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[PCT] Lotto-Caloi 2024 | Survival battle
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| Laurens147 |
Posted on 12-09-2024 08:16
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Protected Rider
Posts: 1066
Joined: 26-04-2020
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 Lotto-Caloi
Wildcards
| 23-Mar | | E3 Prijs | PT | | 27-Mar | | Ronde van Vlaanderen | M | | 03-May | | Fleche Wallonne | PT | | 07-May | | Liege - Bastogne - Liege | M | | 11-May | 31-May |  Vuelta a Espana | GT | | 15-Aug | |  East Midlands Cicle Classic | PT |
Calendar
| Start | End | Race | Category | | 07-Jan | |  Down Under Classic | HC | | 11-Jan | 16-Jan | Tour Down Under | C1 | | 19-Jan | |  Badaling International | C1 | | 26-Jan | 29-Jan |  Tour of Guadeloupe | C1 | | --- | | | | | 04-Feb | | Omloop Het Nieuwsblad | HC | | 10-Feb | | Le Samyn | HC | | 22-Feb | 24-Feb |  Tour of Ukraine | PTHC | | 22-Feb | 26-Feb |  Circulo de Juarez | HC | | --- | | | | | 05-Mar | 10-Mar |  Vuelta a Colombia | PTHC | | 12-Mar | 16-Mar |  Tour of Norway | HC | | 23-Mar | | E3 Prijs | PT | | 25-Mar | |  Strade Bianche | HC | | 27-Mar | | Ronde van Vlaanderen | M | | 30-Mar | | Geraardsbergen - Bosberg | C2 | | --- | | | | | 25-Apr | | GP Wallonie | C1 | | 25-Apr | | Lincoln GP | C2 | | 28-Apr | |  Lisbon Classic | HC | | --- | | | | | 01-May | | Cheshire Cycling Tour | PTHC | | 03-May | | Fleche Wallonne | PT | | 03-May | 08-May |  Tour de Romandie | HC | | 07-May | | Liege - Bastogne - Liege | M | | 11-May | 31-May | Vuelta a Espana | GT | | 11-May | 15-May |      Baltic Chain Tour | C1 | | --- | | | | | 01-Jun | | Hanko Classic | C1 | | 03-Jun | | Monterrey TTT | C2 | | 05-Jun | 08-Jun |  Tour of East Java | PTHC | | 07-Jun | 13-Jun | Tour de Suisse | PTHC | | 12-Jun | 18-Jun |  Criterium du Dauphine Libere | PTHC | | 18-Jun | |  Frankfurt Eschborn | C1 | | --- | | | | | 01-Jul | |  Riga - Jurmala GP | PTHC | | 03-Jul | 06-Jul |  Arab Tour | HC | | 08-Jul | 11-Jul |  Euskal Bizikleta | C1 | | 18-Jul | 23-Jul |  Benelux Challenge | HC | | 19-Jul | |  Philadelphia International Championship | PTHC | | 25-Jul | 29-Jul |  Tour d'Andorra | C1 | | --- | | | | | 07-Aug | 11-Aug |  Post Danmark Rundt | HC | | 13-Aug | | Chrono d'Arenberg | PTHC | | 15-Aug | | East Midlands Cicle Classic | PT | | 18-Aug | 20-Aug |  Ras Tailteann | PTHC | | 22-Aug | | Milano - Torino | HC | | 23-Aug | 31-Aug | Tour de l'Avenir | U23 | | --- | | | | | 02-Sep | 22-Sep |         Tour of America | C1 | | 13-Sep | | GP Plouay | C2 | | 28-Sep | | Tour of the Battenkill | PTHC | | 28-Sep | | Rheden GP | PTHC | | --- | | | | | 01-Oct | 06-Oct | Tour of Japan | HC | | 04-Oct | | Paris Tours | C1 | | 18-Oct | | Giro dell'Emilia | HC |
MG - Lotto - Caloi
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| Ad Bot |
Posted on 28-09-2024 20:34
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| AbhishekLFC |
Posted on 14-09-2024 06:35
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Directeur Sportif
Posts: 11583
Joined: 27-07-2015
PCM$: 1861.50
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The team will be well represented in their home country in the wildcard races.
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| TinxiaS |
Posted on 14-09-2024 21:48
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Domestique
Posts: 498
Joined: 17-08-2020
PCM$: 400.00
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Like others said I'm interested on both duos will work together too.
How will bith Vakoc and Calmejane work at hilly tarrain and in a mountains Min and Quintana.
I really wish you all the best. 
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| DarkWolf |
Posted on 16-09-2024 06:12
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Protected Rider
Posts: 1023
Joined: 21-09-2020
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I thought of signing for a GT wildcard as well, but I believe another year of experience under my belt is better at this point. Also, survival in the PCT would be better than just my mere presence in a Grand Tour. We definitely clash in some races, but that is to be expected. Good luck in the new season!
