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Tour de France 2012 - Prediction Thread
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| kumazan |
Posted on 28-06-2012 13:20
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Team Leader
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Top 10:
1. Wiggins
2. Froome
3. Evans
4. S. Sánchez
5. Nibali
6. Van den Broeck
7. Gesink
8. Menchov
9. Leipheimer
10. Valverde
Most stage wins: Cavendish
Green Jersey: Sagan
Polka dots: Daniel Martin
Best young rider: S. Kruijswijk
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Europcar
Biggest surprise(s): Froome?
Best team: UK Postal
Most agressive rider: Nibali
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): Under, around 20-30"
Last ranked finisher: Cantwell
Will a French rider win stage 13?: Yes
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: Not during the Tour
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Wiggins
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: No
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| johnnyjur |
Posted on 28-06-2012 13:24
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Neillster wrote:
Top 10:
1. Wiggins
2. Evans
3. Nibali
4. Gesink
5. Van den Broeck
6. Menchov
7. Vinokourov
8. Leipheimer
9. Kloden
10. Sanchez
Most stage wins: Greipel
Green Jersey: Cavendish
Polka dots: Gesink
Best young rider: Taaramae
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Frank Schleck
Biggest surprise(s): Kloden
Best team: Sky
Most agressive rider: Sanchez
Bonus! 
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): under
Last ranked finisher: Vincent Jerome for the 2nd year running
Will a French rider win stage 13?: No
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: No
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Prologue Martin, Time Trials Wiggins
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: Yes
If Vino finishes seventh, I would say that is a way bigger surprise than Klöden in 9th place
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| usto |
Posted on 28-06-2012 13:37
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Stagiare
Posts: 239
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Top 10:
1. Bradley Wiggins
2. Vincenzo Nibali
3. Samuel Sanchez
4. Cadel Evans
5. Jurgen Van den Broeck
6. Robert Gesink
7. Alejandro Valverde
8. Levi Leipheimer
9. Fränk Schleck
10. Denis Menchov
Most stage wins: Peter Sagan
Green Jersey: Peter Sagan
Polka dots: Samuel Sanchez
Best young rider: Rein Taaramäe
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Michele Scarponi
Biggest surprise(s): Alejandro Valverde
Best team: Sky
Most agressive rider: Johnny Hoogerland
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): Over
Last ranked finisher: Pablo Urtasun
Will a French rider win stage 13?: No
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: I hope not
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Fabian
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: No |
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| lokytrew |
Posted on 28-06-2012 13:46
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Top 10:
1. Wiggo
2. Evans
3. Gesink
4. Nibali
5. Froome
6. Sanchez
7. Menchov
8. Taaramae
9. Vino
10. Rolland
Most stage wins: Peter Sagan
Green Jersey: Peter Sagan
Polka dots: Samuel Sanchez
Best young rider: Rein Taaramae
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Frank Schleck
Biggest surprise(s): Freire is back!
Best team: Sky
Most agressive rider: J. Roy. Offcourse
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): under it. 45 seconds to be precise.
Last ranked finisher: 170?
Will a French rider win stage 13?: No.
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: no.
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Der Cance.
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: I hope he doesn't.
Domenico Pozzovivo  |
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| Feketelaszlo |
Posted on 28-06-2012 13:58
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Junior Rider
Posts: 34
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Top 10:
1. Wiggins
2. Valverde
3. Shleck
4. Evans
5. Hesjedal
6. Nibali
7. Gesink
8. Roche
9. Klöden
10. Coppel
Most stage wins: Tony Martin or Wiggins
Green Jersey: Goss or Kittel
Polka dots: Basso
Best young rider: TJ Van Garderen
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Denis Menchov
Biggest surprise(s): Ryder Hesjedal
Best team: Radioshack / Sky / BMC / Astana
Most agressive rider: Thomas Voeckler
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): over
Last ranked finisher: Jean Marc Marino
Will a French rider win stage 13?: Yes
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: Let's hope no.
