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21-11-2024 23:24

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PCM.daily » PCM.daily's Management Game » [Cont-Man-Game] General

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Hong Kong Challenge Discussion

Laurens147

Posted on 10-10-2023 07:53

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Posts: 1122
Joined: 26-04-2020
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[C1] Hong Kong Challenge

pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Profiles/mg_hongkong.jpg

Honor roll

Year	Winner
2022	Timofey Kritskiy (Gjensidige Pro Cycling Team)
2021	Eduard Alexander Beltran (Cedevita)
2020	Wilco Kelderman (Philips)
2019	Vincenzo Nibali (Euskaltel - Elior)
2018	Leopold KÃ¶nig (Valio - DeLaval)

2022 edition

1	Timofey Kritskiy	Gjensidige Pro Cycling Team	-
2	Fausto Masnada	Jura GIANTS	0'18"
3	Rafael Reis	Red Bull Zalgiris	0'25"
4	Bonaventure Uwizeyimana	Bralirwa - Stevens	0'26"
5	Benjamin Dyball	Trans Looney Tunes	0'36"
6	Joseph Areruya	Xero Racing	0'44"
7	Jesus Herrada	Volcanica - Fox	0'56"
8	Lennard KÃ¤mna	Carlsberg - Danske Bank	1'01"
9	Nicola Conci	Zara - Irizar	1'02"
10	Ian Boswell	McCormick Pro Cycling	1'03"

GC Favorites

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC	Team	Division
Masnada	Fausto	ITA	30	77	76	73	75	73	Jura GIANTS	PCT
Vansevenant	Mauri	BEL	24	73	78	69	77	78	Fastned	PCT
McNulty	Brandon	USA	25	80	74	77	77	68	McCormick Pro Cycling	PCT
Pidcock	Thomas	GBR	24	74	75	71	77	80	Xero Racing	PCT
Higuita	Sergio	COL	26	78	79	65	78	75	Los Pollos Hermanos	PCT
Errazkin	Xuban	ESP	27	74	78	70	75	73	Jura GIANTS	PCT
Eiking	Odd Christian	NOR	29	69	81	66	74	76	Gjensidige Pro Cycling Team	CT
Meurisse	Xandro	BEL	31	74	77	67	74	78	Lampre - Pinarello	PCT
Goos	Marc	NED	33	76	73	75	74	72	Stela-Vita	CT
Turgis	Anthony	FRA	29	67	79	66	78	77	Lampre - Pinarello	PCT

TT Favorites

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC	Team	Division
Zmorka	Marlen	UKR	30	61	66	82	75	70	Los Pollos Hermanos	PCT
Paillot	Yoann	FRA	32	70	71	80	74	64	Assa Abloy	PCT
SÃ¼tterlin	Jasha	GER	31	59	65	80	77	60	Los Pollos Hermanos	PCT
Van Moer	Brent	BEL	25	61	70	79	78	65	Gjensidige Pro Cycling Team	CT
Haugard	Phan Age	NOR	31	57	60	79	77	67	Team UBS - Tissot	PCT
Politt	Nils	GER	29	63	66	78	73	65	Bralirwa - Stevens	PCT
Van Niekerk	Morne	RSA	28	61	67	78	75	67	Xero Racing	PCT
Bissegger	Stefan	SWI	25	68	69	78	77	73	Jura GIANTS	PCT
Verona	Carlos	ESP	31	54	62	77	75	63	Bralirwa - Stevens	PCT
Oram	James	NZL	30	58	64	77	72	70	Glanbia	PCT

Let's look at all participating teams in detail:

Air New Zealand-Alfa Romeo CT

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC
Archbold	Shane	NZL	34	55	59	74	66	70
Brown	Connor	NZL	25	66	67	66	68	68
Gaze	Samuel	NZL	28	63	69	58	79	71
Insausti	Jon Ander	ESP	31	53	64	66	73	66
Puccio	Salvatore	ITA	34	54	64	59	68	52
Reddish	Nick	NZL	27	62	67	66	75	72
Vink	Michael	NZL	32	67	75	69	71	68
Zariff	Nur Aiman	MAS	26	58	60	60	67	80

We start this preview with a CT team, the first of ten participating CT teams.
Michael Vink looks like the best option for them, although the first objective will be the early break.