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| Laurens147 |
Posted on 16-09-2024 14:51
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Posts: 1066
Joined: 26-04-2020
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Lotto-Caloi
Survival battle
Based on last year's PCT, we have a goal of scoring 2,050 points to secure PCT status in 2025. You can find the detail below. Thanks to SotD for the format 
| Rider name | 2023 pts | Exp. Pts |  Kyeng Ho Min | 229 | 269 | | Nairo Quintana | - | 200 | | Hannes Bergstrom Frisk | - | 44 | | Geoffrey Bouchard | - | 75 | | Total | - | 588 |
Kyeng Ho Min is the only benchmark we have against 2023. He scored 229 points, we hope we can increase that number slightly in 2024. Quintana is the secondary leader in the mountains, we hope he can add around 200 points. Bergstrom Frisk and Bouchard are both looking for breakaway opportunities to score their points. We don't have the big GC prospects in the division, so we hope both get their freedom to roam.
| Rider name | 2023 pts | Exp. Pts |  Petr Vakoc | - | 300 | | Lilian Calmejane | 317 | 212 | | Jarrad Drizners | - | 35 | | Total | - | 547 |
Vakoc is our clear leader for the one day hilly classics and some stage races. We hope he can score around 300 points. Calmejane scored higher in 2023, but because of Vakoc' schedule we expect he'll score a bit less and predict around 200 points. Drizners will have a supporting role, so only 35 calculated points for the Australian.
| Rider name | 2023 pts | Exp. Pts | | Wout Van Aert | 27 | 27 | | Total | - | 27 |
Van Aert is the only TT (prologue) specialist in our squad. We hope he can perform on par with his 2023 level for some minor points.
| Rider name | 2023 pts | Exp. Pts | | Jiankun Liu | - | 450 | | Enzo Wouters | - | 100 | | Axel Zingle | - | 75 | | Total | - | 625 |
We have our highest hopes on our sprint department. With Jiankun Liu, we have a competitor for all the flat one day races and some flat stage races. Enzo Wouters will mostly participate in 'second-tier' stage races, where GC doesn't go to a sprinter. Also Axel Zingle will have some opportunities himself in these stage races.
| Rider name | 2023 pts | Exp. Pts |  Sameera Chatarunga | - | 72 | | Nur Amirul Marzuki | 96 | 100 | | Kenneth Vanbilsen | - | 70 | | Total | - | 242 |
We rely on the trio Chatarunga, Marzuki and Vanbilsen to rake in some depth points in the cobble classics. Marzuki scored 96 points last season, we hope the same this year. Marzuki is also eligible for C2 classics.
| Rider name | 2023 pts | Exp. Pts | | Filippo Zana | - | 5 | | Johan Price-Pejtersen | - | 5 | | Jenno Berckmoes | - | 5 | | Edvin Lovidius* | - | 0 |  Eric Antonio Fagundez | - | 5 | | Fabio Christen** | - | 5 |  Vinicius Rangel* | - | 0 | | Sun Changsheng | - | 5 | | | Total | - | 30 |
We scaled a minimum of 5 points for all talents, except for our stagiares.
Conclusion:
Collecting all points across the categories see us with an expected scoring potential of aproximately 2.060 points. That's just a couple of points above our goal that we set before the transfer season.
A lot will depend on the scoring of Liu in the one day races and flat stage races. I'm very much aware of that. The combo Vakoc-Calmejane is another big question mark. Although Calmejane will get some opportunities to score himself like Tour Down Under.
Looking forward to see how my expectations will fail miserably 
MG - Lotto - Caloi
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| AbhishekLFC |
Posted on 17-09-2024 06:15
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Directeur Sportif
Posts: 11583
Joined: 27-07-2015
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Personally do feel the cutoff for relegation will be lower this year than last time, so if your predictions are indeed accurate, you should survive. Even without the points calculations, at first glance of the DB with regards to the PCT teams, my instincts were telling me you should stay in. Let's see if that turns out to be true
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| redordead |
Posted on 17-09-2024 07:50
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 4800
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I got 150 points from Bouchard in PCT so hopefully he can hit triple digit scoring for you as well
"I am a cyclist, I may not be the best, but that is what I strive to be. I may never get there, but I will never quit trying." - Tadej Pogačar
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| DarkWolf |
Posted on 17-09-2024 09:54
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I hope your calculations are surpassed during the season and you'll remain in the PCT. Of course, I hope that it's true for my team as well, although I stay away from calculations so not to expect way too much from my riders.
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| Caspi |
Posted on 17-09-2024 10:18
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Neo-Pro
Posts: 315
Joined: 22-09-2022
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Love to see these sorts of calculations, though I have no clue if they will hold
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| Nemolito |
Posted on 17-09-2024 11:33
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Classics Specialist
Posts: 3280
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I definitely hope your riders are able to surpass the expectations and make you stay in (more) comfortably. It could indeed be close, but I do believe Vakoc and the sprinters are able to score some nice points this season. Min is a fun rider as well, hopefully he can indeed do better than last season. Not entirely sure but I think the GC/climbing competition is a little bit worse this season, so that's good for him.
Sorry for taking away Malacarne, hope Rangel is enough for your sponsors this season. I really like Changsheng as a talent as well though, as mentioned earlier
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| Ulrich Ulriksen |
Posted on 18-09-2024 01:47
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Directeur Sportif
Posts: 3174
Joined: 02-11-2010
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Your points assessment seems very fair, I am less worried than others about Vakoc/Calmejane working together, I think multi-leader strategies work OK in punchy classics. More concerned that neither is a great finisher.
Liu seems key as you say, individual sprints are a crap shoot but the top PCT sprinters did pretty well last year over the course of the season.
Good to see the first ToA commitment, Quintana maybe? Would be cool to see him at that race.
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| Laurens147 |
Posted on 18-09-2024 07:18
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Posts: 1066
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Ulrich Ulriksen wrote:
Your points assessment seems very fair, I am less worried than others about Vakoc/Calmejane working together, I think multi-leader strategies work OK in punchy classics. More concerned that neither is a great finisher.
Liu seems key as you say, individual sprints are a crap shoot but the top PCT sprinters did pretty well last year over the course of the season.
Good to see the first ToA commitment, Quintana maybe? Would be cool to see him at that race.
If I'm not mistaken, both Quintana and Min will participate at ToA for us
MG - Lotto - Caloi
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