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Cycling betting
Riis123
Betsson should be out now. Their odds are completely the same as Nordic and Betsafe it seems.

Anyways, I found this.
600 DKK Atapuma > Dupont @ 1,85
100 DKK Valverde to win IL GIRO @ 35,00
 
Squire
Not a lot of tempting offers for tomorrow.

Stage 20
200 NOK Darwin Atapuma over Hubert Dupont @ 1.85
60 NOK Georg Preidler over Nicolas Roche @ 2.15

I've won all four h2hs I've played with Atapuma, two for him and two against him. He's my lucky charm. Smile
Preidler is Giant's only hope, so should be at it again. A bit worried about his recovery, but Roche crashed today, so could also be feeling it tomorrow.

Haha, would love your Valverde bet to work out, Riis123! Which would also mean my earlier Valverde FTW bet wins. Cool Just don't see any chance of it happening, though, but after today, who knows.
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Riis123
Great minds think alike. Full throttle on Atapuma, the other odds weren't great at all.

I think 35 is value. I haven't hit A SINGLE LONG SHOT as in +10,00, as a matter of fact, the only time I've been able to predict the the outcome of the stage was on stage 2. Kittel was obvious at 1,90. Now its my time to shine. After what happened today, man, everything can happen and he is less than 2 minutes behind.
 
Squire
As a Valverde fan, you should know that things like that doesn't happen with him. Pfft If it did, it would make this Giro my favourite race ever, eclipsing the 2010 version.

Playing a lot of long shots is generally a waste of money. I've been doing it a lot this Giro, but it's because I've been yoloing with small stakes. Normally I only play longshot stage winners if I have a very strong feeling about it, like with Wellens on the stage he won.

I've had some success in the past while using longshots sparingly. I think my personal best was Quintana at 50 for that Dauphiné stage in 2012. Other notables that I can remember were Navardauskas at 41 for his Giro 2013 stage, and a pretty big stake on Valverde at 17 for his Peyragudes stage.
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Riis123
Yeah, I also only plat 5-10 DKK on those long shots. Its more for the fucks anyways... apart from this one. I will be cheering like a mad man, more than usual!

Looks like they have got their fingers burned anyways. 1,47 for Atapuma now. Pad yourself on the shoulder. Pfft
 
Riis123
Riis123 wrote:
Riis123 wrote:
More odds. The bottom ones are at Nordicbet, equivalent of Betsson.
200 DKK Majka > Chaves @ 3,00
200 DKK Zakarin > Valverde @ 2,00
200 DKK Jungels > Amador @ 1,83

50 DKK Montaguti > Roche @ 2,55
50 DKK Pirazzi > Uran @ 3,35
150 DKK Dombro > D. Lopez @ 1,60
150 DKK Jungels > Pozzovivo @ 2,25


Even steven today.

500 DKK Valverde > Kruiswijk @ 1,66
500 DKK Urán > Majka @ 2,62
200 DKK Amador > Jungels @ 2,62
200 DKK Monfort > Dupont @ 2,62
200 DKK Formolo > Dombro @ 2,75
600 DKK Atapuma > Dupont @ 1,85
100 DKK Valverde to win IL GIRO @ 35,00

Laying it on the line today. Waiting for Nordicbet

Liveodds:
150 DKK Foliforov > Atapuma @ 2,62
100 DKK Chaves > Nibali @ 3,00
150 DKK Rein T > Dombro @ 2,75
Edited by Riis123 on 28-05-2016 14:44
 
emre99
Riis123 wrote:
Riis123 wrote:
Riis123 wrote:
More odds. The bottom ones are at Nordicbet, equivalent of Betsson.
200 DKK Majka > Chaves @ 3,00
200 DKK Zakarin > Valverde @ 2,00
200 DKK Jungels > Amador @ 1,83

50 DKK Montaguti > Roche @ 2,55
50 DKK Pirazzi > Uran @ 3,35
150 DKK Dombro > D. Lopez @ 1,60
150 DKK Jungels > Pozzovivo @ 2,25


Even steven today.

