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Stairs |
Posted on 30-08-2008 12:52
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jamsque wrote:
Does this mean that Daamsgaard's methods are invalid, or worse (and much more unlikely), that he's a stooge? If his tests aren't catching dopers in Astana, they could also be not catching dopers in CSC, and Garmin and Colombia's methods might be missing people too. Am I being naive in trusting these riders? I am pretty cynical about cycling, but it would upset me a lot if Cav turned out to be dirty, or if all Millar's talk over these last years has been bullshit. As for CSC, it would just be a damn shame if their show at the Tour this year that I found so captivating and gripping was all a sham. And if Jens Voigt is dirty, there is no hope for the world.
To beat a doper doesn't mean you're doping - but yes, I get your point and I've had the same thoughts. It is important to remember that Contadors performances in the Giro were close to 10% lower than in the Tour less than a year before. He was dropped on several occasions and, thankfully, couldn't respond to any of Ricco or Sellas attacks. He won the Giro in the ITT's but almost lost it in the mountains - not quite the Contador we're used to
Damsgaard's anti-doping program on Astana had only been running since the winter and it would be hard to really point out the natural and unnatural fluctuations in Contador's values at this relatively early point. That is why the blood passport won't be usable for anything until next spring - and that's also why we had to wait to the late summer to see Gusev get kicked out of Astana. So, maybe it was actually possible for him to micro-dose in the weeks, maybe even months, in the spring. If Andy Schleck hadn't shown anything after his Giro 2007, we could have had the same suspicion. Let's see how the Vuelta turns out. If Contador puts out a VAM of 1800 on every mountain-stage, winning in front Klöden, Levi and the all-of-a-sudden-climber Tomas Vaitkus, I'll admit that we're back at where we were just a couple of years ago.
Aquarius wrote:
Sastre ? His performances in mountains (in terms of Watts) are not credible from a clean man. He was at Once, then went to CSC, teams with a very bad reputation regarding doping habits.
The Schleck brothers and Cancellara ? They've been targeted by all cycling/doping authorities, there's something wrong with them. Cancellara and Voigt performances in the Tourmalet make no sense... 75 kg dudes dropping climbers ? Yeah, right... I thought I was watching sport, not science-fiction.
The Schleck brothers were considered like decent amateurs in France. Nothing like the world finest talents. Potential UCI top 100 riders maybe ?
O'Grady ? Decent sprinter, decent pursuiter, but a guy who, like Cancellara, could hang with the best hilly riders in Zurich, then win Paris-Roubaix ? That's too much of a progression for his old age.
You seem to be a nice guy, sometimes, but some of those arguments just seem to be the good ol' jealous Frenchie talkin'
No, seriously, you can't look at the one performance and then make your own conclusions. I think we can all agree that Voigt is a man who can very well make an all-out performance, we've seen that several times. If Voigt and Cancellara had kept on going, making the US Postal-train riding up Hautacam, it would just have been too much. No, instead they lost 15 minutes riding those last 17 km.
I'll agree that Frank Schleck didn't seem that talented in his youth years, although he made some good results. Andy Schleck, on the other hand, won the Fleche du Sud and got 3rd in the GP Tell as a first-year senior, 19 years old. He went pro the year after.
Yes, the GP Zürich-performance was a bit... well - not extraterrestrial but it was certainly, let's just say, better than expected. The Paris - Roubaix 2007 was generally a strange race. Suddenly, all the usual favourites just were gone. Lars Michaelsen told after the race that he had had diamonds in his legs that day - I think the same goes for O'Grady. You can do more than you'd ever think if you've got the day - with that said, I can of course understand your suspicion.
Never.
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issoisso |
Posted on 30-08-2008 13:04
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please don't bring up VAM, it's the stupidest measurement in the history of cycling and can't seriously be used for anything
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"I love him, I think he's great. He's transformed the sport in so many ways. Every person in cycling has benefitted from Lance Armstrong, perhaps not financially but in some sense" - Bradley Wiggins on Lance Armstrong
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Stairs |
Posted on 30-08-2008 13:07
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I like 'em!
Okay, then, if he does 480 watts on every mountain-stage
Never.
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ladagnous |
Posted on 30-08-2008 13:14
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sorry but what are VAM |
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Aquarius |
Posted on 30-08-2008 14:00
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Vitesse d'Ascension Moyenne : average climbing speed in English.
It says that on slopes above 7%, you'll always climb at the same speed (in terms of height meters per hour) no matter what the slope is (7% or 14% slope).
