Le Trackèr: Special de Paris-Roubaix (en ook een beetje Ronde van Vlaandern)
Here we go, the Monuments, part two and three. Sadly, we are too late for the first of the two cobbled monuments, the Ronde van Vlaandern, because we had never expected it to come around just so quickly. This also puts us in a tricky position for the monuments prediction game, but that will be solved by Paris-Roubaix being counted double. Anyway, this is a tiny bit shorter, so that we don't get Zabel'd by the report of the Hell of the North too, so here we go:
Paris-Roubaix is one of the most prestigous one-day races in the world and whoever will win this race can crown himself as a modern legend of cycling. The race is called "The Hell of the North" for a reason as only the best Flandrien specialists have a shot for glory.
I think there are only 4 riders who have a realistic chance to finish first in the velodrome:
1. Fabian Cancellara: The one and only Spartacus has to be the top favourite after already winning the European RR championship and Milan San Remo this year. Only a crash can stop him from getting a podium.
2. Tom Boonen: After being the last year's race winner he has to be considered a top favourite. Recently, he showed his strong form by finishing second in the Ronde so expect him to finish on the podium
3. Peter Sagan: He has always a chance to surprise the even bigger names. Due to his sprinting abilities he has the tactical advantage of not needing to attack.
4. Greg Van Avermaet: After winning the Ronde van Vlaanderen he has to be considered a strong contender for the win.
Unfortunatelly, my Movistar Team is not under the very first favourites but i would be surprised if neither of Oget and Del Pino would get into the Top 10.
Francesco Moser:
We have arrived in April and it is time for Paris - Roubaix. This is one of the most exciting races on the calendar and with so many riders able to win, it will surely make for an interesting and tactical race. Like in the Ronde van Vlaanderen all eyes will be on Boonen and Cancellara. However, with Greg van Avermaet in the Ronde, we have seen it is possible to surprise them. The key to the victory will most likely lie at the Trouee d'Arenberg, Mons-en-Pavele and in the last 20 kilometers at Le Carrefour de l'Arbre. It remains to be seen what Cannondale Pro Cycling can achieve here. We got our hopes on Peter Sagan, but he is not a favourite. If Sagan fails, we still have Krizan, but he does not have the form we hoped for in the cobble classics.
Leyhinho (Mr. Europe):
Ah, Paris - Roubaix, ''The Hell of the North''.
A very important race for Europcar, I think it's the second-most important race of the season, for us.
It should be an exciting race with many contenders.
The first, obvious, names coming up in my head are of course Fabian Cancellara and Tom Boonen. Fabian Cancellara seems the man in form. Even though he 'only' got 5th in 'De Ronde', he won the biggest Continental Championship and La Primavera.
On the other side, there's Tom Boonen. He should be nearly as strong as Cancellara, and of course he got his finishing sprint. His support should be really strong.
There's a nice group of favourites behind it. Peter Pal seems a really strong contender, as is Eric Mcdermott. The latter one has a finishing sprint, but lacks support a bit.
Sep Vanmarcke & Thabo Jango Sithembile should have really good chances as well.
Ballan is hard to estimate. Theoretically, he should have a chance, but his RvV was really bad. Van Avermaet could be assigned as leader instead. Maybe he should, but I think Roubaix doesn't actually suit him.
Then there's 'us', Europcar. Khamphan is one of the best on paper, but well, cobbles are not made of paper, unfortunately. He had a bad day at 'De Ronde', but Roubaix suits his type of rider better. Bar OPQS, we should have the strongest cobbled team, but without a big favourite, we haven't got too much pressure.
As you've seen, Turgot is a good stand-in if Khamphan disappoints. But don't forget Gaudin either, he's a good cobbler. We're sure that both are extra motivated for Roubaix, given that it's in their home country.
A Top 10 is the goal for us. It should definitely be achievable.
I expect a lot of shattered groups. Cancellara will go for a solo, that's a sure thing. It's going to be exciting to see if OPQS can match him. We don't expect Khamphan to follow or beat Spartacus, but maybe, possibly, if he has a great day.
We hope to end up in the second group and let Khamphan(or even Turgot) have a good sprint. We might send one of our top cobblers ahead in a late attack, to put the pressure on the others.
So now after coming to late for the Ronde, we need to make up for it by giving double points for this. Rules are the same as always, three points for naming a rider correctly, two more for giving the correct placing. As always, i need the podium. Whatever points you have scored at the end will then be doubled. Simples!
So, the next (two) tracker(s) won't be out till at least next weekend, because i'll be away. So incase L-B-L will be raced in the meantime, you can already send in your predictions for that. Rules are as ever.
So, only a short edition here. This hs various reasons: For one, i don't have much time atm, and the time i have i focus on the MG transfers. Though it also has to be said that Selwink said all i would be saying here in his brilliant preview, so i don't think there's any need to do more. So this edition only has the pundits thoughts, with BMC's Peter Griffin the guest man this time, given his teams favourite role. And lastly, don't forget to send in your predictions!