500 DKK Valverde > Kruiswijk @ 1,66
500 DKK Urán > Majka @ 2,62
200 DKK Amador > Jungels @ 2,62
200 DKK Monfort > Dupont @ 2,62
200 DKK Formolo > Dombro @ 2,75
600 DKK Atapuma > Dupont @ 1,85
100 DKK Valverde to win IL GIRO @ 35,00

Laying it on the line today. Waiting for Nordicbet

Liveodds:
150 DKK Foliforov > Atapuma @ 2,62
100 DKK Chaves > Nibali @ 3,00
150 DKK Rein T > Dombro @ 2,75


60 usd not looking good in the live bet.
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Riis123
Riis123 wrote:
Riis123 wrote:
Riis123 wrote:
More odds. The bottom ones are at Nordicbet, equivalent of Betsson.
200 DKK Majka > Chaves @ 3,00
200 DKK Zakarin > Valverde @ 2,00
200 DKK Jungels > Amador @ 1,83

50 DKK Montaguti > Roche @ 2,55
50 DKK Pirazzi > Uran @ 3,35
150 DKK Dombro > D. Lopez @ 1,60
150 DKK Jungels > Pozzovivo @ 2,25


Even steven today.

500 DKK Valverde > Kruiswijk @ 1,66
500 DKK Urán > Majka @ 2,62

200 DKK Amador > Jungels @ 2,62
200 DKK Monfort > Dupont @ 2,62
200 DKK Formolo > Dombro @ 2,75
600 DKK Atapuma > Dupont @ 1,85
100 DKK Valverde to win IL GIRO @ 35,00

Laying it on the line today. Waiting for Nordicbet

Liveodds:
150 DKK Foliforov > Atapuma @ 2,62
100 DKK Chaves > Nibali @ 3,00
150 DKK Rein T > Dombro @ 2,75


Even on liveodds, but I hit ALL of the big ones. + 1000 DKK today, back at it Pfft
 
Riis123
I don't know what to play tomorrow, my odds are a mess. These sprint stages are so incredible random at this point:

100 DKK Modolo > Nizzolo @ 2,75
100 DKK Oss > Kluge @ 2,75
150 DKK Simion > Lightart @ 2,20
150 DKk Montaguti > Cardoso @ 2,25
200 DKK Navardauskas > Trentin @ 3,00
250 DKK Jungels > Valverde @ 2,50

Playing it a little conservative here and waiting for Dauphine and Suisse now. All bets played at bet365.
 
Squire
Squire wrote:
Stage 20
200 NOK Darwin Atapuma over Hubert Dupont @ 1.85
60 NOK Georg Preidler over Nicolas Roche @ 2.15


Just like a certain Sicilian, I'm having a good end to the Giro Smile

A shame Cunego couldn't get the blue jersey. Would have made me some decent money.
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Squire
Stage 21
120 NOK Sacha Modolo over Giacomo Nizzolo @ 2.45
140 NOK Ramunas Navardauskas over Pim Ligthart @ 1.85
95 NOK Paolo Simion over Eduard-Michel Grosu @ 1.72

4th attempt! It's gonna happen, I'm sure! :lol:
pcmdaily.com/images/awards/2010/11_Teamstory.png
 
Riis123
Modolo got this Squire. Believe
 
Riis123
Riis123 wrote:
I don't know what to play tomorrow, my odds are a mess. These sprint stages are so incredible random at this point:

100 DKK Modolo > Nizzolo @ 2,75
100 DKK Oss > Kluge @ 2,75
150 DKK Simion > Lightart @ 2,20
150 DKk Montaguti > Cardoso @ 2,25
200 DKK Navardauskas > Trentin @ 3,00
250 DKK Jungels > Valverde @ 2,50

Playing it a little conservative here and waiting for Dauphine and Suisse now. All bets played at bet365.


Very good to end the Giro off like this! I will update on my 40-50 pre-odds later and try to calculate exactly how much I made during this Giro Smile
 
Riis123
Riis123 wrote:
Hola, posting my retarded bets in this thread throughout the Giro. I have 1750 DKK at my disposal which roughly translate to 250 Euros or thereabouts. The amount of money I play on certain bets varies greatly.

