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PCM.daily DB Stats discussion
admirschleck
Posted on 15-06-2014 17:58
Team Leader
Posts: 6690
Joined: 11-10-2010
PCM$: 200.00
Ollfardh wrote:
admirschleck wrote:
Ollfardh wrote:
Van den Broeck should be amongst the 79 guys, maybe Talansky as well. Definitely not Uran or Betancur.
You must be kidding. Van den Broeck higher than Uran who got 2 GT podiums in 2 years just because of one mid-stage attack in Dauphine?
VdB = Betancur in MO (78), Betancur > VdB in HIL.
I'm not kidding. A 4th place in the Tour is higher then a podium in the Giro. You need to look at the competion.
Man, that was 2 years ago. From that point, I can't see him doing anything that makes him 79MO. We're discussing his current stats.
Luki_90
Posted on 15-06-2014 18:18
Junior Rider
Posts: 36
Joined: 22-07-2010
PCM$: 200.00
I just think that Purito has already reached the max, if it comes to power in the mountains. I ran a little bit in the future, for my Rodriguez will progressively worse it fell on the mountains. This is just my humble opinion, not everyone has to agree with her
atlanta
Posted on 15-06-2014 18:28
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I was wrong Talansky does probably deserve 78.
Edited by atlanta on 15-06-2014 18:29
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atlanta
Posted on 15-06-2014 18:33
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Anderis wrote:
baseballlover312 wrote:
Talansky at least at 78 now. Not sure I'd give him 79 until we see the TDF.
If he keeps riding like that he may end up something like 81 at the end of the TdF. I'm not talking about today stage, but he was stronger than everybody but Contador the whole race considered (and his form was on a rising trend) and if other riders won't gain form relative to him significantly in the next month, Talansky should end up on the podium of TdF.
He deserves 78 straightaway.
He would never have won if Contador helped Froome, just saying.
atlanta
Posted on 15-06-2014 18:40
Protected Rider
Posts: 1220
Joined: 31-07-2011
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Contador.
Fl 72
Mou 82
Hil 79
ITT 76
Prl 77
Spr 50(lol 57)
Acc 79
End 75
Res 85(77)
Recovery 78/80
Fighter 85
Cobbles 62
atlanta
Posted on 15-06-2014 18:49
Protected Rider
Posts: 1220
Joined: 31-07-2011
PCM$: 200.00
Froome
Fl 73
Mountain 82
Hill 77
ITT 79/80(lets be real i think Froome beats Cancellara these days)
Prol 79
Sprint 60
Acc 78
End 76
Res77
Rec 78
Fighter 76
Ollfardh
Posted on 15-06-2014 19:06
World Champion
Posts: 14563
Joined: 08-08-2011
PCM$: 9100.00
admirschleck wrote:
Ollfardh wrote:
admirschleck wrote:
Ollfardh wrote:
Van den Broeck should be amongst the 79 guys, maybe Talansky as well. Definitely not Uran or Betancur.
You must be kidding. Van den Broeck higher than Uran who got 2 GT podiums in 2 years just because of one mid-stage attack in Dauphine?
VdB = Betancur in MO (78), Betancur > VdB in HIL.
I'm not kidding. A 4th place in the Tour is higher then a podium in the Giro. You need to look at the competion.
Man, that was 2 years ago. From that point, I can't see him doing anything that makes him 79MO. We're discussing his
current stats.
What makes you say he declined then?
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
admirschleck
Posted on 15-06-2014 19:33
Team Leader
Posts: 6690
Joined: 11-10-2010
PCM$: 200.00
Not sure who is "he", but if you're referring to VdB - it's his results that made me say what I said. I never actually said that he's declining, just that he is/was in awful form last 2 years. I can't find any of his great results that'd make him 79, except Dauphine, where he once again was worse than some 78/79 guys (looking at Kelderman & Talansky who even won this).
In fact, he doesn't even deserve 78 MO, in my honest opinion. But he's just as Andy focusing only on Le Tour and therefore it's very hard to get his stats accurate and right.
Ollfardh
Posted on 15-06-2014 20:07
World Champion
Posts: 14563
Joined: 08-08-2011
PCM$: 9100.00
Well, if you think a guy with mediocre TT skills can get 4th in TDF twice with under 78 mountain, there's no need to discuss this any further
To be honest, a 3rd overall in Dauphiné is better then I remember from him in that race, so I think he's looking good for the Tour, assuming he doesn't crash out again.