Assa Abloy PCT

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC
Bergstrom Frisk	Erik	SWD	24	70	67	62	70	62
Chaves	Johan Esteban	COL	33	75	78	67	72	71
Faglum Karlsson	Marcus	SWD	29	79	73	73	75	68
Gebremedhin	Awet	SWD	31	77	74	64	74	75
Gougeard	Alexis	FRA	30	66	70	70	76	65
HÃ¤nninen	Jaako	FIN	26	70	74	70	72	72
Hoole	Daan	NED	24	68	66	70	73	68
Paillot	Yoann	FRA	32	70	71	80	74	64

Assa Abloy brings Johan Esteban Chaves and Marcus Faglum Karlsson as GC leaders to HK.
Although maybe they miss the necessary punch in the hilly stages. Yoann Paillot is one the favorites for stage 2, maybe he can surprise in GC?

Babymetal Cycling CT

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC
Arashiro	Yudai	JPN	28	60	64	62	67	75
De Laat	Jasper	NED	29	70	72	64	67	68
Johnson	Cooper	USA	22	65	68	62	67	67
Kawasaki	Miori	JPN	24	70	69	68	73	67
Niu	Yikui	CHN	29	74	72	67	69	74
Riabushenko	Aliaksandr	BLR	28	63	68	62	74	77
Verschaeve	Viktor	BEL	25	76	73	71	75	71
Welch	Patrick	USA	22	65	64	66	59	59

As an (new) Asian based team, manager TheUlamog and his riders will be looking forward to race here.
Belgian Viktor Verschaeve should be their best shot for GC. Apart from that, they will be looking for breakaways and tv coverage.

Bralirwa - Stevens PCT

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC
Eyob	Mektel	ERI	30	76	76	66	69	66
Hadi	Janvier	RWA	31	74	72	74	70	71
Izagirre	Ion	ESP	34	72	79	75	69	61
Mugisha	Moise	RWA	26	71	75	62	74	73
Mugisha	Samuel	RWA	26	64	70	74	74	68
Politt	Nils	GER	29	63	66	78	73	65
Uwizeyimana	Bonaventure	RWA	30	76	72	74	75	68
Verona	Carlos	ESP	31	54	62	77	75	63

Ion Izagirre leads Bralirwa - Stevens here in Hong Kong. His energy stats makes the Spaniard an outsider.
With Politt and Verona they should score in the TT.

Caja Rural Cycling Team CT

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC
Balloni	Alfredo	ITA	34	57	63	75	66	62
Barbero	Carlos	ESP	32	66	75	64	72	74
Domene	Ramon	ESP	33	50	56	56	66	73
Ezquerra	Jesus	ESP	33	64	70	61	69	69
Garcia	Jhojan	COL	25	71	70	65	71	71
Guardini	Andrea	ITA	34	52	61	56	64	77
Quevedo	Xavier	VEN	32	71	78	65	72	75
Sinkeldam	Ramon	NED	34	62	72	61	65	63

Xavier Quevedo from Venezuela is someone who will target the hilly stages, but his TT is below par.
Just like the other CT teams, the focus of manager 2kignacio2020 will be on an attacking style.

Colombini Cycling PCT

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC
Bdadou	Youssef	MOR	23	63	71	69	67	72
Bonello	Daniel	MLT	23	66	68	67	69	66
Borg	Luke	MLT	21	66	67	61	65	71
Gebrezgabihier	Amanuel	ERI	29	70	79	66	74	69
Jele	Kwanele	SWZ	23	72	62	52	71	68
Martino	Stan	SMR	23	71	65	64	70	67
Tiberi	Antonio	SMR	22	68	65	68	66	67
Xandri	Jan	AND	29	76	73	73	74	69

Newly promoted Colombini has their hopes on Amanuel Gebrezgabihier, only he will lose quite some time in the TT.
Maybe Jan Xandri can take over his role, as the man from Andorra is more allrounded. The rest of the team is 23 and younger, mainly for the experience.

Ekoi - Le Creuset CT

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC
Garibian	Arman	MOL	23	71	68	69	71	69
Hopkins	Dylan	AUS	22	68	68	67	70	65
Lammertink	Maurits	NED	33	67	75	65	71	67
Le Gac	Olivier	FRA	30	69	77	60	74	69
Paulus	Daniel	AUT	30	74	77	64	68	71
Teuns	Dylan	BEL	31	75	78	64	73	72

Ekoi - Le Creuset brings a short staffed team of 6 riders to Hong Kong. Dylan Teuns is the leader for them here.
Lammertink, Le Gac, Paulus and co could surprise from a breakaway.

