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[EPIC] Garmin-Sharp | The Tracker - #CycleGate Special
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Dippofix
The Tracker: Continental Championships Special


The Route

The race follows the route of the 2012 World Championships, in the Limburg region of the Netherlands. The race will start in Maastricht, and then make its way to Valkenburg, taking about 100 kilometres. From there, the racing will take place on a lap of 16,5 kilometres around Valkenburg, featuring the infamous Cauberg. We expect the course to provide for three races similar to the 2012 World Championships, where Belgiums Phillipe Gilbert took the rainbow jersey by a few seconds over Edvald "The Boss" Hagen of Norway. There might not be a rainbow jersey on offer this time around, but it should still be three great races to watch!

www.procyclingstats.com/races/profilesmaps/2012-08/79th-World-Championships-Road-Race-1345632565.jpg
The Route

Our Squad

European Time Trial:

David Millar
Alex Rasmussen
Ramunas Navardauskas
Thomas Dekker

Not much to be said about this one. David or Alex might be able to get a Top 10-15 if they have a really good day, but that's about it.

upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/e/ec/David_Millar-IMG_2084.jpg
David Millar riding in our colours in '11

European Road Race:

Daniel Martin
Fabian Wegmann
Ramunas Navardauskas
David Millar
Michel Kreder
Nick Nuyens
Thomas Dekker
Nicklas Strömberg
Robert Andrews


This is a very important race for us. Dan might have been underachieving a little bit so far, but this is the race he can change all that with. He might not have the best support, with Fabian being the only one we expect to be there with him in the finale if the race was tough, we certainly have the will and determination, and i'm sure Michi or Tommy will give their best in front of home crowds. Our two young signings, Nicklas and Robbie, will be there too, but as absolute domestiques or breakaway riders, since this terrain suits neither of them.

www.cyclingweekly.co.uk/imageBank/d/Dan%20Martin.jpg
You'll never beat the Irish, you'll never...

American Time Trial:

Andrew Talansky
Ryder Hesjedal
David Zabriskie
Christian Vande Velde


This is a race that we really fancy our chances in. Tejay van Garderen and Taylor Phinney should be Andys main opponents, but on the right day, we feel he has what it takes to beat them and stand on the top step of the podium. Ryder and Christian are also fine time triallists, and Davey might not be what he used to be on a time trial bike, but he told me he's feeling great so far this season and hoping for a Top 5 here.

upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/e/e4/2011_UCI_Road_World_Championship_-_Andrew_Talansky.jpg
Andy in his NC jersey

American Road Race:

Ryder Hesjedal
Andrew Talansky
Tom Danielson
Peter Stetina
Christian Vande Velde
Alex Howes
Tyler Farrar
Jakob Rathe


Again, this is a race we think we can achieve a medal in. We will probably only decide leadership on the day, since Ryder and Andy are both strong enough to do something here. Whoever leads will have Tom, Pete and Christian as domestiques, all of them are expected to be there or thereabouts in the finale. Lastly, bottle carriers will be Alex, Tyler and Jake.

www.bicycling.com/sites/default/files/images/ryder-hesjedal-pink-giro12-stage8.jpg
Ryder in the Giros Pink jersey

Aufrazian Time Trial:

Rohan Dennis
Jack Bauer
Robert Hunter
Lachlan Morton


We've got one of the big favourites here, with Rohan. He is however the only one of our riders we expect to do anything against Durbridge, Porte, Kim and Co. Jack, Rob and Lachlan are all only there to give Rohan information on conditions on the road.

cdn.media.cyclingnews.com//2013/05/18/1/13tocstg612_670.jpg
Rohan at AtoC

Aufrazian Road Race:

Rohan Dennis
Jack Bauer
Robert Hunter
Lachlan Morton
Nathan Haas
Steele von Hoff


Again, Rohan is our only rider really capable of doing anything, with our other riders from the region mainly sprinters and bottle carriers, as which everybody expcept for Rohan will function in the earlier parts of the race.