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
Jesleyh
Posted on 15-06-2014 20:09
Tour de France Champion
Posts: 15274
Joined: 21-07-2012
PCM$: 200.00
Who is saying that he should have under 78 mountain? Not Admir at least.
Feyenoord(football) and Kelderman fanboy
PCMdaily Awards: 12x nomination, 9x runner-up, 0x win.
admirschleck
Posted on 15-06-2014 20:12
Team Leader
Posts: 6690
Joined: 11-10-2010
PCM$: 200.00
His MO stat was up to 80 iirc, maybe even 81 when he got 4th in TDF (so PCM10 to PCM12 period). I'll once again repeat - we're talking about current stats, not the stats from 2 & 4 years ago and the guy clearly doesn't deserve 79 MO at the moment.
Ollfardh
Posted on 15-06-2014 21:11
World Champion
Posts: 14563
Joined: 08-08-2011
PCM$: 9100.00
I don't follow that logic, you're saying he didn't decline from since 2012, yet his stats should go down (quite a bit)?
In my opinion, an injured/crashed out rider should not go down in stats unless he's at an age where natural decline comes in anyway. Did Cancellara get a stat reduction after he missed the 2013 classics? For Van den Broeck it's even more extreme, as the only race he focuses on is the Tour. I think it's only fair to keep him on his 2010-2012 level unless he proves otherwise this Tour. Based on the Dauphiné, you could even say his results are slightly improving from the previous years, as (I think) he never got a 3rd in the GC yet. I want to stress I'm only talking about the Mountain stat. So if you compare GC results to guys like Uran, who has a far better TT, hill, acceleration etc, you should take that into account as well.
I mean, in the past we had guys like Andy Schleck, Gesink or Hushovd getting a crapload of bad results before they got a stat reduction, and Van Den Broeck gets it after he has 1 crash that ruins his season. As I said a few pages before, there's just no consistency on this matter.
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
Ollfardh
Posted on 15-06-2014 21:47
World Champion
Posts: 14563
Joined: 08-08-2011
PCM$: 9100.00
Just to clarify Jesleyh, what policy you guys use for riders missing their key races due to injuries?
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
Maddox
Posted on 15-06-2014 22:28
Neo-Pro
Posts: 329
Joined: 19-06-2013
PCM$: 400.00
atlanta wrote:
Contador.
Fl 71
Mou 82
Hil 78
ITT 76
Prl 76
Spr 56
Acc 78
End 75
Res 77
Recovery 79
Fighter 83
Cobbles 64
Minor changes
Maddox
Posted on 15-06-2014 22:34
Neo-Pro
Posts: 329
Joined: 19-06-2013
PCM$: 400.00
82 - Froome, Contador, Quintana
81 - Nibali, Rodriguez
80 - Valverde
79 - Porte, Kreuziger, Talansky, Van den Broeck, Rolland, Uran, Aru, Betancur
78 - Pozzovivo, Kelderman, Majka, Horner, Mollema, Nieve, Pinot
77 - Peraud, Fuglsang, Evans, Van Garderen, Ten Dam, D.Martin, Hesjedal, Spilak, Costa, Niemiec, Poels, Wiggins, Roche, Kiserlovski, F.Schleck, Frank, Duarte,
76 - A. Yates, Reichenbach, Bardet, Kangert, Konig, Navarro, Moreno, Vuillermoz, Pellizotti, Rogers, Sebastian Henao, Monfort, Geniez, Morabito, Cataldo, Arredondo, and so on ...
Jesleyh
Posted on 16-06-2014 07:55
Tour de France Champion
Posts: 15274
Joined: 21-07-2012
PCM$: 200.00
Ollfardh wrote:
Just to clarify Jesleyh, what policy you guys use for riders missing their key races due to injuries?
We keep them around the same level, and if it really takes too long until a rider gets a decent result we have to lower him a bit(applies to Gesink and Schleck indeed) but normally we'd be a bit mild. VDB is at 78 for now. With that stats, he could realistically reach a 3rd place in the Dauphiné in a condition like this(VDB in form, Nibali and Froome not so much, to simplify it)
Problem with VDB is that he only focuses on TdF and rarely gets another result to confirm he's still on the same level.
If he rides a good TdF, he might get his 79 MO back, like you want. Just not yet, we'll have to await how everyone is in his topshape.
Lowering him was never a discussion point, 77 MO would be too low for him.
