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Down Under Classic Discussion
seancoll
Top  #1 Print Post
Posted on 28-09-2023 22:35
Down Under Classic
81.3km


pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Profiles/hc_duc.jpg


It’s the opening day of the season and the PCT battle begins in the lands of Australia. We start with the Down Under Classic and one of the shortest and flattest races of the entire season. The 81.3km race has some minor undulations on a circuit, but none of those should create any major gaps. There’s a full set of 24 teams here with 5 CT teams and 19 from PCT.

History

The Down Under Classic has been a been a staple of the calendar since 2009. Every year has seen a group sprint and there’s no reason to think this year could be different. The race has seen two multiple times winners in Allan Davis (2011-2012) and Jacopo Guarnieri (2019-2020). Our two most recent winners will be attempting to join the multi-win crew as Fabio Silvestre returns for Bralirwa – Stevens and Lahcen Saber joins Mercatone Uno – Weba after he jumpstarted his CT individual title for Colombini-Alder AP in 2022. 2015 champion Mark Dzamastagic also returns for a chance for Lampre-Pinarello although he may be in a lead-out role this year.


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It’s tough to imagine a scenario where this race doesn’t end in a sprint finish, so here are our best pure sprinters.
TeamNameFLSTRSSPACFG
FastnedDylan Groenewegen737471828159
Tryg – GobikArnaud Demare737572828170
Assa AbloyAlberto Dainese767576818264
DK ZalgirisKristoffer Halvorsen767471818070
JEWA TIROLJohn Degenkolb736866817667
Kraftwerk Man MachineRick Zabel747470817966
Los Pollos HermanosMatti Manninen747175818070
Sony – Force IndiaDaniel Vesely737468818061
Lierse SK – Pizza Ullo PCTeamNiccolo Bonifazio796875808058
Mercatone Uno – WebaLahcen Saber747270807762
Sauber Petronas RacingItamar Einhorn747171807860
Spark-BNZ RacingLeigh Howard747267807662

The top of the sprint field is exceptionally strong with Dylan Groenewegen and Arnaud Demare easily the strongest. Demare has the edge if the race is difficult from the start, but with such a short race the energy stats shouldn’t make too much of a difference either. Gronewegen has the best 2 person leadout crew with Matthews and Vinglering prepared to drive at the front for Fastned. With that, we expect Fastned to find themselves at the front of the peloton in the final kilometers.

Dainese comes with the strongest acceleration of the group which will be crucial if he can find the right wheels in the final. Dainese will also be supported by Ryan Gibbons as a top 3 leadout in the group. Degenkolb will probably be making his last true attempt at victory here and he brings the best single leadout man in Thomas Boudat.

Halvorsen will also play a significant factor in the final with not only one of the strong sprint/acceleration combinations, but also one of the strongest flat ratings of the group. If there is anyone who should be prepared for the final with full energy, Halvorsen may be your may. Bonifazio will also benefit from a strong flat rating. Vesely and Mattinen sit just outside the top 5 favorites, but their experience and skill combination have them ready to jump into the top slot if everything goes their way.

The remaining teams have still brought strong sprinters and the depth at this race is almost unmatched.
TeamNameFLSTRSSPACFG
Bralirwa – StevensFabio Silvestre776869797969
Colombini CyclingElias Afewerki737770798068
GlanbiaDylan Kennett757376797867
Stela-VitaXhuliano Kamberaj757373797864
Team Popo4Ever p/b MorshynskaRoman Lutsyshyn706973798058
Team UBS – TissotTom Van Asbroeck747471797773
Zwift Pro CyclinBram Welten767271797556
Lampre – PinarelloLuke Rowe777468787874
Manada CoyoteGabriel Marin747373787863
Xero RacingHugo Houle777570787769
Caja Rural Cycling TeamAndrea Guardini696964777771
Trans Looney TunesOwain Doull727170737363


Silvestre obviously stands out in this group as one of the previous winners and that experience may allow him to find the right route to the finish. Afewerki will also be looking to enter the repeat winner’s club… just for Colombini, and not his personal record, as he takes over the sprint role from Saber. Afewerki will pretty much be working alone so it’s about searching for wheels in the final run-in.

