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The bread basket - Smowz's PCT preview
Smowz
The breadbasket of the man-game has become the PCT, steadily supplying the ProTour with fresh and often inspired ProTour teams every year, with new innovative managers coming in at the other end.

Last year saw a number of big names and high value ManGame assets such as roturn, CountArach and OlegTinkov, along with real vets CrueTrue, Crommy, Gustav, Ryacadinho and Heine move up into the Protour. One wonders who out of the current PCT crop will move up alongside them.

The headline out of transfer season as ever is the wages paid for certain groups of riders and the fashion for a particular discipline to be insanely strong in the PCT ranks. This year seemed to be the sprinters. This is not really a new thing, with the now infamous Vantomme 700K wage in 2012, followed by last years 750K Napolitano and 550K Lo Cicero of 2013.

This year the chosen ones were:

Cavendish 650K
Vanderbeist 560K
Greipel 480K
Haussler 450K
Napolitano 450K

www.thesundaytimes.co.uk/sto/multimedia/archive/00019/cavendish_19834a.jpg

I think people tend to expect sprinters to go in the region of 150K to 250K and this is why so many get quite surprised and often disappointed. However this trend is simply following the excesses of previous seasons and pales in comparison to the frenzy saved for two climbers:

Pozzovivo 940K
Kiserlowski 850K

i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2012/05/13/article-2143805-1312381B000005DC-204_468x286.jpg

both riders weighing at over a third of Kappa and Repsol's budget and indeed heavily compromising their squads.

The other favourite overspend is on talents. The four big ones fully contracted at PCT teams are:

Herklotz 525K
Ewan 400K
Choi 400K
Kudus 370K

ticker.live-radsport.ch/images/13072838965-etappensieger-silvio-herklotz-traegt-jetzt-auch-das-leadertrikot-und-freut-sich-ueber-einen-weiteren-preis.jpg

Three of these teams are probably in serious risk of relegation - Puma are unlikely to sink that far but certainly have hampered their chances of an immediate return to the ProTour.
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Manager of i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/srb.pngSimply - Red Bull i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/srb.png
 
Smowz
Smowz's full PCT team standings prediction


1. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/qst.png Quickstep
2. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/ven.png Venchi - Ferranti
3. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/bac.png Bacardi Limited
4. Heineken-Cal Giant
5. Team Gazelle
6. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys/PCT/jag_zps1b91f70a.png Jaguar - Eritel
7. Team Puma SAP
8. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/mei.png Meiji - Cannondale
9. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/met.png Metinvest-Emirates
10. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/ozc.png Oz Cycling Project
11. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/csc.png Team CSC-Orbea
12. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/lvc.png La Vie Claire
13. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/mag.png Magna - Ryanair
14. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/sbp.png Swedbank - PEAB
15. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys/CT/fcb_zpse1da305d.png FCB - Polska
16. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/kzi.png Kazzinc Procycling
17. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/amx.png AMEXpc
18. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/kar.png Karcher-Adira Racing
19. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/rbc.png RBC Pro Cycling
20. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/abc.png Allianz-BMW Cycling Team
21. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/hrc.png Team Hornbach
22. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/mac.png Mobil - Aeropostal Ciclismo
23. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys/CT/ken_zps45e45b07.png Kappa-ENI
24. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys/PCT/rep_zps8fe99b28.png Repsol-Cativen
25. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/pbn.png Privatbank - Nemiroff Professional Cycling Team
26. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/cpl.png Compal-Merida
27. i1332.photobucket.com/albums/w605/FroomeDog99/ken_zps81e5ead7.png Team Kenya Airways
28. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/b3b.png Boeing-Bulgaria Bicycling
29. i1252.photobucket.com/albums/hh579/aidanvn13/micro_zps8e5b012e.png Project: Africa
30. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/bbk.png BelarusBank Pro Cycling
Edited by Smowz on 06-04-2014 06:21
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Manager of i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/srb.pngSimply - Red Bull i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/srb.png
 
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Smowz
Bottom five


i187.photobucket.com/albums/x62/Smowz/Saxobank%20pcm%20story/bottomfive_zps15e55b0b.jpg


With so many teams coming up from the Ctour it was inevitable that some would really struggle to find the talent to upgrade their teams sufficiently. In some cases questionable wages or transfer fees have been paid, in others an overemphasise on geography has left their teams a little bare.

26. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/cpl.png Compal-Merida
Spoiler
Compal Merida have risen from the ashes of the PFG Armavia team that for two years have been bringing up the rear. Though I am not sure all lessons have been learned with some high wages paid for riders who really don't look worth the mustard. Nelson for 225K is surprising and so it 400K for Hong Kong climber Choi. You just want to scream to be more selective but Bjartne seems hell bent on gathering as many cyclists as he can. I think they will avoid the bottom rung for once - but only just!

27. i1332.photobucket.com/albums/w605/FroomeDog99/ken_zps81e5ead7.png Team Kenya Airways
Spoiler
Team Kenya Airways look a bit stronger than Project:Africa but I think they have placed a little too much faith in Ben Nasser who is undoubtably the star of the team with Samwel, Gasparotto and Wegmann all risky investments. In short I don't really fancy either of those three to do that well which adds up to a pretty miserable season. Of course much like the other two African based teams the team is built with one eye on the future and with Kudos they certainly have that.

28. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/b3b.png Boeing-Bulgaria Bicycling
Spoiler
Boeing-Bulgaria likewise seemed pretty set before transfer season on what their end outcome was likely to be. They feel lightweight as well with really just Panayotov abnd Thomas at the head - neither really feel as if they can win things. Thomas just maybe could land a classic or two but that is about it. The likes of Lloyd and Izagirre are okay riders, but as you might expect the rest of the Bulgarians are not reallu up to it. Caleb Ewan will take a few years to get to any decent level, certainly this year the team look weak.

29. i1252.photobucket.com/albums/hh579/aidanvn13/micro_zps8e5b012e.png Project: Africa
Spoiler
Aiden seemed to spend a lot of time in his team HQ talking of his plans for this season, I'll admit that I threw a monkey wrench in there by selling a certain South African to the highest bidder. But therein lies the problem it seems that Project:Africa really are hell bent on being a fully African squad. This fell away however with Maksimov rushed in to match up alongside A number of other sprinters and low level climbers. Augustyn captains the team, it seems some time ago now that Augustyn lined up in the Red Bull 2011 team. He has improved since then but still is not the best rider to lead the line.

30. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/bbk.png BelarusBank Pro Cycling
Spoiler
Belarusbank are my tip for the bottom rung, of course they were a pretty weak CTour team so asking them to make the grade was very difficult. Hutarovich and Kiryenka were drafted in to the pleasing of the sponsers but Napolitano and Ignatiev they are not. The big star of this outfit is Cavendish, a curious fit perhaps and Cav has a strange mercenery like nature in the Mangame his previous two teams have disbanded I really hope that doesn't happen here. Not quite sure what he has done in the last three seasons in PCT to deserve the whopping 650K salary but I am sure the big ego'd Manxman will not complain. Thorsen and Kankovsky are Bos like duds by the way.

Edited by Smowz on 05-04-2014 19:25
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Manager of i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/srb.pngSimply - Red Bull i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/srb.png
 
Smowz
Looking over their shoulder 21st to 25th


i187.photobucket.com/albums/x62/Smowz/Saxobank%20pcm%20story/shoulder_zps6db9ee7b.jpg


Privatbank and Hornbach have put a lot of faith in building sprint based teams. Privatbank have a decent bunch of hilly racers and Hornbach look good on cobbles. Nether-the-less I am not sure the balance of these squads is quite right and I am predicting a fairly low finish for both teams.