Fastned PCT

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC
De Kleijn	Arvid	NED	29	61	75	60	71	75
Denz	Nico	GER	29	74	76	67	70	73
Fisher-Black	Finn	NZL	22	63	64	62	69	71
Hessmann	Michel	GER	22	67	65	71	67	67
Van der Hoorn	Taco	NED	30	60	70	55	69	66
van Sintmaartensdijk	Roel	NED	22	61	63	66	67	70
Vanhoucke	Harm	BEL	26	77	72	72	72	68
Vansevenant	Mauri	BEL	24	73	78	69	77	78

Mauri Vansevenant is another Belgian to watch, as he leads Fastned in this race.
It remains to be seen how he will perform in the TT.

Genii Hyundai N Cycling PCT

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC
Barta	William	USA	27	76	72	73	74	67
Burmann	Wolfgang	CHL	32	76	70	66	73	76
Kittel	Marcel	GER	35	51	60	77	64	67
Nikiema	Bachirou	BUR	26	70	77	62	74	76
PokÃ¤lÃ¤	Samuel	FIN	33	63	70	76	71	63
Seboka	Matala	LES	29	80	62	53	70	67
Selimovic	Husein	BIH	22	68	69	60	72	73
Sicard	Romain	FRA	35	78	74	72	73	64

Another newly promoted team is Genii Hyundai. With Romain Sicard they bring an experienced GC leader.
His acceleration could be the downside. Marcel Kittel is one to watch in the TT.

Gjensidige Pro Cycling Team CT

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC
Eiking	Odd Christian	NOR	29	69	81	66	74	76
Fjellheim	Henrik Teslo	NOR	22	66	67	63	66	66
Lunder	Eirik	NOR	24	62	66	58	67	77
Skjerping	Kristoffer	NOR	30	70	77	62	67	65
Tjotta	Martin	NOR	22	67	67	67	65	70
Van Moer	Brent	BEL	25	61	70	79	78	65
Van Stayen	Michael	BEL	35	58	73	54	62	69
Wandahl	Frederik	DEN	22	63	70	64	72	68

Odd Christian Eiking will be looking for revenge, after his 4th spot in C2's Gisborne.
Just like Vansevenant, his TT performance will be crucial in his hunt for GC. With Van Moer they also have a favorite for the TT.

Glanbia PCT

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC
Cheyne	Jordan	CAN	32	58	66	76	75	67
Downey	Sean	IRL	33	62	66	76	72	70
Dunne	Conor	IRL	31	74	74	69	72	69
Eaton	Daniel	USA	30	62	69	77	76	68
Main	Kent	RSA	27	75	71	74	75	69
McKenna	Sean	IRL	29	74	76	64	72	77
O'Loughlin	Michael	IRL	26	65	68	77	74	64
Oram	James	NZL	30	58	64	77	72	70

Glanbia has riders for all stages here, although they miss a true leader who can combine both.
Their TT depth is something that stands out immediately.

Jura GIANTS PCT

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC
Bissegger	Stefan	SWI	25	68	69	78	77	73
Darbellay	Valentin	SWI	26	77	71	75	75	64
Davies	Scott	GBR	28	68	66	69	68	68
Errazkin	Xuban	ESP	27	74	78	70	75	73
Kung	Stefan	SWI	30	70	73	77	72	71
Marchewka	Krzysztof	POL	30	64	60	77	75	64
Masnada	Fausto	ITA	30	77	76	73	75	73
Page	Hugo	FRA	22	65	66	61	68	72

Fausto Masnada was already runner-up last year. He will be targeting the top spot this season for Jura GIANTS.
Also Errazkin has the necessary skills to do well here. And the Swiss team also has Bissegger, Kung and Marchewka for the TT.