The depth of this sprint field means that almost every team has a shot at a top 5 in the final sprint, except for Trans Looney Tunes. Positioning will be key, and finding the right wheels will be a major challenge for anyone hoping for a top result. Still, find yourself in the right place with good legs and the victory could become yours.


The Fighters

NameFLSTRSSPACFG
Marildo Yzeiraj777474627185
Taco Van der Hoorn757669566684
Alain Quispe806260667384
Peter Varga777673658083
Gasper Katrasnik817276637281
Olivier Lecourt De Billot757473617481
Torkil Veyhe806671567880
Moise Mugisha676474637380
Riccardo Putti697471596780


While it is very unlikely that we’ll see a breakaway victory, there are many riders who prefer to attack over sitting in the group. Some extremely strong rolleurs with Quispe, Katrasnik, and Veyhe would easily be able to give the peloton a run for their money. We’ll see if any of these riders want to make a break for it, but there’s always the possibility that the sprinters don’t time the catch correctly. Here we see the strategy for Trans Looney Tunes with both Katrasnik and Lecourt De Billot being strong options.


We all look forward to opening day racing and everyone here will be looking for a jumpstart to their season. Ulrich will bring us the report for this early season classic, with many thanks to him.

Full Startlist:
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2023/Reports/HC/DUC/startlist.jpg
Spoiler