I cannot help but think that Repsol and Kappa have put far too much into their big stars.

21. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/hrc.png Team Hornbach
Spoiler
Hornbach as UPC did have a few more stage racer types, but they seem to have abandoned that now in favour of a fully blown flat-cobbled squad. Franzoi is possibly the best cobblestone man in the PCT so that should reap dividends but I am unconvinced about any of their fast men. Much like last year I think they will be staring at faster sprinters butts most of the time. Still they could very well dominate on the cobbles so there is that.

22. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/mac.png Mobil - Aeropostal Ciclismo
Spoiler
Mobil fall into that CT category of half decent climbing squad from there into low level climbing squad in PCT. They have bought in Granjel Cabrera who is a nice sprinter, and Pedraza comes in with a fairly reasonable wage. I think better riders could have come in however and ultimately I think this team will not win too many races. Rather like Repsol they found it tough to get much value from the free agency and subsequently have a below par squad.

23. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys/CT/ken_zps45e45b07.png Kappa-ENI
Spoiler
Kappa have paid a huge PCT 940K for Pozzovivo who with just 36 race days is admittedly no stranger to ploughing the Continental tour. 34 year old veteran Marzano has seen better days and the ludicrous 300K Gatto is a very average punchy sprinter who will need the right races to get something happening. I rather fancy he will usually lose out to faster guys. This Italian side has got stuck in the nationality bubble I fear and as a result has lost out to some of their other promoting CT rivals and could slip dangerously close to the dreaded relagation battle.

24. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys/PCT/rep_zps8fe99b28.png Repsol-Cativen
Spoiler
Repsol once again make no bones about their attraction to stage racing, despite having a very low points yield in 2013 with this strategy. Kiserlowski joins Kashechkin and the army of south Americans as this former CDiv2 team continue to work on their South American dynasty. A little like Kappa in that they really have attempted to keep their geography of squad in tact at the expense of getting a decent all round team. They were hardly helped by a huge dose of CT Americas teams joining in 2014. I think it is going to be slightly improved in 2014, but they really need to become a little less one dimensional in my opinion.

25. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/pbn.png Privatbank - Nemiroff Professional Cycling Team
Spoiler
Privatbank have a few more sprinting heavy hitters but do not have a lot else and I do think their sprinters Vaitkus, Greipel, Vanoverschelde and Ulanowski could struggle to win that often. Greipel was always okay at WWE but could not lift a middling team, and this is what Privatbank are at the moment. When a team talks a fair bit about how good their C2 team is you realise their ambitions for where it really counts in PCT is a bit low.

Edited by Smowz on 06-04-2014 06:24
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Manager of i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/srb.pngSimply - Red Bull i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/srb.png
 
Smowz
Lower mid card 16th to 20th

i187.photobucket.com/albums/x62/Smowz/Saxobank%20pcm%20story/lMC_zpsc8f2fcb3.jpg


16. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/kzi.png Kazzinc Procycling
Spoiler
The Nepomnyachsniy twins dominate the team formerly known as Cisco who have undergone radical change from 2013 and 2014. This Italian/Kazach based squad have a decent all round depth and could do better than I am predicting. I look at this team though I don't really see much other than Yevgeni Nepomnyachsniy to get excited about. Shushemoin is their best punchaer and he is second rate and sprinter Mezgec gets lost in the pack of hilly sprinters somewhat. I do think this a team one season away from having a really strong PCT squad and this year will be all about steady upward progress.

17. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/amx.png AMEXpc
Spoiler
It is a similar story for AMEX, who at times skirted dangerously near the lower reaches of the team standings last year. This time out Kump and Mehr-Wenige have been worthwhile acquisition with versitile cobblers Breschel and Eisel kept. I think this team will focus on classics and hilly stage races, this team have also built up a decent array of German talents with VW and Rothaus going up to the Protour this is a welcome development. I think AMEX may still find it tough though to score well throughout the season, their main sprint Grillo is certainly not a guaranteed winner neither is Mehr-Wenige really.

18. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/kar.png Karcher-Adira Racing
Spoiler
Karcher Adira have done okay in transfers too, though I think Karpets and Davis have seen better days. Gerdemann and McEvoy should be decent value if spread around, I have this feeling this team will find the right races this year to sneak into this category from lower down which I was tempted to stick them. Team have retained a fair few of their Portuguese imports, but you still feel this team is a little old age.

19. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/rbc.png RBC Pro Cycling
Spoiler
Bellis and Vanderbiest are two top quality ManGame names who are probably expected to bring the house down. I don't quite see things going that way - Bellis seemed somehow marked out of races last year and Vanderbiest could suffer from the sprinter fest in PCT. Marc Machado is a bit of a punt who knows this team could go well and I'll be honest I am finding them difficult to place. For now I think like AMEX and Kazzinc this team look a year away from challenging for promotion spots.

20. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/abc.png Allianz-BMW Cycling Team
Spoiler
Allianz are yet another team to go for that top punchaer, top sprinter combo and another who I am finding difficult to place. Roy, Maes, Kangert, Richeze and Castaneda are all good riders who are capable of decent placings the team though feels like it is just slightly soft in comparison to those I expect to place in the top 15. The two sprinters I just don't feel are quite there, Kangert definately is just a tad overwaged. This leaves Roy and Maes who both flatter to decieve in their terrains. I think Allianz have done a good job in transfers but are just below that top 15 range.

Edited by Smowz on 06-04-2014 05:36
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Manager of i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/srb.pngSimply - Red Bull i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/srb.png
 
Smowz
Upper mid card 11th to 15th


i187.photobucket.com/albums/x62/Smowz/Saxobank%20pcm%20story/UMC_zpsa6f32330.jpg


11. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/csc.png Team CSC-Orbea
Spoiler
CSC are vastly improved their squad after a piss poor 2013 in which it was pointed out to me how limited their climbing sqaud was. Joining their expensive and strange punchaer Barrio and star rider Abal is some great experience in Cobo, Abal, Ventoso, Lloret, Serpa, J Rod, Plaza and De La Fuente. A number of these riders come from formerly promoting teams and with the right luck CSC could be up there with the contenders. I'll be a little more circumspect the old legs will not quite do it but should be an exciting year from them.

12. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/lvc.png La Vie Claire
Spoiler
La Vie Claire came into the transfer season loooking to completely revamp their team and quite frustratingly elevated the price I had to pay for Coppel to large levels. In a way I think it was good for them that they were able to spread the money on two great riders in Gautier and Ellisonde instead. Reus is a very decent TT/stage racer with the likes of Haussler and Maillet decent grabs from the free agency also. I think the manager can plan a good season, so this team should stick out of the pack a bit.

13. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/mag.png Magna - Ryanair
Spoiler
Magna may be the quiet achievers of 2014, on twittersphere Count is calling for surprise promotion and this is not totally out of the question. This is a nice deep team with plenty of solid riders, some will bemoan lack of leaders but leaders have a tendency to lack the race days and go for ridiculous wages. Magna meanwhile have accumulated a massive bunch of secondary riders that could really keep the points flowing. I don't quite have the full faith in this team I just feel that PCT is just that bit stronger then it has been in the past.

14. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/sbp.png Swedbank - PEAB
Spoiler
Swedbank have been around for a while and I am happy to see that they have got a nice squad for 2014, after a pretty low key campaign in 2013. Loaning in Skujins adds to a very exciting climbing squad with Hoogerland, Hermans and Lovkvist this team have kept their best riders and improved their squad around the fringes. I think they are a year off promotion but they really are going to get closer.

15. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys/CT/fcb_zpse1da305d.png FCB - Polska
Spoiler
FCB Polska are a bit of a wildcard pick from me for a top 15 place, I think Nazaret and Betancourt were pretty decent signings though. If you are going to splash out it is best to try and get a guy who will be good for 3 - 4 years and both these two should be that. They are pretty limited I will admit but I just see Nazaret and Betancourt nabbing some really good results and the climbers filling in a bit more gaps then people think they will.

Edited by Smowz on 06-04-2014 05:54
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Manager of i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/srb.pngSimply - Red Bull i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/srb.png
 
Smowz
Promotion hopefuls (6th to 10th)


i187.photobucket.com/albums/x62/Smowz/Saxobank%20pcm%20story/Promhope_zps1bd73e63.jpg


6. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys/PCT/jag_zps1b91f70a.png Jaguar - Eritel
Spoiler
When it comes to race planning who knows better than SN himself and with Jaguar 2014 I think this team will be in and around the top 10 - even if promotion for this African bunch is a remote possibility (Vesuvio would have to either relegate or disband). Dowsett should have a fun year fully let loose as the hilly leader alongside stage racer Bibby and exciting Eritrean climber Berhane - a great bargain free agent buy. Things will depend on who turns up at what race but SN's teams always seem to come out of it well.

7. Team Puma SAP
Spoiler
Team Puma SAP have gone full developmental with Silvio Herklotz and Gerald Ciolek joining the squad. Two years ago they very successfully used Daniele Benneti to catapult themselves into the Protour, now they are looking cheifly to support Ciolek as their main source of points. For me Ciolek is the best sprinter in the PCT and will score well this year. This could well lead to a surprise promotion challenge by the team for the future. Nerz, Kelderman and Vogt areready to fight for decent placings - of course this team is not as strong as some of the other relegated teams but cio has proven race planning skills that will come into play.

8. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/mei.png Meiji - Cannondale
Spoiler
The two bottom teams of 2012 were Meiji and Oz Cycling and both have come on leaps and bounds. This is a great lesson for all team managers - if at first you don't succeed you can climb the ranks. I think Lo Cicero can be successful this year, certainly Meiji are well equipped to support the much maligned Italian sprinter and with Napolitano still very fast this team have a real outlet. Another well knowmn Continental scorer is Alex Efimkin who has some excellent hilly support in Zaini, Hatanaka and Salerno. I do think with the right luck Meiji's upward trajectory will continue.

9. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/met.png Metinvest-Emirates
Spoiler
Metinvest certainly had a great 2013, in adding Ignatiev and Rabon, Avin has improved his sqaud nicely whilts retaining some of success stories from last year. Ignatiev could well be back to his dominent 2011 best - here he was a key compenent to Wiggles promotion push and will send Ukrainian hearts fluttering. Hoffman will surely struggle to match his amazing year last time out but remains a well rounded sprinter and Popovich still has nice stage race skills. Avin is a highly active member of the ManGame community, these guys do tend to get it right tightly observing the racing and reading all the tidbits and advice from other managers.

10. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/ozc.png Oz Cycling Project
Spoiler
Oz Cycling have also an ace sprinter card in Matty Goss, who didn't exactly come cheap, but similar to rivals Meiji this team also have an ace punchaer in Bobridge who could battle Ignatiev in thos punchy stage races with a TT. TTing has become this teams forte with Rogers, Ford, Olman, Bobridge and another decent new man Koren. It should be fascinating to see which former bottom rung team Meiji or Oz Cycling comes out top the winner may just squeeze into a promotion place which would be quite a journey.

Edited by Smowz on 06-04-2014 06:07
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Manager of i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/srb.pngSimply - Red Bull i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/srb.png
 
Smowz
Top five


Last year Vueling and Bouygues showed that having a healthy dollop of protour talent was very helpful in building a team around. Venchi, Bacardi and Heinekien have had a long time to think about their re-promotion campaigns and it showed with heavy transfer activity.