Lampre - Pinarello PCT

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC
Antonelli	Michael	SMR	24	71	70	63	70	72
Baroncini	Filippo	ITA	23	64	71	71	75	70
Camrda	Karel	CZE	22	66	67	64	70	71
Kumara	Amith Udaya	SRI	28	62	67	54	70	67
Medvedev	Sergey	UZB	28	60	63	69	74	66
Meurisse	Xandro	BEL	31	74	77	67	74	78
Riesebeek	Oscar	NED	31	70	73	67	75	72
Turgis	Anthony	FRA	29	67	79	66	78	77

Lampre - Pinarello has an interesting duo in Anthony Turgis and Xandro Meurisse for the hilly stages.
Their TT performance will be again crucial.

Los Pollos Hermanos PCT

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC
Aular	Orluis	VEN	27	81	72	70	75	69
Beltran	Guillermo Andres	CHL	24	74	74	64	71	67
Higuita	Sergio	COL	26	78	79	65	78	75
Moutsios	Martinos	GRE	22	59	61	69	68	72
Osorio	Alejandro	COL	25	77	72	72	72	68
Pira	Yesid Albeiro	COL	24	76	68	62	67	67
SÃ¼tterlin	Jasha	GER	31	59	65	80	77	60
Zmorka	Marlen	UKR	30	61	66	82	75	70

Sergio Higuita is the leader for Los Pollos Hermanos, as he came over from Isostar. Only downpoint is his TT.
With SÃ¼tterlin and Zmorka they have two excellent options in the TT.

McCormick Pro Cycling PCT

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC
Affini	Edoardo	ITA	27	66	67	77	79	70
Bagioli	Andrea	ITA	24	71	77	69	72	76
Kuss	Sepp	USA	29	78	71	64	76	69
Matsuda	Shoi	JPN	24	65	70	75	74	71
McNulty	Brandon	USA	25	80	74	77	77	68
Mohammad	Fikri Azka	INA	27	70	74	74	72	72
Narvaez	Jhonatan	ECU	26	72	77	69	71	74
Seigle	Roman	FRA	29	72	77	64	73	72

McCormick is another team that promoted from CT. With Brandon McNulty, they have a favorite for this race.
The big question is if he can keep up with the accelerations of the pure puncheurs. He has some excellent support from Bagioli, Narvaez and Seigle.

Mercatone Uno - Weba CT

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC
Buratti	Nicolo	ITA	22	58	66	58	72	70
Dall'Oste	Daniele	ITA	32	76	76	67	74	71
Lilovski	Dobrin	BUL	28	67	77	66	70	73
Malucelli	Matteo	ITA	30	60	65	61	69	73
Mozzato	Luca	ITA	25	59	67	59	73	69
Turner	Ben	GBR	24	63	65	66	67	70

New founded Mercatone Uno - Weba has only six riders here.
They hope to be as agressive as in Down Under, where Blouwe picked up the KOM jersey.

SEE Turtles CT

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC
Abreu	Jorge	VEN	33	72	72	74	69	71
Duchesne	Antoine	CAN	32	67	77	68	72	79
Ganjkhanlou	Mohammad	IRN	26	61	64	62	67	75
Huera	Richard	ECU	24	66	67	61	68	66
Kelly	Joshua	BAR	27	66	72	74	73	72
Reguigui	Youcef	ALG	33	75	70	72	67	67
Siriwardena	Kashyapa	SRI	31	74	73	72	73	68
Trillini	Walter	ARG	32	64	75	65	69	76

Another new founded team with SEE Turtles. Maybe Antoine Duchesne can surprise in GC.
They also have some riders that can survive the hilly finals when they go in the breakaway.

Simba Cement - Tanga Fresh CT

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC
Barbin	Enrico	ITA	33	67	77	62	72	75
Blikra	Havard	NOR	32	75	75	65	70	72
Felline	Fabio	ITA	33	65	76	63	72	77
Hugentobler	Gregory	SWI	32	68	78	58	69	76
Kamzong	Clovis	CMR	32	73	72	67	69	68
Koshevoy	Ilia	BLR	32	76	73	68	72	69
Rota	Lorenzo	ITA	28	71	76	61	74	71
Van Heerden	Eddie	RSA	29	72	75	66	70	74

Simba Cement - Tanga Fresh has some crazy focus on the hills department, especially for a new team.
They will be targeting stages 1 and 3 though, as the TT setup isn't good enough at all.

