Less than 300 points at this time is too little to realistically win the PT unless Bewley will end up doing a major fuckup.
The final race might end up being interesting, but I doubt it (unfortunately). Also, it looks like a much better race for Sagan with the downhill finish and sprint, than Spilak.
It is really nice to see Spilak so high up for once, while still having two races to go. He should have a realistic chance of bettering Andy Schleck this season. Phinney is likely still having a race or two, so there's no catching him, and Bewley will come back aswell. 3rd is a realistic outcome though, which is really nice. Jerome Coppel should also beat the 1000 pts mark, while Bryan Coquard have had a marvelous season. Pierre-Henri Lecuisinier much similar to last season with less racedays is pretty good also.
The huge dissapointment obviously being Clement Koretzky who really haven't performed like he should. Also Tom David struggles to compete at this level, so he have TONE to make amends, while I would guess he doesn't even make the top 10...
Yuriy Vasyliv have performed slightly better than last year, but crashing out of the Tour de France costed a lot of points, otherwise he would have been targetting somewhere around 300pts.
Jakub Novak have been underwhelming due to crashes and is barely getting half of what he got last season.
Overall we can't expect better than we have performed though, and the huge gap to 3rd shows, that we would have won if it wasn't for the fact that Moser made a huge jump from last season - basically because of Sagan now being 1000 points better than Koretzky whereas he was at the same level or worse, last season.
Surprising to see us outside the relegation zone at this point of the season - but saying that, it's by the narrowest of margins.
Still too early to say if we can stay up from here. Strava will outscore us in the hills, but we should have the edge on every other terrain from here on out. Prio are reliant on a big TTT result and some luck in the other TT containing races, while Oz should really be safe. I think we can keep the others behind us barring a miracle, though Tinkoff can never be counted out - it'll be an interesting end to the season at least.
