Not sure who is "he", but if you're referring to VdB - it's his results that made me say what I said. I never actually said that he's declining, just that he is/was in awful form last 2 years. I can't find any of his great results that'd make him 79, except Dauphine, where he once again was worse than some 78/79 guys (looking at Kelderman & Talansky who even won this).
In fact, he doesn't even deserve 78 MO, in my honest opinion. But he's just as Andy focusing only on Le Tour and therefore it's very hard to get his stats accurate and right.
Well, if you think a guy with mediocre TT skills can get 4th in TDF twice with under 78 mountain, there's no need to discuss this any further
To be honest, a 3rd overall in Dauphiné is better then I remember from him in that race, so I think he's looking good for the Tour, assuming he doesn't crash out again.
His MO stat was up to 80 iirc, maybe even 81 when he got 4th in TDF (so PCM10 to PCM12 period). I'll once again repeat - we're talking about current stats, not the stats from 2 & 4 years ago and the guy clearly doesn't deserve 79 MO at the moment.
I don't follow that logic, you're saying he didn't decline from since 2012, yet his stats should go down (quite a bit)?
In my opinion, an injured/crashed out rider should not go down in stats unless he's at an age where natural decline comes in anyway. Did Cancellara get a stat reduction after he missed the 2013 classics? For Van den Broeck it's even more extreme, as the only race he focuses on is the Tour. I think it's only fair to keep him on his 2010-2012 level unless he proves otherwise this Tour. Based on the Dauphiné, you could even say his results are slightly improving from the previous years, as (I think) he never got a 3rd in the GC yet. I want to stress I'm only talking about the Mountain stat. So if you compare GC results to guys like Uran, who has a far better TT, hill, acceleration etc, you should take that into account as well.
I mean, in the past we had guys like Andy Schleck, Gesink or Hushovd getting a crapload of bad results before they got a stat reduction, and Van Den Broeck gets it after he has 1 crash that ruins his season. As I said a few pages before, there's just no consistency on this matter.
Ollfardh wrote:
Just to clarify Jesleyh, what policy you guys use for riders missing their key races due to injuries?
We keep them around the same level, and if it really takes too long until a rider gets a decent result we have to lower him a bit(applies to Gesink and Schleck indeed) but normally we'd be a bit mild. VDB is at 78 for now. With that stats, he could realistically reach a 3rd place in the Dauphiné in a condition like this(VDB in form, Nibali and Froome not so much, to simplify it)
Problem with VDB is that he only focuses on TdF and rarely gets another result to confirm he's still on the same level.
If he rides a good TdF, he might get his 79 MO back, like you want. Just not yet, we'll have to await how everyone is in his topshape.
Lowering him was never a discussion point, 77 MO would be too low for him.
Edited by Jesleyh on 16-06-2014 07:58
Ollfardh wrote:
I don't follow that logic, you're saying he didn't decline from since 2012, yet his stats should go down (quite a bit)?
In my opinion, an injured/crashed out rider should not go down in stats unless he's at an age where natural decline comes in anyway. Did Cancellara get a stat reduction after he missed the 2013 classics? For Van den Broeck it's even more extreme, as the only race he focuses on is the Tour. I think it's only fair to keep him on his 2010-2012 level unless he proves otherwise this Tour. Based on the Dauphiné, you could even say his results are slightly improving from the previous years, as (I think) he never got a 3rd in the GC yet. I want to stress I'm only talking about the Mountain stat. So if you compare GC results to guys like Uran, who has a far better TT, hill, acceleration etc, you should take that into account as well.
I mean, in the past we had guys like Andy Schleck, Gesink or Hushovd getting a crapload of bad results before they got a stat reduction, and Van Den Broeck gets it after he has 1 crash that ruins his season. As I said a few pages before, there's just no consistency on this matter.
Give Uran 79 aswell why you're at it, also give Talansky 80 he outclimbed JVdb. Drop Nibali to 80 but JVdB is not 79 imho. He still get 5th in Giro for me and top 6 in TDF.
Any ideas on Yates people? I think he should get 7 potential. No neo - pro does this well unless you're Sagan.
Edited by atlanta on 16-06-2014 10:44
Ollfardh wrote:
I don't follow that logic, you're saying he didn't decline from since 2012, yet his stats should go down (quite a bit)?
In my opinion, an injured/crashed out rider should not go down in stats unless he's at an age where natural decline comes in anyway. Did Cancellara get a stat reduction after he missed the 2013 classics? For Van den Broeck it's even more extreme, as the only race he focuses on is the Tour. I think it's only fair to keep him on his 2010-2012 level unless he proves otherwise this Tour. Based on the Dauphiné, you could even say his results are slightly improving from the previous years, as (I think) he never got a 3rd in the GC yet. I want to stress I'm only talking about the Mountain stat. So if you compare GC results to guys like Uran, who has a far better TT, hill, acceleration etc, you should take that into account as well.