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Wiggins or Martin
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: No |
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| I_Mayo |
Posted on 28-06-2012 14:03
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Top 10:
1. Evans
2. Sanchez
3. Nibali
4. Wiggins
5. F. Schleck
6. Gesink
7. Van den Broeck
8. Valverde
9. Hesjedal
10. Leipheimer
Most stage wins: Cavendish
Green Jersey: Cavendish
Polka dots: Taaramae
Best young rider: Kruijswijk
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Rolland (if you consider it a fail)
Biggest surprise(s): More attacks in mountains than everybody expected
Best team: Sky
Most agressive rider: Taaramae
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): under
Last ranked finisher: Cantwell (Van Hummel won't survive)
Will a French rider win stage 13?: They better should but ... no, they won't
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: Nop
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: They could split them as well
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: Yes
Edited by I_Mayo on 28-06-2012 14:04
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| Schleck96 |
Posted on 28-06-2012 14:06
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Almost everyone says that Wiggins has this one in the bag. Am I the only one who thinks that Wiggins will crack very badly in the mountains? |
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| Ad Bot |
Posted on 25-11-2024 05:43
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| ruben |
Posted on 28-06-2012 15:00
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Grand Tour Champion
Posts: 7721
Joined: 23-10-2006
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What mountains? Most are either:
-tempo-cols that suit Wiggins like a glove
-mountain too far from finish
-last mountain too short/not hard enough
there's only 1 mtf I can see Wiggins struggling on and that is La Planche des Belles Filles because it's shorter and steeper than the others. Not Wiggins strong point.
The course is largely disappointing for climbers. They can't make much difference on a climb like La Toussiere. |
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| Vien |
Posted on 28-06-2012 15:39
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Small Tour Specialist
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Schleck96 wrote:
Almost everyone says that Wiggins has this one in the bag. Am I the only one who thinks that Wiggins will crack very badly in the mountains?
I think it's more likely that he'll crack in the downhills than the very few mountains
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| kirtley9 |
Posted on 28-06-2012 15:41
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Junior Rider
Posts: 49
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Top 10:
1. Wiggins
2. Nibali
3. Evans
4. Menchov
5. Van den Broeck
6. Sanchez
7. Schleck
8. Valverde
9. Rolland
10. Gesink
Most stage wins: Cavendish
Green Jersey: Sagan
Polka dots: Sanchez
Best young rider: Van Garderen
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Scarponi
Biggest surprise(s): Rolland
Best team: Sky
Most agressive rider: Hoogerland
Bonus! Pfft
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): under
Last ranked finisher: Kittel
Will a French rider win stage 13?: No
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: No
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Wiggins
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: No |
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| Andro |
Posted on 28-06-2012 15:58
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Domestique
Posts: 665
Joined: 23-03-2007
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Top 10:
1. Cadel Evans
2. Bradley Wiggins
3. Jurgen Van Den Broeck
4. Samuel Sanchez
5. Robert Gesink
6. Vincenzo Nibali
7. Alejandro Valverde
8. Jean Christophe Peraud
9. Fränk Schleck
10. Pierre Rolland
Most stage wins: Sagan
Green Jersey: Peter Sagan
Polka dots: Dan Martin
Best young rider: Steven Kruijswijk
Biggest fail(s) of the year: RadioShack
Biggest surprise(s): Valverde
Best team: Rabobank/Sky
Most agressive rider: Moncoutie
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): Under
Last ranked finisher: JJ Haedo
Will a French rider win stage 13?: No
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: No
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Fabian
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: No |
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| Bosskardo |
Posted on 28-06-2012 17:14
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Sprinter
Posts: 1559
Joined: 07-04-2008
PCM$: 200.00
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Top 10:
1.Wiggins
2.Evans
3.Van Den Broeck
4.Hesjedal
5.Leipheimer
6.Hesjedal
7.Gesink
8.Menchov
9.Kessiakoff
10.Taaramäe
Most stage wins: Sagan
Green Jersey: Sagan
Polka dots:Hoogerland
Best young rider: Taaramäe
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Nibali
Biggest surprise(s): Gallopin
Best team: Ag2r
Most agressive rider: Hoogerland
Bonus! Pfft
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30):
Last ranked finisher: Sieberg
Will a French rider win stage 13?: no
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: no
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Cancellara and Martin both get at least 1
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: no
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| golance123 |
Posted on 29-06-2012 01:34
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Free Agent
Posts: 132
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Top 10:
1. Cadel Evans
2. Samuel Sanchez
3. Robert Gesink
4. Denis Menchov
5. Frank Schleck
6. Vincenzo Nibali
7. Rein Taaramae
8. Levi Leipheimer
9. Steven Kruijswijk
10. Tom Danielson
Most stage wins: Peter Sagan/Mark Cavendish
Green Jersey: Peter Sagan
Polka dots: Rui Costa
Best young rider: Rein Taaramae
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Bradley Wiggins (crash or crack in the mountains), Valverde
Biggest surprise(s): Tom Danielson (Top 10 again...everyone seems to forget about him)
Best team: Rabobank
Most aggressive rider: Rui Costa
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): under!