Last nameFirst name2023 Team
VeyheTorkilAssa Abloy
MatsumotoYosukueAssa Abloy
MagnussonKimAssa Abloy
KonychevAlexanderAssa Abloy
RickaertJonasAssa Abloy
GibbonsRyanAssa Abloy
DaineseAlbertoAssa Abloy
Bergstrom FriskErikAssa Abloy
MugishaMoiseBralirwa - Stevens
HabimanaJean EricBralirwa - Stevens
SilvestreFabioBralirwa - Stevens
BerheWelay HagosBralirwa - Stevens
WillemsJagoBralirwa - Stevens
OkbamariamTesfomBralirwa - Stevens
Van EetveltLennertBralirwa - Stevens
TeggartMatthewBralirwa - Stevens
BarberoCarlosCaja Rural Cycling Team
BarceloFernandoCaja Rural Cycling Team
SinkeldamRamonCaja Rural Cycling Team
GuardiniAndreaCaja Rural Cycling Team
BalloniAlfredoCaja Rural Cycling Team
Garcia PiernaRaulCaja Rural Cycling Team
AdriamihajanarivoHerizoCaja Rural Cycling Team
DomeneRamonCaja Rural Cycling Team
JeleKwaneleColombini Cycling
SprengerFelixColombini Cycling
BorgLukeColombini Cycling
MartinoStanColombini Cycling
TiberiAntonioColombini Cycling
AfewerkiEliasColombini Cycling
AquilaniAndreaColombini Cycling
BonelloDanielColombini Cycling
RäimMihkelDK Zalgiris
RodriguezBrandonDK Zalgiris
SchönbergerSebastianDK Zalgiris
HalvorsenKristofferDK Zalgiris
HerradaJesusDK Zalgiris
PszczolarskiWojciechDK Zalgiris
FrankovicMateoDK Zalgiris
BereznyakAleksandrDK Zalgiris
Van der HoornTacoFastned
RobeetLudovicFastned
RenardAlexisFastned
Fisher-BlackFinnFastned
MatthewsMichaelFastned
De KleijnArvidFastned
GroenewegenDylanFastned
VingerlingMichaelFastned
DunneConorGlanbia
EatonDanielGlanbia
HealyBenGlanbia
O'LoughlinMichaelGlanbia
KennettDylanGlanbia
OramJamesGlanbia
BennettSamGlanbia
DowneySeanGlanbia
TaubelChristophJEWA TIROL
SchlechterPitJEWA TIROL
LivynsArjenJEWA TIROL
DegenkolbJohnJEWA TIROL
MaloriAdrianJEWA TIROL
BoudatThomasJEWA TIROL
SeligRüdigerJEWA TIROL
TesfomSirakKraftwerk Man Machine
De BuystJasperKraftwerk Man Machine
ColomboFilippoKraftwerk Man Machine
JuntunenAntti-JussiKraftwerk Man Machine
ZubovMatveyKraftwerk Man Machine
ZabelRickKraftwerk Man Machine
RumacJosipKraftwerk Man Machine
ZhupaEugertKraftwerk Man Machine
DzamastagicMarkLampre - Pinarello
MedvedevSergeyLampre - Pinarello
RoweLukeLampre - Pinarello
Van KeirsbulckGuillaumeLampre - Pinarello
DanielMaximeLampre - Pinarello
MilanJonathanLampre - Pinarello
KooijOlavLampre - Pinarello
ThwaitesScottLampre - Pinarello
VerwilstAaronLierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam
Van AertWoutLierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam
PiccoloAndreaLierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam
WeemaesSashaLierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam
BonifazioNiccoloLierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam
CalzoniWalterLierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam
QuispeAlainLos Pollos Hermanos
ManninenMattiLos Pollos Hermanos
Galvan RamirezOscar SamuelLos Pollos Hermanos
UlloaJose GerardoLos Pollos Hermanos
RuizRobinson StevenLos Pollos Hermanos
AbolajiFatiuLos Pollos Hermanos
Aguilar MendezJose PabloLos Pollos Hermanos
HollmannJuriLos Pollos Hermanos
SamudioJoseph IvanManada Coyote
BuluxFredy DomingoManada Coyote
Arias VillanuevaSergioManada Coyote
MendozaBryan FernandoManada Coyote
RojasGabriel FranciscoManada Coyote
ChumilSergioManada Coyote
MarinGabrielManada Coyote
AnderssonEmilManada Coyote
Van TrichtStanMercatone Uno - Weba
MozzatoLucaMercatone Uno - Weba
ConsonniSimoneMercatone Uno - Weba
MalucelliMatteoMercatone Uno - Weba
KielichTimoMercatone Uno - Weba
SaberLahcenMercatone Uno - Weba
PuttiRiccardoSauber Petronas Racing
RossiDiegoSauber Petronas Racing
NoiaCarloSauber Petronas Racing
EislersSandisSauber Petronas Racing
MarzukiNur AmirulSauber Petronas Racing
GiuliettiLuigiSauber Petronas Racing
EinhornItamarSauber Petronas Racing
ForcelliniLucaSauber Petronas Racing
HavikPiotrSony - Force India
KuroedaShikiSony - Force India
RingheimJo KogstadSony - Force India
Van DijkeTimSony - Force India
KuroedaSayaSony - Force India
KooistraMartenSony - Force India
AlbenEsowSony - Force India
VeselyDanielSony - Force India
MuhindoJimmySpark-BNZ Racing
BevinPatrickSpark-BNZ Racing
KopfaufMarkusSpark-BNZ Racing
BattsengelAmartuvshinSpark-BNZ Racing
MudgwayLukeSpark-BNZ Racing
De LunaFlavioSpark-BNZ Racing
HowardLeighSpark-BNZ Racing
ErdenesurenMunkhtulgaSpark-BNZ Racing
YzeirajMarildoStela-Vita
DemiriMikelStela-Vita
TouzeDamienStela-Vita
BatmunkhMaral-ErdeneStela-Vita
AllegaertPietStela-Vita
KamberajXhulianoStela-Vita
MerlierTimStela-Vita
SarreauMarcStela-Vita
VargaPeterTeam Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska
TanovitchiiNicolaeTeam Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska
ParashchakYaroslavTeam Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska
HorvatZigaTeam Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska
BilyiMaksymTeam Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska
ManamalageNipuna ShiraTeam Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska
KachurDmytroTeam Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska
LutsyshynRomanTeam Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska
Van AsbroeckTomTeam UBS - Tissot
JacobsJohanTeam UBS - Tissot
BalmerAlexandreTeam UBS - Tissot
BrunNilsTeam UBS - Tissot
SpenglerLukasTeam UBS - Tissot
StöckliJanTeam UBS - Tissot
BlumEliaTeam UBS - Tissot
FominykhDaniilTeam UBS - Tissot
KatrasnikGasperTrans Looney Tunes
Lecourt De BillotOlivierTrans Looney Tunes
CentroneIvanTrans Looney Tunes
KolevIliyanTrans Looney Tunes
SobreroMatteoTrans Looney Tunes
StimulakKlemenTrans Looney Tunes
MoulinguiClenne MorvanTrans Looney Tunes
DoullOwainTrans Looney Tunes
SummerhillDannyTryg - Gobik
PedreroAntonioTryg - Gobik
KaloniatisGeorgiosTryg - Gobik
SleenTorjusTryg - Gobik
DemareArnaudTryg - Gobik
Blume LevyWilliamTryg - Gobik
KumpMarkoTryg - Gobik
CurrieLoganTryg - Gobik
Tesfaye HeyiHenokXero Racing
NovardiantoJamalidinXero Racing
LazkanoOierXero Racing
Van NiekerkMorneXero Racing
DuyvesteynKeesXero Racing
HouleHugoXero Racing
VermeerschFlorianXero Racing
StrongCorbinXero Racing
FraileOmarZwift Pro Cycling
RyukiUgaZwift Pro Cycling
CanalCarlosZwift Pro Cycling
PickrellRileyZwift Pro Cycling
GirmayBiniamZwift Pro Cycling
WallsMatthewZwift Pro Cycling
JussaumeTristanZwift Pro Cycling
WeltenBramZwift Pro Cycling
Edited by seancoll on 29-09-2023 00:10
MG Manager - SEE Turtles
 