I mean, in the past we had guys like Andy Schleck, Gesink or Hushovd getting a crapload of bad results before they got a stat reduction, and Van Den Broeck gets it after he has 1 crash that ruins his season. As I said a few pages before, there's just no consistency on this matter.
Give Uran 79 aswell why you're at it, also give Talansky 80 he outclimbed JVdb. Drop Nibali to 80 but JVdB is not 79 imho. He still get 5th in Giro for me and top 6 in TDF.
Any ideas on Yates people? I think he should get 7 potential. No neo - pro does this well unless you're Sagan.
Mathieu Van Der Poel does his thing pretty impressive, too
Yates 7 potential seems fair, though!
Talansky 80 MO isn't Edited by Ian Butler on 16-06-2014 10:50
Ollfardh wrote:
I mean, in the past we had guys like Andy Schleck, Gesink or Hushovd getting a crapload of bad results before they got a stat reduction, and Van Den Broeck gets it after he has 1 crash that ruins his season. As I said a few pages before, there's just no consistency on this matter.
Guys like Gesink, Schleck & Hushovd are already on 74 to 76 in their primary stats for quite some time, so that's not a proper argument.
Edited by admirschleck on 16-06-2014 10:56
Ollfardh wrote:
I don't follow that logic, you're saying he didn't decline from since 2012, yet his stats should go down (quite a bit)?
In my opinion, an injured/crashed out rider should not go down in stats unless he's at an age where natural decline comes in anyway. Did Cancellara get a stat reduction after he missed the 2013 classics? For Van den Broeck it's even more extreme, as the only race he focuses on is the Tour. I think it's only fair to keep him on his 2010-2012 level unless he proves otherwise this Tour. Based on the Dauphiné, you could even say his results are slightly improving from the previous years, as (I think) he never got a 3rd in the GC yet. I want to stress I'm only talking about the Mountain stat. So if you compare GC results to guys like Uran, who has a far better TT, hill, acceleration etc, you should take that into account as well.
I mean, in the past we had guys like Andy Schleck, Gesink or Hushovd getting a crapload of bad results before they got a stat reduction, and Van Den Broeck gets it after he has 1 crash that ruins his season. As I said a few pages before, there's just no consistency on this matter.
Give Uran 79 aswell why you're at it, also give Talansky 80 he outclimbed JVdb. Drop Nibali to 80 but JVdB is not 79 imho. He still get 5th in Giro for me and top 6 in TDF.
Any ideas on Yates people? I think he should get 7 potential. No neo - pro does this well unless you're Sagan.
Mathieu Van Der Poel does his thing pretty impressive, too
Yates 7 potential seems fair, though!
Talansky 80 MO isn't
Sorry for this question if it sounds sily but has Vander Poel been good on the road?. I assumed he was just racing CX. But yes man he is a beast in pcm. He had 82 hill with 85 End.
Ollfardh wrote:
I don't follow that logic, you're saying he didn't decline from since 2012, yet his stats should go down (quite a bit)?
In my opinion, an injured/crashed out rider should not go down in stats unless he's at an age where natural decline comes in anyway. Did Cancellara get a stat reduction after he missed the 2013 classics? For Van den Broeck it's even more extreme, as the only race he focuses on is the Tour. I think it's only fair to keep him on his 2010-2012 level unless he proves otherwise this Tour. Based on the Dauphiné, you could even say his results are slightly improving from the previous years, as (I think) he never got a 3rd in the GC yet. I want to stress I'm only talking about the Mountain stat. So if you compare GC results to guys like Uran, who has a far better TT, hill, acceleration etc, you should take that into account as well.
I mean, in the past we had guys like Andy Schleck, Gesink or Hushovd getting a crapload of bad results before they got a stat reduction, and Van Den Broeck gets it after he has 1 crash that ruins his season. As I said a few pages before, there's just no consistency on this matter.
Give Uran 79 aswell why you're at it, also give Talansky 80 he outclimbed JVdb. Drop Nibali to 80 but JVdB is not 79 imho. He still get 5th in Giro for me and top 6 in TDF.
Any ideas on Yates people? I think he should get 7 potential. No neo - pro does this well unless you're Sagan.
Mathieu Van Der Poel does his thing pretty impressive, too
Yates 7 potential seems fair, though!
Talansky 80 MO isn't
Sorry for this question if it sounds sily but has Vander Poel been good on the road?. I assumed he was just racing CX. But yes man he is a beast in pcm. He had 82 hill with 85 End.