Last ranked finisher: Mark Renshaw
Will a French rider win stage 13?: No
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: No
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Cancellara/Kessiakoff
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: No |
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| ikaros33 |
Posted on 29-06-2012 06:12
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Free Agent
Posts: 124
Joined: 26-07-2008
PCM$: 200.00
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Top 10:
1. Evans
2. Gesink
3. Wiggins
4. van den Broeck
5. Nibali
6. S. Sanchez
7. Leipheimer
8. Froome
9. Rolland
10. Valverde
Most stage wins: Kittel
Green Jersey: Sagan
Polka dots: Hoogerland
Best young rider: Kruijswijk
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Cavendish (judging by the Ster Elektrotoer lost too much of his speed for the pure sprints but probably still not good enough in the ascents to win stages 1 and 3)
Biggest surprise(s): that the Tour is mainly decided in the downhills by Evans and Nibali (but he will lose too much in the time trials to profit himself)
Best team: Rabobank
Most agressive rider: Hoogerland
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): under
Last ranked finisher: Engoulvent
Will a French rider win stage 13?: no
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: no
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Martin
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: no |
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| GreenEDGEFan |
Posted on 29-06-2012 06:48
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Under 23
Posts: 81
Joined: 18-07-2011
PCM$: 200.00
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Top 10:
1. Wiggins
2. Evans
3. van den Broeck
4. Gesnick
5. Menchov
6. Porte
7. F. Schleck
8. Nibali
9. Rogers
10. Weening
Most stage wins: Kittel (only sprinter who is both not going to the Olympics and has his entire team behind him)
Green Jersey: 1. Kittel 2. Sagan 3. Goss
Polka dots: F. Schleck
Best young rider: Boasson Hagen
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Levi Leiphimer
Biggest surprise(s): Jurgen van den Broeck will be right up there. I'm expected a tight top 5
Best team: Sky. Wiggins, Porte, Rogers, Froome, they'll take the best time
Most agressive rider: Somebody from Saxo Bank
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): Under
Last ranked finisher: Renshaw or Cooke
Will a French rider win stage 13?: If anyone Gallopin but probably not
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: Hopefully not.
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Wiggins
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: No. Give somebody else a chance to win on the Champs-Élysées.
GreenEDGE 100%
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| rorzcp |
Posted on 29-06-2012 13:25
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Domestique
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Teddy The Creator wrote:
Top 10:
1. Evans
2. Van den Broeck
3. Wiggins
4. Nibali
5. Gesink
6. Sanchez
7. Taaramae
8. Rolland
9. Schleck
10. Rogers
Most stage wins: Matt Goss
Green Jersey: Matt Goss
Polka dots: Samuel Sanchez
Best young rider: Taaramae
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Menchov
Biggest surprise(s): VdB reaching podium
Best team: Sky
Most agressive rider: Michele Scarponi
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): Under
Last ranked finisher: Anders Lund
Will a French rider win stage 13?: No. Peter Sagan will.
