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Cycling betting
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| Riis123 |
Posted on 24-05-2016 19:31
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Posts: 5075
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200 DKK Modolo > Nizzolo @Â 2,37
200 DKK Montaguti > Cardoso @Â 2,37
200 DKK Rick Zabel > Savitskiy @ 2,25
200 DKK Savitskiy > Arndt @ 2,00
300 DKK Sbaragli > Trentin @ 2,37
300 DKK Colbrelli > Haussler @ 2,62
Preidler to win stage 17 @Â 251,00
Belletti to win stage 17 @ 81,00
Back to the sprints, bunch of outsiders once again.
Edited by Riis123 on 25-05-2016 15:43
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| Squire |
Posted on 24-05-2016 20:20
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Damn, those are some seriously high value bets! I'd favour almost all of your backed riders to win their duels (sorry for jinxing all of them).
Squire wrote:
Stage 16
Igor Anton over Merhawi Kudus @ 1.75
Alexander Foliforov over Rein Taaramae @ 1.95
Sergey Firsanov Win @ 35
David De la Cruz Win @ 80
So Foliforov and Anton both blew themselves up by attacking in the beginning. De La Cruz didn't even start. It's not my Giro, apparently, although I'm still on the way to making a small profit all together.
Stage 17
Sacha Modolo over Giacomo Nizzolo @ 2.40
Matteo Montaguti over Darwin Atapuma @ 1.85
Third time lucky with Modolo over Nizzolo?  This is the big disadvantage of using only one bookie. Betsson have almost nothing interesting for tomorrow.
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| Riis123 |
Posted on 24-05-2016 20:42
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 5075
Joined: 07-08-2008
PCM$: 200.00
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Yeah, I basically had Dombrowski home today until he fucked up, chased and decided not to show his legs on the last climb. I guess its the Garmin curse, thank god I do no support that team, I would rage all day.
Close but no cigar on Firsanov. Had it not been a GC-stage, he would've had good chances today. I can't say Im surprised about Foliforov - what he did 2 days ago was seriously shady. I guess he would have to recover 2 weeks in the peloton again in order to climb like that again.
Modolo has to win this. They have been close in all sprints, but Nizzolo has placed 1 place over Modolo consistently it seems.. |
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| Squire |
Posted on 24-05-2016 20:46
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Riis123 wrote:
Modolo has to win this. They have been close in all sprints, but Nizzolo has placed 1 place over Modolo consistently it seems..
Yeah, my thinking was that now that Ewan and Greipel are out, there's no gap to be left by Ferrari which Nizzolo can take advantage of 
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| Riis123 |
Posted on 24-05-2016 20:49
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Joined: 07-08-2008
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Squire wrote:
Riis123 wrote:
Modolo has to win this. They have been close in all sprints, but Nizzolo has placed 1 place over Modolo consistently it seems..
Yeah, my thinking was that now that Ewan and Greipel are out, there's no gap to be left by Ferrari which Nizzolo can take advantage of
Exactly and given Nizzolo can't buy a win, and Porsov is the 3rd best sprinter left, Modolo has this!
Ulissi also climbed better than he has done in this Giro my a long mile today, he was dropped a few times, but what a performance by him. |
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| Squire |
Posted on 24-05-2016 20:53
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Riis123 wrote:
Squire wrote:
Riis123 wrote:
Modolo has to win this. They have been close in all sprints, but Nizzolo has placed 1 place over Modolo consistently it seems..
Yeah, my thinking was that now that Ewan and Greipel are out, there's no gap to be left by Ferrari which Nizzolo can take advantage of
Exactly and given Nizzolo can't buy a win, and Porsov is the 3rd best sprinter left, Modolo has this!
Ulissi also climbed better than he has done in this Giro my a long mile today, he was dropped a few times, but what a performance by him.
I hope Ulissi doesn't win the points classification, because then I'll be kicking myself for not getting him at odds of 14.
But with a good performance in both remaining sprints, Nizzolo should have it regardless of whether Ulissi wins the Pinerolo stage and collect some intermediate sprints in the Alps.