jandal7
Top  #2 Print Post
Posted on 29-09-2023 03:04
Interested in what a weaker Houle can do. More than ever needing a late attack as the standard 8th-ish finish in a straight sprint in these races might be harder to get with 78/77. Obviously also have Tesfaye who was brilliant in the flat classics last year and Jams both of whom can score minor straight up or like Houle go for a late attack.

Looking forward to the season kicking off, thanks for the preview and coming report seancoll! Grin
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15/08/22 - SotD said "Your [jandal's] humour is overrated"
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Jakstar22
Top  #3 Print Post
Posted on 29-09-2023 03:19
I’m hoping for a good start for the team here with Howard. It’ll be a very interesting and quick race so hopefully he has the power to do well!
 
DarkWolf
Top  #4 Print Post
Posted on 29-09-2023 06:47
Well, Gabriel Marin faces some tough field here and although I would absolutely love a top 10 I'm satisfied if he can bring us some points from this race.
Thank you for the preview and good luck to all!
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knockout
Top  #5 Print Post
Posted on 29-09-2023 07:16
I will always cheer for Dzamastagic but never more than in this race. Time for some Dzamagic again Grin
A Big Thank You To All MG Reporters!

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Eden95
Top  #6 Print Post
Posted on 29-09-2023 08:10
That’s about as strong as the PCT sprinting field can get - the 4 big boys + Demare! Glad I’m not here. Can’t wait for the report, looks to be a very exciting finish.

Thanks for the preview mate, was a good read Smile
Indosat - ANZ HQ

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fjhoekie
Top  #7 Print Post
Posted on 29-09-2023 08:22
Not bringing Aniolkowski to this shitfest seems like a good decision Grin

Hopefully we will get to see some Varga magic again this season - on this parcours it should be fairly possible, and his ACC will always make him a contender in a race like this I feel Smile
Manager of Team Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska in the PCM.Daily Man-Game
 
MacC
Top  #8 Print Post
Posted on 29-09-2023 09:06
Thanks Seancoll.

Looking at that field I think a top 10 would be a great start for Kennett, a real wake up call for Glanbia.

Good luck all
just "Glanbia"

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roturn
Top  #9 Print Post
Posted on 29-09-2023 09:08
Weird start for me in PCT here, but I kind of like it being a bit more flexible.

