali (rested Giro, not going to be on podium in Tour) Frank Schlek (and RSNT as a whole).
Biggest surprise(s): (I guess Sagan won't count as a surprise?) Tony Martin, there is enough TT here for him to aim for a top 10.
Best team: OP-QS
Most agressive rider: Sylvain Chavanel
Bonus! Pfft
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): Over : ~2:45
Last ranked finisher: Juan José Haedo
Will a French rider win stage 13?: Yes (I think the break gets away).
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: Yes (maybe retroactive though)
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Martin
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: Yes
Edited by Kentaurus on 27-06-2012 22:30
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| valverde321 |
Posted on 27-06-2012 22:04
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World Champion
Posts: 12986
Joined: 20-05-2009
PCM$: 530.00
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Top 10:
1. Evans
2. Nibali
3. Van den Broeck
4. F. Schleck
5. Wiggins
6. Sanchez
7. Gesink
8. Menchov
9. Leipheimer
10. Coppel
Most stage wins: Cavendish - 3
Green Jersey: Sagan/Goss not too sure yet, but it'll go down to the end. Maybe they will tie, and then it goes down to stage wins or something.
Polka dots: Hoogerland I guess (he's the only one I know that wants to win it, really)
Best young rider: Taaramae
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Kittel (zero wins, I remember last year we were all anticipating a Cav v. Kittel TDF showdown)
Biggest surprise(s): Coppel, finally getting that Top 10 thanks to all the TT kms.
Best team: I want to say Garmin, but most likely it will be Team Sky
Most agressive rider: Hoogerland
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30):
Under 1m30
Last ranked finisher: Kittel I guess
Will a French rider win stage 13?: Yes
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: Or before
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Hopefully Martin since I've bet on him everywhere else
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: No
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| FreitasPCM |
Posted on 27-06-2012 22:04
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Grand Tour Champion
Posts: 8389
Joined: 08-09-2009
PCM$: 200.00
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Top 10
1. Froome ( )
2. Wiggins
3. Evans
4. Van den Broeck
5. Gesink
6. Nibali
7. S. Sanchez
8. Menchov
9. D. Martin
10. Rogers
Most stage wins: Sagan
Green Jersey: Sagan
Polka dots: Johnny Hoogerland
Best young rider: Dan Martin
Biggest fail(s) of the year: RadioShack
Biggest surprise(s): Froome, Dan Martin, Sagan (does it really count?) and Pinot
Best team: Sky
Most agressive rider: Sylvain Chavanel
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): Under
Last ranked finisher: Vincent Jerome
Will a French rider win stage 13?: No
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: No
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Martin
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: No. |
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| ianrussell |
Posted on 27-06-2012 22:14
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Classics Specialist
Posts: 3440
Joined: 09-10-2008
PCM$: 200.00
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Top 10:
1. Wiggins
2. Evans
3. Gesink
4. Menchov
5. Nibali
6. Leipheimer
7. S. Sanchez
8. Van Den Broeck
9. Danielson
10. Valverde
Most stage wins: Greipel (2-3)
Green Jersey: Sagan
Polka dots: Sanchez
Best young rider: Poels
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Vino (maybe way too obvious so...)...also Schleck
Biggest surprise(s): Cavendish winning on a (short) punchy(ish) finish / Kittel making it to Paris
Best team: Sky
Most agressive rider: Hoogerland
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): Over
Last ranked finisher: Veelers
Will a French rider win stage 13?: No
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: No (not during at least)
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Martin
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: No
Edited by ianrussell on 27-06-2012 22:20
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| Schnuider |
Posted on 27-06-2012 22:19
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Under 23
Posts: 71
Joined: 15-02-2010
PCM$: 200.00
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Top 10:
1.Wiggins
2.Nibali
3.Evans
4.van den Broeck
5.Sami Sanchez
6.Menchov
7.Rolland
8.Gesink
9.Coppel
10.Vino
Most stage wins: Cav
Green Jersey: Sagan
Polka dots: Mollema
Best young rider: Taaramae
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Schleck
Biggest surprise(s): Pinot
Best team: Rabobank
Most agressive rider: Albasini
Bonus! Pfft
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): under
Last ranked finisher: Greg Henderson
Will a French rider win stage 13?: yes, Voeckler or Pinot
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: no
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Prolog for boasson hagen, first tt wiggins, second martin
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: no |
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| iNSUPERABLE |
Posted on 27-06-2012 22:23
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Stagiare
Posts: 174
Joined: 03-04-2012
PCM$: 260.00
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Top 10:
1.Denis Menchov
2.Andreas Klöden
3.Cadel Evans
4.Jurgen van den Broeck
5.Samuel Sanchez
6.Robert Gesink
7.Alejandro Valverde
8.Cristopher Froome
9.Ivan Basso
10.Michele Scarponi
Most stage wins: Peter Sagan
Green Jersey: Peter Sagan
Polka dots: Johnny Hoogerland
Best young rider: Steven Kruijswijk
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Wiggins,Schleck
Biggest surprise(s): Denis Menchov and Andreas Klöden
Best team: R-N-T
Most agressive rider: Johny Hoogerland
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): Under
Last ranked finisher:Anthony Delaplace
Will a French rider win stage 13?: No
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: Andrey Kashechkin and Alexandr Vinokurov
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: suprise
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: No |
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| chris01 |
Posted on 27-06-2012 22:35
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Neo-Pro
Posts: 358
Joined: 12-09-2011
PCM$: 200.00
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Top 10:
1. Cadel Evans
2. Bradley Wiggins
3. Vincenzo Nibali
4. Jurgen Van Den Broeck
5. Levi Leipheimer
6. Robert Gesink
7. Samuel Sanchez
8. Denis Menchov
9. Andread Kloden
10. Chris Horner 
Most stage wins: Cavendish
Green Jersey: Goss
Polka dots: Hoogerland
Best young rider: Van Garderen
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Pierre Rolland. Will not even finish in top 20
Biggest surprise(s): top 5 seperated by under 3 min.