cdn.velonews.competitor.com/files/2013/09/HesjedalDennisAlberta5_913-141.jpg
Him again, this time on a hill

The Favourites

Europe

Time Trial:
Easy. Four of the worlds top five time triallists are from Europe, so we expect all of them to do well. Of course multiple world champion Tony Martin of Germany and Omega Pharma - Quickstep is top favourite, having won his worlds title on this course last year.
Next in line is Swissman Fabian Cancellara, also multiple world champion, riding for BMC. Many doubt if he really has what it needs to challenge Martin at the moment, but even if he might be getting old, he's hungry for succes, and won't want to go home without a medal.
Then we have a duo of brits, coincidentally being the winner and runner-up of last years Tour de France, Sir Bradley Wiggins and Chris Froome. Wiggins has been tipped off to do better than Froome, because rumour has it he's aiming for the Giro, so coming in to shape earlier, with Froome hoping to win Le Tour later in the season, in July.
Sylvain Chavanel, Jordan Birtles and Alex Dowsett are riders that'll all contest for the Top 5, however there is a significant drop in quality from the two Brits to this group.
Marco Pinotti, Adriano Malori, Lieuwe Westra, Edvald Boasson Hagen, Michal Kwiatkowski, Oreste Ghita, Silvio Pennarossa and Fredrik Kessiakoff will probably fight out the remaining Top 10, if they have a great day maybe even Top 5.

i.telegraph.co.uk/multimedia/archive/02344/Tony_Martin_2344620b.jpg
Der Panzerwagen winning in '12

Road Race:
This event is probably the most wide-open of them all. Notoriously unlucky Alejandro Valverde from Spain is top favourite for the win. He is one of the strongest on the hills, and he also has the kick needed to take it in a sprint, should a small group make it over the Cauberg. He also enjoys excellent support, with riders like Rui Costa, Benat Intxausti or Giovanni Visconti.
Also hoping for a podium finish are Italian Vincenzo Nibali, reigning world champion, who won his rainbow jersey on this very course last September, and Ardennes Triple winner Phillipe Gilbert from Belgium and our very own flying Irishman, Dan Martin. Each one of them has the individual quality to win this on a good day, though Gilbert and Martin will struggle in the latter parts of the race, since their teams can't field the best support for them.
From here on it get's unpredictable, with Michal Kwiatkowski of Poland, Hollands Bauke Mollema, Francesco Ronaldo from Portugal, Roman Kreuziger from the Czech Republic and Peter Sagan of Slovakia will all be eyeing a Top 5 or 10 spot.
Of course there are tons more riders that could do very well, but we suggest you look them up in this post, because there are simply too many different riders to go through them all.

www.grassyknolltv.com/2012/road-cycling-world-championships/320-RTR38BAL-640.jpg
Gilbert winning in '12

America

Time Trial:
BMC duo Taylor Phinney and Tejay van Garderen are the ones to beat for this one. Phinney is the one of those two that is regarded as the slightly stronger, but both of them could win it, depending on their form on the day.
Our man Andy Talansky is the next on line here, and could also challenge for the win here. He will really want to get a good result here, as a good measuring point for the nationals and the worlds.
Next up is Costa Rican Allrounder Andrey Amador, who could be challenging the likes of Talansky or van Garderen on a good day, to bring a freak medal to the middle american country. On par with him should also be Canadian Svein Tuft, though many fear he isn't the rider he used to be.
Johnny Schmidt and our man Davey Zabriskie are riders that could be eyeing a Top 5, contrasting in it being a first for Schmidt, and one of the last for Dave.
Jaxton McNutt, Jordan Lewis, Ryder Hesjedal, Tom Danielson, Christian Vande Velde, Rigoberto Uran and Brent Bookwalter are more riders that might be looking for a Top 10.

www.srm.de/fileadmin/user_upload/images/teams/bmc/Untitled-4.jpg
BMC's Dynamic Duo