OVERALL GC
Valverde to win overall GC - 7,00
Formolo to win overall GC - 301,00
Jungels to win overall GC - 401,00
Firsanov to win overall GC - 151,00

Firsanov/Sioutsou, 1, 1,50
Niemiec/Anton, 1, 1,61
Fuglsang/Amador, 1, 1,61
Scarponi/Betancur, 1, 1,61

KOM JERSEY:
Hesjedal to win KOM - 26,00
Antón to win KOM - 81,00
Zoidl to win KOM - 101,00
Firsanov to win KOM - 67,00
Atapuma to win KOM - 81,00
Denifl to win KOM - 81,00

Kruijswijk/Landa, 1, 3,50
Txurruka/Wellens, 2, 3,00
Fuglsang/Peraud, 1, 1,72
Betancur/Visconti, 2, 1,71


POINTS JERSEY:
Marezcko to win points jersey - 29,00
Viviani to win points jersey - 5,00

Ewan/Marezcko, 2, 2,62 - points
Pelucchi/Ruffoni, 1, 1,72 - points

YOUTH GC:
Jungels, 13,00
Wellens, 19,00
Verona, 7,50

TOP 10 FINISHERS:
Howson, 41,00
Wellens, 26,00
Roglic, 21.00
Zoidl, 19,00
Jungels, 15,00
Atapuma, 9,00
Monfort, 7,00
Formolo, 5,50
Firsanov, 4,50

TEAM GC:
Cannondale wins team GC - 19,00

BMC>Lampre, 2,50
FDJ>Giant, 3,00
Orica>Tinkoff, 2,50

Formolo wins the white jersey @ 4,00
Zakarin win the overall @ 19,00
Valverde ends in top 3 @ 3,00

Movistar wins team GC @ 3,75
Astana is hugely favoured, a bit too much IMO considering Amador and Movistars tradition of hunting the team GC.

Dumoulin wins mountain jersey @ 201,00
Wants to target stages.... why not, heh.


Pretty even, I think I gained 100-200 DKK or something like that. Maybe a little more since I played a good amount on Jungels. Not that it matters too much.

I have 6K on my account and started with 750 DKK, 1,5K with bonuses. I have withdrawn 2K which make it a total of 7,25K made on bet365.
I started at 750 DKK at Nordicbet, got bonus at 1,5K and is now at 2,25K.

That makes for a total of 8K or 8000 DKK, a little over 1050 Euros, made on the Giro. Safe to say I've never been this successful, ever, at betting.

Hopefully it will translate in the short run into Dauphine + Suisse, but more importantly, the Tour. Smile
 
Squire
Squire wrote:
Stage 21
120 NOK Sacha Modolo over Giacomo Nizzolo @ 2.45
140 NOK Ramunas Navardauskas over Pim Ligthart @ 1.85
95 NOK Paolo Simion over Eduard-Michel Grosu @ 1.72


Overall
80 NOK Alejandro Valverde Win @ 4.30
120 NOK Damiano Cunego KoM Win @ 4.50 Sad


Nizzolo's DSQ saved my ass a bit today. Sprint stages are always quite random, and this one even more so. Didn't think Grosu had that in him after all his struggles.

All in all a small profit from the Giro. I'll be less gung ho for the next races, and will try to make some money, although it's hard while using just one (average) bookie.

For the Vuelta I should be back from China, and will have access to a stable internet and more options!

Congratulations on your excellent performance, Riis123! Let's hope the good fortune and jugdement continues!
pcmdaily.com/images/awards/2010/11_Teamstory.png
 
Riis123
Finally. I had also lost 2 times in a row on Modolo! To top it off, I also got money back on Oss today despite not finishing ahead of Kluge - gotta love bet365. No complaints, obviously. Pfft

I don't really know the market for minor stage races. Its long time since I've been betting on those... can I expect a similar amount h2h's to the Giro?
And congrats making the small profit. Not that easy considering your bookie - but you should have been ice and thrown the kitchen sink at Atapuma at 1,83!
 
Shonak
Sweet turnout, gratz Riis. A few more bets and you can revive Euskaltel-Euskadi. Cool
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Riis123
Shonak wrote:
Sweet turnout, gratz Riis. A few more bets and you can revive Euskaltel-Euskadi. Cool


If I had a few million bucks, thats what I'd do!
 
Forever the Best
Congrats Riis!
 
Riis123
Gratz boys!

Longest 6 days of my life. Bring it ON! Grin
 
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