Stela-Vita CT

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC
Batmunkh	Maral-Erdene	MGL	29	54	65	63	72	74
Goos	Marc	NED	33	76	73	75	74	72
Groselj	Ziga	SLO	30	63	75	72	73	72
Luchshenko	Sergey	KAZ	29	65	75	63	72	75
Merlier	Tim	BEL	31	56	68	58	72	74
Touze	Damien	FRA	27	66	70	61	73	72
Urcelay	Adria	AND	29	74	70	62	67	71
Villella	Davide	ITA	32	65	77	61	74	80

Davide Villella was picked up from Isostar. The Italian can lead in the hilly stages for Stela-Vita.
But for GC we could look for Marc Goos, depending on this survival skills in these two other stages.

Strava CT

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC
Bauhaus	Phil	GER	29	56	61	56	65	75
Bernas	Pawel	POL	33	60	74	65	69	71
Bouhanni	Nacer	FRA	33	54	62	54	67	75
Kreder	Wesley	NED	33	63	74	62	69	76
Maesen	William	BEL	32	75	72	61	73	60
Nielsen	Joanis Albert	FAR	30	54	67	66	75	71

Strava have selected only six riders for this race. I think they will be focussed on the breakaways.

Team UBS - Tissot PCT

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC
Badilatti	Matteo	SWI	31	76	75	65	72	65
Barbio	Antonio	POR	30	74	72	76	73	67
Blum	Elia	SWI	22	60	67	72	70	66
Fominykh	Daniil	KAZ	32	56	67	77	71	69
Haugard	Phan Age	NOR	31	57	60	79	77	67
Jacobs	Johan	SWI	26	60	69	62	76	67
MÃ¼ller	Patrick	SWI	27	67	80	63	71	73
Reichenbach	Sebastien	SWI	34	70	76	64	64	64

Patrick MÃ¼ller and Phan Age Haugard could have some success in single stages.
For GC the guys from Team UBS-Tissot don't have a good hybrid combination.

Trans Looney Tunes PCT

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC
Bystrom	Sven Erik	NOR	31	68	79	61	72	76
Jang	Gyung Gu	KOR	33	75	75	61	68	72
Murn	Bostjan	FRA	22	66	65	67	72	66
Piaskowy	Emanuel	POL	32	72	72	72	70	68
Senyenov	Roman	KAZ	30	62	77	63	73	73
Stimulak	Klemen	SLO	33	58	65	76	70	72
Tulett	Ben	GBR	22	64	65	70	69	68
Waeytens	Zico	BEL	32	71	80	65	70	73

Trans Looney Tunes will focus on Bystrom and Waeytens in the hilly stages.
Just like UBS-Tissot, I don't see an immediate GC contender.

Xero Racing PCT

Last name	First name	Country	Age	MO	HI	TT	RS	AC
Boileau	Alan	FRA	24	72	72	64	69	72
Fouche	James	NZL	25	78	75	69	73	75
Kipkemboi	Salim	KEN	25	75	77	57	73	76
Lazkano	Oier	ESP	24	66	72	59	69	71
Pidcock	Thomas	GBR	24	74	75	71	77	80
Strong	Corbin	NZL	23	71	70	58	74	73
Van Niekerk	Morne	RSA	28	61	67	78	75	67
Vermeersch	Florian	BEL	24	62	67	70	73	76

Xero Racing is the last team in this preview. Last but not least, as they bring Pidcock in their HK line-up.
He looks like the perfect hybrid for this race, especially with Fouche and Kipkemboi in support. Van Niekerk will focus on the TT.

--
Race reports will be brought by roturn
--
Good luck to all participants!

MG - Lotto - Caloi
[MG] New Manager of the Year - PCM.daily Awards 2022

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Nemolito

Posted on 10-10-2023 08:06

Classics Specialist

Posts: 3367
Joined: 20-04-2020
PCM$: 425.00

Higuita or Aular for a hopeful top-10 on the GC and a possible stage result for the former, with our two top time trialists here also aiming for a stage win. This could be a very good race, let's hope it is indeed

Thanks for the great preview, Laurens!

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cunego59

Posted on 10-10-2023 08:09

Team Manager

Posts: 6508
Joined: 14-09-2008
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First big test for Izagirre. Could be a podium, could be nothing. Uwizeyimana is here to pick up the slack if Ion fails, he was 4th last year, so we should come away with something, hopefully. Fairly weak TT field here, so Politt/Verona have a chance to actually do okay.

I expect this to be a fairly easy win for McNulty, unless stage 1 is completely crazy. Masnada could well repeat his podium from last year, too.