Road Race:
It might seem like a weird choice, but Costa Rican young gun Delfi Cervero is top favourite here, having both brilliant endurance and ability on the hills. He has beaten some of the records on a few of the most famous hills of the Ardennes in training, but so far he struggles to transfer that skill to the road. His big disadvantage however is that he only has Murillo Fischer and Dominique Rollin as support, both of them not really being the best on the hills.
From him we come to Colombian Puncher Carlos Betancur, of French outfit Ag2r La Mondiale. He is somebody a lot of people think will have a bright future, but he's yet to achieve a major result. Maybe this will be the race he can do that in? In terms of support he has fellow Colombian Christian Muriel and Canadian time trial specialist Hugo Houle. Both not bad for domestique works, but it'll be hard for him to control the race with just two team mates.
Then we have a trio of riders all rated similarly, with Sky duo Sergio Henao and Rigoberto Uran, as well as defending Giro champion and Garmin rider, or should i much rather say ryder, Ryder Hesjedal. The two Sky men will both be eyeing a good performance, and there also the first favourites to bring a proper team, consisting of Dombrowski, Boswell and Pate, who might just decide to contest the race however, and ride away at the start, never to be seen again. Of course Ryder also has good support, with Talansky, Danielson, Stetina, and Vande Velde as stand out riders on the hills, thus making us the team that should and will control the race from the start.
Now, let's come to the outsiders. Chris Horner, the oldest participant, will surely want to do something, though not many think "Mt. Baldy", as BMC's manager likes to call him, can do much.
Young gun Nairo Quintana is another one to look out for, though the winner of Tirenno-Adriatico doesn't seem as good on the hills as in the high mountains.
Sojasuns Travis Jones should also be there in the finale, as should punchy sprinter or sprinty puncher Jorge Cristobal Riquelme of Belkin and Chile.
Jordan Lewis, Andrey Amador and Lampre duo José Serpa and Winner Anacona should do well too.

www.cyclingfans.net/2013/images/2013_giro_d_italia_stage9_carlos_betancur1a.jpg
Will he get his first major win?

Aufrazia

Time Trial:
Po-ding Kim is the stand out rider for this championships. His skills on a time trial bike are said to be two levels higher than his competitors, thus making him the real rider to beat here. He can also handle the hills well, which should help him on the Cauberg, though that isn't expected to be a game changing aspect of the course. Also due to his North Korean origins, many think he will be extra motivated to do his beloved leader proud.
Next in line is our rider Rohan Dennis and Sky's super domestique Richie Porte. Both are said to be equally strong time triallists, with Porte having the edge both on the hills and over the length of the course, which might make him the slightly better rider of the two for this sort of a race.
After that we have Aussie Trio Michael Rogers of Saxo-Tinkoff, former world champion in this discipline, Cameron Mayer and Luke Durbridge, both of Australian outfit Orica-GreenEDGE.
Then there's a big gap down to riders like Dimitry Gruzdev, Jesse Sergent, Cadel Evans, Travis Meyer, Jack Bobridge, Damien Howson and Brett Lancaster are more riders that might be looking for a Top 10 or even a Top 5 placing.

www.cyclingfans.com/michael_rogers_2004_grand_prix_des_nations.jpg
It's Michael Rogers in his rainbow jersey