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| Riis123 |
Posted on 25-05-2016 14:19
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 5075
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PCM$: 200.00
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Belletti to win stage 17 @ 81,00
200 DKK Savitskiy > Arndt @ 2,00 |
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| Riis123 |
Posted on 25-05-2016 19:59
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Posts: 5075
Joined: 07-08-2008
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Riis123 wrote:
200 DKK Modolo > Nizzolo @Â 2,37
200 DKK Montaguti > Cardoso @Â 2,37
200 DKK Rick Zabel > Savitskiy @ 2,25
200 DKK Savitskiy > Arndt @ 2,00
300 DKK Sbaragli > Trentin @ 2,37
300 DKK Colbrelli > Haussler @ 2,62
Preidler to win stage 17 @Â 251,00
Belletti to win stage 17 @ 81,00
Back to the sprints, bunch of outsiders once again.
Mediocre day again. Colbrelli crashed, has had some bad luck lately. Odds coming up today. |
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| Riis123 |
Posted on 25-05-2016 20:23
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Posts: 5075
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200 DKK Chaves > Zakarin @ 2,20
200 DKK Montaguti > Roche @ 2,20
200 DKK Busato > Wellens @ 2,10
50 DKK Valverde to win stage 18 @ 14,00 |
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| Squire |
Posted on 25-05-2016 23:41
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Squire wrote:
Stage 17
Sacha Modolo over Giacomo Nizzolo @ 2.40
Matteo Montaguti over Darwin Atapuma @ 1.85
It never works, does it?
Stage 18
Kanstantsin Siutsou over Darwin Atapuma @ 1.85
Sergey Firsanov over Rein Taaramae @ 1.80
Tanel Kangert Win @ 40
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| Riis123 |
Posted on 26-05-2016 21:39
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Posts: 5075
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Riis123 wrote:
200 DKK Chaves > Zakarin @ 2,20
200 DKK Montaguti > Roche @ 2,20
200 DKK Busato > Wellens @ 2,10
50 DKK Valverde to win stage 18 @ 14,00
Decent day, now onto Agnello! |
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| Squire |
Posted on 26-05-2016 22:23
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Squire wrote:
Stage 18
Kanstantsin Siutsou over Darwin Atapuma @ 1.85
Sergey Firsanov over Rein Taaramae @ 1.80
Tanel Kangert Win @ 40
Small profit today.
Stage 19
Stefano Pirazzi over Rigoberto Uran @ 3.35
Darwin Atapuma over Jakob Fuglsang @ 1.85
Bob Jungels over Domenico Pozzovivo @ 2.33
Joseph Dombrowski over David Lopez @ 1.60
I'm really pushing on to make this a profitable Giro here. Risky business. If I crash and burn totally tomorrow, I'll actually be in the red for the Giro as a whole, not counting the pending Cunego KoM bet. Maybe I should start betting on camel racing instead. 
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| Riis123 |
Posted on 26-05-2016 22:29
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 5075
Joined: 07-08-2008
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Squire wrote:
Squire wrote:
Stage 18
Kanstantsin Siutsou over Darwin Atapuma @ 1.85
Sergey Firsanov over Rein Taaramae @ 1.80
Tanel Kangert Win @ 40
Small profit today.
Stage 19
Stefano Pirazzi over Rigoberto Uran @ 3.35
Darwin Atapuma over Jakob Fuglsang @ 1.85
Bob Jungels over Domenico Pozzovivo @ 2.33
Joseph Dombrowski over David Lopez @ 1.60
I'm really pushing on to make this a profitable Giro here. Risky business. If I crash and burn totally tomorrow, I'll actually be in the red for the Giro as a whole, not counting the pending Cunego KoM bet. Maybe I should start betting on camel racing instead.
I like your odds very much. Jungels over Pozzovivo is really, really good.