Actually, it's a simplification of the three forces a rider has to struggle against when climbing a mountain : air resistance (which is here supposed to become neglectable due to the low speed on 7+% slopes), mechanical resistance (proportional to the speed of the rider), and gravity (the only one left in VAM).
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Aquarius |
Posted on 30-08-2008 14:06
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Stairs wrote:
To beat a doper doesn't mean you're doping - but yes, I get your point and I've had the same thoughts. It is important to remember that Contadors performances in the Giro were close to 10% lower than in the Tour less than a year before. He was dropped on several occasions and, thankfully, couldn't respond to any of Ricco or Sellas attacks. He won the Giro in the ITT's but almost lost it in the mountains - not quite the Contador we're used to The routes and weather conditions were also much more difficult in this year Giro than in last year's TDF. I'm not sure that achieving let's say 410W there was a lesser performance than achieving 430 or 440 in the previious TDF. It's a matter of context.
Stairs wrote:
You seem to be a nice guy, sometimes, but some of those arguments just seem to be the good ol' jealous Frenchie talkin'
No, seriously, you can't look at the one performance and then make your own conclusions. I think we can all agree that Voigt is a man who can very well make an all-out performance, we've seen that several times. If Voigt and Cancellara had kept on going, making the US Postal-train riding up Hautacam, it would just have been too much. No, instead they lost 15 minutes riding those last 17 km.
I'll agree that Frank Schleck didn't seem that talented in his youth years, although he made some good results. Andy Schleck, on the other hand, won the Fleche du Sud and got 3rd in the GP Tell as a first-year senior, 19 years old. He went pro the year after.
Yes, the GP Zürich-performance was a bit... well - not extraterrestrial but it was certainly, let's just say, better than expected. The Paris - Roubaix 2007 was generally a strange race. Suddenly, all the usual favourites just were gone. Lars Michaelsen told after the race that he had had diamonds in his legs that day - I think the same goes for O'Grady. You can do more than you'd ever think if you've got the day - with that said, I can of course understand your suspicion. I took the most blatant examples that came to my mind, but it's more of a general feeling about them rather than one single performance by each of them that is leading me to think what I think of them.
Voigt was an attacker as an amateur or a Gan rider, nothing like a rider belonging to the world's 20 better climbers. Cancellara also had very suspicious power measurements in other occasions in this TDF (in that stage Gerrans won). I agre about Andy Schleck, he seems less of a swindle than his brother, but still, no one could decently expect him to perform like this when he still was an amateur. I doubt it's only a matter of training more. |
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CrueTrue |
Posted on 30-08-2008 14:20
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But does anyone know why especially Astana and CSC are better at covering up than other teams are? Many tend to agree that CSC and Astana are among the most doped teams in the peloton, but unlike a team such as Saunier Duval (Scott - American Beef) the riders aren't caught. At least not until they leave the team again. |
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ladagnous |
Posted on 30-08-2008 14:30
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probaly because both managers doped themselves and know how to cover up
or and highly likely their is organised mass dopage by the team with the doctors themselves covering it up
while other team they are lone case of dopage. |
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Aquarius |
Posted on 30-08-2008 14:34
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I think that's where Dammsgard interveins.
It's a bit like in Festina's time at them, it's team doping most likely. Riders are injected with stuff, knowing when they'll be controlled by Daamsgard & co (it's supposed to be random controls, but I doubt it), and when they need to take dope in order to never be caught. Some products can only be detected for a very short amount of time (a couple of hours) whereas their effects last months. I see those programs as "perfect doping schedules".
At Saunier it's most likely that the team directors close their eyes on doping (Gianetti could not not know that Ricco was heavily doped). But if a rider gets caught it becomes his own business.
The only chance that an Astana or a CSC rider will ever get caught is that he takes a stupid product on his own (like Fofonov), otherwise it will never happen. |
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ladagnous |
Posted on 30-08-2008 14:39
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it's supposed to be random controls, but I doubt it
what do you mean by this
that the riders are worn by the UCI or Dammsgard that they will be controlled.
I very much doubt so I think they just never worry because they are always covering it up |
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Aquarius |
Posted on 30-08-2008 14:47
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I mean that supposedly they can be controlled by an external organism at any time of the day or of the year. I don't believe it's that random. |
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Stairs |
Posted on 30-08-2008 15:04
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Okay, then, you don't believe in anything - how are we supposed to clean this mess called Cycling up?
Never.
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fenian_1234 |
Posted on 30-08-2008 15:28
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Don't believe in clean cycling for even one second.
But, the Gusev thing has me a bit confused about Damsgaard's role. I wonder did he back JB into a corner or something?