Road Race:
First up is a rider from a nation that's well used to win medals in long distance events, though normally we'd be talking about running. That's right, the top favourite here is from Kenya and rides for Sky, it's Thabo Jango Sithembile. He might have the strongest super-domestique in Richie Porte, who might even lead himself, but except for that he onlyhas classics specialist Matt Hayman and sprinter CJ Sutton with him, so not the strongest support to ensure he has the best chances of finishing it off.
We then have to move on to the rider with the strongest team, Simon Gerrans. The winner of Milano - San Remo has to be the one to beat beside Sithembile, for having both the skill, the experience and the team to pull it off. With him he has a full nine rider team, consisting off such big names as Goss, Impey, Davis, Howard, Meyer and Clarke.
Then we have former world champion Cadel Evans to look out for. He might have had an awful season so far riding for Team Phona.., no wait, BMC, but he can still ride a good classic, and just like Gerrans he's got a load of experience to help him do just that. His team however consists of nobody but himself, so he'll have to rely solely on the other teams, mainly Orica GreenEDGE, to bring him to the final.
Now it's time to look at a rider that's out here to do nothing else than bring pride to his glorious nation, it's Po-ding Kim of Team Europcar. He is the only rider with a realistic chance of achieving two medals, and i bet that's exactly what he'll be aiming for. He has Laotian danger man Lue Khamse Khamphan with him, alongside Yukiya Arashiro and Natnael Berhane. Not the strongest team of all times, but it should do to make sure he'll be up for it when the race comes to the decisive points.
Then it's time to look at Aussie and former time trial world champion Michael Rogers, riding in the Team Saxo-Tinkoff colours. He is however getting old, and has nobody of real class with him, Rory Sutherland and young Puncher/TTist Jay McCarthy being the best. Also, should he be in Asia before the competition we strongly advise him not to eat any meat. He isn't planning on retiring just yet, is he? Wink
Now we have our own rider, Rohan Dennis lined up. He isn't really a specialised Puncher, but he doesn't handle the hills too badly, and has Jack Bauer, Robert Hunter, Lachlan Morton, Nathan Haas and Steele von Hoff with him. We're not expecting too much from him, however a Top 3-5 would be quite nice indeed.
Heinrich Haussler, Matthew Lloyd and Louis Meintjes are other riders that can't be underestimated, though this either isn't their favourite terrain, or they're too young to be real favourites.

cdn3.coresites.mpora.com/rcuk/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/simon-gerrans-milan-sanremo.jpg
Gerrans winning MSR

The Pundits Thoughts

Francesco Moser:

With all the elite Time Trialists present, it will be very difficult to see any other rider winning. Maybe the Cauberg could make it interesting, but it is a very small chance of the hill making any difference.

With the Continental Championships being a team championship, instead of countries, it will be hard to predict an outcome. Some teams are very strong, but other teams do not have enough riders in a continent to send a full team. Especially the Aufrasian and American championships will be hard to control with a smaller starting field than Europe. It could very well be possible that the early breakaway will be successful, unless the big teams take their responsibility. In the European Championship the favourites and challengers mostly have strong and full teams, which will mean the race will be decided very late, either with a solo attack or a small sprint.


Michael Schröder:

I expect the European RR to be won by one of the big favourites like Gilbert, Degenkolb or Valverde. With him and Rui Costa we have a good shot on this race. Unfortunately, we don't have any rider who is able to compete with Wiggins, Froome, Martin and Cancellara in the TT so we have little expextation there.

The American RR is another story. Again, Team Movistar has some great riders like Quintana, Amador or Oget in the startlist but it will be difficult to control the breakaway and possible late attacks. I expect expecially Ryder Hesjedal and Carlos Betancour to do well. For the TT we have hopes that Amador can surprise the crowd by doing well. But, I don't think that he has good chances to compete with the very bests like BMC's duo Taylor Phinney and Tejay van Garderen.

And last and also least: The Aufrazian Championships. I expect Kim Po-Ding to win the TT while Orica has the best chances in the RR. It must be seen how they will handle the situation of being the team that has to work. I don't want to speculate here before the deadline for the amateur teams is closed.


Peter Griffin, BMC:

They may not be as big as the World Champs or a monument but BMC will certainly be hoping to win at least one of these races. We enter the American TT as overwhelming favourites and we hope Taylor or Tejay can bring us something back from over there, preferably a 1-2. Tejay also has a chance in the RR but will struggle to beat Betancur, Uran and the other Colombians.