I am very impressed with each of these squads Bacardi and Venchi in particular. At the top however it is for me the top class CDiv2 man from 2012.

1. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/qst.png Quickstep
Spoiler
It will be no suprise I am including Quickstep - this team I think will win the division, Alakagom is going to complete his journey from CDiv2 to the big time I think. Froome and Vantomme were very useful investments and with Bpost going up they will fill that cobbled hole. Marquez will continue to score decently in the mountains and the team has great back up with developing talent. I think they have the edge on Bacardi and Venchi for the fight for the title- mainly because Alak has a great eye for getting the absolute best out of his riders. He has three winners in Baugnies, Froome and Vantomme he will be all over the classics like a rash which is the way to accumulate heavy points.

2. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/ven.png Venchi - Ferranti
Spoiler
Venchi's stars are perhaps slightly more under the radar than Bacardi but I expect them to be no less impressive than those of Bacardi. Di Maggio has proven scoring potential, he and Duarte were excellent two years ago and I think will once again score well. Van Stayen had a fantastic year at Red Bull and has been scarily improved, with Craven, Corioni and Van Avermart also very solid riders - I can even see Venchi outscoring Bacardi on their way back to the Protour.

3. i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/bac.png Bacardi Limited
Spoiler
Bacardi have two superb stage races in Uran and Intxausti, both have gone very well in Grand Tours in the past and it will be very interesting to see how the two former Vesuvio teammates do this year in the PCT ranks they are good enough to dominate. Ullisi is another strong Protour style of rider who could well land some of the hilly classics, this team really do have star quality with some more than capable back up riders. The only question is the lack of race days which may see 40 to 50 race days reliant on lesser riders.

4. Heineken-Cal Giant
Spoiler
Heineken's two stage racers Brajkovic and Eastman may not quite have the punch of Bacardi's duo but still could be big stars - I am intrigued to see of levi goes for the Tour of America with Eastman, if he does he could score heavily there. Dan Holloway is similar to Van Stayen but has not been improved he still should be thereabouts in sprints. This teams manager knows how to manage his resources well - no-one gave his team a hope of promoting two years ago and they did so comfortably, there were written off as complete no-hopers last year in the protour and yet they nearly dodged relegation. I think this team will promote and they still have that strong US core.

5. Team Gazelle
Spoiler
The final one of the five is a team I am picking to surprise despite what appears to be a limited squad in Gazelle. I see the sea of green in the hills column and I think Lotto/Red Bull 2012, no I don't think they will win the division but they will continue to clutter up the top 20's of those hilly classic and stage races. Last year was just ridiculously impressive and this year I think they can continue to overachieve. With three of my other top five big stage racers I think there is a place for a team renowned for solid consistency and Gazelle for me fit that bill.

Edited by Smowz on 06-04-2014 06:13
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Manager of i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/srb.pngSimply - Red Bull i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/srb.png
 
FroomeDog99
Serious risk of relegation... good start Grin I don't think we'll relegate, but it could be close. We certainly could have got a better team if we didn't get Kudus, but I couldn't miss out on the best African talent.
 
jph27
Haussler is worth it imo, due to the fact he can climb as well. Never going near a pure sprinter again, unless a talent I've maxed like Guardini or Carsi. Plus I got 800k for Napolitano who had the same wage Wink

Looking forward to reading your preview as ever, always a great read Smile
 
cio93
Can't argue against hampering our promotion chances, but it's Herklotz after all Wink
 
Smowz
Okay I've posted the first five (well the bottom five Smile ). Sorry guys but someone has to be at the bottom!
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Manager of i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/srb.pngSimply - Red Bull i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/srb.png
 
FroomeDog99
I think saying that Samwel, Gasparotto and Wegmann will all fail/are very risky buys is a bit harsh Wink

I hope we can prove you wrong, although I do think we'll have to face a relegation battle.
 