And as for dope testing at the Giro - didn't they decide to sweep the CERA under the carpet this year? |
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CrueTrue |
Posted on 30-08-2008 15:32
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Aquarius wrote:
I think that's where Dammsgard interveins.
It's a bit like in Festina's time at them, it's team doping most likely. Riders are injected with stuff, knowing when they'll be controlled by Daamsgard & co (it's supposed to be random controls, but I doubt it), and when they need to take dope in order to never be caught. Some products can only be detected for a very short amount of time (a couple of hours) whereas their effects last months. I see those programs as "perfect doping schedules".
At Saunier it's most likely that the team directors close their eyes on doping (Gianetti could not not know that Ricco was heavily doped). But if a rider gets caught it becomes his own business.
The only chance that an Astana or a CSC rider will ever get caught is that he takes a stupid product on his own (like Fofonov), otherwise it will never happen.
Just to make it clear, I don't have any trust in CSC and Astana either. That said, I do have confidence in Damsgaard. I just don't believe that his methods work. Neither do I think that the biological passport will make any huge difference. Damsgaard have collected lots of data now, and he still doesn't notice anything strange |
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issoisso |
Posted on 30-08-2008 15:34
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on the contrary, Damsgaard said that if WADA applied the criteria they should, hundreds of samples they declare negative would be positive right now.
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brun sweater |
Posted on 30-08-2008 15:54
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Aquarius wrote:
I think that's where Dammsgard interveins.
It's a bit like in Festina's time at them, it's team doping most likely. Riders are injected with stuff, knowing when they'll be controlled by Daamsgard & co (it's supposed to be random controls, but I doubt it), and when they need to take dope in order to never be caught. Some products can only be detected for a very short amount of time (a couple of hours) whereas their effects last months. I see those programs as "perfect doping schedules".
At Saunier it's most likely that the team directors close their eyes on doping (Gianetti could not not know that Ricco was heavily doped). But if a rider gets caught it becomes his own business.
The only chance that an Astana or a CSC rider will ever get caught is that he takes a stupid product on his own (like Fofonov), otherwise it will never happen.
Damsgaard has lower tolerance than UCI at some parameters. Gusev got fired on values actually allowed by UCI and WADA, but deemed suspicious by Damsgaard. I don't he's involved in any foul play, but Damsgaard have to operate within parameters as well as the others athorities. If you have the means, it's really no problem to keep track of your values by yourself, and then keep within those values. Testosteron is prolly the most used substance in the pack, and there you operate within certain parameters to decide whether an athlete has done anything illegal. Only then the samples will be tested for synthetic testosteron. Hematocrit can tracked by yourself very easily. In fact, if you use hct boosting medicine, or your own blood, you have to keep track of your hct, otherwise it might end up killing you. But if you keep track and know what you're doping, it is perfectly safe.
The Balco affair in the states told us about how the athletes speculate in whereabout warnings. Rasmussen wouldn't have been caught lying, if the danish cycling federation, hadn't been talking about stuff which according to the law is confidential. That makes you wonder how many athletes out there have two warnings? |
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Aquarius |
Posted on 30-08-2008 16:09
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Well, I might be wrong about Daamsgard then. Still, it seems obvious CSC and Kazakhsatanas are bunches of dopeheads, and that those programs are used to show they're (supposed to be) clean.
In between the programs and the teams (riders) is Daamsgard, on which side is he ? Well, I've never been too sure, let's say I now tend to think he's on the good one, but unable to make his program efficient. |
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Aquarius |
Posted on 30-08-2008 16:11
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Stairs wrote:
Okay, then, you don't believe in anything - how are we supposed to clean this mess called Cycling up? I believe there are basically three categories of teams among the best 30 professional teams. The one with team doping, the one that don't mind about their riders taking dope on their own, and the ones fighting doping for real.
How to clean it ? That's another very long debate, tihs topic might not be the place for it.
Oh, and despite being raised as a catholic, I'm a scientific/cartesian/rationnalist/logician, I have to doubt from everything before I might eventually trust it. |
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fenian_1234 |
Posted on 30-08-2008 16:15
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Aquarius wrote:
Well, I might be wrong about Daamsgard then. Still, it seems obvious CSC and Kazakhsatanas are bunches of dopeheads, and that those programs are used to show they're (supposed to be) clean.
Spot on. Seems to me, this is the way to go.
Look at the resounding success the Olympics were. |
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brun sweater |
Posted on 30-08-2008 16:18
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It's of course weird how the allegedly best tested teams (CSC and Colombia) were the ones dominating le Tour? |
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