In Europe, our hopes rest with Gilbert, who wants to add the European title to his rainbow stripes. But the race will be extremely difficult, with Valverde, Dan Martin and Sagan all expected to challenge. The TT will go to Tony Martin.

Evans is on his own in the Aufrasian race and will just have to do his best. I would say Gerrans starts as favourite for the RR, with Kim Po-Ding hoping to bring great glory to his country in the TT.


The Prediction Game

Of course there will also be a prediction game for this one, one for each event. You can send in predicitons at any time, for all at once, or if a few races already have been uploaded, just for the remaining ones. This won't count towards the Monuments overall, it's a standalone competition. The rules are the same as the last time, and whoever get's the most points over all six events wins.

Send in your Questions

In the next regular tracker there'll also be an Interview with the team, looking back on what has been and what will come, rider developments and maybe some early transfer talk, as we hear Orica are very keen on one of our riders. If you have anything you would like to ask us, don't be shy to send in one or multiple questions. Smile

 
Jesleyh
Nice tracker, read it all Wink

Can't wait for the Championships now.

i1326.photobucket.com/albums/u660/jesleyh/Junk/0ca5fb14-ed59-44b1-8eb0-596097ba5c01_zps8e97f370.jpg

Feyenoord(football) and Kelderman fanboy


PCMdaily Awards: 12x nomination, 9x runner-up, 0x win.
 
Ollfardh
Very good stuff in here!
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
 
brewers90
I'm guessing the Nibali part is a typo? He's not in the race. Wink

Also you mentioned Lewis for the RR but not Van Garderen. Or Powers...

But a great read nonetheless. Grin
Edited by brewers90 on 24-01-2014 15:41
Manager of Bunzl - Centrica
ICL's World Tour Champions and Talented Bottlers



pcmdaily.com/images/awards/2014/funny.png
 
Dippofix
Yeah, i simply forgot a few riders,like TvG, Shaqif and a few more. Embarassed

And yeah, i did it by db, not the thread, assuming Astana and Katusha would be able to submit squads. Purito was originaly the top favourite in Europe, that's why Valverdes part might read itself a bit weird. I also had Iglinsky in at some point, but managed to take him out, so i'm surprised i missed Nibbles. Embarassed

Also, for the prediction game please send podiums for all races, not just the winners. Wink
 
mvhoogdalem
Great read as always. Good, clear overview of the favourites. Bit disappointed that you included a picture of Hesjedal with those ugly glasses. Pfft

I will do the predictions now, or I might miss out again. Wink
 
Cycleman123
You left out Marouane Shaqif of Cofidis for Aufrazia TT. It's between him and Kim for the win.
i1193.photobucket.com/albums/aa348/the_hoyle86/Graphics/Road%20to%20Le%20Tour_zpsnovshuyf.png

i1193.photobucket.com/albums/aa348/the_hoyle86/Graphics/Oricav2_zpsc6257c80.png
 
SSJ2Luigi
Next in line is Swissman Fabian Cancellara, also multiple world champion, riding for BMC.


Vincenzo Nibali, reigning world champion, who won his rainbow jersey on this very course last September

well that's not right Wink
 
Dippofix
SSJ2Luigi wrote:
Next in line is Swissman Fabian Cancellara, also multiple world champion, riding for BMC.


Vincenzo Nibali, reigning world champion, who won his rainbow jersey on this very course last September

well that's not right Wink

I must have put Nibali there instead of Gilbert when i was doing the re-shuffling for some reason. Embarassed

And i have no clue what made me write that with Cance, must be because they're both swiss or something. Embarassed

Anyway, keep the predictions coming! I already got a few, but i'm sure there are more out there that might be interested. Smile
 
Ollfardh
Yup, expect mine soon Wink
Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
 
brewers90
Cycleman123 wrote:
You left out Marouane Shaqif of Cofidis for Aufrazia TT. It's between him and Kim for the win.


You don't pay much attention to anything, do you?

