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2014 Tour Down Under (21 to 26 January)
SSJ2Luigi
TTtheGladiator wrote:
Breaking News!
Never mind with what I said about the French, Visconti out with broken leg...
https://www.sbs.co...broken-leg

I don't call things that were already know for 10 hours breaking news Wink
https://pcmdaily.c...ost_847156
 
TTtheGladiator
SSJ2Luigi wrote:
TTtheGladiator wrote:
Breaking News!
Never mind with what I said about the French, Visconti out with broken leg...
https://www.sbs.co...broken-leg

I don't call things that were already know for 10 hours breaking news Wink
https://pcmdaily.c...ost_847156


I only found out this morning Sad
I was at the track all evening, then food...
Sorry
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cio93
It's still the same day here, so we have a different perception. Wink
 
547984
Obviously this isn't really news but Stage 1 will go on as usual. Smile

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Luis Leon Sanchez
547984 wrote:
Obviously this isn't really news but Stage 1 will go on as usual. Smile

https://www.herald...6805418642

That is still a good thing to know though
 
cio93
Chris Sutton is replaced by Nathan Earle.
He was involved in the early crash that took out Visconti.
 
sutty68
cio93 wrote:
Chris Sutton is replaced by Nathan Earle.
He was involved in the early crash that took out Visconti.


Yeah he has fractured a small bone in his wrist Sad
https://www.teamsky.com/article/0,2729...21,00.html
 
Matthew21rp
It's a shame for Chris, he looked quite good, it's his home race and Sky looked as if they were going to help him in the sprints.

Although he probably wouldn't of beaten Greipal or Kittel
 
sutty68
Matthew21rp wrote:
It's a shame for Chris, he looked quite good, it's his home race and Sky looked as if they were going to help him in the sprints.

Although he probably wouldn't of beaten Greipal or Kittel


Yeah it is a shame for him and a bad way to start his season, but in the sprints he was only destined for 4th, 5th and 6th places at the best Frown
 
Failured
Fiascotje and I will be starting up CyclingHub once again, so expect final kilometers videos of the stages Wink
 
sutty68
Will be up late for the next few nights as Sky are showing the stages live from 2am Smile
 
Jesleyh
Great news Failured Wink
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Conardo
sutty68 wrote:
Will be up late for the next few nights as Sky are showing the stages live from 2am Smile


Sky?
 
Luis Leon Sanchez
We have Sky in New Zealand. TV channels you pay for.
 
sutty68
Conardo wrote:
sutty68 wrote:
Will be up late for the next few nights as Sky are showing the stages live from 2am Smile


Sky?


Yep, Sky sports 1 at 2am Wink
 
Malkael
Town Down Under - Stage 1 Preview

www.procyclingstats.com/races/profilesmaps/2013-09/Tour-Down-Under-Stage-1-1380550105.png
(Click to Enlarge)

Despite some safety concerns about a bushfire earlier last week, the 2014 Santos Tour Down Under begins with a 135-kilometre stage from Nurioopta to Angaston. With Menglers Hill lying just 15 kilometres out from the finishing line, Marcel Kittel and Andre Greipel are not expected to participate in the bunch sprint predicted.

However, while Menglers Hill may be 2.5 kilometres in length at an average of almost seven percent, in my opinion, it would not be infeasible for Greipel or Kittel to survive should the peloton give them even half a chance. Oddly, it may be in the best interests of some of the General Classification contenders to allow the bulkier sprinters to survive, lest the stage becomes an opportunity for Simon Gerrans to snatch an early advantage.

www.procyclingstats.com/races/profilesmaps/2013-09/Tour-Down-Under-Stage-1-1380550110.png
(Click to Enlarge)


One cannot discount the outside possibility of a late breakaway stealing the stage victory, with the finale 15 kilometres of the stage arguably quite similar in nature to that of Stage Two of the 2013 Tour de France. Any hint of hesitation or disorganisation could theoretically see a determined and organised group escape all the way to the line.

Regardless of how the stage finishes, the pressure will be on Orica – GreenEDGE to control the race for overall race favourite Gerrans. Unless Orica – GreenEDGE can manage to insert a rider in to the breakaway of the day, the Australian outfit will be in for a hard day in the saddle. This may dent their chances of claiming the stage victory, with the other teams around them able to remain slightly fresher.

Favourites, Outsiders and a Joker

Final 3KM - Uphill At Under 2%

www.procyclingstats.com/races/profilesmaps/2013-09/Tour-Down-Under-Stage-1-1380550115.png
(Click to Enlarge)

With a bunch sprint anticipated, regardless of whether the peloton sheds a few cyclists over Menglers Hill, Stage One is expected to be claimed by one of the sprinters. Unsurprisingly, there are strong expectations swirling around UniSA sprinter Caleb Ewan, with the young Australian firming up as a bookmaker’s favourite even before his impressive display at Sunday’s People’s Choice Classic.

Should one, or both, of Marcel Kittel and Andre Greipel survive Menglers Hill to contest the stage’s finale, it is difficult to see anyone thwarting either of the Germans. The Lotto-Belisol lead out showed itself to be in superb working order at the People’s Choice Classic. While Marcel Kittel proved that he is not dependent on his Giant – Shimano sprint train to claim victory.

If both German powerhouses fail to survive Menglers Hill, or misjudge the approach to the finishing line, Elia Viviani of Team Cannondale has the talent to swoop in and claim the stage victory. The Italian still lacks the raw power to consistently defeat Mark Cavendish, Kittel and Greipel, however, along with Nacer Bouhanni, he is arguably one of cycling’s best sprinters after the fearsome trio.

Outsiders for the stage victory include: J.J Rojas or J.J Lobato of Movistar, Matthew Goss or Michael Matthews of Orica – GreenEDGE, the erratic Roberto Ferrari of Lampre – Merida, Mark Renshaw or Julian Alaphilippe of Omega Pharma – Quick-Step, the Van Poppels of Trek Factory Racing, and Steele Von Hoff of Garmin – Sharp.

If you are looking for a possible joker among the pack then Kevin Reza of Europcar has shown he can consistently Top 10, or even Top 5, when on form.
Edited by Malkael on 20-01-2014 17:22
#GoraEuskadi
 
http://www.theroar.com.au/author/matthew-boulden/
Selwink
Van Poppel would be nice, but I think Goss will take it (yes, I really do)
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sutty68
Good preview Malkael Wink
 
cio93
Gorilla showed in the past he could survive that hill, Kittel less so.

Ewan could really be the go-to guy, and fellow neo-pro Alaphilippe is a decent bet for a podium as well considering he already was 6th yesterday and shouldn't have a problem being there in the end.

Livestream should be available somewhere, coverage seems to start 1pm AEDST.
Can anyone confirm that that is 3am CET?
Edited by cio93 on 20-01-2014 17:29
 
Malkael
For anyone interested in a deeper look at Menglers Hill, here's a profile from VeloViewer.

Menglers Hill - 2.5 KM @ ~7%

s3.veloviewer.com/segments/profile/3286657.png

#GoraEuskadi
 
http://www.theroar.com.au/author/matthew-boulden/
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