Edited by Jesleyh on 16-06-2014 07:58
Feyenoord(football) and Kelderman fanboy
PCMdaily Awards: 12x nomination, 9x runner-up, 0x win.
toon83
Posted on 16-06-2014 08:43
Under 23
Posts: 87
Joined: 14-09-2012
PCM$: 200.00
Maddox wrote:
82 - Froome, Contador, Quintana
81 - Nibali, Rodriguez
80 - Valverde
79 - Porte, Kreuziger, Talansky, Van den Broeck, Rolland, Uran, Aru, Betancur
78 - Pozzovivo, Kelderman, Majka, Horner, Mollema, Nieve, Pinot
77 - Peraud, Fuglsang, Evans, Van Garderen, Ten Dam, D.Martin, Hesjedal, Spilak, Costa, Niemiec, Poels, Wiggins, Roche, Kiserlovski, F.Schleck, Frank, Duarte,
76 - A. Yates, Reichenbach, Bardet, Kangert, Konig, Navarro, Moreno, Vuillermoz, Pellizotti, Rogers, Sebastian Henao, Monfort, Geniez, Morabito, Cataldo, Arredondo, and so on ...
Do you have a full stat update on Adam and Simon Yates? Or does anybody?
Maddox
Posted on 16-06-2014 10:27
Neo-Pro
Posts: 329
Joined: 19-06-2013
PCM$: 400.00
I can make one later today on Adam Yates.
atlanta
Posted on 16-06-2014 10:43
Protected Rider
Posts: 1220
Joined: 31-07-2011
PCM$: 200.00
Ollfardh wrote:
I don't follow that logic, you're saying he didn't decline from since 2012, yet his stats should go down (quite a bit)?
In my opinion, an injured/crashed out rider should not go down in stats unless he's at an age where natural decline comes in anyway. Did Cancellara get a stat reduction after he missed the 2013 classics? For Van den Broeck it's even more extreme, as the only race he focuses on is the Tour. I think it's only fair to keep him on his 2010-2012 level unless he proves otherwise this Tour. Based on the Dauphiné, you could even say his results are slightly improving from the previous years, as (I think) he never got a 3rd in the GC yet. I want to stress I'm only talking about the Mountain stat. So if you compare GC results to guys like Uran, who has a far better TT, hill, acceleration etc, you should take that into account as well.
I mean, in the past we had guys like Andy Schleck, Gesink or Hushovd getting a crapload of bad results before they got a stat reduction, and Van Den Broeck gets it after he has 1 crash that ruins his season. As I said a few pages before, there's just no consistency on this matter.
Give Uran 79 aswell why you're at it, also give Talansky 80 he outclimbed JVdb . Drop Nibali to 80 but JVdB is not 79 imho. He still get 5th in Giro for me and top 6 in TDF.
Any ideas on Yates people? I think he should get 7 potential. No neo - pro does this well unless you're Sagan.
Edited by atlanta on 16-06-2014 10:44
Ian Butler
Posted on 16-06-2014 10:50
Tour de France Champion
Posts: 21854
Joined: 01-05-2012
PCM$: 400.00
atlanta wrote:
Spoiler
Ollfardh wrote:
I don't follow that logic, you're saying he didn't decline from since 2012, yet his stats should go down (quite a bit)?
In my opinion, an injured/crashed out rider should not go down in stats unless he's at an age where natural decline comes in anyway. Did Cancellara get a stat reduction after he missed the 2013 classics? For Van den Broeck it's even more extreme, as the only race he focuses on is the Tour. I think it's only fair to keep him on his 2010-2012 level unless he proves otherwise this Tour. Based on the Dauphiné, you could even say his results are slightly improving from the previous years, as (I think) he never got a 3rd in the GC yet. I want to stress I'm only talking about the Mountain stat. So if you compare GC results to guys like Uran, who has a far better TT, hill, acceleration etc, you should take that into account as well.
I mean, in the past we had guys like Andy Schleck, Gesink or Hushovd getting a crapload of bad results before they got a stat reduction, and Van Den Broeck gets it after he has 1 crash that ruins his season. As I said a few pages before, there's just no consistency on this matter.
Give Uran 79 aswell why you're at it, also give Talansky 80 he outclimbed JVdb
. Drop Nibali to 80 but JVdB is not 79 imho. He still get 5th in Giro for me and top 6 in TDF.
Any ideas on Yates people? I think he should get 7 potential. No neo - pro does this well unless you're Sagan.
Mathieu Van Der Poel does his thing pretty impressive, too
Yates 7 potential seems fair, though!
Talansky 80 MO isn't
Edited by Ian Butler on 16-06-2014 10:50
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