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PCM.daily Projects WT Stat Discussion
Neilstrong
Arberg27 wrote:
Arberg27 wrote:
Arberg27 wrote:
Froome boost in flat, down and FTR.
and TT boost.

and REC boost.


Dont forget ACC
 
Arberg27
dev4ever wrote:
Kristoff 79 spr and 78 acc? Rip, hard to see him 3 points worse than kittel and greipel in both stats considering he had a pretty similar tdf to them (top results atleast) Other stats are more likely to favour cav than kittel aswell

Heres my view: Cav is the fastest accelarator, together with Sagan. 83 is probably deserved for each.

Kittel is the fastest sprinter in the world, but I guess with one bad tdf its hard to remaign that status. Id put him at 83 still as only sprinter but with a bit worse acc.

Then cav and greipel at 82, with greipel also having a much worse acc (not fair downgrading someone too much because of one bad tdf imo..

Kristoff follows at 81, he is still a top 5 sprinter in the world, bike throw or no bike throw..

Then the 'bunch' with bouhanni, sagan at 80

Coquard at 79 with great acc (81 atleast) and Demare is also a quick, but not that great top speed. Would put him at 80 with 81 acc but hes too often a no-show in regular sprints

Kittel: 83/81
Cav: 82/83
Greipel: 82/80
Kristoff: 81/80
Bouhanni: 80/79
Sagan: 80/83
demare: 79/80
Coquard:79/82

Just my punt, no idea how much TdF is taken into play. But cant see how Greipel and Kristoff should be considerably worse than cav and not come close/win a few stages when they were really close several times in the tour
You have not seen cycling race since 2014 xD
 
marcoplv95
Kristoff -2 in SPR? Don't you think it's way too much guys? o.O
 
Arberg27
Neilstrong wrote:
Arberg27 wrote:
Arberg27 wrote:
Arberg27 wrote:
Froome boost in flat, down and FTR.
and TT boost.

and REC boost.


Dont forget ACC

Maybe a little, better ACC than Quintana at least. It is a combination of his mountain, MOD and ACC makes his acceleration, when he attacks, so crazy that even Contador and Quintana, for so much lactic acid that they goes down. When he's not attacking, he is a trialist in mountains, driving after his watts and goes never with in opponents accelerations.
Edited by Arberg27 on 22-07-2016 05:01
 
Arberg27
MO:
83: Froome
82: Quintana
81: Contador, Nibali
80: Porte, Aru, Kruijswijk, Landa, Poels
79: Henao, Chaves, Bardet, Zakarin, Valverde, Rodríguez, Majka
78: Nieve, A.Yates, Mollema, Pinot, Van Garderen, Gesink, Thomas

SPR:
82: Cavendish, Kittel, Greipel
80: Sagan, Bouhanni, Kristoff
79: Coquard, Démare, Degenkolb


Froome boost in FLAT, DOWN, FTR, TT, REC, ACC.
Sagan boost in FLAT, MOD, REC.
Cavendish boost in FLAT, ACC, REC.
Dumoulin boost in TT.
T.Martin down in TT.
 
MARSUPILAMI
Change Majka 79 to 78 and Yates 78 to 79 and they are accurate to my eyes
imgur.com/wPLoPQs.png

pcmdaily.com/files/Awards2017/missed.png
 
Arberg27
It takes more than a race for that I am convinced.

Majka:

2014
Tour de France 1st Stages 14 & 17 and Mountains Jersey
1st Overall Tour de Pologne 1st Stages 5 & 6
4th Overall USA Pro Cycling Challenge
4th Overall Critérium International
6th Overall Giro d'Italia

2015
1st Stage 11 Tour de France
2nd Milano–Torino
3rd Overall Vuelta a España
4th Overall Tour of Oman
7th Overall Tour de Romandie
10th Overall Tour de Suisse

2016
1st National Road Race Championships
5th Overall Vuelta a Andalucía
5th Overall Giro d'Italia
7th Overall Tour de San Luis
Tour de France Mountains Jersey
 
marcoplv95
This is my opinion (+1 are referred to your comment, Arberg27)

MO:
83: Froome
82: Quintana
81: Contador, Nibali
80: Porte, Aru, Kruijswijk, Landa, Poels, Valverde(+1)
79: Henao, Chaves, Bardet, Zakarin, Rodríguez, Majka, A.Yates(+1)
78: Nieve, Mollema, Pinot, Van Garderen, Gesink, Thomas, D.MARTIN, MEINTJES, KREUZIGER