Now to the bad...When having the top top sprinter here, you likely should have a bit better support. Must hope that Matthews, Vingerling, De Kleijn can somewhat deliver a working sprint train. In especially Matthews should do decent with his flat/sprint combination.

It`s just one "test" here but hopefully the top sprinters won`t just fail in the wind against the 2nd row as this would mean a long season for Groenewegen, who always will be a top3 sprinter.

To the good. He is the top sprinter, so just go for it. He was always good when being able to follow others in 2nd or 3rd wheel. Now he must go for his own positioning around team mates. Not necessarily a bad thing. Ideally quickly being delivered into a top position and switching over to Dainese/Demare/Halvorsen I guess to have that extra meters slipstream.

Top3 a must here really for a nice season start as the rest of January not necessarily my best races.
 
cunego59
Top  #10 Print Post
Posted on 29-09-2023 09:26
Man, PCT sprinting is tough. Top 10 for Silvestre would be great, but can't be expected. Top 15 should be doable though. I hope Fabio can get back to his finest wheel jumping days and get the positioning right.

I wouldn't be surprised if Dainese dominates the PCT sprints this year (as much as you can dominate in this field) and starts with that here already. Would love to see some of the new teams do well in their opening races, I think Kamberaj and Saber have a better shot at that than Degenkolb, but who knows what he's still capable of. Good luck to everyone and thanks for the nice preview seancoll!
 
Ollfardh
Top  #11 Print Post
Posted on 29-09-2023 09:56
Let's just get the first disappointment over with. Thanks for the preview!
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
 
whitejersey
Top  #12 Print Post
Posted on 29-09-2023 11:36
First run of the Dzama + Rowe pairing, hoping for some late attacks as much like Jandal I dont think we're in the top 10 of this sprint field right now. Absolutely stacked startlist though, must admit I am a bit surprised to see Demare here but without his full programme I don't know if this was a throwaway race or not. On paper it should be a battle between Dainese and Groenewegen but honestly you never know! Thanks for the preview!
 
AbhishekLFC
Top  #13 Print Post
Posted on 29-09-2023 12:51
We come here with a strong flat line-up but Vesely looks to be a Top 5 contender at best. Think a Top 10 result to start the season should be satisfactory.

Thanks for the preview Smile
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Sykkel_Freak
Top  #14 Print Post
Posted on 29-09-2023 15:42
Looking forward to start the season Smile Guarnieri always did really well in this race, and knowing Dainese has similar qualities, I’m very hopeful about our chances! The big question mark for me is whether Gibbons will suffice as the last leadout-man. Other than that we have a strong team to support Dainese and also riders that can go on a late attack in Veyhe or Konychev should the chance present itself.

Thanks for the preview!

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Nemolito
Top  #15 Print Post
Posted on 29-09-2023 15:46
We're hoping for a top 5, but with the creme de la creme of the PCT sprinters present in a very short one day race, things can always turn out very different of course. Thanks for the preview and good luck to all Smile
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Mresuperstar
Top  #16 Print Post
Posted on 29-09-2023 16:25
Not expecting much (how can you with a sprinting field this deep?). Hopefully the team can get some TV time and show off our new jersey. Smile
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quadsas
Top  #17 Print Post
Posted on 29-09-2023 18:40
Lets see if Halvorsen is a genetic freak and not normal
deez
 
KaiserAdler
Top  #18 Print Post
Posted on 29-09-2023 21:20
I believe Afewerki can make it back to back Africans here! That or just having fun in our first race of the year! I wish everyone good luck!
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Flop of the year 2023

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Ulrich Ulriksen
Top  #19 Print Post
Posted on 29-09-2023 23:01
Glad to miss this one, with DUC and Emilia in the same band we race on neither the first day or last day of the season.

I guess we are rooting for the CT teams to steal some points.
Man Game: McCormick Pro Cycling
 
sammyt93
Top  #20 Print Post
Posted on 30-09-2023 14:09
It feels weird to have a sprinter again after a few seasons without one, hopefully Einhorn gets off to a good start

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