This race is the most important classic of the year for us and therefore, we send a super strong line up hear containing the likes of Alejandro Valverde, Rui Costa, Nairo Quintana or Benat Intxausti. We will give everything so that we will win in the end. But it will be difficult to beat Purito in the end so we will attack multiple times with different riders to weaken our rivals before we are setting off the final and glourious attack. Like said above, i think that Alejandro and Purito are by far the top favourites but also Philippe Gilbert, Dan Martinor Peter Sagan have their chance to take the win at the by far most important classic.
Francesco Moser:
Another monument on the calendar. The most difficult of the 3 Ardennes classics. For some riders it is a great opportunity to leave the disappointments of the Ardennes week behind, while others are looking to finish of a great week with another good result. Like every other classic it will be hard to predict a winner, because there are so many strong classic riders in the peloton. Looking at other races this season we should be in for an exciting race. Favourites are the likes of Gilbert, Valverde and Amstel Gold Race winner Rodriguez. For us there has not been much to enjoy in the classics, but our team is build around Peter Sagan once again and we hope he will deliver now.
Peter Griffin:
The fourth monument of the season is the one we feel we have the best chances of winning, despite the fact that we have already won one! Liege - Bastogne - Liege is,of course,Philippe Gilbert's home race, with everyone around Liege cheering him on. The route needs no introduction, with famous names like Stockeu, Rosier and La Redoute some of the harder obstacles as they ride to the finish line at the top of the Cote de Saint-Nicolas.
Philippe knows how to win here, having done it in 2011 but will have to beat strong puncheurs like Rodriguez and Valverde to do it again. He has another Belgian monument winner, Greg Van Avermaet, to help him as well as strongmen like Ballan and Oss. Plus, with the vociferous home support and bags of motivation, Philippe must be in with a shot. As long as he stays on the bike, unlike in Amstel!
Strong outsiders include Dan Martin, Betancur, Gerrans, Sky's Colombian pair and the outrageously talented young duo of Sagan and Kwiatkowski. And let's not forget our batch of debutants, including Sithembile and the much-heralded Delfi Cervero. Though the distance and difficulty of this race usually rules out such inexperienced cyclists.
But predictions are often useless in such a tough race. One thing is for sure; it will definitely be exciting.
Last years cobbled season has been one of missed opportunities for you, really. What do you have to say about it?
Yes, I agree. It started off very well with a podium at the Omloop, but it was downhill from there, really. I got very unlucky in De Ronde, as I was a little off concentration as the decisive split happened, and then in Paris-Roubaix I was made to work for the local riders, even though I was clearly better than them.
Especially Paris-Roubaix must have hurt; how did team management explain it to you?
Well, they were really just giving me a few half hearted explanations, saying that they had promised the Frenchies a leading role there before I came.
So are there any bad feelings between you and the team?
Not between me and the riders, it's not them who told me to get to the front and work. With the team management it's a bit different, but in the end we still get along fine.
And? Is anything decided about your team for next year yet? With a cobbled stage in Le Tour coming up, you'll surely want maximum support.
Yes, I've been training a lot on cobbles lately, so it's no secret that I want to go out and not just be competitive, but actually get a win. Of course Europcar looking set for World Tour is good for me, if I do stay. The team have already told me how I could be an absolute leader, with everyone working for me. If they get in one or two new support guys, I could be a leader at one of the top cobbles teams in the world, so I'm inclined to stay. Should a team like OPQS want me to replace Boonen however, or anything along those lines, it'd be hard to resist.
Thanks for the interview Lue!
The team set him to work as domestique in the 2013 edition of Paris-Roubaix. That shouldn't happen again.
Willem Brouwer
You've been the most successful neopro in a long time. Surely Belkin must be very pleased to have someone like you on board?
I don't know, I think they are pretty pleased indeed. I exceeded my expectations and I suppose I exceeded Belkin's expectations too.
How is your future going to look like. Are you tempted by the big money offers you're surely going to get by some of the more wealthy teams?
I have not decided yet. Of course money is a factor, but it's the feeling that's important too. And I feel pretty good at Belkin, at the moment. I'm not sure if I can get the same good feeling at another team. If so, there's definitely a opportunity for a big team to pick me up.
What will your goals for the next season be?
My goals for the next season are not defined yet. It depends of the team that I end up with too. What I didn't get this year, is a big classic win. Not up to now, at least. That could be a nice goal. I'm definitely going to show my face in GTs again too. Picking up a leader's jersey won't be easy, but I'll try. Definitely going to have some nice goals next season, just not perfectly sure yet
Dutch top sprinter Willem Brouwers is currently managed by Jesleyh
Brouwer got his first pro win in his first pro race at Tropicale Amissa Bongo.
Delfi Cervero
Your season was full of ups and downs, what were your best and worst memories?