(Froome +4 on Bardet is a bit too much though)

SPR:
82: Cavendish, Kittel, Greipel
81: Bouhanni(+1)
80: Sagan, Coquard(+1), Kristoff
79: Démare, Degenkolb
Edited by marcoplv95 on 23-07-2016 11:25
 
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jpgm97
marcoplv95 wrote:
This is my opinion:

MO:
83: Froome
82: Quintana
81: Contador, Nibali
80: Porte, Aru, Kruijswijk, Landa, Valverde, Poels
79: Henao, A.Yates, Chaves, Zakarin, Rodríguez, Majka, Bardet, Mollema
78: Nieve, Gesink, Thomas, Van Garderen, Pinot

SPR:
82: Cavendish, Kittel, Greipel
81: Bouhanni
80: Sagan, Coquard, Kristoff
79: Démare, Degenkolb


I think i t would make more sense like that:
MO
83 Froome and Quintana(it's because one Tour where he isn't in good shape (when he has been in great shape all the year) that it's worth lowering it's stats even if he is 11 seconds to second position? Froome to win races in PCM doesn't need better mountain stats. Even thought increasing his TT stat and recovery may be a good option.
82 Contador(he is still the third better in the moutains, but he couldn't show it on the Tour).
81 Nibali(he has very good stats, so even if he has the same mountain stats as other riders, he would perform good, because 82 maybe is to much. I don't remember him beating Contador when they are both in good shape), Bardet, Aru,Porte, Kruijswijk.With improved recovery for all. Maybe off this, Kruijswijk should have the best recovery, beeing followed by Bardedt, and then is this order: Aru, Poels, and Porte.
80 Valverde, Landa, Yates, Poels, Chávez and Rodríguez(he often doesn't perform good in PCM, even with this stats) Meintjes and Mollema(his other stats are low, so he hardly will finish top 10 in the game). Valverde should have better recovery, being followed in this order: Rodríguez, Poels, Landa, Yates, Meintjes, Chávez and Mollema.
79 Pinot, Majka, Zakarin, Martin and Domoulin. In recovery, the order should be Zakarin, Majka, Domoulin, Pinot and Martin.
78 Nieve, Gesink, Thomas, Van Garderen, Costa, Amador, Ion Izaguirre, Kreuziguer, Rolland, Reichenbach, Rolland, Urán, Simon Yates and Rosa.
77 Moreno, Spilak, De Gendt, Pantano, Konig and Caruso.
76 Cummings, Coppel, André Cardoso, Miguel López, Wellens and Allaphilippe.

SPR:
84: Cavendish
82: Kittel(with better accelaration than Cavendish)
81: Greipel(also with better accelaration than Cavendish)
80: Sagan, Kristoff, Bouhanni, Degenkolb.
79: Coquard(maybe 82 acceleration) and Gaviria.
78: Démare, Matthews, Nizzolo, Viviani Mclay and Holst Enger.
Edited by jpgm97 on 23-07-2016 12:01
 
haasje33
So Mollema should be set back to 78 because he lost 4 minutes due to a fall? No way! He still proved he can follow the very best this Tour. He has been more consistent in the Pyrenees than in the Alps, but still 78 is too low for him. He has been climbing better than most 79 guys listed above and deserves either 80 or 79 with his RES above average and his REC a little below average (compared to the other top GC contenders).

And about Poels, he has shown that he's Froome's best helper in the mountains, but giving him 80 MO is too much imo. The main thing with the Sky helpers is that they're sparing themselves all day and then when it's their turn to relay, they will just empty their tanks and take it easy to the finish. Giving them too high stats will not only lead to an even bigger advantage for Sky in-game, but will also lead to unhappy riders in a career with Sky, because they'll consider themselves as team leaders in-game.

Remember that yesterday's stage isn't a good reference with Froome riding on a different bike and all the crashes that happened because of the rain.
Inactive due to personal reasons.
 
Ian Butler
Pantano 85 Downhill Grin
 
marcoplv95
jpgm97 wrote:
SPR:
84: Cavendish
82: Kittel(with better accelaration than Cavendish)
81: Greipel(also with better accelaration than Cavendish).


