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Tour de France 2007
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| issoisso |
Posted on 28-07-2007 10:11
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Phanekim wrote:
Alrighty guys,
Evans vs Contador.
Any predictions? Forecast has it overcast with 20 mph headwind. Definately favoring the more powerful Evans. Levi will have a good one as he is more aerodynamic. also, 55km is one helluva long time trial.
1) Evans
2) Levi
3) Contador
as your podium.
PS: I dont think this is first time Contador and Evans had a ITT duel to determine a tour. I think 2006 Tour de Romandie Evans pulled 50 seconds on Contador to win it in a 20 km ITT. If i'm wrong, Isso will correct me.
well, here's my opinion
about the wind: it favours the heavier rider. which is Evans. the weight difference isn't much though so it won't favor him much. if it's indeed a headwind, yup, Evans is favoured even more.
this TT is flat. so, advantage Evans.
the TT last year at Romandie was the same TT as every year at Romandie. half uphill, half downhill, so no real conclusions can be taken from there...
the real problem for Evans is...1:50. it's a lot.
and IF Evans manages it, it's going to be extremely close.
as for Levi. I'd give 50-50 on him beating Contador for the stage. no chance for the overall. less actually, since Alberto has the yellow which is always a huge motivation
oh well...in a few hours we'll see.
I'm definitely looking forward to it 
EDIT: and about the jab you took at me: 51secs over 20.4 km 
Edited by issoisso on 28-07-2007 10:17
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| Guido Mukk |
Posted on 28-07-2007 10:25
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Well isso sayd it all...it's a flat..wich is advantage for Evans..there is headwind..another positive thing for Evans. Lets find few more and we gonna see how Evans beat Contador. Levi is to far...(he has perfect TT position and distance is long enough, to get his aerodynamics and TT skills to shine).
Another point 1'50 can be little to much against yellow. Heck even pure climber Pantani did exelent TT 1998 in both tours when he had leader jersey (Giro and TdF)..and he keep them both.
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| SportingNonsense |
Posted on 28-07-2007 10:39
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Geraint Thomas is on the road! Along with 9 others.
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| Addy291 |
Posted on 28-07-2007 10:40
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still no-one at the 1st checkpoint though, i was suprised to see Hushovd 4th bottom overall, obviously having a hard time
Edited by Addy291 on 28-07-2007 10:41
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| Addy291 |
Posted on 28-07-2007 10:46
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Vansevenant storms through the 1st checkpoint coming in 1st beating...no-one he was 1st to set off, and has set a pretty poor time
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| Addy291 |
Posted on 28-07-2007 10:46
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Geraint goes top with 3 riders through
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| SportingNonsense |
Posted on 28-07-2007 10:53
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Wheere are you following the live times Addy?
The TdF website says noones passed through the first check yet.
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| Addy291 |
Posted on 28-07-2007 11:08
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https://www.letour.fr/2007/TDF/LIVE/us...index.html
click the british flag on the right for English
btw, Bam De Groot smashed to the top beating Geraint by 40secs
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| Addy291 |
Posted on 28-07-2007 11:09
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but Geraint has gone through checkpoint #2 1'09 ahead of Vansevenant
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| Addy291 |
Posted on 28-07-2007 11:11
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but Krauss goes faster by 37secs
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| Addy291 |
Posted on 28-07-2007 11:15
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but De Groot is superb, for the early starters, today and goes 1'22 faster at checkpoint 2
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| SportingNonsense |
Posted on 28-07-2007 11:18
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Hoste #1 at the first check
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| JustinWK |
Posted on 28-07-2007 11:28
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Not so strange, Hoste is an outsider for today me thinks
Dwight K. Schrute: 'I'm not a hero. Im just a mere defender of the office. You know who is a hero? Hiro from Heroes. That's a hero. And Bono'.
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| Addy291 |
Posted on 28-07-2007 11:30
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yes, he has a chance
Krauss has gone through check 3 in 1st with a 2'10 advantage on Geraint, 2nd
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| SportingNonsense |
Posted on 28-07-2007 11:30
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We'll have to see how Cancellara gets on - he's the next rider to start
Edited by SportingNonsense on 28-07-2007 11:30
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| Addy291 |
Posted on 28-07-2007 11:32
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yes it'll be interesting to see if he has anything left in the tank after the mountains
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| JustinWK |
Posted on 28-07-2007 11:33
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It is said that Cancellara has been sick the past few days but I hope he can nail this TT so he can do a 'hattrick'
Dwight K. Schrute: 'I'm not a hero. Im just a mere defender of the office. You know who is a hero? Hiro from Heroes. That's a hero. And Bono'.
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| Addy291 |
Posted on 28-07-2007 11:33
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Hoste smashes De Groots time at chech 2 arriving with a 1'18 advantage
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| Addy291 |
Posted on 28-07-2007 11:39
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De Groot finishes only 31secs ahead of Krauss, obviously went too hard too soon but still manages to be 1st at the finish, so far
Host will smash that time when he comes through though
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| issoisso |
Posted on 28-07-2007 11:41
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I doubt Hoste can get anywhere. if this was 20km and didn't come after so many stages...maybe.
but not 55 km with a bunch of stages having gone before.
one thing is certain. this TT isn't as much about who is good, it's more about who is fresh.
and if you're not a good climber, there is no way you can be fresh after all those mountains. |
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