Good luck everyone and thanks for the preview Laurens!

ManGame: Bralirwa - Stevens [PCT]

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jandal7

Posted on 10-10-2023 08:33

World Champion

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Don't see Pidcock as a favourite at all here with 75HI and 71TT - would love to be proven wrong though. Higher hopes for Fouche really but between those two, Kipkemboi for the road stages and Van Niekerk for the ITT we have a lot of possible scorers and I don't mind who gets the points so long as we get some

24/02/21 - kandesbunzler said â€œI don't drink famous people."
15/08/22 - SotD said "Your [jandal's] humour is overrated"
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Sykkel_Freak

Posted on 10-10-2023 09:33

Small Tour Specialist

Posts: 2073
Joined: 11-07-2010
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Not the highest of expectations here, but hope Paillot can get a good result on the TT stage and that him, Faglum Karlsson or Chaves can get a decent GC result, depending on how hard the hill stages will be.

Thanks for the preview and looking forward to the reports!

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MacC

Posted on 10-10-2023 10:03

Sprinter

Posts: 1594
Joined: 15-07-2008
PCM$: 700.00

Thanks for the great preview.

Yeah, Glanbia caught between two stools here- an ok puncher with poor TT skill and a load of OK TTers with no hill ability. Best we can hope for is probably decent stage results.

Good luck all

just "Glanbia"

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Ollfardh

Posted on 10-10-2023 10:37

World Champion

Posts: 14563
Joined: 08-08-2011
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Another race we're not in, so probably a last place on the January rankings.

Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.

redordead

Posted on 10-10-2023 10:47

Grand Tour Specialist

Posts: 4881
Joined: 18-10-2017
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One of the most random races in all of MG this one. Surprised a few more TT hybrids didn't take a punt with just 3 RDs, but I do know what the race looks like when it goes badly for you

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Caspi

Posted on 10-10-2023 10:50

Neo-Pro

Posts: 369
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Only targeting stage 1 and 3 as stated in the preview. However, this is probably Koshevoy's only opportunity this year to ride for GC, so maybe he can surprise with a lucky top-25?

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hillis91

#10

Posted on 10-10-2023 16:09

Team Leader

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Good luck everybody!

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Fabianski

#11

Posted on 10-10-2023 21:02

Grand Tour Specialist

Posts: 4669
Joined: 29-09-2018
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Well, I'm surprised to see Masnada actually having a realistic chance to get another Top 5 GC result - I expected a stronger field here. Especially not seeing Reis here after last year's 3rd place feels a little weird - although I fully agree with red that this is one of the most unpredictable races on the calendar.
Especially stage 1 feels random every single year - you just have to be among the lucky ones making the first group. In that sense, I can see why e.g. Dunbar isn't back after last year's disaster - and no other top stage racer besides McNulty.

Given the unpredictability, we bring pretty much every rider type we have - a stage racer with Darbellay, Masnada as one of the stronger hybrids, Errazkin as a puncheur (although his predecessor Moscon never did anything remotely useful here), and a TTer who can handle some uphills with KÃ¼ng. Plus Bissegger and Marchewka for the TT stage. But despite the feeling that we have one of the stronger teams here, there's no guarantee of succeeding - like Cedevita, we also know how it feels to be on the wrong side from previous editions.

I agree with cunego that McNulty should be the clear-cut favorite here - if he makes it through stage 1, and if the stronger puncheurs are unable to open up sizeable gaps. But if Kritskiy won it last year, McNulty should win this edition by a minute or more tbh. And he's got a crazy strong support cast for a C1 race.
Faglum Karlsson and Aular are the other strong climbers present; I'd rather bet on the former though, because of his stronger TT skills.
And then there's Izagirre as the big unknown - especially the longer ascent on day 3 might just be too much for him. But among the pure puncheurs, I don't really see an obvious GC candidate - Vansevenant might keep his TT losses small enough, which I obviously hope will also be true for Errazkin.
But in terms of Mo-Hi-TT hybrid, there's really just McNulty who's clearly stronger than Masnada, so there should be some hope for us...

Thanks for the preview, and good luck everyone!

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whitejersey

#12

Posted on 10-10-2023 21:27

Classics Specialist

Posts: 2905
Joined: 07-08-2011
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Thanks for a great preview, just here for vibes, I have 0 expectations for what our result will be here.