WHATTAFUCK!
 
haasje33
@marcoplv95: If you want to criticise someone's suggestions, please use thought-out arguments instead of this type of statements!
Inactive due to personal reasons.
 
marcoplv95
haasje33 wrote:
@marcoplv95: If you want to criticise someone's suggestions, please use thought-out arguments instead of this type of statements!


Well i think you all know there's not much to say...
Putting Cavendish +3 SPR and ahead to Kittel of 2 points is crazy!
He did a fantastic TDF, but as you said, you consider results in a larger width of time. And Cavendish has to confirm his results to deserve better rating than Kittel Smile

He can be 82-83, but remember Kittel is not in perfect shape, he was on Giro too
 
teamdoubledragon
I think, as mentioned earlier, form is very important to take into account with this. As well as the matrix and back up stats. I don't think one bad GT, where he still podiums, should lead to a downgrade for Nairo. He's still the purest climber the peloton has to offer and is only 26. He's due for a couple of bad three week stints every now and then. Personally, I believe his biggest downfall was prepping with the RdS against minimal competition.

I honestly think consistency should be our biggest marker for stats, with form attributed to +/- 1 or 2 point changes. For example, Kruijswijk is on 80 MO after just one decent GT showing, which I believe is a little high justifying his results over the last year plus. You have to go back to last year's Giro to find a top 10 for him in a deep race. Yet Quintana performs below our expectations and everyone calls for his drop. Seems a little unfair in my book. Same goes for Landa in my book. He's been more consistent in his climbs then Kruijswijk, but I think he was overvalued for his strong second/third week in last year's Giro. The same goes for the sprint matrix. Consistency should be our baseline, and we shouldn't overreact because of one good GT. Agree, or disagree, that's why we like this discussion so much I think. We each have our own database, so we change what we see fit.

Here's my personal ratings after this Tour:

Mountain
83: Froome, Quintana
82: Nibili
81: Contador
80: Landa, Bardet, Valverde, Pinot, Porte, Zakarin (borderline 79), Aru, Rodriguez
79: Majka, Chaves, Mollema, Kruijswijk
78: Van Garderen (borderline 79), Dumoulin, Henao, Poels, A. Yates, Uran, Amador (borderline 77), Thomas, Rolland

Guys like Gallopin, Gesink, Latour, Lopez, et al. fall on 77 for the time being.

Sprint
83: Kittel
82: Cavendish, Greipel
81:
80: Modolo, Viviani, Sagan, Bouhani, Degenkolb, Kristoff (each of these last three could reasonably be 81 if you made the argument, but I feel their backup stats/ACC level them out as "upper 80"Wink
79: Coquard, Groenewegen, Bennett, Gaviria, Nizzolo, Van Poppel, Demare, Matthews

So there yeah have it. I could easily do this for the rest of the stats, but ultimately it's a fools errand. Everyone will have certain riders they like and dislike who get preferential treatment in either a good or bad way. And that's okay, because even our interpretations of real world cycling are skewed by these biases. The key is making sure we avoid the animosity of battling who's right or wrong based on simple points here or there. Logical discussion also yields more results versus yelling at someone who disagrees. Enjoy!
 
Arberg27
jpgm97 wrote:
marcoplv95 wrote:
This is my opinion:

MO:
83: Froome
82: Quintana
81: Contador, Nibali
80: Porte, Aru, Kruijswijk, Landa, Valverde, Poels
79: Henao, A.Yates, Chaves, Zakarin, Rodríguez, Majka, Bardet, Mollema
78: Nieve, Gesink, Thomas, Van Garderen, Pinot

SPR:
82: Cavendish, Kittel, Greipel
81: Bouhanni
80: Sagan, Coquard, Kristoff
79: Démare, Degenkolb