Best team: Sky
Most agressive rider: Chavanel
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): under
Last ranked finisher: Kenny Van Hummel
Will a French rider win stage 13?: yes
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: no
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Martin
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: no
Give a man a fish and feed him for a day. Teach a man to fish and feed him for a lifetime. Teach a man to cycle and he will realize fishing is stupid and boring.
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| Squiggle |
Posted on 27-06-2012 22:45
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Amateur
Posts: 13
Joined: 19-09-2011
PCM$: 200.00
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Top 10:
1. Wiggins
2. Evans
3. Martin D
4. Nibali
5. Valverde
6. Hesjedal
7. Taaramae
8. Poels
9. Albasini
10. Monfort
Most stage wins: Sagan
Green Jersey: Sagan
Polka dots: Sorensen
Best young rider: Poels
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Scarponi
Biggest surprise(s): Dan Martin
Best team: Garmin
Most agressive rider: Hoogerland
Bonus! Pfft
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): under
Last ranked finisher: Cantwell
Will a French rider win stage 13?: No
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: Yes
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Wiggins
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: Yes
Edited by Squiggle on 27-06-2012 22:53
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| Vien |
Posted on 27-06-2012 22:47
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Small Tour Specialist
Posts: 2322
Joined: 16-06-2008
PCM$: 200.00
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Why the pffts? I thought it was something else to predict for a change 
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| Schleck96 |
Posted on 27-06-2012 23:20
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Protected Rider
Posts: 1498
Joined: 10-08-2010
PCM$: 200.00
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Top 10:
1. Cadel Evans
2. Bradley Wiggins
3. Vincenzo Nibali
4. Jurgen Van Den Broeck
5. Robert Gesink
6. Denis Menchov
7. Frank Schleck
8. Levi Leipheimer
9. Samuel Sanchez
10. Christopher Froome
Most stage wins: Cavendish
Green Jersey: Goss
Polka dots: Hoogerland
Best young rider: Van Garderen
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Pierre Rolland.
Biggest surprise(s): Van Den Broeck. Even with so many TT Km's he will do a great job.
Best team: Sky
Most agressive rider: Gesink
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/Under 1.30m): Over
Last ranked finisher: JJ Haedo
Will a French rider win stage 13?: No
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: no
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Martin
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: no
Edited by Schleck96 on 28-06-2012 14:19
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| mattie524 |
Posted on 28-06-2012 02:14
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Domestique
Posts: 578
Joined: 15-07-2011
PCM$: 400.00
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Top 10:
1. Cadel Evans
2. Bradley Wiggins
3. Frank Schleck
4. Vincennzo Nibali
5. Levi Leipheimer
6. Robert Gesink
7. Jurgen Van Den Broeck
8. Alexandre Vinokourov
9. Michelle Scarponi
10. Samuel Sanchez
Most stage wins: Mark Cavendish
Green Jersey: Mark Cavendish
Polka dots: Cadel Evans
Best young rider:Rein Taaramae
Biggest fail(s) of the year: ???
Biggest surprise(s): Cadel Evans (Win Tour twice in a row!), Alexandre Vinokourov
Best team: RadioShack - Nissan Trek
Most agressive rider: Johnny Hoogerland
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): Under
Last ranked finisher: Juan Jose Haedo? 
Will a French rider win stage 13?: Nope
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: Nope
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Fabian Cancellara
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: Yepp
Manager of Team Lamborghini - Monster |
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| jseadog1 |
Posted on 28-06-2012 02:32
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Grand Tour Champion
Posts: 9595
Joined: 18-07-2010
PCM$: 13552.00
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Top 10:
1. Cadel Evans
2. Bradley Wiggins
3. Frank Schleck
4. Levi Leiphemier
5. Jurgen Van Den Broeck
6. Robert Gesink
7. Samuel Sanchez
8. Alexandre Vinokourov
9. Mark Cavendish
10. George Hincapie
Most stage wins: Mark Cavendish
Green Jersey: Mark Cavendish
Polka dots: Jeremy Roy
Best young rider: ???
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Fabian C.
Biggest surprise(s): Levi Leipheimer
Best team: RadioShack - Nissan Trek
Most agressive rider: Tom Boonen
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): Under
Last ranked finisher: who knows????
Will a French rider win stage 13?: No
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: Yes
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Fabian Cancellara
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: Yes
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