200 DKK Majka > Chaves @ 3,00
200 DKK Zakarin > Valverde @ 2,00
5 DKK Rybalkin to win stage 18 @Â 351,00
First time I've really been in doubt. Take a look at bet365 odds - where do you think there is value? I have trouble finding anything today... |
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| Squire |
Posted on 26-05-2016 22:38
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I think there are a few decent ones there.
If you see value in Jungels over Pozzovivo, you should definitely like Jungels over Amador at 1.83-1.83. I also think Cunego should be favoured over Denifl. Dombrowski over Nieve also looks tempting.
As you already identified, Majka is absolutely worth a punt.
Edit: As usual, PinnacleSports have the bet365 h2hs with much better odds. Don't know if you made an account there or not.
Edited by Squire on 26-05-2016 22:44
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| Riis123 |
Posted on 26-05-2016 22:52
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 5075
Joined: 07-08-2008
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I havent. I think Ill stick to bet365 and spread it afterwards. Betsafe and Nordbicbet have the same odds as Betsson, different to bet365 and pinnacle, so thats somewhat a must for me. But now that I have played my bonus, Im looking too cash in on the bonus with other bookmakers when the Giro is doneso.
The thing is, about Pinnacle and bet365, bet365 are by far the fastest on the market. By the time pinnacle gets the odds up, the odds have changed for the worse, in that aspect I really, really like 365. |
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| Riis123 |
Posted on 27-05-2016 11:39
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Posts: 5075
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More odds. The bottom ones are at Nordicbet, equivalent of Betsson.
200 DKK Majka > Chaves @ 3,00
200 DKK Zakarin > Valverde @ 2,00
200 DKK Jungels > Amador @ 1,83
50 DKK Montaguti > Roche @ 2,55
50 DKK Pirazzi > Uran @ 3,35
150 DKK Dombro > D. Lopez @ 1,60
150 DKK Jungels > Pozzovivo @ 2,25 |
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| Riis123 |
Posted on 27-05-2016 20:42
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 5075
Joined: 07-08-2008
PCM$: 200.00
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Riis123 wrote:
More odds. The bottom ones are at Nordicbet, equivalent of Betsson.
200 DKK Majka > Chaves @ 3,00
200 DKK Zakarin > Valverde @ 2,00
200 DKK Jungels > Amador @ 1,83
50 DKK Montaguti > Roche @ 2,55
50 DKK Pirazzi > Uran @ 3,35
150 DKK Dombro > D. Lopez @ 1,60
150 DKK Jungels > Pozzovivo @ 2,25
Even steven today.
500 DKK Valverde > Kruiswijk @ 1,66
500 DKK Urán > Majka @ 2,62
200 DKK Amador > Jungels @Â 2,62
200 DKK Monfort > Dupont @ 2,62
200 DKK Formolo > Dombro @ 2,75
600 DKK Atapuma > Dupont @ 1,85
100 DKK Valverde to win IL GIRO @ 35,00
Laying it on the line today. Waiting for Nordicbet
Edited by Riis123 on 28-05-2016 12:17
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| Squire |
Posted on 27-05-2016 21:30
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Posts: 1404
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I see what you did there 
Stage 19
50 NOK Stefano Pirazzi over Rigoberto Uran @ 3.35
100 NOK Darwin Atapuma over Jakob Fuglsang @ 1.85
115 NOK Bob Jungels over Domenico Pozzovivo @ 2.33
100 NOK Joseph Dombrowski over David Lopez @ 1.60
Great betting day today, making this fantastic stage even more enjoyable. Added the stakes to show why I'm not bothered about Pirazzi.
I'll see what I can cook up for tomorrow when odds are published.
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| Riis123 |
Posted on 27-05-2016 21:49
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Posts: 5075
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Haha. Good catch.
Are they always so slow? Making sure we won't rob them. Pussies. |
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| Squire |
Posted on 27-05-2016 21:59
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Bet365 are the best and most confident at setting odds, so they're always first. Don't know who Betsson are imitating, or if they do their own thing.
Was hoping to get on something similar to your Kruijswijk h2h, but now that the news are out that he might have fractured a rib, that's unlikely.
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