I think i t would make more sense like that:
MO
83 Froome and Quintana(it's because one Tour where he isn't in good shape (when he has been in great shape all the year) that it's worth lowering it's stats even if he is 11 seconds to second position? Froome to win races in PCM doesn't need better mountain stats. Even thought increasing his TT stat and recovery may be a good option.
82 Contador(he is still the third better in the moutains, but he couldn't show it on the Tour).
81 Nibali(he has very good stats, so even if he has the same mountain stats as other riders, he would perform good, because 82 maybe is to much. I don't remember him beating Contador when they are both in good shape), Bardet, Aru,Porte, Kruijswijk.With improved recovery for all. Maybe off this, Kruijswijk should have the best recovery, beeing followed by Bardedt, and then is this order: Aru, Poels, and Porte.
80 Valverde, Landa, Yates, Poels, Chávez and Rodríguez(he often doesn't perform good in PCM, even with this stats) Meintjes and Mollema(his other stats are low, so he hardly will finish top 10 in the game). Valverde should have better recovery, being followed in this order: Rodríguez, Poels, Landa, Yates, Meintjes, Chávez and Mollema.
79 Pinot, Majka, Zakarin, Martin and Domoulin. In recovery, the order should be Zakarin, Majka, Domoulin, Pinot and Martin.
78 Nieve, Gesink, Thomas, Van Garderen, Costa, Amador, Ion Izaguirre, Kreuziguer, Rolland, Reichenbach, Rolland, Urán, Simon Yates and Rosa.
77 Moreno, Spilak, De Gendt, Pantano, Konig and Caruso.
76 Cummings, Coppel, André Cardoso, Miguel López, Wellens and Allaphilippe.

SPR:
84: Cavendish
82: Kittel(with better accelaration than Cavendish)
81: Greipel(also with better accelaration than Cavendish)
80: Sagan, Kristoff, Bouhanni, Degenkolb.
79: Coquard(maybe 82 acceleration) and Gaviria.
78: Démare, Matthews, Nizzolo, Viviani Mclay and Holst Enger.

Contadope was better than Nibali. But Contador after has doping suspension not been. No way only one under Froome. Froome on 100% is also better than Quintana.
Cavendish is not so much better than the other two, which peaked in Giro.
Edited by Arberg27 on 24-07-2016 06:03
 
Anderis
Ian Butler wrote:
Pantano 85 Downhill Grin

Jon Izagirre out of the scale then...
 
jpgm97
marcoplv95 wrote:
haasje33 wrote:
@marcoplv95: If you want to criticise someone's suggestions, please use thought-out arguments instead of this type of statements!


Well i think you all know there's not much to say...
Putting Cavendish +3 SPR and ahead to Kittel of 2 points is crazy!
He did a fantastic TDF, but as you said, you consider results in a larger width of time. And Cavendish has to confirm his results to deserve better rating than Kittel Smile

He can be 82-83, but remember Kittel is not in perfect shape, he was on Giro too


Kittel was on the Giro for a week. There we won two stages, one he beat Viviani and other Démare. Do you really believe he peaked for the Giro instead of the Tour? Isn't all the best sprinters main goal winning stages in the Tour? And in the Tour Cavendish has showed he is the best sprinter now(just like Greipel was last year, and Kittel the year before that), but either Kittel and Greipel can get to their maximum pace faster than him. So if they have higher accelaration, it would make up for the lower sprint stat. I've tested in game, and Kittel and Greipel can still win stages against Cavendish.
.
 
Jorge14
Mountain Stats Tour:

Froome 83
Quintana 82
Bardet Porte Valverde Aru 80
Purito Meintjes Dan Martin Yates Molema Poels Tejay79
Kreuziger Henao78
Reichenbach Thomas Nieve Rolland Nieve77
Clemente Buchman Pantano Vuillermoz75

Do you agree? Of course i miss some riders but i put here only the Tour Top20Guys and some exceptions like tejay and poels
 
martinsr6
I think that after the Tour the top mountain stats should look like this:

Froome Quintana 82. I put them at 82 so that all top GC riders are kind of equal in game. Also, I think that they should be equal because if you think about it, Quintana mainly lost time on TTs and in stages where the flat stat was important, like Ventoux (because of echelons) and the one where Sagan son with Froome and Thomas. Froome should have better DH and should be upgraded in REC a little bit.

Contador 81. Too early to downgrade him

Nibali, Aru and Porte 80. Since Nibali has great backup stats he should perform like an 81. Porte should have 80 with a little improvement in REC (like 72-73) because he was the only one
to follow Froome in the mountains and he kind of faded in the final week.

Yates, Mollema, Landa, Valverde, Chaves, Valverde, Kruiswijk, Poels, Bardet and Pinot 79. I dont put Kruiswijk at 80 because if you look at the stages where he gain time on Cháves you will see that they were TTs mainly.

Martin, TVG, Meintjes, Purito, Nieve and Kreuziger (with low REC) 78. Here I just highlight the ones that took part in the Tour, but there are more at this level.

As you can see, I basically looked at where each rider lost time to the leader, so I think that these stats are quite accurate, tell me what you think about them!
 
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