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Eden95

#13

Posted on 10-10-2023 23:40

Grand Tour Specialist

Posts: 4505
Joined: 05-10-2010
PCM$: 900.00

Very open field considering how many big riders arenâ€™t making an appearance. The first stage is too random for me to bother with sending Dunbar here - him and Beltran losing like 5 minutes last season was enough for me to bin this race forever. It feels good not having to play the lottery here and in the tdu for the first time this season, definitely helps with the sanity

good luck to all!

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Ulrich Ulriksen

#14

Posted on 11-10-2023 02:12

Directeur Sportif

Posts: 3259
Joined: 02-11-2010
PCM$: 300.00

Clearly the goal here has to be the win in McNultiy's only C1 appearance. Had 3 race days to use and figured Kritsky suggested a McNulty-like rider can win. I didn't notice the Dunbar example, so fingers crossed on that one. Also who knows how PCM22 impacts this race.

Thanks for the preview.

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Croatia14

#15

Posted on 11-10-2023 07:24

Directeur Sportif

Posts: 9099
Joined: 13-03-2013
PCM$: 2100.00

Very cool preview! This is McNultys to loose.

KaiserAdler

#16

Posted on 11-10-2023 08:05

Domestique

Posts: 570
Joined: 13-07-2022
PCM$: 5800.00

No real clue what to expect here. Weâ€™re just here to goof around really. Initially had Reis planned to go here but had to scrap this one in favor for other more desirable races. So that left me with Gebregz to take charge. Should only be stage 1&3 where we really fight at the front.

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roturn

#17

Posted on 11-10-2023 09:42

Team Manager

Posts: 22246
Joined: 24-11-2007
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First of all, thanks for the nice preview Laurens. Having Vansevenant here, I felt it would be easier to not write a biased preview.

Seeing you have him on no.2 spot in your list feels higher than I had put him even but seeing the outcome of stage 1, I guess, both of us had a bit higher expectations.

What to say about stage 1, it was actually really a pity that the game AI did ignore puncheurs with too low mo or in especially without a TT backup, which in especially was shown with Eiking/Waeytens or ignored those with more allround team mates.

For my team seeing Vansevenant in the very last position all race with 5 team mates around him was hard to see. Apparently Vanhoucke was seen as GC option and with mediocre TT and better mountain stat, it might play out well now with the hill stage done without a big loss. Though it`s the second race already, where Vansevenant was high in the favourite list and didn`t show anything. Probably must slowly expect a low scoring year for him, which to be honest, was calculated by me anyway.

Still seeing how Pidcock flew in the end, I guess Vansevenant strength wise easily could have gotten some stage points in the TdU or here clearly.

Congrats to Higuita/Teuns, who at least showed that when a strong enough stage favourite, the GC chances didn`t necessarily ignore you fully.

redordead

#18

Posted on 11-10-2023 09:47

Grand Tour Specialist

Posts: 4881
Joined: 18-10-2017
PCM$: 200.00

Higuita doing a nice 2021 Beltran impression

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cunego59

#19

Posted on 11-10-2023 09:49

Team Manager

Posts: 6508
Joined: 14-09-2008
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Congrats Nemo, Higuita really showing off here. I'm happy with the stage overall. Moise Mugisha is his usual aggressive self, which is nice. No shame in not beating Barbin and Bystrom, and maybe he can attack again on day three and pick up more points. Then, good to see that both Uwi and Izagirre made it in the main group, even if Izagirre seemed to struggle. I'm hoping the TT will put both of them in good enough positions that the game recognizes them as GC contenders and puts them near the front of the pack into the final climb, and then they just have to be strong enough. The final stage isn't very long, so that should hopefully limit the impact of Ion's sta/res deficit. Neat to see Eyob so strong, even if no points came of it.

Thanks for the report roturn!

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jandal7

#20

Posted on 11-10-2023 09:51

World Champion

Posts: 11392
Joined: 17-12-2014
PCM$: 1020.00

Love to see my boy Higuita tearing it up!

Great Xero debut for Pidcock looking pretty strong and gaining a few bonuses. Not sure if he has the climbing strength for Stage 3 but we'll see. Fouche should do and happy with him finishing in the main group. Both will lose time tomorrow but hopefully on course for decent GC points between them.

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