For me, it has been a difficult season, with a lot of troubles on the bike, but a lot of change off of it! I'll start with my worst moment, and there's been a lot to choose from! For me the season kicked off on the wrong foot in Gabon. There were high exoectations to maybe even win, which sadly didn't happen. From there on I didn't exactly excel in Milan - San Remo or the Tour of the Basque Country either. The worst part though was the beginning of the Ardennes season. After those early disappointments, the manager wanted a top 10. All things considered this wasn't such a great call from my perspective. I'm really not a pressure rider, and somehting like that just made things worse, knowing my career would be decided in three days.
The worst moment by far though happened in Amstel Gold Race. It is the race which I love best, something I always look out for on the calendar. It was going well, probably shaping up for one of my best results, when I crashed. It was really nasty, and although I finished, I was in pretty bad shape for the next few days. I still managed to start in Fleche Wallone, but the pain was pretty bad, and I didn't make the top ten. To know from then on, that even though it wasn't my fault, I had one race, when I was in pretty bad shape where I needed to pull off a great result without fail or lose my job was a nightmare.
That brings me nicely on to the best moment so far. This one is pretty easy to choose from too, and it also takes place in the Ardennes, but the one I haven't mentioned yet. Liege Bastogne Liege was not so much a happy moment, more one of relief, even so it is the best. The surprising thing is, I did not really do much in the race, I raced conservatively, there was no point taking risks when all I needed was top 10. That said, the competition was fierce, and even though I was only 12th before the sprint, I pushed really hard to make sure I got there, and I just about did, in 10th. I wasn't happy at the time, but I am now, as its a nice result which should help me get a contract somewhere for next year.
Surely you were hoping for more in the Ardennes, do you think FDJ is the best team for you to try and improve on that next season?
To be honest, considering all the pressure that went with it, I was content with one tenth place. I think without my crash, and without the ultimatum from the team, it could have been more. In terms of teammates, they didn't make all that much difference in the Ardennes, since other teams, with bigger names, also had strong teams. Unless I go to a team which thinks I can do well, they will not put a team around me to succeed. At FDJ it is not a team for the Ardennes, and I was not all that pleased with the support around me, but considering my earlier performances that is understandable.
How angry were you not to make the Tour de France team?
Although every cyclist wants to ride the Tour de France, I understood the decision. As a French team, they wanted to send all French riders, and all French leaders, to the Tour. I do not think there was a place for me, when they would be looking to protect Thibaut Pinot every time the gradient went above 2%. I think if I want to ride a Grand Tour, it has to be at a team which isn't trying to win it, so I get a free role.
Costa Rican surprise package Delfi Cervero is managed by the mysterious businessman only known as The Hobbit
His season was very mediocre so far, but he hopes to pick himself up in part three.
Po-ding Kim
Hello Mister Kim, you've been one of the most successful neo-pros this year. In what way do you think that's connected to being in the PCT?
Thank you for the kind words. I think the Continental Tour was perfect to start for me. I learned a lot in my first race in San Luis, and immediatly won my second race in Algarvia. Later, I went on to win Bayern, so i think it was really good Continental Tour season for me. World Tour was more disappointing. I still do good on time trials, but I struggle on the mountains. I realise I need more training for the World Tour.
Do you feel ready to take the step to WT level with Europcar, or do you think you'll move to a team more fitted to you?
A lot of teams have shown interest in me, but it comes down to two choices for me. Either I stay with Europcar and promote to the World Tour, either I go to a yet unnamed Continental Tour team. One part of me does not want to disappoint mr. Europe and mr. Car, but one the other hand, I think I'll feel more at home in the other team.
What will your big goals for next season be?
I hope to ride Tour de France and Tour de Beijing, which were denied to me this year. I will definitely defend my title at the Continental Championship as well. I would also like to defend my Algarvia title, as I was really proud of that win. And I want to win a World Tour race as well.
Role model communist Kim is managed by Ollfardh
Winning Volta ao Algarve was his one of his biggest successes so far.
Erik McDermott
Hi Erik, how happy are you with your season so far? You started off well on the cobbles, and kept it up, without ever really excelling. What could that be down to, and what are you planning on doing in order to reach the next level in 2014?
First of all a 2nd in Omloop and 6th in Paris - Roubaix isn't so bad for a neopro I think. I did however often find myself a bit alone when the race got really hard so apart from training to get stronger in general I'm looking for some more support next year.
Of course a Dane at Saxo-Tinkoff is a good combination, we can assume you were happy with your surroundings. The question is though, can they offer you enough support on the cobbles?
The team could use another strong cobbler to be a real powerhouse. No offense to Breschel and Tossato, but they are not really strong enough to be there in the finale.
If you do consider moving on, has any team shown interest yet, and if so, how many?
Currently it's a three-horse race. Or perhaps one is more like a sheep currently, but then again I do like sheep due to growing up on a sheep farm so I'm doing some serious thinking at the moment.
The hottest Danish talent around is managed by Atlantius
The cobbles are Erik's big season goal once again.
Interesting to see that all except from Brouwer were unpleasant at a time..
Especially with all that cobbles talent, it's gonna be a difficult transfer season for strong cobblers. I'm glad to have no ambitions in that field though
EDIT: "Very nice read" seems like a common phrase
Edited by Silvio Herklotz on 15-08-2014 16:24