fjhoekie
No bottom expectations for my team, which is good Smile

But when thinking I have just as many riders as Bjartne... Oh well... Pfft
Manager of Team Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska in the PCM.Daily Man-Game
 
jph27
4 of the same bottom 5 as me, but feel you're being a little harsh to Kenya Airways. Samwel and Ben Nasser should save them this season at least.
 
tyriion
Was expecting my team in the bottom 5, but I haven't had much time to check other teams yet. Looking forward to more
Check out my ManGame team here
 
Smowz
A bit like with the CT, decided to post the rest this morning. Sorry for ruining suspense but I guess you all wanted to know about what I thought about your teams.

@ Froomedog: I think I may have been a bit harsh on Kenya. I was overthinking there. Ben Nasser and Samwel should do okay of course - it really does depend on who they go up against. Both I think are inconsistent, they don't have the greatest back up stats. I don't think Kenya will make the top 15, more likely somewhere between 15th and 27th I went for the bottom extreme! Thinking more sensibly you deserve a bit more credit than that probably.

@jph: Sorry to those managers but Belarus, Boeing and Project are pretty weak compared to other teams and as you and me are predicting the new improved Compal Merida still are in the bottom bracket. I think we may vary a bit more in the middle, but less so right at the top (bar Gazelle which is very wacky).

@Tyriion: I think Hornbach will score very strongly on cobbles this year - they can really double up there and there is enough steady flow on sprints to improve slightly on last year. Hope the steady improvement can continue.

@fjhoekie: I think it will be a long hard season for Privatbank though. I thought you planned out a fairly decent season last year so I think you can possibly out do other managers. Your activity is really good - thrilled you are joining the reporters this year.
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Manager of i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/srb.pngSimply - Red Bull i439.photobucket.com/albums/qq112/Gustavovskiy/microjerseys14/srb.png
 
jph27
12th you say? I'd take it, but I reckon we can do a top 10 and seeing as it's a goal I'd really like too. Apologies for pushing Coppel's price up - be glad I saw sense before placing a 3.7 million bid Pfft

Great read as ever though. Gazelle are good again, but are they that strong? Yes, DD is a fantastic race planner but Steegmans will struggle against Breschel and Eisel, let alone Baugnies and Franzoi. Plus the likes of Thomas, Turgot and Veelers are all very similar, just lack support stats. Monfort will also lose some point scoring potential due to other strong Hilly TTers like Bobridge, Koren, Reus and of course Ignatiev. It shall be fun to see how it plays out. Apart from that, we seem to have found a lot of common ground Smile
 
fjhoekie
Would be happy with 25th. If my sprinters don't fire I have a serious problem. But still I think the unmentioned Konovalovas is able to save my ass Wink

If behind those Polivoda can do something in the C2 sprints, I'd be happy Smile (And yes, he's going to the Middle East Tour, just like last year Pfft)

EDIT: Also don't forget you're the one who is training my favourite rider, who'll help me next year either in CT or PCT Wink (Prevar)
Edited by fjhoekie on 06-04-2014 07:49
Manager of Team Popo4Ever p/b Morshynska in the PCM.Daily Man-Game
 
tsmoha
Enjoyable read as always! Pretty spot on with my predictions in most cases, even though i don't see Gazelle making the Top-5 Wink But i wouldn't be too surprised if DD continues his run, will be one of the most interesting teams to follow, just because i found it quite hard to make a prediction.

As for Oz, i would gladly take that Top-10. I'm pretty happy with the roster i got this year, especially with two kinda-steals (imo) like Koren and Del Nero. Still not too confident with our depth in general and as many points will depend on some of our TTlers to survive road stages or hills, much depends on some luck.. Plus Bobridge, of course. He won't go all-Ignatiev, that ican already say, but i'm sure he should be able to achieve our most important goals in Czech Rep and ToB. Goss to add some points and Visconti to surprise in some races would make this season a success..
 
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