Anyway, Cancellara at BMC seems to be happening a lot this season. I can dream...

And I shall predict soon. Don't bother looking at the others, mine will be right.
Manager of Bunzl - Centrica
ICL's World Tour Champions and Talented Bottlers



pcmdaily.com/images/awards/2014/funny.png
 
Shonak
Might fine edition. Enjoyed it to read immensley. Shame no NetApp -Endura riders are considered favourites. Pfft
pcmdaily.com/files/Awards2016/team.png
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"It’s a little bit scary when Contador attacks." - Tommy V
 
Cycleman123
brewers90 wrote:
Cycleman123 wrote:
You left out Marouane Shaqif of Cofidis for Aufrazia TT. It's between him and Kim for the win.


You don't pay much attention to anything, do you?

Anyway, Cancellara at BMC seems to be happening a lot this season. I can dream...

And I shall predict soon. Don't bother looking at the others, mine will be right.


That's a bit insulting Frown When I typed that, the other replies after the tracker somehow hadn't come up. Otherwise I wouldn't have typed it.
i1193.photobucket.com/albums/aa348/the_hoyle86/Graphics/Road%20to%20Le%20Tour_zpsnovshuyf.png

i1193.photobucket.com/albums/aa348/the_hoyle86/Graphics/Oricav2_zpsc6257c80.png
 
Selwink
Shaqif does ride for the team of his own continent though, not for Cofidis
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/micro/npn.png[PCT] Novatek-Panarmenian.net
[ICL] Sugoi-Xanterra & Canada Dry Dev Team
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'But why were [...] they helped to get to space? To find answers, we must look at predictions not of science, but of science-fiction.'
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brewers90
In my opinion, you should know which team your own rider rides for. Wink
Manager of Bunzl - Centrica
ICL's World Tour Champions and Talented Bottlers



pcmdaily.com/images/awards/2014/funny.png
 
SSJ2Luigi
brewers90 wrote:
In my opinion, you should know which team your own rider rides for. Wink

I know which team my riders ride for, just don't know which one rides where Embarassed

does that count?
Edited by SSJ2Luigi on 26-01-2014 20:42
 
Dippofix
SSJ2Luigi wrote:
brewers90 wrote:
In my opinion, you should know which team your own rider rides for. Wink

I know which team my riders ride for, just don't know which one rides where Embarassed

does that count?

I'm not so sure. Wink
Didn't you complain about Bardiani not nominating a Feunard for the Contis, even though none of them rides for Bardiani? Pfft
 
Cycleman123
brewers90 wrote:
In my opinion, you should know which team your own rider rides for. Wink


Yeah sorry my bad I mixed him up with Harrini, as whenever sighing custom riders I think Cofidis because that's the only one where I have my schedule so far.
i1193.photobucket.com/albums/aa348/the_hoyle86/Graphics/Road%20to%20Le%20Tour_zpsnovshuyf.png

i1193.photobucket.com/albums/aa348/the_hoyle86/Graphics/Oricav2_zpsc6257c80.png
 
SSJ2Luigi
Dippofix wrote:
SSJ2Luigi wrote:
brewers90 wrote:
In my opinion, you should know which team your own rider rides for. Wink

I know which team my riders ride for, just don't know which one rides where Embarassed

does that count?

I'm not so sure. Wink
Didn't you complain about Bardiani not nominating a Feunard for the Contis, even though none of them rides for Bardiani? Pfft

well Bardiani is different, they did offer for one of them but they weren't convinicing enough Pfft
so that's confused me?
 
Ollfardh
Here's your schedule for part 2:

Ronde van Vlaanderen
Pais Vasco
Paris-Roubaix
Amstel Gold Race
La Fleche Wallone
Liege-Bastogne-Liege
Tour de Romandie
Giro d'Italia
Criterium du Dauphine
Tour de Suisse
Scheldeprijs
Brabantse
Finanzplatz
California
Philly

Changed my sig, this was getting absurd.
 
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