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: Yes. Peter Sagan.
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Porte
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: God no.
I hope this happens. |
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| rorzcp |
Posted on 29-06-2012 13:32
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Domestique
Posts: 704
Joined: 21-07-2009
PCM$: 200.00
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Top 10:
1. Wiggins
2. Evans
3. Nibali
4. VDB
5. Menchov
6. Sanchez
7. Valverde
8. Gesink
9. Basso
10. Rolland
Most stage wins: Cavendish
Green Jersey: Goss.
Polka dots: Rolland
Best young rider: Kruiswijk.
Biggest fail(s) of the year: RNT, Sagan.
Biggest surprise(s): Valverde not failing
Best team: Garmin.
Most agressive rider: Hoogerland.
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): Under.
Last ranked finisher: Goss.
Will a French rider win stage 13?: No.
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: No.
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Martin
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: Nope. |
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| laidbackmarc |
Posted on 29-06-2012 13:50
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Protected Rider
Posts: 1041
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Top 10:
1. Cadel Evans
2. Vincenzo Nibali
3. Alejandro Valverde
4. Jean-Cristophe Peraud
5. Levi Leipheimer
6. Jurgen Van Den Broeck
7. Lieuwe Westra
8. Richie Porte
9. David Zabriskie
10. Janez Brajkovic
Most stage wins: Peter Sagan
Green Jersey: Peter Sagan
Polka dots: Alejandro Valverde
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Team Sky and...
Ruben: don't read this:
Biggest surprise(s): Jean-Cristophe Peraud - He is pretty good actually
Best team: Astana
Most agressive rider: Cav will get mad when Sagan takes green
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): >1m 30 sec
Last ranked finisher: Kenny Robert Van Hummel has been aiming for this all year so he will win this one for sure.
Will a French rider win stage 13?: No, I bet Vino wins stage 13
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: Riders?
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Fränk Schleck has been working on his position and he will win just because he is the most aerodynamic
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: Ever heard about the London Olympics 2012?
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| ventoux |
Posted on 29-06-2012 14:02
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Free Agent
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Top 10:
1.Cadel Evans
2.Bradley Wiggins
3.Denis Menchov
4.Samuel Sanchez
5.Jurgen Van den Broeck
6.Robert Gesink
7.Vincenzo Nibali
8.Pierre Rolland
9.Andreas Kloden
10.Levi Leipheimer
Most stage wins:Mark Cavendish
Green Jersey:Mark Cavendish
Polka dots aniel Martin
Best young rider:Steven Kruijswijk
Biggest fail(s) of the yeareter Sagan(no stage victory)
Biggest surprise(s): Pierre Rolland(2 stage victories,and top 10 in GC),
Best team: Rabobank
Most agressive rider: Johnny Hoogerland
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): under
Last ranked finisher: Bernhard Eisel
Will a French rider win stage 13?: NO
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: NO
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Cancellara
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: YES |
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| Pellizotti2 |
Posted on 29-06-2012 17:56
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World Champion
Posts: 10121
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Gambling on a Wiggins fail. Not very likely though.
Top 10:
1. Evans
2. Froome
3. Van den Broeck
4. Sanchez
5. Gesink
6. Nibali
7. Valverde
8. Menchov
9. Mollema
10. Kessiakoff (Yeah, you heard me! )
Most stage wins: Sagan
Green Jersey: Sagan
Polka dots: Hoogerland
Best young rider: Kruijswijk
Biggest fail(s) of the year: Wiggins (crashes out)
Biggest surprise(s): Froome, Kessiakoff
Best team: UK Postal
Most agressive rider: Scarponi
Bonus!
Margin between 1st and 2nd (Over/under 1m30): Under
Last ranked finisher: Cantwell
Will a French rider win stage 13?: Nah
Will a rider be taken out of the Tour due to a positive test?: Yeah, but we'll find out after the Tour has finished.
Time trials: Cancellara, Wiggins, Martin or a surprise?: Larsson () Actually Martin
Will Cavendish finish the Tour?: No
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